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FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried Makes Prediction for Ethereum (ETH) Merge, Warns of Potential Rough Transition

FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried Makes Prediction for Ethereum (ETH) Merge, Warns of Potential Rough Transition

FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried is giving his thoughts on what could happen when Ethereum (ETH) completes its highly anticipated merge to proof-of-stake (PoS). In an interview with CNBC, the crypto billionaire says that while in the long term the merge will be beneficial for Ethereum, it’s not unreasonable to expect some turbulence when it first […]

The post FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried Makes Prediction for Ethereum (ETH) Merge, Warns of Potential Rough Transition appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Ethereum’s potential fork ETHPOW has crashed 80% since debut — More pain ahead?

A recent report has narrowed ETHPOW's downside target to $18 if the token ever comes to life post-Merge.

The listing of ETHPOW (ETHW) across multiple crypto exchanges has been followed by a huge drop in price despite some initial success. 

ETHPOW drops 80% 

On the daily chart, ETHW's price dropped by more than 80% to $25 on Sept. 10, over a month after its market debut.

ETHW/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

For starters, ETHPOW only exists as a futures ticker, for now, conceived in anticipation that an upcoming network update on Ethereum could result in a chain split.

Ethereum will undergo a major protocol change called the Merge by mid-September, switching its existing consensus mechanism from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS).

Therefore, Ethereum will obsolete its army of miners, replacing them with "validators," which are nodes that would perform the same tasks by merely staking a certain amount of tokens with the network.

As a result, current Ethereum miners will be forced to migrate to other PoW chains or shut down. Ethereum Classic (ETC), which carries the original Ethereum PoW code, has benefited the most by becoming a haven for such miners

For instance, the chart below shows Ethereum Classic's hashrate rising and Ethereum's hash rate dropping in the days leading up to the Merge.

Ethereum Classic vs. Ethereum hash rate. Source: CoinWarz

But Ethereum Classic may not be the only option for ETH miners. 

Chandler Guo, one of the most prominent crypto miners, has proposed that miners continue to validate and add blocks to the current PoW Ethereum chain post-Merge. This so-called contentious hard fork would keep the current Ethereum PoW chain alive, which Guo and supporters have termed ETHPOW.

And just as the Ethereum blockchain has its native coin in Ether (ETH), the new ETHPOW chain will have its asset called ETHW. Anybody holding ETH ahead of the Merge will receive an equal amount of ETHW after the potential chain split.

Related: Ethereum Merge can trigger high volatility, BitMEX CEO warns

However, given the significant downside risk of ETHPOW, traders appear to be more comfortable holding ETH, enabling them to receive ETHW as well should a chain split occur.

In addition, decreasing ETHW price may also suggest that traders are betting that an Ethereum chain split is becoming less likely.

Paradigm report cast another bearish blow on ETHW

In a report published Sept. 1, crypto investment firm Paradigm argues that the cost of one ETHW token should not be more than $18 after launch. That is nearly 90% below the token's record high of $198, established on Aug. 9.

The firm cited backwardation, when futures trade lower than the spot prices, in the Ethereum Sept. 30 futures contracts as the reason behind its $18-price target for ETHPOW.

The report highlights that some exchanges, including FTX and Deribit, will measure the rates of their ETH futures/perpetual contracts by referencing Ethereum's PoS version.

And since the ETH futures price now trades at an $18 discount compared to spot prices, the ETHPOW token could draw at least an $18 valuation upon the potential fork.

FTX Ether futures basis. Source: Coinglass

"We can infer how much the market estimates ETH PoW will be worth from simply looking at spot-future basis, since spot = POS + POW, while future is just POS," the report explained, adding:

"Currently, the basis is implying ETH PoW to be priced ~$18, which is ~1.5% of ETH market cap."

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Everyone’s talking about the Ethereum Merge: New report reveals the most interested countries

Singapore took the top spot by a landslide as the world’s most interested country in the upcoming Merge based on frequency of search terms in the weeks leading up to the event.

A new report released from CoinGecko uncovered the places around the world most interested in the upcoming Ethereum Merge

The data found Singapore as the country most interested and by a large margin at that. Singapore scored 377, which is nearly 100 points higher than the second place nations, Switzerland and Canada, both tied at 286 points. Germany, the United States and the Netherlands filled out the remaining top five spots.

Scores were determined through an analysis of the frequency of ten search terms and then combined for the overall ranking. These terms included "Ethereum Merge," "ETH Merge" and "Ethereum PoW," among others.

Certain terms had particular potency in Singapore such as "Ethereum Merge," "ETH Classic" and "Ethereum." In Switzerland, users searched for "ETH alone more than anywhere else in the world.

Related: Will the Ethereum Merge crash or revive the crypto market? | Find out now on The Market Report

Bobby Ong, chief operati and co-founder of CoinGecko, elaborated on the results, saying global anticipation is at an all-time high with the Merge expected in less than a week. Developers claim it will take place between Sep. 13 and 15.

“The top 8 rankings in this list seem to encompass countries with strong Ethereum communities, which might explain their high search scores in this study.

When the Merge of the Ethereum network from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS) occurs, it wi “effects will ripple throughout the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem,” says Ong. 

As the world waits for the Merge the community on Crypto Twitter is active with expectations.  Some claim high hopes for the Ethereum community:

While others anticipate immediate repercussions for the native network cryptocurrency Ether (ETH): 

Even mainstream media outlets have tried their hand at covering the upcoming transition. 

Exchanges, miners and developers across the space have also been preparing for the event in various ways. For example, Binance US began offering low-barrier Ethereum staking, while FTX announced that it plans to halt ETH deposits and withdrawals on Arbitrum, Solana and the Binance Smart Chain during the Merge.

Prior to the Bellatrix upgrade, which took place on Tuesday, Sept. 6, 74% of Ethereum nodes were ready for the transition.

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Will Ethereum keep rallying versus Bitcoin? ETH price technicals hint at 60% gains ahead

Ether could enter the pattern's breakout stage in the days leading up to the highly-anticipated Merge.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) shows the potential to log major gains versus Bitcoin (BTC) with the ETH/BTC pair nearing yearly highs. 

Ether paints classic bullish reversal pattern

The bullish cues come from a classic technical pattern called the inverse head and shoulders, which develops when the price forms three troughs below a common support level known as neckline. The middle trough, or head, is deeper than the other two, called the shoulders. 

An inverse head and shoulders setup resolves after the price breaks above the neckline while accompanying an increase in trading volume. As a rule of technical analysis, its profit target comes at a length equal to the maximum distance between the head's lowest point and the neckline. 

So far, Ether has painted a similar pattern, and it now awaits breakout above the neckline, as illustrated in the chart below.

ETH/BTC weekly price chart featuring "inverse head and shoulders" breakout setup. Source: TradingView

If ETH's price climbs decisively above the neckline, then the Ethereum token's upside target in 2022 will be around 0.136 BTC, up approximately 60% from current price levels.

Merge enthusiasm boosts ETH/BTC pair

The breakout moment could come ahead of Ethereum's switch from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS).

While the Merge is touted by proponents as a less energy-intensive alternative to PoW, the update could also reduce Ether's annual issuance by 4.2%

Moreover, the demand for ETH as the means to receive any potential forked tokens following the Merge has seen the ETH/BTC pair rise by more than 55% since the Merge's release announcement on July 14. 

ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, believes Ether's switch to a less energy-intensive protocol could boost its appeal among institutional investors. In turn, it could ensure Ether overtakes Bitcoin by market capitalization.

Related: Ether price could ‘decouple’ from other crypto post Merge — Chainalysis

"It's entirely possible that we'll see Ethereum flipping Bitcoin at some point in the future," Hougan told Forbes, adding:

“It is going after, in my view, a larger addressable market."

For now, Ethereum's $200 billion market cap trails Bitcoin's $369 billion.

Sell the Merge news?

On the flip side, Ether has been trading near a resistance area with a long history of exhausting price rallies against Bitcoin, notes analyst Riteable. In addition, the ETH/BTC's ongoing uptrend accompanies declining volumes and relative strength index (RSI) readings.

ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

In other words, a bearish divergence that could mean ETH/BTC's price rally could be nearing exhaustion, resulting in a correction post-Merge.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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ETC Group launches crypto ETP based on PoW Ethereum hard fork

ETC Group will continue to rely on Ethereum’s original PoW consensus for its current Ethereum ETP, the firm announced on Wednesday.

Digital asset-backed securities provider ETC Group will continue to rely on Ethereum’s original proof-of-work (PoW) consensus for its current Ethereum exchange-traded product (ETP).

ETC Group officially announced on Wednesday the launch of a new Ethereum ETP in response to the upcoming Ethereum Merge. Scheduled to occur in mid-September, the Ethereum Merge is a long-awaited consensus upgrade that is set to move the Ethereum blockchain from mining-based PoW to mining-free proof-of-stake (PoS).

ETC Group’s new Ethereum ETP will rely on a forked PoW Ethereum chain, representing a group of miners opposing Ethereum’s switch to PoS. The PoW chain will have a new token called ETHW that will provide a basis for ETC Group’s new physically-backed ETP called ETC Group Physical EthereumPoW, or ETHWetc.

According to the announcement, ETHWetc is expected to list on Deutsche Boerse’s electronic trading platform, Xetra, under the ticker symbol ZETW. ETC Group noted that the firm anticipates the listing to occur shortly following the fork event on Sept. 16.

ETC Group noted that ZETW will automatically replace the original ETC Group Physical Ethereum (ZETH) on a 1:1 unit basis on brokerage accounts.

Bradley Duke, founder and co-CEO of ETC Group, pointed out that benefitting from hard forks to the underlying cryptocurrencies is the original vision and commitment of the firm. “In line with this [...] any holders of our Ethereum-based ETP will receive, at no cost, matching units of the new Ethereum PoW ETP soon after the Ethereum hard fork occurs,” he noted, adding:

“We believe that it is only right that investors in our products should receive the proceeds of this fork.”

The news comes amid the crypto industry actively preparing for the upcoming Ethereum Merge, with various companies seeking new mining options or launching Ethereum staking.

Related: Ethereum’s Bellatrix upgrade hiccups jangle nerves, but it’ll be right on the night

On Wednesday, Swiss-regulated crypto platform SEBA Bank enabled Ether (ETH) staking services for institutional investors. The institutional-grade offering clients to generate rewards based on their Ether holdings on a monthly basis, the bank said in a statement. Canadian crypto miner Hive Blockchain also announced on Tuesday that it has been working to replace the mining of ETH with other mineable coins in the event of Ethereum’s transition to PoS.

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Bitcoin proponent Samson Mow highlights centralization aspect of the Merge

Mow claims a few node operators have the power to change, delay or even cancel the upcoming Ethereum Merge.

Samson Mow, a well-known Bitcoin proponent, recently took to social media to talk about the centralization aspects of the upcoming Merge, which he claimed isn’t widely known.

Ethereum is in the countdown mode after the completion of the Bellatrix upgrade on Sept. 6 and is all set for the official transition between Sept.13-15, depending on the hashrate (computer power) input on the network. The Merge is slated to be triggered by a difficulty threshold called the Terminal Total Difficulty (TTD) at a value of 58750000000000000000000.

Mow claimed that while everyone thinks that the Merge will be triggered by pre-set threshold difficulty, there is one aspect that not many people have paid attention to. He said node operators have the power to overwrite the TTD value by a single line of code.

Mow cited a Galaxy blog post highlighting the key centralization issue with the Merge and claimed that Ethereum has knowingly suppressed this fact.

He noted that with few nodes that matter, “so those in charge can simply “feed the actual value” for activation time whenever they feel like it. What’s hilarious is they then make tracker sites to “predict” when it will happen.”

Cointelegraph reached out to Mow to get his perspective on the upcoming Merge and the centralization debate looming around Ethereum’s upcoming transition. Mow told Cointelegraph that with a move to proof-of-stake (PoS), the “centralization aspect of Ethereum would become permanent.”

Related: Vitalik reminds node operators to update client before the Bellatrix upgrade

He added that in a PoS system, node operators are solely responsible for decision making which is clear from the TTD override example. He said:

“If Ethereans really wanted to have something energy efficient, scalable, and cheaper, they would be doing R&D on Bitcoin second layer technologies like Lightning and Liquid.”

Ethereum’s transition to a PoS network started out as a strategy to address its scalability woes but soon became a case for energy efficiency amid growing scrutiny around the Bitcoin network’s energy consumption. The Merge would mark the completion of the second phase of the three-phase transition process, and the majority of key benefits, including cheaper gas fees and faster transaction throughput, will arrive with the completion of the third phase.

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Hive Blockchain explores new mineable coins ahead of Ethereum merge

Hive's Ethereum mining operations have historically generated three to four times more revenue per megawatt than Bitcoin mining, the firm said.

Cryptocurrency miner Hive Blockchain has been working to replace the mining of Ether (ETH) with other coins in the event of Ethereum’s upcoming transition to proof-of-stake, or PoS.

The Canadian crypto mining firm has been analyzing options for mining with its GPU stash ahead of the Ethereum Merge, Hive said in its latest production update on Tuesday.

According to the update, Hive started implementing beta-testing of various GPU-mineable coins this week as the Ethereum Merge PoS is expected to occur in mid-September. Hive’s technical division is specifically implementing a strategy to optimize its Ethereum mining capacity, which amounts to 6.5 terahashes per second.

“The company acknowledges the potential Ethereum Merge to Proof of Stake,” Hive said in the update. It noted that it sees a competitive landscape where the GPU miners with the most efficient equipment and lowest cost of electricity will prevail.

Hive mentioned that its Sweden-based Boden facility is one of the largest Ethereum mining sites in the world, with power fixed at approximately $0.03 U.S. dollars per Kilowatt hour. “Hive is well positioned to navigate the market ahead,” the firm said.

Additionally, Hive noted that its Ethereum mining operations have historically generated three to four times more revenue per megawatt than Bitcoin (BTC) mining. The company has been selling its mined Ether to fund expansion of the Bitcoin mining program with a new generation of Application-Specific Integrated Circuits. Hive still held 5,100 ETH as of Aug. 31, 2022.

Hive has also continued to hold its Bitcoin stash, accumulating a total of 3,258 BTC by the end of August. According to the update, Hive mined 290.4 BTC last month, producing more than 9 Bitcoin per day even after the Bitcoin difficulty increased on Aug. 28. As previously reported, Hive has been among the few crypto mining companies that have opted to hodl their mined BTC during the ongoing crypto winter of 2022.

Related: Ethereum Merge to ‘swamp’ other coins with miners — Mining CEO

The news comes amid the approaching Ethereum Merge, a long-awaited Ethereum upgrade that is set to move its blockchain from mining-based proof-of-work (PoW) to mining-free PoS. On Tuesday, the Bellatrix upgrade went live on the Beacon Chain, or the network’s PoS chain, marking another move forward to Ethereum Merge.

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Vitalik reminds node operators to update client before the Bellatrix upgrade

The Bellatrix hard-fork is the final update on the Beacon chain that will prepare it for the Merge, and if node operators are not updated to the latest client, they risk syncing to the pre-fork chain.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin is reminding node operators to upgrade their clients before the Bellatrix “hard fork,” slated for Sept. 6. Buterin said that the scheduled upgrade will be the final update that prepares the Beacon chain (proof-of-stake chain) for the Merge.

An Ethereum client is the software that allows Ethereum nodes to read blocks on the blockchain and smart contracts. A “node” is the running piece of the client software. In order to run a node, one has to first download an Ethereum client application. A node can be run by different Ethereum client software that varies in the programming language used and code base.

Ethereum node operators must comply with the Bellatrix upgrade by updating its consensus layer clients prior to epoch 144896 on the Beacon Chain. The upgrade is scheduled to take place at 11:34:47 am UTC. This upgrade consolidates the PoS chain with the current execution layer and is the last key update before the Merge.

Prior to the Bellatrix upgrade, 73.5% of all node operators were Merge ready, meaning 26.5% of node operators were yet to update their clients. Ethereum foundation warned that a non-updated client would sync to the pre-fork blockchain.

Related: Ethereum Merge to 'swamp' other coins with miners — Mining CEO

Apart from Buterin, lead developer Tim Beiko also reminded node operators to update their clients before the key upgrade.

The Bellatrix upgrade will be followed by the official Merge slated between Sept.13-15 in an official event called the “Paris Upgrade.” The Merge will be triggered when Terminal Total Difficulty (TTD) reaches 58750000000000000000000, after which the next block will be produced by a Beacon Chain validator marking the official beginning of Ethereum’s PoS era.

The much-awaited transition would mark the completion of the second phase of the three-phase transition process for Ethereum. With the move to PoS, Ethereum is aiming to become more energy efficient and scalable. However, the Merge won’t have any impact on the gas fee or scalability, those features are expected to arrive with the completion of the final phase slated for late 2023.

The Ether (ETH) price registered a bullish surge over the last 24 hours and is trading at $1,662 at publishing time time. The second largest cryptocurrency outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) on the 24-hour chart registering a 6.41% surge against BTC’s 1.4%. ETH price has built a weekly momentum as well seeing a weekly gain of 7% with the Merge just over a week away.

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Ethereum Merge to ‘swamp’ other coins with miners — Mining CEO

The Ethereum Merge could force many crypto miners to give up and abandon their expensive mining rigs amid a race to the bottom for profits.

The Ethereum network’s transition from a proof-of-work (PoW) consensus is likely to flood the crypto industry with out-of-work ETH miners, causing severe disruption to all PoW tokens. 

Speaking to Cointelegraph, Andy Long, CEO of Bitcoin miner White Rock believes the upcoming Ethereum Merge will force PoW miners to look for greener pastures, such as other PoW blockchains, and thus "swamp” other coins — increasing mining difficulty and reducing profitability, stating:

"As GPU miners point their hardware at other chains their difficulty will increase causing lower returns and splitting the reward amongst more miners."

Long added that the migration will likely force many crypto miners to give up and abandon their expensive mining rigs.

"Hashrate will flow to alternative GPU PoW coins, and many miners will simply give up and try to sell off their farms of cards," he said.

"Some miners will try to sell their High-Performance Computing (HPC) or GPU cloud services and will likely fail since there's too much capacity chasing a limited amount of demand," he added. 

GPU prices and demand have already been declining as a result of falling Bitcoin (BTC) prices, leading to some cards selling for below the list price and sellers struggling to offload their mining rigs and cards for inflated prices.

Regardless of what happens after the Merge, Long says he is "not strongly opposed" and is interested to see "how market forces play out."

“When I was building GPU farms in 2017 the Merge was cited as an imminent threat and would have been much more impactful then."

"There will always be GPUs mining some GPU optimized chains, but I doubt we will return to the levels of revenue seen in ETH proof-of-work at its peak ever again."

Ethereum is expected to transition to a proof-of-stake (PoS) mechanism between September 10-20 and is considered one of the most significant upgrades in the crypto market this year.

Related: Largest Ether mining pool Ethermine opens new ETH staking service

However, there are still many cryptocurrencies set to continue along their PoW path, including Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), as well as Ethereum Classic (ETC), Monero (XMR), Zcash (ZEC) and Ravencoin (RVN).

White Rock Management is a Switzerland based digital asset technology company that mines cryptocurrencies through data centres located in Texas and Sweden. 

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Staking on Polkadot, explained

There's a big buzz around staking right now — but when it comes to Polkadot, there's a big difference between exchanges.

Are there any other limitations to consider?

Yes — as your funds may need to be locked up in order for rewards to be generated.

With some non-custodial staking providers, you need to delegate a minimum of 120 DOT in order to stake — that's worth about $840 at the time of writing. Worse still, failing to withdraw rewards regularly can mean they vanish after just 12 weeks.

In some cases, you can lose your rewards and end up paying punishing fees if you try to redeem your DOT early, too.

XGo does things differently and says it offers staking rewards for DOT balances of up to $10,000 through its Superfluid rewards mechanism.

The project's founders say they want to offer exciting products as they make a foray into centralized finance — and give retail crypto users the options they deserve.

Learn more about XGo

Disclaimer. Cointelegraph does not endorse any content or product on this page. While we aim at providing you with all important information that we could obtain, readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company and carry full responsibility for their decisions, nor can this article be considered as investment advice.

Doesn't staking impact liquidity?

It can do — and in some cases, you may have to lock up your DOT for 120 days.

A lot can happen in 120 days — case in point, DOT fell from an all-time high of $55 to lows of $17 over this timeframe… down 69%. This painfully shows why it's important to assess your options, and consider staking providers where you can earn yield without enduring long lock-up periods and helplessly watching your crypto plunge in value.

In some cases, it can take 28 days to unbond from a validator node — while in others, you can choose between fixed periods of 30, 60, 90 or 120 days.

But XGo is completely rethinking this approach. This platform offers no lock-ups on withdrawals and no unbonding period, meaning you're fully in control. Better still, rewards are paid out daily — and you can transfer your assets at any time.

Given how there's heightened fear in the crypto markets, and a lot of uncertainty driven by the Federal Reserve's mission to increase interest rates and tackle red-hot inflation, this much-needed flexibility helps keep HODLers in the driving seat.

What type of yield is on offer for stakers?

This can vary from one platform to another — but it's crucial to check that the yield is sustainable.

Before the recent crypto contagion set in, many investors were wooed by sky-high returns that ultimately proved unsustainable. As a result, thousands of customers at multiple platforms now remain locked out of their accounts — with withdrawals frozen. While it is possible to get interest rates that beat what's on offer at mainstream banks, it's important to tread carefully and go with a trading platform you can trust.

Across mainstream brands, the yield for Polkadot staking varies between 9% and 16.5%. That's quite a large spread — and as you would expect, each proposition comes with a distinctive range of pros and cons. In order to secure greater gains, some investors use staked $DOT derivatives — or lock it into liquidity pools. While growing your savings in this way may seem tempting at first, it's important to remember it isn't without risk.

The old adage in investing circles is that you should only invest what you're prepared to lose. In crypto circles, what really matters is understanding the nuts and bolts of how things work, and whether it's sustainable. You should also consider the lock-up periods that are associated with different staking propositions.

And what's the difference between validators and nominators?

It's quite expensive to become a validator on Polkadot — but this doesn't mean you can't get involved in the staking process.

The latest figures suggest that node operators need to have 2 million DOT staked by delegators in order to operate — and at the time of writing, that's worth $14 million.

Each delegator also needs to stake a minimum of 120 DOT in order to win the right to participate in the block validation process.

It's important to note that Polkadot does things slightly differently because it implements a Nominated Proof-of-Stake mechanism.

This encourages DOT holders to become nominators, and they'll be tasked with picking up to 16 others as validator candidates. Everyone then locks up their tokens to get rewards.

As Polkadot's website concerns, fairness is a key consideration: "The staking system pays out rewards essentially equally to all validators regardless of stake. Having more stake on a validator does not influence the amount of block rewards it receives."

Of course, for crypto enthusiasts with limited technical knowledge — or those with little time — staking through exchanges instead can be a tantalizing proposition.

What makes Polkadot different from other Proof-of-Stake networks?

This is a platform that focuses on inter-blockchain communication — ensuring that different networks can talk to one another.

Polkadot was established by Gavin Wood — and if that name sounds familiar, there's a good reason why. He co-founded Ethereum and created the Solidity smart contract language.

A key difference with Polkadot lies in how highly customizable Layer 1 blockchains can be established using this infrastructure… and they won't be siloed from the ecosystem.

At the beating heart of this network are validators responsible for governance and security, as well as ensuring that "parachains" remain in constant communication.

When Polkadot was formed, key decision choices were made that have helped make the ecosystem what it is today. A crucial difference concerns the wide variation of pooling options that are available to users — eliminating the high barriers to entry that often stop validator nodes from receiving staking rewards.

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