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Grayscale BTC Trust trades at a record 36.7% discount, but is it justified?

Grayscale’s BTC trust trades at a 36.7% discount to their actual BTC holdings, and it’s possible that more than just the market-wide downtrend stands as the reason for the spread.

U.S. investors have been waiting for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval since May 2014 when the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust filed an amendment request at the Securities and Exchange (SEC). 

Over the years, the SEC has rejected every applicant and the latest denial was issued to WisdomTree’s application for a spot Bitcoin ETF on Oct. 11. The SEC concluded that the offer did not have the ability “to obtain information necessary to detect, investigate, and deter fraud and market manipulation, as well as violations of exchange rules and applicable federal securities laws and rules.”

Bitcoin investment trust vehicles have existed since 2013, but they have been restricted to accredited investors. Launching a spot-based BTC ETF would open the market to retail investors and a broader array of mutual funds in the industry.

At the moment, U.S. regulators are reluctant to release what many believe would be a more fair and transparent product for Bitcoin. A conflicting reality is, while BTC spot ETFs continue to be rejected, the exact same product has long been available for bonds, global currencies, gold, Chinese equities, real estate, oil and silver.

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Fund (GBTC), a U$ 12.3 billion investment fund, is currently trading at a record-high 36.7% discount versus its Bitcoin holdings, but this might not be a buy the dip-type of discount. The gap started after the Toronto Stock Exchange launched the Purpose Bitcoin ETF in February 2021, which is a spot investment product.

What is an exchange-traded fund?

An ETF is a security type that holds diversified underlying investments, including commodities, stocks or bonds. The ETF might resemble a mutual fund because it is pooled and managed by its issuer.

SPY, the ETF that tracks the S&P 500 index, is the most recognizable example of the instrument. The mutual fund is currently managed by State Street and carries $328 billion in assets under management.

More exotic structures are also available, like the ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (SCO). This fund uses derivatives and aims to offer two times the daily short leverage on oil prices, meaning investors are effectively betting on a downturn in oil prices.

Buying an ETF gives the investor direct ownership of its contents, creating different taxation events versus holding futures contracts and leveraged positions.

Trust funds, like GBTC do not offer redemption or conversion rights

Investment trust funds sit outside the SEC’s authority and are actually regulated by the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

Grayscale's GBTC is the absolute leader in the cryptocurrency market, even though it has been structured as a company — at least in regulatory form. The investment trust is considered a closed-end fund, meaning the number of available shares are limited.

Consequently, GBTC shares are not freely created, nor do they offer a redemption program. This inefficiency creates significant price discrepancies versus the fund’s underlying Bitcoin holdings. In contrast, an ETF allows the market maker to create and redeem shares, ensuring the premium or discount is at most times minimal.

For instance, Purpose Bitcoin ETF (BTCC.U) held a $3.59 net asset value per share on Oct. 13, and the shares closed at $3.60 on Toronto exchange. Similarly, U.S. derivatives ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) underlying price was $11.94 on Oct. 13, while its shares traded at $11.95.

Related: Grayscale fires first salvo in case against SEC over Bitcoin ETF refusal

Grayscale is fighting the SEC, but results could take years

In June 2022, the asset manager Grayscale initiated a lawsuit with the SEC regarding converting the GBTC into a spot-based Bitcoin ETF. The firm has been waiting for a final decision from the regulator since filing its application in October 2021.

Grayscale's senior legal strategist stated that the SEC rejection was "arbitrary" by "failing to apply consistent treatment to similar investment vehicles." As a result, the asset manager pursued a legal challenge based on the SEC's alleged violation of the Administrative Procedure Act and Securities Exchange Act.

It must be noted that eight and a half years have passed since the first request for a Bitcoin spot ETF registry was submitted. At the moment, GBTC charges a fixed 2% yearly administration fee, so the 36.7% discount might be justified given that the SEC continues to reject appeals and requests from every fund manager.

In essence, the investment trust product is far less optimal than an ETF, and so far, Grayscale has done little to minimize the impact on GBTC holders.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy debuts on Nasdaq-100

Canadian Bitcoin ETF adds 6.9K BTC in one day as GBTC discount hits record low

It's a polarizing world in institutional Bitcoin offerings this week as Grayscale's CEO remains convinced demand will return.

Bitcoin (BTC) descending to $24,000 has cost its largest institutional investment vehicle more than the average hodler.

According to data from on-chain monitoring resource Coinglass on May 13, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is now trading at a nearly 31% discount.

Grayscale CEO: Investors are "waiting for things to settle down"

Amid ongoing market volatility this week, GBTC has seen its fledgling recovery fall flat on its face — for the time being.

The so-called GBTC premium, long in negative territory and thus a discount in practice, has now reached its lowest ever.

As of May 13, the discount was 30.6%, meaning that shares in GBTC traded at almost one third below the Bitcoin spot price (referred to as net asset value, or NAV).

The figures mark a distinct turnaround for the premium, which in mid-April had managed to rise to a 21% discount.

Overall, however, GBTC has long traded at a discount amid ongoing attempts by Grayscale to convert it to an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

“It took clarity and conviction to set up GBTC, and now Grayscale is demonstrating courage and commitment in their campaign to convert GBTC into a Spot Bitcoin ETF. They deserve your support,” MicroStrategy CEO, Michael Saylor, argued this week, inviting Twitter followers to demand that U.S. regulators green-light the plans.

Such a move would be unprecedented in the United States, where the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has lagged behind other countries’ authorities in approving a Bitcoin spot-based ETF.

Despite the turbulence, meanwhile, Grayscale CEO, Michael Sonnenshein, remained as optimistic as ever on GBTC and institutional demand for Bitcoin exposure.

“I think that some investors are likely waiting for things to settle down,” he told CNBC in an interview on May 12.

“I do think when things settle down and crypto starts to find its footing you will see some of those more institutional buyers starting to step in and some have already indicated that they are in fact starting to take buys at these levels.”
GBTC premium vs. asset holdings vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: Coinglass

Purpose Bitcoin ETF sees record daily buy

Over the border in Canada, the world’s first Bitcoin spot ETF has conversely benefited from the week’s trading conditions.

Related: Why the world needs a spot Bitcoin ETF in the US: 21Shares CEO explains

The Purpose Bitcoin ETF added 6,903 BTC in a single day on May 13, marking its biggest single-day buy-in in its history.

Purpose now has 41,620 BTC under management, beating its previous 36,322 BTC high set in March this year.

Purpose Bitcoin ETF BTC holdings vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: Coinglass

The jump accompanied the launch of Australia's first spot ETFs, one of which, the Cosmos-Purpose Bitcoin Access ETF (CBTC), bought shares in the Canadian Purpose offering.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy debuts on Nasdaq-100

Purpose Bitcoin ETF adds 1.1K BTC as data hints investors want to ‘buy the dip’

The world's flagship Bitcoin spot ETF is back buying Bitcoin after spending four weeks reducing its holdings.

The world’s first Bitcoin (BTC) spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) is buying BTC again after a month of selling.

Data from on-chain monitoring resource Coinglass confirms that on April 27, Canada’s Purpose Bitcoin ETF added 1,132 BTC to its holdings.

Data: Buy the dip interest "skyrocketing"

Despite fears that Bitcoin is not yet done with its sell-off, an about turn at Purpose hints at increasing institutional demand.

Beginning March 28, when BTC/USD traded above $48,000, Purpose began reducing its exposure, which at the time totaled 36,321 BTC. Wednesday’s increase is thus the first since March 25.

At the time of writing, Purpose held 31,162.7 BTC, while BTC/USD traded at $39,000.

Purpose Bitcoin ETF BTC holdings chart. Source: Coinglass

The move coincides with figures from statistics firm Santiment showing that interest in “buying the dip” on both Bitcoin and altcoins is also increasing.

Measuring what it calls “crowd interest,” Santiment recorded the biggest uptick in trends for “buy dip” and “buy dips” in six weeks.

“Social interest in buying the dip has skyrocketed after crypto's latest pullback,” accompanying Twitter comments summarized.

“The SP500 correlation is not working in the favor of the cryptocurrency sector, and crowd fear will play a large part in the two markets breaking apart from one another.”
Bitcoin "crowd interest" annotated chart. Source: Santiment/ Twitter

Search interest flatlines

Other sources recording social interactions with the crypto sphere are less enthusiastic.

Related: GBTC premium nears 2022 high as SEC faces call to approve Bitcoin ETF

Google search data shows that worldwide search interest in “Bitcoin,” for example, is at its lowest since October 2020.

In what could nonetheless signal a bottoming phase for crypto markets, a rebound now could set the stage for the bullish launch that characterized the second half of Q4 that year.

As Cointelegraph reported, short-term sentiment fears the worst this week, with “extreme fear” combining with calls for a return to $30,000.

Worldwide Google search data for "Bitcoin" (screenshot). Source: Google Trends

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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