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Bitcoin is crashing, but options markets are calling for $111K BTC price by February

$2.9 billion in Bitcoin liquidations happened in December, but the flush out is preparing BTC for new highs.

Bitcoin (BTC) price experienced two episodes of $1 billion or higher futures market liquidations since Dec. 5, albeit its price began and ended the period near $97,000. The latest event moved Bitcoin from $101,430 on Dec. 8 to $94,200 on Dec. 9, a crash that wiped out $2.9 billion in leveraged positions.

Despite the short-term negative impact on sentiment, the Bitcoin derivatives market is presently in a much healthier state, which is precisely what’s needed for a surprise rally to a new all-time high. Traders are less likely to buy during signs of overheated markets, such as an excessive perpetual contract funding rate.

Bitcoin futures aggregate open interest, BTC. Source: CoinGlass

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

Bitcoin price hits $100K for first time in history

Bitcoin has rallied 126% since January to reach $100,000, driven by Bitcoin ETF demand, April's halving and Donald Trump's US election win.

The price of Bitcoin reached $100,000 for the first time in history, marking a milestone for the cryptocurrency market after a year of significant growth.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit the $100,000 price mark on Dec. 5, breaking a psychological level just weeks after reaching the $90,000 milestone on Nov. 12, according to TradingView.

Bitcoin also set a new all-time high of $103,679 around 30 minutes after surpassing the $100,000 mark.

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

Speculation Reigns Around the Relentless XRP Rally: Does It Still Have Legs?

Speculation Reigns Around the Relentless XRP Rally: Does It Still Have Legs?The recent rally, which has taken XRP prices from below $0.50 to over $2.61, has analysts and experts pondering the situation and considering the following scenarios for the currency. Some still believe it has the potential to keep growing, while others think a correction is due. XRP Rally Watch: Analysts Ponder Likely Scenarios for Ripple’s […]

A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

Bitcoin still has ’a long way to go’ at $90K: Cathie Wood

Continued market momentum will be driven by “regulatory relief,” one of the most important things expected from the new US administration, said ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood.

Bitcoin may have recently hit a new all-time high above $90,000, but ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood says it still has a “long way to go.” 

She pointed out that Ark was the first public asset manager to gain exposure to Bitcoin in 2015 at $250, “and we still at $90,000 think we have a long way to go,” she said in an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Nov. 15. 

Wood said the continued momentum would be driven by “regulatory relief,” one of the most important things expected from the new United States administration.

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

Bitcoin traders take a breather as BTC price metrics hint new highs are incoming

Bitcoin fell short of its all-time high, but multiple Bitcoin price metrics show BTC price on target to hit new all-time highs 

Bitcoin (BTC) surged 9.7% from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, reaching a peak of $73,575, before paring gains to retest the $71,500 level on Oct. 30. Despite Bitcoin’s price correction, several indicators—including derivatives market activity, onchain metrics, and stablecoin demand—suggest a solid foundation for a sustained rally above $73,000 in the near term.

But, the Bitcoin futures premium—a key gauge of leveraged demand—signals strong conviction from bullish investors.

Bitcoin 2-month futures premium. Source: laevitas.ch

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

3 signs that Bitcoin price is not ready to make a new all-time high

China-focused stablecoin data, retail investor participation and skeptical BTC derivatives markets are all signs that Bitcoin price is not primed for a new all-time high.

Bitcoin (BTC) closed at its highest level in two months on Sept. 28 and is currently approaching the $66,000 mark. This movement followed gains in the S&P 500 index, which reached an all-time high on Sept. 26, fueled by robust economic indicators and measures aimed at boosting markets and investor confidence in China. However, several metrics indicate that Bitcoin is far from entering a bull market. 

Bitcoin/USD (right) vs. S&P 500 futures (left). Source: TradingView

Investors could be skeptical due to previous rejections at $70,000 or fearing that a potential recession is underway, which would negatively impact risk-on markets, including cryptocurrencies.

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

‘The Most Hated Rally in Crypto’ – Former Goldman Sachs Executive Predicts These Altcoins Will Outperform Market

‘The Most Hated Rally in Crypto’ – Former Goldman Sachs Executive Predicts These Altcoins Will Outperform Market

Ex-Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal thinks one controversial sector of altcoins is primed to outperform other crypto assets in the coming months. Pal tells his 1 million followers on the social media platform X that the crypto world “hates” tokens with high valuations and low initial circulating supplies, otherwise known as low float/high fully diluted […]

The post ‘The Most Hated Rally in Crypto’ – Former Goldman Sachs Executive Predicts These Altcoins Will Outperform Market appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

UBS Urges Caution Despite Positive US Economic Data

UBS Urges Caution Despite Positive US Economic DataUBS reported on Friday that U.S. stocks extended their rally as new economic data, including a 1% rise in July retail sales, eased concerns about a potential recession. Despite the encouraging consumer resilience, UBS cautioned that the risk of a significant economic slowdown remains, especially after weaker July jobs data. Investors are advised to wait […]

A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

Bitcoin weekly funding rate reflects investor caution, yet BTC price pushes higher

Bitcoin trades above $63,000 but the futures weekly funding rate shows pro traders are cautious.

Bitcoin (BTC) price surged 9.7% from July 13 to July 15, pushing it to around $63,500. This rally managed to reverse the losses from the previous nine days, yet the $65,000 resistance level remained unbroken for four consecutive weeks. Some traders attribute this recovery to speculation that China may lift its long-standing ban on Bitcoin. However, no official statement from the Chinese government has confirmed such rumors.

Despite the positive outlook, which includes a leading US presidential candidate expressing support for Bitcoin, BTC derivatives do not reflect the same enthusiasm. Market participants are now wondering if there is sufficient demand to break the $65,000 barrier and whether the weekend gains can be sustained.

Analysts have firmly denied the rumors, stating that China is unlikely to allow its citizens to freely trade Bitcoin using the local Renminbi currency. Mikko Ohtamaa, the co-founder of algorithmic investment protocol Trading Strategy, emphasized that a significant shift in China's stance on Bitcoin would conflict with the government's political agenda to curb "capital flight". Additionally, experts note that Chinese investors are currently prohibited from investing in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in Hong Kong, despite its close ties with mainland China.

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve

Bitcoin return to $73K could be a start to ‘escape velocity’ phase

A return to the $73,000 price range for BTC will likely be met with short-term holder resistance but could also mark a turning point for the asset.

A potential return of Bitcoin (BTC) to $73,000 could mark the beginning of the asset’s acceleration to “escape velocity,” according to a crypto analyst. 

Escape velocity is a term used in astrophysics to describe the minimum speed needed for an object to escape from the gravitational field of a celestial body, like a planet or moon, without further propulsion.

Crypto analyst James Check used the term in a May 21 market report to describe what Bitcoin could do once it retakes the $73,000 price point.

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A Theoretical Look at What Could Happen If Trump Creates a US Bitcoin Reserve