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Bitcoin price struggles as investors expect Fed interest rate cuts — Why?

Bitcoin price is stuck in a downtrend even though investors are betting on Fed interest rate cuts. What gives?

The United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3% year-over-year in June, slightly below the market consensus of 3.1%. Analysts claim that this CPI release was bullish for Bitcoin, but traders are questioning why its price remains below $58,000. Three factors could possibly explain investors’ lack of enthusiasm.

According to trader, YouTuber and analyst Daan Crypto, Bitcoin’s (BTC) weakness can be attributed to scalpers and market makers trying to liquidate leveraged longs. However, the trend favors “continuation higher,” meaning BTC should bounce back to $60,000 in the near term. Essentially, if the US central bank cuts interest rates, incentives for fixed-income investments are reduced, and some of this money will seek higher returns elsewhere.

Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade, told CNBC that the Federal Reserve is “one step closer to a September rate cut,” especially after real average hourly earnings for workers slowed 3.9% from the prior year, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report. Additionally, the labor force participation rate slightly increased to 62.6% in June from 62.5% in May. According to CNN, slowing wages is a strong incentive for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates. 

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13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Economist Highlights Possible ‘Hidden Recession’: Official Figures May Understate Inflation Impact

In a recent editorial, economist Peter St Onge explores the potential of a hidden economic recession, suggesting that official figures might not reveal the full extent of the decline. St Onge raises concerns about the accuracy of U.S. inflation data and its implications for measuring true economic growth. Peter St Onge, Official Figures May Understate […]

13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Ethereum (ETH) price fails to rally in the face of good news — Here is why

Ether’s failure to respond to good news could be rooted in investors’ perception that macroeconomic conditions are worsening.

Ether (ETH) has been under pressure since June 7, when it lost the $3,800 support level. Despite a series of positive developments, its price remained below $3,600 on June 19, showing no weekly change.

Some analysts believe that the primary reason for the bearish momentum is a lack of institutional demand for cryptocurrencies. Others attribute it to regulatory uncertainty within the Ethereum ecosystem.

Noelle Acheson, author of the ‘Crypto is Macro Now’ newsletter, expressed surprise at Ether’s lack of positive momentum following Consensys's victory over the regulator. She also questions whether other regulatory issues related to staking could be deterring investor interest.

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13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Why are top Bitcoin traders bullish despite BTC price dip to $64.3K?

Bitcoin whales and miners remain cautiously optimistic, strengthening the bullish case for $64,300 support.

On June 18, Bitcoin's (BTC) price tumbled 5.6% over the course of the day to $64,300, reaching its lowest level in over a month.

The six-day downtrend coincided with macroeconomic data pointing to a slowdown in the U.S. economy, particularly in retail sales and employment. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at their highest level in two decades. However, the resilience in the derivatives markets points to a potential BTC price recovery ahead.

U.S. retail sales increased a modest 0.1% from the previous month, below the economists' consensus of 0.3%, according to Yahoo Finance.

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13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Economist Henrik Zeberg Says Altcoins Set To Go ‘Flying’ in Blow-Off Top Style Euphoric Bull Run

Economist Henrik Zeberg Says Altcoins Set To Go ‘Flying’ in Blow-Off Top Style Euphoric Bull Run

Economist Henrik Zeberg says that the altcoin market is setting up for a parabolic run to new highs before the global economy witnesses a recession. Zeberg tells his 143,000 followers on the social media platform X that he’s looking at the TOTAL-ETH-BTC chart, which measures the entire market cap of crypto assets besides Bitcoin (BTC) […]

The post Economist Henrik Zeberg Says Altcoins Set To Go ‘Flying’ in Blow-Off Top Style Euphoric Bull Run appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Billionaire Chamath Palihapitiya Says US Economy Already in Quasi-Synthetic Recession – Here’s What He Means

Billionaire Chamath Palihapitiya Says US Economy Already in Quasi-Synthetic Recession – Here’s What He Means

Billionaire venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya believes that the US economy is already in the midst of a downturn. In a new episode of the All-In Podcast, Palihapitiya explores why more than half of Americans believe the economy is in a recession even though the GDP rose by 1.6% last quarter. According to Palihapitiya, the negative […]

The post Billionaire Chamath Palihapitiya Says US Economy Already in Quasi-Synthetic Recession – Here’s What He Means appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Bitcoin price loses steam, but futures markets forecast upside above $70K

Bitcoin futures and options indicators remain stable even after BTC price swiftly rejected off the $63,500 level.

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 3.3% on May 14, retesting the $61,000 support level, which was quickly defended. More importantly, this correction marked the second failed attempt within a week to surpass $63,500. Despite the less-than-optimal price action, Bitcoin bulls remain confident, as shown by BTC derivatives metrics.

Although the current Bitcoin price trend appears bearish, some analysts believe it still has a good chance to revisit prices above $70,000.

Trader and analyst Cryptotoad was impressed by how long the $60,500 support level has held. However, he asserts that a higher high, likely a daily close above $67,000, is needed to break the current bearish pattern. While this analysis does not rule out a potential price recovery, it clearly indicates that the trend points to prices below $57,000 in May.

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13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Cathie Wood Predicts Recession Will Hit US Economy This Year, Says Fed ‘Overdid’ Interest Rate Hikes 

Cathie Wood Predicts Recession Will Hit US Economy This Year, Says Fed ‘Overdid’ Interest Rate Hikes 

ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood says a recession will hit the US in 2024 due to what she believes was overly aggressive interest rate hiking from the Federal Reserve. In a new YouTube update, Wood says that the US is already in a “rolling recession,” or a downturn that affects certain sections of the economy at […]

The post Cathie Wood Predicts Recession Will Hit US Economy This Year, Says Fed ‘Overdid’ Interest Rate Hikes  appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

‘Magnificent seven’ tech stocks tumble a whopping $280B as crypto surges

Google's parent company Alphabet was the worst performer on the day, falling 9.5% in a massive $180 billion wipeout.

More than $280 billion has been wiped from the “magnificent seven” tech stocks following the release of several earnings reports on Oct. 25, triggering fears of a looming tech recession.

The so-called “magnificent seven” refers to the top seven blue-chip tech firms including Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla — who combine to make up a quarter of the value of the S&P 500 index.

Google parent company Alphabet saw its share price fall over 9%, wiping $180 billion from its market cap and was noted as Google’s worst-performing day since the COVID-19 pandemic hit in March 2020.

Google’s (Alphabet Inc Class A) share price over the last five days. Source: Google Finance

The share prices of Amazon, Nvidia, and Meta fell 5.5%, 4.3%, and 4.2% respectively, according to Y Charts.

Apple and Tesla’s fall in share prices were less severe at 1.35% and 1.9%, while Microsoft was the only one of the seven to buck the trend, with its share price rising 3.1% after reporting better-than-expected growth in its Azure business.

“This is the most widespread tech selloff in months which has resulted in a 5-month low for the S&P 500,” Kobeissi said.

“This is what happens when the few stocks that are holding up the entire market break," the firm said, adding that tech stock investors may be beginning to price-in a recession.

“It seems like buyers are becoming more hesitant as headwinds accumulate,” Kobeissi noted in a follow-up response.

Fears of a “stock market crash” have also been reflected in Google search trends, with the three-word term up 233% over the last week, noted Andrew Lokenauth, a reporter for TheFinanceNewsletter.com.

On the other hand, the cryptocurrency market has been trending upwards amid optimism over possible spot Bitcoin ETF approvals in the United States, with market cap increasing 16.3% to $1.3 trillion over the last week, according to CoinGecko.

Bitcoin (BTC) Ether (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB) and XRP in particular have increased 23.3%, 16.7%, 8% and 15.2% respectively over the last seven days.

Related: Google to protect users in AI copyright accusations

However, the crypto market hasn’t proven to be bulletproof in face of tough macroeconomic conditions.

When the United States real gross domestic product decreased over the first two quarters of 2022, the cryptocurrency market cap fell 61.7% from $2.37 trillion to $907 billion, according to CoinGecko.

Change in the cryptocurrency market cap over the last 60 days. Source: CoinGecko

While analysts speculate whether Bitcoin will decouple further from tech stocks and the S&P 500, past research from the Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute suggests Bitcoin still tends to trade like a “tech stock” over the long term — due to its extreme volatility.

It can, however, serve as a viable hedge against the U.S. dollar, which it’s negatively correlated to, the research firm deduced from an Oct. 2022 report.

Since Sept. 1, Bitcoin has decoupled from the NASDAQ 100, increasing 34% while the NASDAQ has fallen 8.6% over the same time frame.

Meanwhile, the recent investor movements have some observers hinting that the movement could be seen as a “flight to safety” toward Bitcoin — particularly in light of several banking stocks plummeting lately.

Magazine: Joe Lubin — The truth about ETH founders split and ‘Crypto Google’

13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies

Legendary Investor Paul Tudor Jones Says ‘I Like Bitcoin and Gold’, Warns of Imminent US Recession

Legendary Investor Paul Tudor Jones Says ‘I Like Bitcoin and Gold’, Warns of Imminent US Recession

Hedge fund billionaire Paul Tudor Jones says he’s eyeing Bitcoin (BTC) and gold as geopolitical conflicts and the likelihood of a recession increase. In a new CNBC interview, the legendary investor says that he is favoring BTC and the precious metal as he anticipates economic trouble ahead that could send equities into an ugly correction. […]

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13 Regions Face Crypto Mining Ban Under Russia’s New Energy Policies