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February 5, 2022 Bitcoin.com

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January 24, 2022 Bitcoin.com

This key trading pattern hints at the continuation of Fantom’s (FTM) 125% rebound

January 4, 2022 Coin Telegraph

Altcoin

A bullish inverse head and shoulders chart pattern suggests that FTM price could see extended upside.

Fantom (FTM) looks poised to hit a new record high in the coming sessions after its 125% price rebound from $1.23 on Dec. 14, 2021, to $2.84 on Jan. 3, 2022 triggered a classic bullish reversal setup.

Dubbed inverse head and shoulders (IH&S), the setup appears when an asset forms three troughs below a so-called neckline resistance, with the middle trough (the head) deeper than the left and right shoulder.

The price of FTM has recently undergone a similar price trajectory, as shown in the chart below. As a result, FTM has a common resistance in the range defined by $2.55 to $2.74, which encompasses the length of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.

*FTM/USD daily price chart featuring inverse head and shoulders pattern. Source: TradingView*

Could Fantom rally by another 50%?

In a perfect world, an IH&S pattern would normally result in a bullish breakout once the price closes decisively above the neckline level. Ideally, the upside target be equal to the maximum distance between the head and the neckline, when measured from the breakout point.

On Monday, FTM almost completed its IH&S formation by reaching its neckline. As a result, the Fantom token's next move could be a bullish breakout above the $2.55 to $2.74 resistance range. In doing so, it would pursue a run-up toward $4.33, based on the setup presented in the chart below.

*FTM/USD daily price chart featuring the IH&S's breakout setup. Source: TradingView*

A sharp price pullback from the neckline range, accompanied by a spike in volume, would risk invalidating the IH&S setup. In that case, the next ideal support line may come near $2.08. This would be based on FTM's volume profile visible range (VPVR), a metric that displays trading activity over a specified period at specified price levels.

*FTM/USD daily price chart featuring volume profile target. Source: TradingView*

Are there risks of overvaluation?

Downside risks in the Fantom market also appeared in the form of its relative strength index (RSI), a metric that measures the magnitude of the asset's recent price changes to evaluate its overbought or oversold conditions.

*Relative Strength Index in a nutshell. Source: Investopedia*

In detail, FTM's daily RSI entered an overbought territory on Jan. 3 as its reading marginally jumped above 70. The technical indicator suggests FTM is overbought and that it should undergo a certain degree of correction to neutralize its market sentiment.

In layman's terms, an RSI reading above 70 is usually seen as a signal to sell. However, the sell-offs typically do not necessarily come right after RSI jumps into the overbought zone.

Based on multiple RSI corrections spotted between August and September 2021, the FTM price appears to extend its upside momentum even after the indicator crosses above 70. At its best, the daily RSI had reached almost 89 on Sep. 9, coinciding with the FTM price hitting the then-record high of $1.99.

*FTM/USD daily price chart featuring RSI-led corrections. Source: TradingView*

That somewhat leaves FTM with the possibility of pursuing its IH&S profit target of $4.33 despite its overvaluation risks. What could follow is a correction towards its 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA; the green wave in the chart above) around $2.09.

This would bring the price near to the VPVR support at $2.08, as discussed above.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Shiba Inu risks drop with SHIB’s 574% October’s price rally near exhaustion

October 26, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Altcoin

Shiba Inu's massive gains all across October may pare on potential bearish divergence signals and an overvalued relative strength index.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) may see a pullback by almost 25%-35% on fears that the cryptocurrency's excessive price rally in October has left it overvalued, a key indicator shows.

Dubbed Relative Strength Index (RSI), the indicator measures the magnitude of an instrument's recent price changes to evaluate its oversold and overbought conditions. The result can be anywhere between the number 0 and 100, with a reading below 30 showing the instrument's oversold and above 70 showing its overbought status.

SHIB crossed above 70 on Oct. 3 and peaked around 94 three days later. Ideally, its overbought reading could have resulted in price correction. But SHIB continued its rally as the monthly session progressed, eventually rising over 574% to its five-month high at $0.00004860 on Tuesday.

Bearish divergence

On the other hand, Shiba Inu's RSI slipped lower, thus creating a broad divergence between SHIB's price and momentum. That reflected an underlying weakness in the cryptocurrency's ongoing uptrend, raising possibilities of a pullback in the coming days.

*SHIB/USDT daily price chart featuring divergence between the rising price and falling RSI. Source: TradingView*

Additionally, the last three price candles on the Shiba Inu daily chart formed a sequence of higher highs at their close. But that coincided with declining trading volumes three days in a row, thus further validating the SHIB uptrend's underlying weakness.

That does not mean an immediate price correction. According to the breakout that followed the formation of a Bull Pennant indicator, SHIB bulls appeared to have been eyeing $0.00005222 as their next upside target.

25%-35% SHIB price pullback?

A Fibonacci Retracement graph between the Shiba Inu's swing high of $0.00003466 and the swing low of $0.00000621 presented a string of levels that earlier served as support and resistance.

For instance, the 1.618 Fib line of the graph coincided almost with the Shiba Inu's Bull Pennant target, just a two-notch upward at $0.00005224.

Thus, the resistance confluence of the 1.618 Fib line and Bull Pennant target raised SHIB's potential to test the $0.00005222-$0.00005224 price range before undergoing a strong price correction.

*SHIB/USDT daily price chart featuring Fibonacci retracement levels. Source: TradingView*

In doing so, the cryptocurrency's next downside target is near the 1.0 Fib line of $0.00003466, almost 25%-35% below the current price and $0.00005224.

On the other hand, a break above the 1.0 Fib line risked invalidating the entire bearish setup temporarily. That said, a bullish move may still make SHIB excessively overvalued based on its RSI readings, raising the potential of a correction in future sessions.

Ethereum fractal from 2017 that resulted in 7,000% gains for ETH appears again in 2021

October 3, 2021 Coin Telegraph

$Ethereum fractal from 2017 that resulted in 7,000% gains for ETH appears again in 2021$

Bullish Hammer

The eerie deja vu scenario can see Ethereum hit $13,000 within six months if history repeats.

Bids for Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) could rise to $13,000 in the next two months if history repeats.

So shows a fractal indicator from 2017, consisting of at least four technical patterns that were instrumental in pushing the ETH price up by over 7,000%. The same set of bullish indicators have flashed once again in 2021 as Ether trades above $3,350 after rallying over 360% year-to-date.

The 2017 Ethereum fractal, explained

In detail, the four technical indicators are Stochastic RSI, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bullish Hammer, and a Fibonacci retracement level. It started with the Bullish Hammer's occurrence on Ether's monthly chart in December 2017, followed by a 7,000% price rally in the next six months.

The Hammer-led massive upside move pushed Ether's monthly RSI to over 94, an extremely overbought zone. As a result, the cryptocurrency started consolidating sideways to neutralize its excessively bullish sentiments. RSI started correcting lower.

In parallel, Ether's monthly Stochastic RSI indicator, which compares its closing price with the price range over a given period, also started correcting lower after identifying the cryptocurrency as overbought (a reading above 80 is considered excessively bought and below 20 is considered excessively sold).

*Ethereum 2017 fractal indicator. Source: TradingView.com, Jaydee_757*

Later, in November 2017, the Stochastic RSI flipped bullish, with its %K line (the blue one), which compares an asset's lowest low and the highest high to define a price range, crossing above the %D line (the saffron line), which is a moving average of %K. Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI reading was above 20 at the time of flip, which boosted Ether's bullish continuation hopes.

Later, the Ethereum token surged by another 500%, closing above $1,200 in Jan 2018. It coincided with RSI forming a double top, as shown in the chart above. The entire bottom-to-top took place inside an ascending channel range, with its 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level serving as support/resistance level.

The 2021 fractal repeat so far

Ether is almost mirroring the moves from the 2017 fractal as it heads into the final quarter of 2021, albeit without order.

In detail, the Ethereum token rallied by 3,400% to over $4,300, sixteen months after painting a bullish Stochastic RSI cross (when its a %K line surged above the %D line). Meanwhile, the huge upside move—again—pushed Ether's monthly RSI into its overbought zone.

*Ethereum 2017 fractal indicator versus 2021. Source: TradingView.com, Jaydee_757*

A consolidation period followed, which saw Ether making a Bullish Hammer in July 2021, suggesting sellers had formed a price bottom.

Jaydee_757, the pseudonymous analyst who first spotted the Ethereum fractal, highlighted the hammer's potential to send the Ether price flying, with a primary upside target sitting near the 2.618 Fib line (at around $13,000).

The bullish analogy also took cues from a potential Stochastic RSI bullish cross and a double top RSI, waiting to appear on Ether's monthly chart in the next "few months," similar to the one that coincided with the 500% price rally in 2018, as mentioned above.

Avalanche (AVAX) in ‘overbought’ zone after 100% gains in a week — Correction ahead?

August 19, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Avalanche

The AVAX/USD exchange rate slips more than 16% after testing its May resistance level.

The Avalanche blockchain platform's native asset, AVAX, fell on Aug. 19 as traders decided to secure their profits from its 100% upside move.

The AVAX/USD exchange rate plunged more than 16% after hitting a three-month high of $36.64, putting the brakes on a seven-day upside boom that saw its price rise by 111%. It appears that traders felt uneasy about entering AVAX markets near $36 because of its historical reference as a sell-off level, capping AVAX's previous recovery attempts from March to May.

Overvaluation risks

AVAX also dropped on interim overvaluation fears. The daily relative strength index (RSI) of Avalanche's token crossed above 70 during its upside boom. Essentially, markets consider an RSI reading above 70 as overbought for the underlying asset, noting that the price has climbed excessively higher and, therefore, should undergo a correction.

*Avalanche (AVAX/USD) daily price chart. Source: TradingView*

More evidence for AVAX's interim overvaluation appeared when looking at the Bollinger Bands. The indicator consists of a middle band (a 20-period simple moving average) and two outer bands set at two standard deviations below and above the middle band.

When the price overreaches its valuation in the short term, it tends to jump above the upper band. Similarly, slipping below the lower band suggests that the asset is trading below its current valuation. AVAX crossed above the upper Bollinger Band following the latest price rally.

The two indicators were instrumental in predicting recent AVAX price corrections. For instance, during the February rally where AVAX surged over 500% in just two weeks, its RSI and Bollinger Bands both alerted t its excessive interim valuation.

*AVAX momentum indicators alert overbought risks. Source: TradingView*

The price wiped off 65% of its gains in the next three weeks to neutralize its overbought status. Its next interim support came at the 23.6% Fibonacci line ($22.29) of the Fibonacci retracement graph drawn between the $63.3 swing high and $9.62 swing low.

The same 23.6% Fibonacci level now serves as the next line of support should the price of AVAX correct following its RSI and Bollinger Bands alerts.

$AVAX Update https://t.co/ZUZ7NlamMA pic.twitter.com/3Y1qTNfySs
— Rager (@Rager) August 19, 2021

Fundamentals

The latest bout of AVAX's price boom appeared in the wake of the launch of its $180 million “liquidity mining incentive program” to bring decentralized finance (DeFi) services to its blockchain platform, including lending platform Aave and automated market protocol Curve Finance.

AVAX's bounce also appeared as a rally in the market of its top rival, Ether (ETH), flattened out. This is because traders tend to rotate capital out of overvalued markets to bet on assets they deem undervalued.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

XRP chart triggers sell-off warning after price explodes by 54% in one week

August 14, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Bollinger bands

XRP price has bounced back from its July lows but some indicators are starting to suggest that the rally is due for a pullback.

XRP price almost surged to its three-month high following a strong uptrend continuation on Aug. 14. Nevertheless, its wild weekly run-up triggered overvaluation risks, thus raising possibilities of an imminent price pullback.

In detail, the XRP/USD exchange popped 11.78% higher to reach $1.20 for the first time since May 22. The pair's gains appeared as a part of a prevailing bullish trend that started July 20 when it was trading for as low as $0.154—a 134% upside retracement on the whole.

On a week-to-date timeframe, the XRP/USD rates were up circa 54%.

XRP overbought

The latest bullish moves in the XRP market prompted two classic indicators to forecast imminent price corrections.

The first indicator is the relative strength indicator (RSI). It represents a magnitude of price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. In detail, the RSI oscillates between zero and 100, with a reading above 70 showing overbought and a reading below 30 showing oversold conditions.

If the asset's RSI stays above 70, it typically prompts traders to sell it at higher prices to secure maximum available profits. Similarly, if the RSI dips below 30, it creates opportunities for traders to buy the asset at a seemingly lower rate.

The XRP/USD's daily RSI triggered warnings of excessive valuations after its readings crossed above 70. As a result, the pair experienced a modest sell-off near its local high of $1.20, dipping to $1.14 at the press time.

*XRP/USD daily price chart featuring RSI indicator. Source: TradingView.com*

The second indicator is Bollinger Bands.

They are envelopes plotted at a standard deviation level above and below the price's simple moving average. They tend to measure an asset's volatility based on the distance between the upper and lower band. When the price moves out of the band, it tends to immediately move back inside the band area.

*XRP/USD daily price chart featuring Bollinger Bands indicator. Source: TradingView.com*

XRP/USD's latest volatile move upside pushed its rates outside the upper band resistance, signaling overvaluation. As a result, its probability of correcting back below the upper band level appears high, which may later follow up with an extended move towards the 20-day simple moving average (orange wave) near $0.80.

Additional gains anticipated

Despite overvaluation risks, other traders believe XRP is poised to continue its bull run. For instance, independent market analyst DonAlt thinks XRP could sprint towards its all-time high merely because it has broken above a so-called resistance area, as shown in the chart below.

*XRP/USD daily chart BitFinex. Source: TradingView.com, DonAlt*

"Close above red ($1) this week and I don't see a reason for XRP to not make new ATHs," the analyst said, adding:

"But, at the same time, if it ATHS the end of the run is near."

Kevin Cage, another popular chart analyst, added a dose of fundamentals to the bullish outlook, noting that XRP at its all-time high would mean that Ripple has reached a settlement with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The U.S. securities regulator filed a lawsuit against Ripple in December 2020, alleging that the latter engaged in this illegal securities offering via the sale of XRP tokens in 2013 and afterward. Ripple denied the allegations.

On Aug. 16, Ripple will respond to the motion filed by the SEC for the discovery of "terabytes" of Slack communication data. The documents, if filed, may shed more light on whether or not Ripple sold XRP to its investors as securities.

#XRPCommunity #SECGov v. #Ripple #XRP Below is a summary of upcoming events and outstanding items. pic.twitter.com/u8I9zYb8eD
— James K. Filan (@FilanLaw) August 12, 2021

RSI