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Price analysis 5/13: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, TON, DOGE, ADA

Bitcoin's strong rebound of the $60,000 level is encouraging but it still could be a hint that BTC's range-bound action could continue for some time.

Traders prefer a trending market rather than a range-bound one. Sometimes, when there is uncertainty about the next directional move, traders step to the sidelines, and that seems to be the case with Bitcoin (BTC). 

According to research firm Santiment, “fear and indecision” could be the factors that have led to a drop in Bitcoin’s on-chain activity toward historic lows. The firm clarified that it does not necessarily mean that Bitcoin will fall more.

Bitcoin’s consolidation is giving opportunities to investors to load up on Bitcoin. Japanese investment firm Metaplanet said it had made a “strategic shift” in its treasury management strategy to follow a Bitcoin-only approach in response to a sustained decline in the Japanese yen. Metaplanet announced a purchase of 117.7 Bitcoin at an average price of $65,000.

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Bitcoin volatility plunges below Tesla, Nvidia stocks amid $100K price prediction

Lower Bitcoin market volatility often precedes significant bull runs, suggesting that the current trend could propel prices toward the $100,000 to $150,000 range.

Bitcoin's (BTC) volatility in the annual timeframe has dropped below that of top tech stocks, including Tesla, Meta, and Nvidia, signaling its growth toward becoming a more mature and stable asset class.

As of May 11, Bitcoin's 1-year realized volatility, which represents the standard deviation of returns from the mean return of a market, was at around 44.88%. In comparison, the annualized realized volatility of "magnificent seven" stocks such as Tesla, Meta, and Nvidia was over 50%.

Moreover, Bitcoin has shown relatively lower volatility compared to 33 of the roughly 500 companies in the S&P 500 index, noted Fidelity Investment in its latest report

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Price analysis 4/22: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, TON, DOGE, ADA

Bitcoin and altcoins have turned bullish following the BTC supply halving. Are new all-time highs in the making?

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) fell 3.05% last week as hopes for a handful of interest rate cuts by the United States Federal Reserve dwindled due to elevated inflation readings. In comparison, Bitcoin (BTC) declined just 1.1% last week, indicating strength.

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in a X post that Bitcoin’s raw electricity cost per mined block is $77,400. He added that Bitcoin’s price remains below the “electrical cost” for only about a couple of days every four years, which means that Bitcoin is “trading at a DEEP DISCOUNT.”

Bitcoin is likely to remain volatile in the next few days as the bulls and the bears battle it out for supremacy. If Bitcoin remains range-bound in the near term, it may attract buyers toward select altcoins that may resume their up move.

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Price analysis 12/18: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, ADA, AVAX, DOGE

Bitcoin may remain under pressure for a few days, but a collapse is unlikely as traders are expected to buy the dips in anticipation of a spot Bitcoin ETF.

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) rose 2.49% last week, extending its string of weekly gains to seven weeks, the longest such winning streak since 2017. However, Bitcoin (BTC) could not maintain its momentum and succumbed to profit-booking by the bulls. Trading resource Material Indicators said in a X (formerly Twitter) post that “ year-end profit taking and tax loss harvesting” will prevail in the short term. 

However, a crash is unlikely because several analysts expect the United States Securities and Exchange Commission to approve one or more spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund applications in January. If that happens, it could prove to be a game-changer for the sector.

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck said in an interview with CNBC that Bitcoin is likely to hit a new all-time high in the next 12 months. He expects Bitcoin to become an accompaniment to gold.

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S&P Global launches stablecoin ratings, ranks GUSD, USDP, USDC highest

The producer of the S&P 500 assessed eight stablecoins. Tether received the second-lowest rating.

S&P Global has launched a stablecoin stability assessment. In its initial ratings of the eight stablecoins, none were given the top mark, but two received the lowest, based on their ability to maintain their fiat pegs.

According to a statement, to establish its ratings, S&P Global first examines asset quality risks, then factors mitigating the risks, and then considers governance, legal and regulatory framework, redeemability and liquidity, technology and third-party dependencies, and track record.

S&P Global, formerly known as Standard & Poor’s, is best known for the S&P 500 Index of large companies listed on United States stock exchanges. It has turned its attention to stablecoin before, but not with the depth of the new ratings. S&P Global Ratings senior analyst Lapo Guadagnuolo said:

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Coinbase, Marathon stocks surge as Bitcoin lights ‘fire in the cauldron’

The anticipated Bitcoin halving and potential ETF approvals have lit “some serious fire in the cauldron" for crypto, said Zerocap investment chief Jon de Wet.

Publicly traded crypto firms have notched triple-digit percentage returns this year and closed up in green on Dec. 4, as Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new year-high of over $42,000. 

Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) closed the day at just over $141 with a 5.5% gain, up 320% from its price at the start of the year, per Google Finance data.

Bitcoin miners Marathon Digital (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) closed the day with over 8% gains, recording 337% and 345% year-to-date (YTD) gains, respectively.

A visual map of the one-day price of S&P 500 stocks shows mixed results on Dec. 4 Source: Finviz

Crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) posted a daily gain of nearly 12% and is up 155% YTD and MicroStrategy (MSTR) — with the largest Bitcoin holdings of any public company valued at over $6.6 billion — saw a daily gain of over 6.5% and a YTD rise of 288%.

It comes despite the wider North American stock market seeing a mixed bag of gainers and losers on Dec.

Large-cap tech stocks, such as Microsoft, fell 1.43% on Dec.

The crypto-related stocks are well below their all-time highs, however.

IG Australia market analyst Tony Sycamore told Cointelegraph the crypto-related stock rally is “coming off the back of Bitcoin’s spectacular gains in recent months,” which is up nearly 152% YTD and is closing in on $42,000 — it has already hit a 19-month high.

Sycamore said investors see crypto stocks as a way to gain crypto exposure until the United States approves spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

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Price analysis 12/4: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, ADA, DOGE, LINK

Altcoins show compelling technical setups after Bitcoin price blew past $42,000 on December 4.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) surged above their respective overhead resistance levels on Dec.

Cryptocurrency exchange Bybit said in its 4th quarter report that institutional traders held 35% of their assets in Bitcoin, 15% in Ether and a large portion kept 45% of their assets are in stablecoins. Only a miniscule 5% was held in rest of the altcoins.

This shows that there is still enough firepower available with institutional investors to buy the cryptocurrency of their choice by selling stablecoins.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Matrixport research head Markus Thielen said in a recent note that the three previous crypto bear markets were followed by a three-year bull cycle, and this time is going to be no different, with 2023 being the first year.

Could bulls hold on to the gains in Bitcoin and select altcoins, or will higher levels attract aggressive selling by the bears? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

S&P 500 Index price analysis

The bulls kicked the S&P 500 Index (SPX) above the overhead resistance of 4,541 on Nov.

SPX daily chart. Source: TradingView

The up-move is likely to face selling in the zone between 4,607 and 4,650.

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