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Synthetix hits one-month high as SNX rallies 25% ahead of layer 2 exchange launch

The SNX/USD exchange reached $13.76 on Monday for the first time since June 3.

Synthetix (SNX) prices reached a one-month high on Monday as traders looked for alternative upside bets against a mixed cryptocurrency market.

Bids for SNX/USD achieved an intraday high of $13.76 during the Asia-Pacific trading session, following an approximately 25% price rally that started Sunday. A flurry of technical and fundamental factors contributed to the sudden market demand for Synthetix tokens, including founder Kain Warwick's update on the project's much-awaited layer 2 solutions.

A new synthetic exchange underway

Layer 2 refers to the techniques for scaling blockchains by taking computation and transaction load from the parent layer and put them onto a base layer. Synthetix, an Ethereum-based synthetic asset platform, has been testing such scalability solutions since October 2020 to limit its dependency of Ethereum's higher gas and transaction fees model.

Last Saturday, more than 12 hours before the SNX/USD rate started rallying, Warwick announced Synthetix would launch a layer 2 exchange in the week beginning July 26. He also revealed Optimistic Ethereum (OΞ) has the underlying technology that would back the synthetic asset (or Synths) trading platform.

Synthetix posted a lagging rally after Warwick's layer 2 exchange announcement. Source: TradingView

"The initial Synths supported will be sETH, sBTC, and sLINK. In addition, the price feed for SNX will also be deployed by Chainlink," Warwick stated.

Optimistic Ethereum, formerly known as Plasma Group, proposes to scale Ethereum blockchain via a unique mechanism called Rollup. Rollups are Ethereum-based Smart Contracts that receive transaction data from the blockchain's main layer and send it to L2, where the computations take place. It then receives the computational result from the L2.

Rollups process more transactions than Ethereum's parent chain by compressing block sizes. Source: Messari

So far, the Optimism team has demonstrated that it could process more transactions with lower fees than Ethereum. Meanwhile, Synthetix has chosen to become one of the earliest Optimism adopters in anticipation that it would inspire other decentralized finance projects to adopt it as well.

"If other major DeFi protocols can adopt Optimism, all transactions between them will be able to remain on L2," wrote Will Comyns, a researcher at Messari, in his June 23 report.

"This means users will not have to wait an entire week for their funds to be integrated back on the Ethereum main chain before they can interact with another protocol."

So far, the "optimistic" fundamental has proved beneficial to raise the Synthetix prices. That is partly because SNX serves as a collateral token to create Synth. In return, stakers receive additional SNX on their staked amount through Synthetix's "inflationary supply" model. They also receive a fixed amount of fees in SNX on the trading of the Synth.

Golden cross

Synthetix's latest 25% pump has pushed its 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA; the green wave) above its 50-day simple moving average (50-day SMA; the blue wave). As a result, the 20-50 MA golden cross has been instrumental in predicting the price rally from November 2020 to March 2021.

The Fibonacci level confluence coupled with 20-50 MA crossover. Source: TradingView

Nonetheless, SNX/USD remains at crossroads with the $13.85-$14.80 resistance area, a range with a history of capping the pair's upside attempts, and which was also holding as support during its correction period between February and May 2021. Closing above the resistance area would have bulls test the following Fibonacci range of $16.37-$17.69.

Conversely, a sharp pullback from the $13.85-$14.80 would likely push SNX/USD towards the $11.92-$10.74 range. Such a move would also risk invalidating the 20-50 golden cross setup.

VORTECS™ data leaned bullish prior to SNX rally

Meanwhile, VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro started rising 24 hours ahead of the Sunday rally, thereby detecting a bullish outlook for SNX  prior to the recent price rise.

VORTECS™ Score (transitioning from saffron to green) vs. SNX price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historical and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points, including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements, and Twitter activity.

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score flashed green at midnight Sunday with a peak score of 79 — up from as low as 47 in 24 hours — with the price continuing to climb higher to $13.88 thereafter.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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SNX hits multi-week highs as total value locked on Synthetix approaches $1 billion

However, SNX withdrawals from Synthetix pools picked up momentum during the price boom.

SNX spiked to its three-week high on Monday in reaction to a market-wide upside correction led by Bitcoin (BTC) and other top-cap digital assets.

The Synthetix project's native token reached $9.59 after rising four days in a row by up to 50%. That included a sharp 18.29% upswing in the previous daily session, sparked by Bitcoin's climb above its key resistance level of $35,000. Altcoins tend to tail the flagship digital asset's price trends.

Synthetix and Bitcoin price moves in the recent sessions. Source: TradingView.com

But more factors were in play during the SNX's comparatively higher price boom. Its jump appeared as speculators returned to bet bullishly on the overall decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. The seven-day adjusted timeframe saw almost every top DeFi coin posting double-digital gains, including Uniswap (~16%), Aave (~24%), Compound (39.37%), amongst many others.

SNX/USD surged about 31% in the previous seven days.

Synthetix was among the only DeFi coins in profits based on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe. Source: Messari

Ether (ETH), which hosts most DeFi projects atop its public blockchain, also saw its ETH token rising by more than 10% in the previous seven days.

VORTECS™ data turned bullish prior to new SNX price highs

Meanwhile, VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro began to detect a bullish outlook for SNX in early July, prior to the recent price rise.

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historic and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements and Twitter activity.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. SNX price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score flashed green on July 4 with a score of 64 with the price continuing to climb higher above $9.

Synthetix TVL approaches $1 billion

The 50% upside move in the SNX markets also pushed the total value locked inside Synthetix pools to $11 million shy of $1 billion. Nevertheless, as the TVL reserves rallied in terms of the U.S. dollar, they declined on the SNX token basis, dropping by almost 5 million units from the July 1 high of 116.25 million units.

SNX locked in Synthetix pools decline as price rallies. Source: DeFi Pulse

In detail, Synthetix is a decentralized synthetic asset platform that provides blockchain exposure to traditional assets, including currencies, commodities, stocks, and indices. The platform requires users to lock its native token SNX as collateral into its smart contracts to back its synthetic assets (Synths). These Synths track prices of various assets, which allow crypto users to trade peer-to-contract on Synthetix Exchange.

Additionally, users have to burn the portion of their Synths as debt when they wish to unlock their SNX. At its all-time high, in December 2020, the Synthetix smart contract had 168.37mm SNX tokens. The holdings fell to as low as 96.54 SNX tokens in February 2021. Since then, the deposits have been rising, albeit not in a straight line.

Part of the reason behind rising Synthetix TVL could be higher annualized percentage yields (APY). For example, the SNX staking returned users with 39.30% APY as of Monday, using Synthetix's inflationary supply model. Thus, SNX yields come out to be much higher than a traditional yielding asset (the U.S. 10-year Treasury note returning only were limited to 0.502-1.778% in the previous 52 weeks.)

SNX staking APY (with sUSD and SNX as base unit) is at 48.64% per annum. Source: Synthetics Official Website

SNX technical outlook

The latest SNX pump has pushed its prices above a classic technical range defined by $7 support and $8.5 resistance. Historically, SNX/USD have twice tested the area as resistance but was managed to break only once in December 2020-January 2021.

The Sythentix token eyes a breakout above $10.54. Source: TradingView.com

A breakout from the range puts SNX/USD en route to the next level of resistance near $10.54, which coincides with the 23.6% Fib line of the Fibonacci retracement setup drawn from a $27.172-swing high to $5.40-swing low. The $10.54 is near the SNX's 50-day simple moving average (50-day SMA; the blue wave), creating a strong resistance confluence to cap the pair's potential upside attempts.

Conversely, a breakdown below the $7-8.5 range risks crashing SNX back to its previous sessional low of $5.40.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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