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Americans expect stock boost in 2025, along with global, political conflict

History shows a rise in stock market indexes may be accompanied by increasing Bitcoin and crypto market prices, albeit in a more volatile manner.

Two-thirds of Americans expect the stock market to gain in 2025, but about the same portion of people expect more political conflict within the US and international discord, a survey shows. 

Management consulting firm Gallup surveyed up to 100,000 people registered in its multimode panel between Dec. 4-15, almost a full month after Republican Donald Trump won the US presidential election.

About 66% of respondents tipped 2025 to be a year when the stock market rises, marking a 30 percentage point increase from the 2023 outlook taken in December 2022, during a period of high inflation and low confidence in the economy.

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Prediction markets could hold the key to seeing the future, say observers

Predictions markets had an edge on the polls in the 2024 US election, but are they actually helping pundits predict the future?

The decentralized betting market platform Polymarket left political commentators around the world stunned by its accuracy in sourcing information about the United States presidential election race between President-elect Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. 

Now several commentators are backing the idea that prediction markets and the concept of “information finance” could be the next leap forward in humanity’s ability to make more efficient and educated guesses about the outcome of global events. 

In a Nov. 9 blog post, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin outlines the concept of information finance, betting on the fact that betting markets are actually much more than just speculation engines.

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Prediction markets like Polymarket a ‘public good,’ more accurate than polls

While some say that prediction markets are a risk to democracy, others think they could serve the public by offering valuable insights and risk management tools.

Despite recent confrontations with regulators, election markets can provide more accurate insights into public sentiment than polls, according to industry observers.

In May 2024, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a rule to ban derivatives used to bet on the outcome of US elections and other major real-world events. 

The CFTC’s proposal drove US-based regulated prediction market platform Kalshi to take the commission to court. Columbia District Judge Jia Cobb rejected the CFTCs proposal, stating that “Kalshi’s contracts do not involve unlawful activity or gaming. They involve elections, which are neither.”

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Number of crypto ATMs installed nears its all-time record

The net 2,564 cryptocurrency ATMs installed so far in 2024 is on track to outpace the net 2,861 machines that were unplugged in 2023.

The number of cryptocurrency ATMs installed worldwide has spiked 17.8% to 38,279 over the last 12 months — inching closer to its record of 39,541 set back in December, 2022.

It includes a net 2,564 cryptocurrency ATMs added so far in 2024, which is on track to outpace the net negative 2,861 machines that were unplugged in 2023, according to Coin ATM Radar.

The tally increased every single month between July, 2023 and May, 2024.

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With Close to 10 Billion Stablecoins Redeemed, BUSD’s Supply Drops to Lowest Level Since April 2021

With Close to 10 Billion Stablecoins Redeemed, BUSD’s Supply Drops to Lowest Level Since April 2021Statistics recorded on April 15, 2023, show that the number of coins in circulation for the stablecoin BUSD dropped below the 7 billion range to 6.68 billion, marking the lowest number of BUSD in circulation since April 2021. Furthermore, data indicates that the supply of BUSD has shrunk by 19.8% over the past 30 days. […]

TRUMP dips after president admits ‘I don’t know much about it’

China’s Inflation Rate Drops to Lowest in 18 Months

China’s Inflation Rate Drops to Lowest in 18 MonthsThe annual inflation rate in China has unexpectedly slowed down in March to its lowest level in a year and a half, the latest statistical data indicates. On a monthly basis, consumer prices decreased for a second consecutive month, despite estimates suggesting they will remain unchanged. Post Zero-Covid Policy Inflation in China Eases Further China’s […]

TRUMP dips after president admits ‘I don’t know much about it’

Economists Expect the Fed to Reveal Another 25bps Rate Hike Before Pausing for the Rest of 2023

Economists Expect the Fed to Reveal Another 25bps Rate Hike Before Pausing for the Rest of 2023After the March rate hike by the Federal Reserve, economists believe that the recent move by Saudi Arabia and several members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut oil production could complicate the central bank’s mission. Additionally, the majority of the market is pricing in another 0.25% increase for the May […]

TRUMP dips after president admits ‘I don’t know much about it’

US Bank Lending Drops by Record $105 Billion in Two Weeks, Trillions Moving to Money Market Accounts, Elon Musk Warns ‘Trend Will Accelerate’

US Bank Lending Drops by Record 5 Billion in Two Weeks, Trillions Moving to Money Market Accounts, Elon Musk Warns ‘Trend Will Accelerate’The banking industry in the United States is still struggling after the collapse of three major banks. According to statistics, bank lending in the U.S. has dropped by close to $105 billion in the last two weeks of March, which is the largest decline on record. Additionally, Elon Musk, a Tesla executive and owner of […]

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NFT Sales Rise 7.28% to $179.64 Million in 7 Days, Nakamigos Takes the Top Collection Spot 

NFT Sales Rise 7.28% to 9.64 Million in 7 Days, Nakamigos Takes the Top Collection Spot Sales of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) increased this week, with $179.64 million in sales over the last seven days. NFT sales rose 7.28% and transactions grew by 2.29% during this period, but the number of digital collectible buyers decreased by 4.34%. NFT Sales Improve This Week, Rising 7.28% Higher Sales of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) have trended […]

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BLUR Token Plummets Over 28% in March, Despite Blur’s Dominance in NFT Sales Market

BLUR Token Plummets Over 28% in March, Despite Blur’s Dominance in NFT Sales MarketWhile the non-fungible token marketplace Blur has captured a significant amount of the market share in terms of NFT sales, the market’s native token, BLUR, lost more than 28% in value last month. At present, BLUR tokens are down more than 88% since the crypto asset’s all-time high recorded on February 14, 2023. Blur’s Native […]

TRUMP dips after president admits ‘I don’t know much about it’