1. Home
  2. Stocks

Stocks

US bank bloodbath: Bitcoin hits $23.7K as BTC price analyst calls SVB dip ‘bear trap’

Bitcoin price is up nearly 20% in days as Wall Street opens to multiple bank stocks halted due to extreme losses.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit its highest since the start of the month on March 13 as U.S. bank stocks saw the largest mass halt in history.

BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

BTC price sees “phenomenal” rebound

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked a thoroughly bullish hourly candle for BTC/USD, which reached $23,725 on Bitstamp.

The move was eagerly anticipated by market participants, many of whom had warned of extreme volatility at the Wall Street open.

This came true, with Bitcoin and altcoins benefiting from intense uncertainty surrounding bank stocks, in particular, as trading got underway.

The fallout from the failure of two more U.S. banks over the weekend was keenly felt, not just at home but in Europe, where banks also saw heavy losses.

“Massive move of Bitcoin. Now facing next resistance zone (I couldn’t get $21.6K),” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, reacted.

“Trend is back up, buying the dip on S/R flips seems the game. Resistance around $23.3-23.6K, if it stalls and consolidates -> altcoins should continue.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/Twitter

Trader and analyst Rekt Capital, who previously argued that the monthly candle needed to close to confirm a longer-term trend break, called Bitcoin’s dip below $20,000 the week prior a “bear trap.”

“The way BTC has recovered within such a short space of time just shows that the drop to ~$20000 was a Bear Trap,” he wrote in one of many tweets as BTC/USD hit $23,500.

Rekt Capital called the uptick “phenomenal” in further analysis, with 18% added versus the local lows from March 10.

“If $22.4k holds as the new floor, that’s all and a bit more that price needs to gain momentum to the Main Resistance in the $24.1k-$25k range and truly break through,” trader Gaah continued.

“We could have more price explosions, watch out in that region.”

Gaah shared a liquidity chart from Caue Oliveira, head of research and on-chain analysis at Brazilian crypto insights firm BlockTrends:

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Caue Oliveira/Twitter

Bank stocks halted as contagion spreads to Europe

Outside crypto, the picture was slowly improving for U.S. stocks — with the exception of some banks.

Related: Fed starts ‘stealth QE’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Some of the worst performers of the day included First Republic Bank, which lost 76% to see trading halted soon after the opening bell.

Overall, as entrepreneur Brian Roemmele noted, more U.S. bank stocks were halted than ever before in history.

In addition to rethinking the likelihood of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continuing on March 22, markets meanwhile were also reducing expectations that the European Central Bank would hike by 0.5% this week.

Among European losses on the day was the already-embattled Credit Suisse, which was down over 7% to new all-time lows at the time of writing.

Credit Suisse 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

“The problem for Credit Suisse (and others like it) is that it cannot cover deposit flight by borrowing in money markets. It can only go to the Swiss National Bank, in effect for a second bail out. Will the SNB play ball?” Alasdair Macleod, head of research for Goldmoney, queried.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

$920B is the number to watch now that crypto’s trillion dollar total market cap is gone

The crypto market is taking a walloping, and there are three important reasons why BTC’s $380 billion valuation is a key support for the entire market.

Big round numbers always pique the interest of investors and the $1 trillion total crypto market capitalization is no exception. It’s a level that held for 48 days before collapsing on March 9. After a 16-hour negative 8.6% price movement, the indicator fell to $914 billion, its lowest level since Jan.13.

Total crypto market cap in USD, 1-day. Source: TradingView

Concerns about the stability of the U.S. banking industry, specifically the downfall and subsequent closure of Silvergate Bank (SI) on March 8 and the shut down of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on March 10 by The California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, are among the reasons for breaking below the $1 trillion capitalization support. Silvergate was a critical fiat gateway network for the most important cryptocurrency exchanges and intermediaries.

The California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation did not provide an explanation for SVB Bank's closure. Nonetheless, it stated that the financial institution will be the first FDIC-insured institution to fail in 2023.

Silicon Valley Bank possessed more than $200 billion in assets and provided financial services to a number of crypto-focused venture firms, including Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia Capital.

Don't forget, however, the ongoing efforts of the U.S. Federal Reserve to curb inflation, which include increasing interest rates above 2% in August 2022 and reducing its balance sheet through asset sales. In addition to this, U.S. labor market data released on March 10 revealed the creation of 311,000 jobs in February 2023, supporting the notion that the Fed's anti-stimulus measures require additional firepower.

The unexpected result of the central bank's cautious stance is a greater likelihood of a longer and more severe economic downturn. Investors demanded a higher return for two-year treasury notes versus longer-term dated bonds, causing the inverted bond curve to reach its highest level in 40 years.

What is the significance of the $920 billion market capitalization?

A notable bounce occurred as total crypto capitalization reached $920 billion, indicating large buyers around that level, which may appear insignificant at first but is critical for Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency. To begin, one must understand that Bitcoin accounts for roughly half of total crypto capitalization when stablecoins are excluded.

As a result, Bitcoin's $380 billion market capitalization serves as the foundation for the $920 billion total. Three reasons explain why such a level is critical from a valuation standpoint.

Bitcoin is still a top-20 global tradable asset, valued at over $380 billion, ahead of the giant retailer Walmart (WMT), international payment processor Mastercard (MA), and the highly profitable consumer discretionary Procter & Gamble (PG). It becomes more difficult to attribute failure after such a remarkable accomplishment.

Despite Bitcoin's 50% decline in 12 months to $19,650, its performance is comparable to that of billion-dollar companies such as Credit Suisse Group (CS) down by 63%, First Republic Bank (FRC) 51%, Warner Bros. (WBD) 43%, and Intel Corporation (INTC) 43%.

Lastly, by maintaining its $380 billion capitalization, it remains the seventh largest global base money when compared to fiat currencies. For example, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has a monetary supply of $378 billion, while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has a monetary supply of $220 billion. The Indian Rupee, with a monetary base of $500 billion, is the next potential target.

At the moment, the options put/call ratio is stable

Traders can gauge the market's overall sentiment by measuring whether more activity is going through call (buy) options or put (sell) options. Generally speaking, call options are used for bullish strategies, whereas put options are for bearish ones.

A put-to-call ratio of 0.70 indicates that put option open interest lags behind the more call options and is therefore bullish. In contrast, a 1.40 indicator favors put options, which is a bearish sign.

Related: South Dakota gov vetoes bill excluding crypto from definition of 'money'

BTC options volume put-to-call ratio. Source: laevitas.ch

Since March 8th, protective puts have been in greater demand, indicating derivatives traders' risk aversion. Aside from a brief overshoot on March 9 when the put-to-call ratio jumped above 1.50, nothing was out of the ordinary as the movement coincided with the Bitcoin price falling below $22,000.

The gap favoring the put options risk metric had been narrowing, indicating that even professional traders were finding themselves shorthanded as the crypto market continued to fall to new lows.

More importantly, the Bitcoin options market shows no signs of stress, which is encouraging given the immense pressure from the banking sector and the prospects of a dwindling economy.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

Coinbase still a buy for Cathie Wood: ARK buys its biggest batch of COIN in 2023

Amid the crypto market facing another wave of panic, Cathie Wood’s ARKK keeps bagging record amounts of Coinbase stock this year.

Amid Coinbase (COIN) stock tumbling about 8% on Thursday, Cathie Wood’s investment manager ARK Invest has bought the biggest amount of the stock since the start of 2023.

On March 9, ARK purchased 301,437 Coinbase shares ($17.5 million) for its ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund, known as ARKK, according to an investor notification seen by Cointelegraph. The company has also bought 52,525 COIN shares ($3 million) for its ARK Next Generation Internet ETF, referred to as ARKW.

ARK’s latest investments in Coinbase make up the largest single COIN stock acquisition in 2023 so far, accounting for roughly 30% of all COIN purchases in 2023. The amount significantly exceeds ARK’s total COIN buys in January, or just about $13 million. In February, Wood’s investment firm bagged a total $42 million worth of COIN stock.

In addition to Coinbase, ARK has also been actively buying the Robinhood (HOOD) stock. On March 9, the company bought another 265,566 HOOD shares ($2.5 million) for its ARKK fund. The purchase came shortly after ARK packed similar amounts of Robinhood shares, buying 268,086 HOOD ($2.5 million) and 219,883 HOOD ($2.1 million) on March 8 and March 6, respectively.

Related: Silvergate reportedly talks with FDIC on ways to avoid shutdown

The news comes amid reports suggesting that ARK has earned more than 70% of its $310 million fees since the ARKK’s price plummeted by 76% since its all-time high in February 2021. In 2023, ARK was earning an average of roughly $230,000 in fees a day as the fund’s value has slightly recovered, surging from around $30 in early January to $37.3 in mid-March.

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) historical price chart. Source: TradingView

The new ARK’s COIN buys further reaffirm the company’s bullish sentiment towards the cryptocurrency industry and Bitcoin (BTC). Focused on technology innovations like self-driving cars and genomics, ARK Invest founder Wood is one of the biggest crypto bulls in the world, believing that Bitcoin will hit $1 million in the not-so-distant future due its promising potential as a risk-on asset.

The latest bullish investments came despite the crypto market facing another wave of panic due to Silvergate crypto bank announcing plans to wind down operations and liquidate the bank. On March 10, Bitcoin dropped below $20,000 for the first time since early January.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

BTC price needs to close February above 50-month trend line — analysis

A key Bitcoin battleground forms the backdrop for the end of the month amid a warning that BTC price action "doesn't feel bullish."

Bitcoin (BTC) faced a showdown with a key trend line on Feb. 28 as the monthly close finally arrived.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin "doesn't feel bullish" into February close

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD circling an area around $23,500 at the Wall Street open.

With United States stocks flat and the U.S. dollar avoiding a return to strength, eyes were on Bitcoin to preserve its gains through last-minute volatility.

“Would like to see more Bitcoin bid liquidity enter the active trading range to increase the chances of closing the Monthly candle above the 50-Month Moving Average,” monitoring resource Material Indicators wrote in one of several Twitter posts on the day.

“Volume has been weak, so at this stage doesn't feel bullish.”

An accompanying chart showed BTC/USD bid and ask levels on the Binance order book.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

Material Indicators noted that the month of March held a key macroeconomic event in the form of the Federal Reserve’s next decision on interest rate hikes. This was due on Mar. 22 courtesy of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

“Close above the 50-Month MA = Bullish Close below $23,128 = Red and an invitation to retest key support levels,” part of another post continued.

“Close between the 50-Month MA - $23,128 = Green Monthly close and range to the next rate hike around the March 22nd FOMC meeting.”
BTC/USD 1-month candle chart (Bitstamp) with 50MA. Source: TradingView

Scott Melker, the trader and podcast host known as "The Wolf of All Streets," meanwhile demanded more of spot price, calling the area immediately above "no man's land."

"Bullish breaker (red zone) holding as support at the moment. Still in no man's land between $21,473 and $25,212," he commented on a chart showing target levels.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Scott Melker/ Twitter

All quiet on macro landscape

A lack of direction in the U.S. dollar meanwhile removed a potential headache for risk asset bulls on the day.

Related: Bitcoin exchanges now own 16% less BTC than the oldest hodlers

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) spike to multi-day lows as it failed to mount a comeback after giving up gains from the week prior.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

On U.S. equities, the S&P 500 traded down 0.2% at the time of writing, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was stationary on the day. 

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

Can Bitcoin price hold $24K as stocks correlation hits lowest since 2021?

Bitcoin silver linings are few and far between on short timeframes as BTC price bid liquidity dries up above $23,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) wicked to five-day lows on Feb. 22 as a comedown for United States equities continued.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Analyst on Bitcoin: "Waiting for a bit lower"

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView recorded lows of $23,871 on Bitstamp, with S&P 500 futures slipping under 4,000 ahead of the Wall Street open.

Bitcoin bulls had lost ground after the U.S. holiday weekend, which ended in weakness across equities and a failed attempt to flip $25,000 to support.

For Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe, who was hoping that the correction would be short lived, it was nonetheless time to wait and see.

"Markets correcting as U.S. indices are also correcting at this point. This means, opportunities!" he told Twitter followers on the day.

"I think I'll be waiting for a bit lower on Bitcoin to get triggered for a long position."

Van de Poppe had previously forecast a move to as high as $40,000 for BTC/USD before a correction set in, this having the potential to shave 50% off that high.

Dylan LeClair, senior analyst at UTXO Management, meanwhile warned that a "crisis" between stocks and U.S. bonds continued to play out.

"Bonds rolling over over the past month served as a flashing alarm for a reversal, during which equities became the most expensive relative to bonds since before the GFC, as 2021 bubble favorites led the rally," part of a Twitter thread read.

Another post nonetheless noted that Bitcoin's correlation to stocks was at its lowest since late 2021, but "still very much positive."

"I am quite interested to see how bitcoin trades during the next risk off move in legacy markets... Let's see," LeClair added

Macro asset vs. Bitcoin correlation annotated chart. Source: Dylan LeClair/ Twitter

Binance "Notorious B.I.D." gets filled

Within Bitcoin, attention still focused on a sizable bid wall, which had managed to move spot price by shifting itself around the Binance order book in recent days.

Related: Bitcoin active addresses ‘concern’ analyst despite 50% BTC price gains

Dubbed the "Notorious B.I.D." by monitoring resource Material Indicators, the bid liquidity met spot price head on as Bitcoin dipped, with bids getting filled.

With support thus removed from the order book, Material Indicators added in accompanying comments that it would be "very happy" if BTC/USD were to now continue downward to $21,500.

"The bid wall got filled. Liquidity hasn't stopped moving around the order book long enough to analyze. Waiting for it to settle down," another post stated.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

Study: 55% of Americans Believe They Will Lose It All if a Recession Hits the United States

Study: 55% of Americans Believe They Will Lose It All if a Recession Hits the United StatesAccording to a recent study by Clever, a real estate data company, nearly three out of four Americans worry there will be a recession this year, and 69% of the research participants say the U.S. is already in a recession. What’s worse, 55% of the study’s respondents said they would lose everything if a recession […]

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

US Inflation Remains Higher Than Expected, Raising Concerns Among Investors

US Inflation Remains Higher Than Expected, Raising Concerns Among InvestorsU.S. inflation levels dropped slightly in January, sliding from 6.5% to 6.4%. However, inflation remains higher than expected, causing concern among investors that the U.S. central bank will continue to hike the benchmark federal funds rate. Inflation in the US Remains High, Causing Uncertainty in Markets Inflation in the United States exceeded expectations among analysts […]

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

Crypto bank Silvergate ranks as the second most-shorted stock on Wall Street

Over 72% of Silvergate Capital Corp stocks were shorted as of Jan. 31, shows FINRA's latest data.

Crypto bank Silvergate Capital Corp. stands in the second position as most-shorted stock in the United States, with over 72.5% of its shares shorted, according to the latest Short Interest Reporting from Feb. 9. 

The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) collects and publishes twice a month short interest positions of all equity securities. A short position means investors and traders believe the price of a security, such as a stock, will decrease in value. A short seller profits from the price decline of a security.

At the time of writing, Silvergate stock (SI) is down over 87% in the past twelve months. The bearish sentiment on Silvergate stems from its recent earnings report and legal battles the company faces over its relationship with bankrupt firms FTX and Alameda Research.

On Jan. 17, the bank announced a $1 billion net loss attributable to common shareholders in the fourth quarter of 2022. According to a report from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Silvergate saw significant outflows of deposits during the period, which forced the company to seek wholesale funding and sell debt securities to maintain liquidity.

Related: Banks under pressure from U.S. authorities to cut ties with crypto firms

Silvergate reportedly borrowed $3.6 billion from the U.S. Federal Home Loan Banks System to mitigate effects of a surge in withdrawals following the collapse of crypto exchange FTX in November 2022.

The bank faces probes and lawsuits in the U.S. for allegedly aiding FTX on fraudulent activities, including lending and commingling user's funds. The company has been accused of "furthering FTX's investment fraud", while shareholders claim Silvergate violated the 1934 Securities Exchange Act. A Justice Department investigation is currently ongoing over the bank's role in FTX businesses.

According to Silvergate, Alameda opened an account with the bank in 2018, before the launch of FTX. The company claims to have conducted due diligence at the time and monitored the situation on an ongoing basis.

Moody’s Investors Service recently reacted to the bank situation, downgrading ratings of Silvergate Capital and its bank to "junk", with a negative outlook for both organizations.

Silvergate did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph's request for comments.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

Market Strategist Predicts Gold Will Be the Top Performer in 2023 Over Cryptocurrencies and Equities

Market Strategist Predicts Gold Will Be the Top Performer in 2023 Over Cryptocurrencies and EquitiesGareth Soloway, president and chief market strategist at inthemoneystocks.com, predicts that gold will outperform cryptocurrencies and equity performances in 2023. In an interview published Thursday, Soloway emphasized his belief that “gold will be the best performer” this year and stated that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not cut rates until a “massively nasty recession” occurs. […]

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam

Overstock-funded tZERO Crypto exchange will shut down March 6

Once a highly touted exchange, tZERO facilitates securities offerings, some of which are blockchain tokens.

The tZERO Crypto exchange, whose majority owner is Overstock, will shut down on March 6, the company announced via Twitter on Feb. 3. The company says that it will continue to focus on its regulated securities products after the shutdown, as the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and other regulators clarify the legal status of crypto assets.

tZERO is a financial technology company headquartered in New York. It facilitates securities offerings for private companies that want to go public. In the crypto community, tZERO is most well known for its offering of tokenized shares or “digital securities,” which can potentially be traded on a blockchain.

Online retailer Overstock owns approximately 55% of tZERO, according to the company's Aug. 26 press release.

In 2019, tZERO released a traditional crypto exchange called “tZERO Crypto” that allowed users to buy, sell, and hold Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), and other cryptocurrencies. But, in this recent announcement on Feb. 3, the company confirmed it would wind down this exchange on March 6.

In the announcement, tZERO implied that unregulated crypto exchanges are on their way into obsolescence, stating: “We believe that many digital assets would be treated as securities and trade in a regulated ecosystem.” The announcement explained further:

“While the regulatory environment around crypto assets is clarified by the SEC and other regulators (including in view of recent events), we will continue to focus on our unique regulated securities business, which we believe will be the venue where most digital asset securities will trade.”

Related: Australia introduces crypto assets classification scheme

The company said that the shutdown was set for March 6 to allow for an “orderly withdrawal of assets by the customers, which continue to be held by the custodian.” It did not clarify whether security tokens being traded on the tZERO ATS stock exchange will also be affected by the shutdown of tZERO Crypto. Cointelegraph reached out to tZERO ATS to clarify this point but could not get a response by the time of publication.

Lego’s Website Hacked to Promote ‘Lego Coin’ Crypto Scam