1. Home
  2. SVB

SVB

Bill Ackman warns US gov’t: Fix mistake in ‘48 hours’ or face ‘destruction’

Billionaire Bill Ackman said that SVB’s senior management made a “basic mistake” but should be fired.

Billionaire Bill Ackman has urged the United States government to “guarantee” all deposits held by Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) within the next “48 hours,” or it risks the “destruction” of many financial institutions.

In a Mar. 11 tweet, Bill Ackman, CEO of hedge fund management firm Pershing Square, said a “giant sucking sound" will be heard from the ”withdrawal of substantially all uninsured deposits,” from all banks, besides the “systemically important banks (SIBs),” should the government fail to “guarantee all” of SVB’s deposits before the “open on Monday.”

Ackman suggested that this would be the result of "the world" realizing what an uninsured deposit is – “an unsecured illiquid claim on a failed bank.”

He warned that these withdrawals will “drain liquidity,” from community, regional and other banks and “begin the destruction” of these crucial institutions, if the U.S. government fails to protect “all depositors.”

Ackman said that the only other way to prevent this from happening, was in the “unlikely” event that major financial institutions such as JPMorgan, Citibank or Bank of America, acquire SVB before Monday.

It was argued by Ackman that this could have been “avoided” if the U.S. government had “stepped in on Friday” to guarantee SVB’s deposits, adding that the long-standing bank’s “franchise value” could have been safeguarded and "transferred" to a new owner in return for an “equity injection.”

Ackman suggested that SVB’s senior management “made a basic mistake” but should be fired. He noted:

“They invested short-term deposits in longer-term, fixed-rate assets. Thereafter short-term rates went up and a bank run ensued. Senior management screwed up and they should lose their jobs.”

After conducting a “back-of-the-envelope review” of SVB’s balance sheet, Ackman believes that even “in a liquidation,” depositors “should eventually” get back approximately “98% of their deposits”.

However, he argued that “eventually” is “too long” when you have “payroll to meet next week.”

Ackman tweeted shortly after, reiterating that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) should guarantee all SVB bank deposits by Sunday night, along with a proposed plan.

Related: Silicon Valley Bank failure could trigger run on U.S. regional banks

This comes after Bob Elliot, CEO of investment firm Unlimited, said that the Federal Reserve and FDIC decisions regarding the future of SVB may affect regional banks across the United States, putting trillions of dollars at risk of a bank run.

Elliot stated that nearly a third of deposits in the United States are held in small banks, with 50% of those deposits being insured.

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

Circle Issues Update Amid Stablecoin Volatility; Firm Is Prepared to ‘Stand Behind USDC and Cover Any Shortfall’

Circle Issues Update Amid Stablecoin Volatility; Firm Is Prepared to ‘Stand Behind USDC and Cover Any Shortfall’On Saturday, March 11, 2023, Circle Financial updated the public about its stablecoin, USDC, and noted that the stablecoin’s liquidity operations will resume normally on Monday morning in the United States. Circle said that the company’s teams would be ready on Monday to “handle significant volume” and that the firm will “stand behind USDC and […]

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

Bank of England Shuts Down Silicon Valley Bank’s UK Branch After US Regulators Close Parent Company

Bank of England Shuts Down Silicon Valley Bank’s UK Branch After US Regulators Close Parent CompanyAfter U.S. regulators shut down Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on Friday, the Bank of England has closed the company’s U.K.-based arm. The central bank explained that it intends to place the subsidiary into bank insolvency procedures. Fallout From SVB Failure Prompts BOE to Close U.K. Branch The ripple effect of the 16th largest bank in […]

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

‘Fiat Is Fragile’ — Silicon Valley Bank’s Collapse Sparks Finger-Pointing and Concerns of Contagion

‘Fiat Is Fragile’ — Silicon Valley Bank’s Collapse Sparks Finger-Pointing and Concerns of ContagionSilicon Valley Bank (SVB) has become the center of attention after its collapse prompted the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to shut the bank down on Friday. It was the largest U.S. bank failure since 2008, and various alleged catalysts have been pointed to. Some believe venture capitalists caused a bank run, while others […]

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

Breaking: USDC slowly repegs on unconfirmed reports of SVB resolution

According to insiders, 50% of uninsured deposits will be paid out by next week.

According to a post on Mar. 11 by Bob Elliot, chief investment officer of Unlimited Funds, relief efforts may already be underway less than 72 hours after the collapse of prominent American tech bank Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Elliot claimed, among many items, that "big banks actively working on buying svb business," the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is planning to cover 95% of uninsured depositors to the acquirer, and that "50pct of uninsured paid out next wk."

Cointelegraph reported earlier today that Circle, the issuer of the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin, had over $3.3 billion in reserves stuck in the troubled bank out of a total of over $40 billion. In addition, SVB reportedly custodied an estimated $5 billion in funds for prominent blockchain venture capital firms such as a16z, Pantera Capital, and Paradigm. Earlier today, USDC depegged from its one-to-one U.S. dollar peg to trade as low as $0.87 apiece before slowly re-pegging to trade at $0.95 at the time of publication.

Although the reports are currently unverified, multiple sources confirm that many different tracks to resolution are being worked on and that depositors will get back "at least 50% of their deposits" by next week. "Long term it's likely they get 90%+ back and very possible no depositors loses a single $," Hal Press, founder of investment firm North Rock LP, stated

On the same day, Mike Moïse, Associate DirectorAssociate Director of business advisory firm CrossCountry Consulting, also made similar comments, citing secondary sources:

"SVB's customers will have $250k unfrozen on Monday, and ~50% of the remaining balance dividended to depositers within 1-2 days of Monday (money market accounts likely to get 100%). The remainder will be dependent upon future recoveries; most recovery will be within 3-6 months."

Previously, DeFi analyst Loki Zeng estimated that the net value of USDC is "$0.885 at extreme situation and $0.985 at normal situation" and commented: "even if there is an issue, it won't be as severe as FTX." Alex Svanevik, CEO of blockchain analytics firm Nansen, also said that the Circle and USDC "can make it," so long as "top-class execution" is conducted in the next few days. Similar to USDC, the DAI stablecoin, which is itself collateralized by over 3.1 billion USDC, has paired most of its losses and is trading at $0.97 per coin at the time of publication. Earlier today, Maker DAO, DAI's issuer, filed an emergency proposal amending protocol risk parameters in wake of the USDC depegging event. 

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

USDC Stablecoin Depegging Causes Concern Among Crypto Advocates, 5 Other Stablecoins Slip Below Parity

USDC Stablecoin Depegging Causes Concern Among Crypto Advocates, 5 Other Stablecoins Slip Below ParityOn Saturday, March 11, 2023, crypto advocates are concerned as a few stablecoin assets have depegged from their $1 parity. The second-largest stablecoin USDC, issued by Circle Financial, fell below $0.90, reaching a low of $0.877 per coin. Additionally, around five other stablecoins have dropped below the U.S. dollar parity during the early morning (ET) […]

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

Bitcoin price spikes to ‘$26K’ in USDC terms — How high can the BTC short squeeze go?

Bitcoin recovers from the depegging of USDC, the second-largest stablecoin, from the U.S. dollar.

Bitcoin (BTC) refused to let $20,000 support die for good on March 11 as the weekend opened to a battle for lost ground.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin shakes off USDC depeg

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD circling $20,200 at the time of writing.

A brief dip below the $20,000 mark overnight was short lived, and the mood appeared more stable on the day as the initial wave of panic over United States bank stability subsided.

The collapse of SVB Financial, which followed Silvergate in dealing a fresh blow to some crypto firms, nonetheless continued to play out.

At the heart of the debacle this time was Circle, the Blockchain firm which overnight revealed that it had lost part of the reserve funds for its stablecoin, USD Coin (USDC) with SVB.

USDC immediately began to slide from its U.S. dollar peg, and at the time of writing was redeemable for only $0.91, while at one point making Bitcoin worth more than $26,000 in USDC terms on major exchange Kraken.

BTC/USDC 1-hour candle chart (Kraken). Source: TradingView

"If USDC is only 90% backed, the equilibrium price is NOT $0.90. The equilibrium price is ZERO," Cory Klippsten, CEO of Swan Bitcoin, reacted.

"Everyone has the incentive to redeem asap for $1. You don't want to be in the last 10%, with all the money already gone."

Others believed that the situation was manageable and that USDC, the second largest stablecoin by market cap, would not fail altogether.

In a tweet, Circle itself said that it had a further five banking partners for managing its USDC cash reserves.

Funding rates mimic FTX mood

Beyond USDC, nerves among traders predictably remained.

Related: Circle’s USDC instability causes domino effect on DAI, USDD stablecoins

Average funding rates were at their most negative since the FTX aftermath in November 2022, indicative of a strong belief that further losses could still enter for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin average funding rate chart. Source: Coinglass

Analyzing the implications, however, commentator Tedtalksmacro argued that overwhelming bearish bias could provide fuel for a classic "short squeeze" higher on BTC/USD.

"The market remains heavily short here, still. And that could provide fuel for BTC to test at least 21.4k short-term," part of a tweet read.

"Tedtalksmacro added that a squeeze was already "well underway" based on Bitcoin's bounce off multi-week lows beneath the $20,000 mark.

Other popular market participants favored a return to downside in the short term.

"Amongst the madness today, Bitcoin remains good. I am anticipating another drop down to the interim support zone around $19,200," Crypto Tony told followers.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/ Twitter

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

Breaking: Circle discloses $3.3B tied up at Silicon Valley Bank

Circle joined other customers and depositors in calling for the continuity of SVB in the US economy.

On March 10, Blockchain payment tech company and USD Coin (USDC) issuers Circle confirmed that wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances have not yet been processed, leaving $3.3 billion of its $40 billion USDC reserves at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

Concerns have been growing over USDC late this week due to Circle disclosing in its latest audit that as of Jan. 31, $8.6 billion, or roughly 20% of its reserves, was held up in several financial institutions, including the recently bankrupted Silvergate, and shuttered SVB.

In a bid to provide transparency on the matter, Circle disclosed via Twitter on March 10 that:

“Following the confirmation at the end of today that the wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances were not yet processed, $3.3 billion of the ~$40 billion of USDC reserves remain at SVB.”

Circle said it is now joining other customers and depositors in calling for the continuity of SVB, which the company alleged is important for the U.S. economy. Circle stated on Twitter that it will follow guidance provided by state and Federal regulators.

Adding to Circle's statement, the firm's chief strategy officer and head of global policy emphasized that "Circle is currently protecting USDC from a black swan failure in the U.S. banking system," as he called for a SVB rescue plan from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC):

Without a Federal rescue plan - will have broader implications for business, banking and entrepreneurs.

Notably, prior to the announcement USDC was sitting below its $1-peg at $0.98 as per CoinGecko data, however promptly after, the price has dropped significantly to $0.93 at the time of writing.

24-hour USDC price chart: CoinGecko

The statement followed news that Silicon Valley Bank, a major financial institution for venture-backed companies, was shut down by California's financial watchdog, making it the first Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation-insured bank to fail in 2023.

Although the exact reason for the closure remains unclear, the California regulator appointed the FDIC as the receiver to protect insured deposits. SVB, one of the United States' 20 largest banks by total assets, provided financial services to several crypto-focused venture firms, including Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

Coinbase and Binance pause USDC conversions

Adding to the USDC related woes, roughly 30 minutes after Circle's latest statement, Coinbase announced that it is "temporarily pausing USDC:USD conversions over the weekend while banks are closed."

"During periods of heightened activity, conversions rely on USD transfers from the banks that clear during normal banking hours. When banks open on Monday, we plan to re-commence conversions," the firm stated.

Such a move highlights the difficulty that centralized crypto companies are facing now that Silvergate is longer providing them with round the clock banking services.

On the same day, Binance also announced via Twitter that the crypto exchange has “temporarily suspended auto-conversion of USDC to BUSD due to current market conditions, specifically related to high inflows & the increasing burden to support the conversion.”

“This is a normal risk-management procedural step to take while we monitor the situation,” the firm added.

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

Filing shows BlockFi has uninsured $227M in Silicon Valley Bank MMMF

BlockFi’s capital allocated to the money market mutual fund is not FDIC insured, however the fund doesn’t appear to be managed by Silicon Valley Bank.

According to a new bankruptcy filing, defunct crypto lender BlockFi has $227 million worth of uninsured funds allocated to a money market mutual fund (MMMF) offered by troubled Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

SVB — one of the U.S’s largest banks and key partners to venture-backed companies — was shut down by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) on March 10, with no specifics offered at the time of the closure.

The move adds to the recent Silvergate bankruptcy carnage which has seen crypto markets tumble since the crypto-friendly bank’s financial woes came to light at the beginning of March.

Looking at the ongoing BlockFi bankruptcy case, a March 10 filing indicates that the firm has $227 million worth of capital in an MMMF offered by SVB.

Notably, the filing highlights a balance summary statement from SVB which states that BlockFi’s investment is not a Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) insured deposit, not insured by any federal government agency and “not guaranteed by the bank.”

The FDIC’s federal deposit insurance covers up to $250,000 per depositor, however it does not cover the scope of money market funds.

A money market mutual fund invests in highly liquid near-term instruments such as cash, cash equivalents and high-quality short-term debt instruments, and is regulated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Related: $920B is the number to watch now that crypto’s trillion-dollar total market cap is gone

Investors are issued fund shares in exchange for their capital, and as such, BlockFi’s funds may not be at risk despite SVB’s troubles.

SVB offered several mutual fund investment services, but according to its website it doesn’t appear to have managed any of the funds itself. The firm lists big names such as BlackRock, Morgan Stanley and Western Asset Management as the fund managers.

As such, the risk to BlockFi in this instance is most likely hindered by the fund’s performance, and not anything related to SVB’s financial woes.

One firm that looks to be directly impacted by the SVB closure — and the Silvergate bankruptcy — is USD Coin (USDC) issuers Circle.

According to the company’s latest audit report, as of Jan. 31, $8.6 billion, or roughly 20% of its reserves, were held up in several U.S. financial institutions including SVB, Silvrgate and Bank of New York Mellon.

The exact value held up in SVB and Silvergate is unclear, however Circle issued a statement via Twitter on March 10 noting that the firm and USDC will continue to “operate normally” as it awaits “clarity on how the FDIC receivership of SVB will impact its depositors.”

At the time of writing, USDC has dropped below the $1 peg to sit at $0.98 as per CoinGecko data.

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now

$920B is the number to watch now that crypto’s trillion dollar total market cap is gone

The crypto market is taking a walloping, and there are three important reasons why BTC’s $380 billion valuation is a key support for the entire market.

Big round numbers always pique the interest of investors and the $1 trillion total crypto market capitalization is no exception. It’s a level that held for 48 days before collapsing on March 9. After a 16-hour negative 8.6% price movement, the indicator fell to $914 billion, its lowest level since Jan.13.

Total crypto market cap in USD, 1-day. Source: TradingView

Concerns about the stability of the U.S. banking industry, specifically the downfall and subsequent closure of Silvergate Bank (SI) on March 8 and the shut down of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on March 10 by The California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, are among the reasons for breaking below the $1 trillion capitalization support. Silvergate was a critical fiat gateway network for the most important cryptocurrency exchanges and intermediaries.

The California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation did not provide an explanation for SVB Bank's closure. Nonetheless, it stated that the financial institution will be the first FDIC-insured institution to fail in 2023.

Silicon Valley Bank possessed more than $200 billion in assets and provided financial services to a number of crypto-focused venture firms, including Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia Capital.

Don't forget, however, the ongoing efforts of the U.S. Federal Reserve to curb inflation, which include increasing interest rates above 2% in August 2022 and reducing its balance sheet through asset sales. In addition to this, U.S. labor market data released on March 10 revealed the creation of 311,000 jobs in February 2023, supporting the notion that the Fed's anti-stimulus measures require additional firepower.

The unexpected result of the central bank's cautious stance is a greater likelihood of a longer and more severe economic downturn. Investors demanded a higher return for two-year treasury notes versus longer-term dated bonds, causing the inverted bond curve to reach its highest level in 40 years.

What is the significance of the $920 billion market capitalization?

A notable bounce occurred as total crypto capitalization reached $920 billion, indicating large buyers around that level, which may appear insignificant at first but is critical for Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency. To begin, one must understand that Bitcoin accounts for roughly half of total crypto capitalization when stablecoins are excluded.

As a result, Bitcoin's $380 billion market capitalization serves as the foundation for the $920 billion total. Three reasons explain why such a level is critical from a valuation standpoint.

Bitcoin is still a top-20 global tradable asset, valued at over $380 billion, ahead of the giant retailer Walmart (WMT), international payment processor Mastercard (MA), and the highly profitable consumer discretionary Procter & Gamble (PG). It becomes more difficult to attribute failure after such a remarkable accomplishment.

Despite Bitcoin's 50% decline in 12 months to $19,650, its performance is comparable to that of billion-dollar companies such as Credit Suisse Group (CS) down by 63%, First Republic Bank (FRC) 51%, Warner Bros. (WBD) 43%, and Intel Corporation (INTC) 43%.

Lastly, by maintaining its $380 billion capitalization, it remains the seventh largest global base money when compared to fiat currencies. For example, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has a monetary supply of $378 billion, while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has a monetary supply of $220 billion. The Indian Rupee, with a monetary base of $500 billion, is the next potential target.

At the moment, the options put/call ratio is stable

Traders can gauge the market's overall sentiment by measuring whether more activity is going through call (buy) options or put (sell) options. Generally speaking, call options are used for bullish strategies, whereas put options are for bearish ones.

A put-to-call ratio of 0.70 indicates that put option open interest lags behind the more call options and is therefore bullish. In contrast, a 1.40 indicator favors put options, which is a bearish sign.

Related: South Dakota gov vetoes bill excluding crypto from definition of 'money'

BTC options volume put-to-call ratio. Source: laevitas.ch

Since March 8th, protective puts have been in greater demand, indicating derivatives traders' risk aversion. Aside from a brief overshoot on March 9 when the put-to-call ratio jumped above 1.50, nothing was out of the ordinary as the movement coincided with the Bitcoin price falling below $22,000.

The gap favoring the put options risk metric had been narrowing, indicating that even professional traders were finding themselves shorthanded as the crypto market continued to fall to new lows.

More importantly, the Bitcoin options market shows no signs of stress, which is encouraging given the immense pressure from the banking sector and the prospects of a dwindling economy.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Still Early: Taylor Swift Remains More Popular Than Bitcoin for Now