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Nearly $13.75M liquidated as WAVES rallies 70% in a day — what’s next?

Stablecoin management DeFi platform Neutrino emerges as the key factor behind WAVES' ongoing price rally.

WAVES price surged by up to 70% on March 29, reaching a new all-time high around $54. Traders betting against the rise of Waves — the native token of the WAVES blockchain network — suffered losses worth millions of dollars as the WAVES/USD pair extended its recovery to a record level in the past 24 hours.

The price rebound, which started on Feb. 22 when WAVES price was at $8.25 caused around $13.75 million worth of liquidations due to crypto-based futures on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe, data from Coinglass shows.

WAVES liquidations every 12-hours. Source: Coinglass

Around $11 million of the total liquidated positions were short.

2.0 hype, Neutrino behind WAVES rally

As Cointelegraph earlier covered, traders may have jumped into the WAVES market after assessing its three consecutive optimistic updates: the migration to Waves 2.0, the launch of a $150 million fund, and partnership with Allbridge.

Edson Ayllon, product manager at dHEDGE — a decentralized asset management platform, told Cointelegraph that the euphoria surrounding the release of Waves 2.0 in October was reflective in the rising total value locked (TVL) in the Waves ecosystem that reached an all-time high of $4.36 billion on March 29.

"Waves 2.0 adds EVM support to the execution layer, and adds Proof-of-Stake with sharding to the consensus layer," the analyst noted, adding:

"Sharding and Proof of Stake have been concepts Ethereum has been working towards for years on their roadmap."

Interestingly, Neutrino, an algorithmic price-stable "assetization" protocol built atop the Waves blockchain, appeared largely behind the increasing Waves TVL.

Notably, the protocol witnessed an inflow of 8.91 million WAVES in one day — worth nearly $450 million — to its smart contract, data from Defi Llama shows.

Waves inflow into the Neutrino smart contract. Source: Defi Llama

Neutrino allows the creation of decentralized stablecoins that maintain their U.S. dollar-peg by collateralizing WAVES tokens. The protocol has launched just one stablecoin project so far, called Neutrino USD (USDN). 

The supply of USDN increased from around 800 million to 832 million on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe, coinciding with the rise in the WAVES inflow into the Neutrino smart contract. That presented Neutrino as one of the active WAVES buyers in the past 24 hours.

USDN market capitalization in the last 24 hours. Source: CoinMarketCap

What's next?

WAVES appears to have been breaking out of a bullish continuation pattern called a "bull flag."

In detail, the chart pattern looks like a downward sloping channel that appears after a strong price move upward (called "flagpole"). In a perfect scenario, it resolves by breaking out toward the level at a length potentially equal to the flagpole's size.

Related: Here’s how traders were alerted to RUNE’s, FUN’s, WAVES’ and KNC’s big rallies last week

Applying the classic interpretation of the bull flag pattern to WAVES' ongoing price action suggests a continued price rally toward $100, as shown in the chart below.

WAVES/USD weekly price chart featuring 'bull flag' pattern. Source: TradingView

However, WAVES' weekly relative strength index (RSI) has turned overbought — a sell signal. That could have the WAVES/USD pair retrace towards $34 as its interim support level. That would also mean that traders are returning to bull flag's top for another upside confirmation.

As a result, a continued selloff below $17 would risk invalidating the entire flag setup. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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WAVES risks ‘death cross’ plunge after price rallies 88% in six days

WAVES price has rallied to a historically significant level of resistance, raising death cross fears.

A major rally in WAVES price this week that saw it nearly double risks faltering in the coming sessions due to a "death cross" technical pattern.

WAVES price crashed 85% after 'death cross' in 2018

A death cross measure appears when an asset's long-term moving average closes above its short-term moving average.

Notably, on the WAVES' weekly chart, its 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave) jumped above its 20-week exponential moving average (20-week EMA; the green wave) in the week ending Feb. 21 — a bearish crossover.

WAVES/USD weekly price chart featuring 'death cross.' Source: TradingView

That is WAVES' first "death cross" occurrence on a weekly chart since June 2018. In both cases, the correction in the WAVES market appeared due to selloff across the broader crypto market following a massive bull run.

As it happened, WAVES fell by up to 85% after the 2018 death cross formation, despite briefly closing above both its 20-week and 50-week EMAs in impressive but fake bullish rebound moves.

Therefore, WAVES' latest upside retracement, albeit its best weekly performance since April 2018, still treads under long-term bearish risks. As a result, a price drop below the 20-week and 50-week EMA could spell another selling round in the market.

That WAVES selloff level

To recap, WAVES, the native token of a blockchain platform of the same name, rallied by as much as 88% week-to-date to reach over $21 apiece during the weekend.

As Cointelegraph covered earlier, migration to Waves 2.0, partnership with interoperable blockchain service provider Allbridge, and an upcoming $150 million fund to boost Waves' growth in the U.S. served as tailwinds to WAVES upside boom.

Related: 3 reasons why Waves price gained 100%+ in the last week

But signs of correction have emerged as WAVES falls nearly 10% from its local top near $21 this Saturday.

Interestingly, the inflection point coincides with the 1.00 Fib line of the Fibonacci retracement graph made from the 21.60-swing high to 0.54-swing low, which served as key resistance during January 2018, April 2021, and November 2021 corrections — as shown in the chart below.

WAVES/USD weekly price chart featuring its 'critical resistance.' Source: TradingView

For instance, in April 2021 and November 2021, bulls attempted to flip $21.60 as support but failed. As a result, WAVES has spent most of its time under the said 1.00 Fib level than above it, suggesting an unstable upside sentiment around it.

The Fibonacci fractal suggests that WAVES would undergo a pullback move toward its next line of supports near $17, $13.50, and $11. Conversely, a decisive move above $21.60 could have bulls retest levels above $34.50.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Axie Infinity (AXS) and Waves make gains as Bitcoin flatlines below $34K

Axie Infinity and Waves shake off confusion in the market to climb higher while Bitcoin continues to struggle below $34,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) price remains relatively unchanged on the 24-hour chart, down 0.56% and trading around $33,200 at the time of writing.

The overall cryptocurrency market traded flat on July 2 with the approach of the Fourth of July holiday weekend in the United States. The lackluster trading volume coincided with a slight decline in the total cryptocurrency market capitalization by $5 billion to its current value of $1.378 trillion. 

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Despite the struggles faced by the market as a whole, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro has identified bullish developments in Axie Infinity (AXS) and Waves (WAVES) thanks to recent developments related to nonfungible tokens.

Axie Infinity (AXS)

Axie Infinity is a blockchain-based trading and battling game that allows players to collect, breed, raise, battle and trade token-based creatures known as Axies. Since hitting a swing low of $2.85 on June 22 as the price of BTC crashed below $29,000, the price of AXS has surged 125% to an intraday high at $6.40 on July 2 as the demand for Axie’s continues to rise.

VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro began to detect a bullish outlook for AXS on June 29, prior to the recent price rise.

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historic and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements and Twitter activity.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. AXS price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for AXS first registered in the green beginning June 26 as the price of AXS began to slowly creep higher and finally reached a high of 83 on June 29 as its price began to climb another 45% over the next three days.

At the time of writing, the VORTECS™ Score for AXS had climbed to a new high of 86, indicating that there could still be more upside ahead for the price of Axie Infinity based on the previous price action of the token.

Waves (WAVES)

Waves has also been identified by Cointelegraph Markets Pro as a strong performer after its VORTECS™ Score turned bullish in late June.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. WAVES price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen on the chart above, market conditions for WAVES were favorable during the last month of June with its VORTECS™ Score reaching a high of 83 on June 27, just four hours before its price began to increase by 35% over the next three days from $13.31 to a high of $17.75.

The VORTECS™ Score for WAVES has once again climbed to 83 on July 2, hinting that the bullish case for WAVES may still be intact.

Bitcoin hovers near $33,500

The overall weakness in the altcoin market stems from Bitcoin’s price struggling below $33,400 as many traders appear to have gotten an early start to their holiday weekend.

Related: 44% of investors expect Bitcoin to drop below $30K in 2021: CNBC survey

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the price of BTC has traded in a tight range between $32,650 and $34,000 on July 2 as traders wait for a major news event or on-chain development to initiate the significant price move for the top cryptocurrency.

The current overall mood in the market is one of uncertainty, as displayed in the following tweet from Filbfilb, an independent market analyst and co-founder of the Decentrader trading suite, who remains “undecided what happens next” and is “watching for blood.”

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.373 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 45.5%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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