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Is this the start of the next bull run?

On this week’s episode of The Market Report, Cointelegraph’s resident expert discusses whether Bitcoin touching $31,000 is a sign that the next bull run is right around the corner.

In the latest episode of The Market Report, Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman discusses the latest change to the BlackRock spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) filing, which adds Coinbase as a “surveillance-sharing partner.“ Some analysts have signaled that the filings by BlackRock, Fidelity and others are responsible for the recent Bitcoin (BTC) rally toward $31,000, but according to Pechman, they’re only partially correct because it doesn’t indicate the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will accept any of the ETF filings.

Pechman argues that in the case of a refusal by the SEC, a court decision may be needed. The SEC could be required to explain the rule for existing spot ETF markets, such as gold and oil, with the judge deciding if the same methodology has been applied to Bitcoin.

As for the recent Bitcoin rally, Pechman believes it was justified. Still, given the history of multiple consecutive spot Bitcoin ETF rejections, and complaints regarding wash trading and price-making on Tether-based exchanges, one should not give it a 60% probability of approval.

Consequently, Pechman believes that the $30,000 support price for Bitcoin remains at risk due to macroeconomic uncertainties, weak stock market performance and the harsh regulatory environment toward cryptocurrencies.

On to the show’s next topic, Pechman explains how crypto exchange Gemini’s Earn program has been severely impacted by Genesis Global Trading — a Digital Currency Group (DCG) subsidiary — and why the Winklevoss brothers knew what the risks were.

But, regardless of DCG CEO Barry Silbert’s actions, investors believe $25 billion in crypto is at risk. As Pechman highlights, DCG owns Grayscale, which manages the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust — a tradable investment fund worth $19 billion — and a similar instrument for Ether, holding $6 billion.

Listen to the full episode of The Market Report for Pechman’s opinion on the odds of a Grayscale fund liquidation and whether the bull market has arrived. The show runs exclusively on the new Cointelegraph Markets & Research YouTube channel.

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?

Winklevoss twins’ Gemini launches Ethereum staking in the UK

Gemini Staking Pro allows institutions in the U.K. to become Ethereum validators by locking up at least 32 ETH, worth about $60,000 at the time of writing.

Winklevoss twins’ cryptocurrency exchange Gemini continues to actively expand its services across the world, debuting Ethereum staking in the United Kingdom.

On June 23, Gemini officially announced the expansion of Gemini Staking Pro in the United Kingdom. The service allows institutions and high-net-worth individuals to become Ethereum validators by locking up at least 32 Ether (ETH), worth around $60,000 at the time of writing.

Provided by Gemini Trust Company, the institutional ETH staking program is immediately available on the Gemini web interface, the firm noted.

At launch, Gemini Staking Pro is the only staking product available in the United Kingdom. According to Gemini Support, the U.K. is the only country of Gemini’s coverage where the platform runs institutional staking exclusively.

The Gemini Staking Pro service is currently live in the United States (excluding New York), Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia, Brazil and more than 30 other countries.

Gemini’s staking services are not regulated by the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority, the announcement notes.

Gemini also mentioned that the platform will reimburse stakers for “certain penalties imposed in connection with staking.”

Related: ‘The Great Accumulation’ of Bitcoin has begun, says Gemini’s Winklevoss

Citing challenges related to running a validator node, Gemini referred to “small mistakes” that can lead to network-imposed penalties and even losing staked tokens, known as “slashing.” The firm promised to help stakers avoid this issue, stating:

“At Gemini, we simplify the staking process for you. With Gemini operating the validator nodes, users can stake their assets with more confidence and without the technical know-hows.”

The news comes amid Ethereum core developers planning to increase the maximum amount of Ether required to become a validator from 32 ETH to as much as 2,048 ETH, worth roughly $3.9 million at the time of writing. The minimum staking amount would remain at 32 ETH.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, the U.S.-based crypto exchange Gemini is currently facing a lawsuit from the U.S. States Securities and Exchange Commission. The regulator believes that Gemini has violated securities regulations by offering unregistered securities as part of its lending platform known as Gemini Earn. Shortly after getting sued by the SEC, Gemini announced plans to expand into the Asia-Pacific region.

Magazine: Bitcoin is on a collision course with ‘Net Zero’ promises

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?

Democrats’ ‘war on crypto’ will lose its key voters: Winklevoss twins

Young people have been shown to be the biggest crypto adopters that also largely voted for the Democrats in the last election.

United States President Joe Biden and the Democratic Party risk losing its crucial youth voters as a result of their continued “war against crypto," according to the Winklevoss twins.

On June 10, the co-founder of the crypto exchange Gemini, Cameron Winklevoss, tweeted the Democrats will “alienate an entire generation” of crucial youth voters due to their anti-crypto stance.

Cameron singled out Senator Elizabeth Warren and President Biden-nominated Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler in particular.

A day later, on June 11, Gemini’s other co-founder and Cameron’s twin brother, Tyler Winklevoss, followed up with his own tweet, claiming thaWarren and Gensler’s “war” would see Democrats lose the 2024 election.

Gensler’s tenure at the SEC has seen an increase in enforcement actions against the crypto space, while Senator Warren has shared indications of building an “anti-crypto army.”

Crypto on the ballot?

On Nov. 5, 2024, a presidential election together with elections for the House of Representatives and the Senate will be held in the U.S. All 435 seats in the House are up for grabs along with 34 out of 100 spots in the Senate.

Youth voters — aged 18 to 29 — are a major voting bloc for the Democrats. Data from the U.S. 2022 midterm elections show 63% of surveyed youth voted for the Democrats, compared to 35% for Republicans.

The same age cohort is also the largest demographic of crypto users or investors, with 28% of Americans aged 18 to 29 years old saying — at some point — that they have used or invested in crypto, according to an April report by Pew Research.

Related: 'Near impossible to know' what is and isn't a security: Mark Cuban on SEC

What’s unclear, however, is the importance of crypto policy to young voters, relative to other issues.

In a Pew survey on policy priorities conducted in January — before the banking crisis in March — the top issue was strengthening the economy which for those aged 18 to 29 came second to improving education.

Cryptocurrency regulation didn’t make the list of the top 21 policy items as surveyed by Pew.

Regardless, some presidential nominees from both sides of the political aisle have made their stances on crypto policy clear, such as Republican hopeful Ron DeSantis and Democratic hopeful Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who have signaled pro-crypto stances.

Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss have contributed to campaigns for both Republican and Democratic nominees, according to data from the lobbying tracking site OpenSecrets.

Magazine: Crypto regulation — Does SEC Chair Gary Gensler have the final say?

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Gemini and Genesis Set To Enter 30-Day Mediation Process To Reach Final Resolution for Exchange’s Earn Users

Gemini and Genesis Set To Enter 30-Day Mediation Process To Reach Final Resolution for Exchange’s Earn Users

Gemini crypto exchange has entered into a 30-day mediation process with bankrupt crypto broker Genesis and its parent company Digital Currency Group (DGC) to find a resolution for Gemini Earn users who lost their assets when the broker went under. Court filings indicate that the firm owes more than $3.8 billion to its largest 50 creditors, […]

The post Gemini and Genesis Set To Enter 30-Day Mediation Process To Reach Final Resolution for Exchange’s Earn Users appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?

Gemini to launch derivatives platform outside the United States

The platform's first derivatives contract will be a BTC perpetual contract denominated in Gemini dollars (GUSD), followed by an ETH/GUSD perpetual contract.

United States-based crypto exchange Gemini announced on April 21 the upcoming launch of a derivatives platform outside the U.S. The move comes amid a tightening and uncertain regulatory environment for crypto firms in the country. 

Dubbed Gemini Foundation, the offshore division will offer services to users based in Singapore, Hong Kong, India, Argentina, Bahamas, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Bhutan, Brazil, Cayman Islands, Chile, Egypt, El Salvador, Guernsey, Israel, Jersey, New Zealand, Nigeria, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent & Grenadine, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, Thailand, Turkey, Uruguay, and Vietnam. It will not offer services for customers in the United States.

The platform's first derivatives contract will be a Bitcoin (BTC) perpetual contract denominated in Gemini dollars (GUSD), followed by an ETH/GUSD perpetual contract shortly thereafter.

Eligible customers will be able to trade both spot and derivatives products, as well as convert USD and USD Coin (USDC) into GUSD on a 1:1 basis. Fees, profits and losses will also be processed in GUSD. The default leverage is set to 20x, with the maximum possible leverage at 100x.

Unlike traditional futures contracts, perpetual contracts never expire. Perpetual futures trading is not regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Exchanges offering crypto futures contracts, like BitMEX, are not available for U.S. customers.

Related: What are perpetual futures contracts in cryptocurrency?

The move comes a few days after Gemini revealed plans to establish a new engineering hub in India. The exchange's founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss recently announced "big plans for international growth this year in APAC.” Earlier this month, Gemini filed a pre-registration with the Ontario Securities Commission to become a restricted dealer in Canada.

Gemini has been scrutinized by U.S. authorities. New York State’s Department of Financial Services is reportedly investigating the exchange over claims that many users believed assets in their Earn accounts had been protected by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Gemini's Earn program halted withdrawals in November, after its operating partner, Genesis, cited “unprecedented market turmoil.” In January, the firm filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Reports at the time suggested that up to $900 million in Earn user funds could have been locked. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission also charged the exchange with offering unregistered securities through Earn in January.

Magazine: Best and worst countries for crypto taxes — Plus crypto tax tips

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Winklevoss twins infuse Gemini with $100M personal loan: Report

The cash infusion reportedly followed Gemini attempting to get funding from outside investors without success.

Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, co-founders of the United States-based cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, have reportedly dipped into their own pockets to fund the business amid the crypto market downturn.

According to an April 10 Bloomberg report, the Winklevoss twins made a personal $100-million loan to Gemini following attempts to get funding from outside investors. Cointelegraph reached out to Gemini for comment, but did not receive a response at the time of publication.

The reported loan came amid regulators scrutinizing Gemini’s activities. In January, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) charged Gemini — as well as Genesis Global Capital and crypto exchange — with offering unregistered securities through the exchange’s Earn program. New York’s Department of Financial Services also reportedly began investigating the exchange following reports many Gemini users claimed assets in their Earn accounts had been afforded FDIC protection.

Related: Gemini and Genesis’ legal troubles stand to shake up industry further

Following the announcement of the charges, Tyler Winklevoss accused the SEC of issuing a “manufactured parking ticket,” claiming Gemini staff had been in talks with the regulator for more than a year prior to its enforcement action. The complaint echoed that of crypto exchange Coinbase, whose chief legal officer said personnel met with SEC representatives “more than 30 times over nine months” but still received a Wells notice.

Magazine: SBF denies stealing FTX assets, SEC charges Gemini and Genesis, and more

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Altcoin Backed by Bitcoin Billionaires Surges 35% As Crypto Project’s ‘Groundbreaking’ Update Nears

Altcoin Backed by Bitcoin Billionaires Surges 35% As Crypto Project’s ‘Groundbreaking’ Update Nears

An altcoin backed by a pair of famous Bitcoin (BTC) billionaires is surging as the crypto project’s upgrade rapidly approaches. New data reveals that storage-focused blockchain Filecoin (FIL), which is backed by the Winklevoss twins, is skyrocketing as the protocol’s groundbreaking update looms. Filecoin climbed from a 24-hour low of $5.40 to $7.77, an increase […]

The post Altcoin Backed by Bitcoin Billionaires Surges 35% As Crypto Project’s ‘Groundbreaking’ Update Nears appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?

Gemini and Genesis’ legal troubles stand to shake up industry further

Now that the SEC has gotten involved in the ongoing Gemini–Genesis spat, things could get ugly for both parties in the near term.

With investor confidence seemingly at an all-time low thanks to the recent slew of insolvencies, a new saga seems to be now unfolding in real time. This one involves crypto exchange Gemini’s Winklevoss twins and Barry Silbert, CEO of Digital Currency Group (DCG) — the parent firm behind crypto market maker and lender Genesis.

On Jan. 2, Cameron Winklevoss posted an open letter to Barry Silbert reminding him of the fact that it had been “47 days since Genesis halted withdrawals” while also providing a blunt, seemingly confrontational assessment of DCG’s existing business practices:

“For the past six weeks, we have done everything we can to engage with you in a good faith and collaborative manner in order to reach a consensual resolution for you to pay back the $900 million that you owe.”

The letter further indicated that the aforementioned sum was lent to Genesis as part of Gemini’s Earn program, an offering enabling customers to earn up to 7.4% annual percentage yield on cryptocurrencies. Cameron then issued another tweet requesting Silbert “publicly commit” to solving the problem by Jan. 8 — a request seemingly ignored by him, at least on Twitter.

Tensions have been mounting

Genesis’ ongoing woes stem from the fact that a significant portion of its funds (estimated to be worth $175 million) have been locked in an FTX trading account. Following the collapse of the once second-largest crypto exchange late last year, the company had to halt withdrawals on Nov. 16, even reportedly hiring the consultation services of investment bank Moelis & Company just a week later to get itself out of this pickle.

In a Dec. 7 letter, Derar Islim, the interim CEO of Genesis, told clients that “it will take additional weeks rather than days for us to arrive at a path forward.” In response, Winklevoss and company hired investment bank Houlihan Lokey to devise a framework with which they could “resolve its liquidity issues” keeping them from repaying members of Gemini’s Earn program.

Things then took an ugly turn on Dec. 27 when investors sued the twins over the blocked funds in the Earn program, accusing the two of fraud and several infractions of U.S. securities laws.

Furthermore, Silbert responded to Cameron’s constant Twitter nudges on Jan. 2, noting that Genesis had already taken action regarding Gemini’s proposal while also claiming innocence for DCG, stating unequivocally that the company had not been overdue to its payments to Genesis. In response, Cameron tweeted back:

Gemini terminates Earn program with Genesis

After weeks of turmoil, on Jan. 10, the Winklevoss twins sent out an email to users informing them that Gemini had terminated its flagship Earn program with Genesis two days prior. The move was the latest of many shots fired between the firm and the crypto lender, with the email stating:

“We are writing to let you know that Gemini — acting as an agent on your behalf — has terminated the Master Loan Agreement (MLA) between you and Genesis Global Capital, LLC (Genesis), effective as of January 8, 2023.”

The message then went on to add that effective immediately, Genesis was required to clear any outstanding assets that it had in association with the program, which until last month was offering users up to 8% interest on their crypto holdings.

Recent: Trust is key to crypto exchange sustainability — CoinDCX CEO

At present, customers can view their Earn balances under the “Pending” column as Gemini officials continue looking for a way to return customer money as soon as possible. “The return of your assets remains our highest priority and we continue to operate with the utmost urgency,” the email stated.

Lastly, in a claim filed in court on Jan. 8 in response to the class-action lawsuit put forward by Gemini Earn’s customers, Gemini says that much like its clients, it too has been the victim of Genesis and DCG Group’s conduct, claiming that the company’s executive brass had “misled defendants about Genesis, its financial condition, and its ability to act as a responsible borrower in the Gemini Earn program.”

Gemini has denied all of the accusations made against it by its clientele, saying it had all signed an agreement to “arbitrate claims relating to the Gemini Earn program” and that the various claims and causes of action initiated by the plaintiffs’ should not be litigated in any forum unless Genesis is also involved with the same.

SEC charges Genesis and Gemini

On Jan. 12, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission charged Gemini and Genesis with allegedly selling unregistered securities as part of the Earn offering. As per the regulatory body, Genesis loaned the assets accrued off of Gemini’s users while sending a portion of the profits back to Gemini, with the latter deducting an agent fee of around 4% and returning the remaining profits to its customers.

According to SEC officials, Genesis was required to register the program as a securities offering, with Chair Gary Gensler adding that the charges are designed to build on previous such actions to make it known to “crypto lending platforms and other intermediaries” that they need to adhere to the regulatory agency’s time-tested securities laws.

Gensler testifying before a Congressional oversight committee. Source: Reuters/Evelyn Hockstein

The SEC said the Earn program had a direct impact on a whopping 340,000 investors, adding that between January 2022 and March 2022 alone, Gemini raked in $2.7 million in agent fees, with the company using client assets to facilitate various lending activities as well as using it as collateral for personal borrowing. During the same three-month stretch, the agency claimed that Genesis generated interest income of $169.8 million while paying out $166.2 million to clients (including Gemini) as profits.

Some of Genesis’ key backers included crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital and Sam Bankman-Fried’s Alameda Research, two entities that are now virtually worthless.

Rocky road ahead

To get a better overview of the matter, Cointelegraph reached out to Rachel Lin, co-founder and CEO of SynFutures — a decentralized exchange for crypto derivatives. In her view, Genesis failed to properly hedge its portfolio risks and manage its treasury, leaving its balance sheets heavily affected by the FTX contagion. She added:

“Silbert has yet to fully own up to this failure, with some viewing his recent actions as a stall tactic while they search for emergency liquidity. Rather than calling out Gemini and its co-founder Cameron Winklevoss’ demands as publicity stunts, both parties should be putting user deposits first, as there are contractual obligations on both sides.”

And while Gemini’s termination of its master loan agreement with Genesis may be a way to deflect blame and play the victim, Lin believes that in the long run, the move may be a net positive for Earn depositors, as it puts additional pressure on Genesis to repay its debt to Gemini. 

Lin noted, “Gemini isn’t without blame in this incident. Although the company claimed to have conducted proper due diligence on Genesis, it’s clear that it wasn’t enough. As a result, Gemini should bear at least part of the responsibility for its defunct Earn program.”

Matthijs de Vries, founder and chief technology officer for blockchain technology firm AllianceBlock, told Cointelegraph that while it’s difficult to know what exactly the truth is with this situation, it doesn’t matter because the issue once again highlights the clear problem with centralization. He added:

“Putting your trust in individuals instead of smart contracts means you place trust in people, not technology. All of the issues we’ve seen in 2022, and continue to see, make the need for self-custody more and more important. Owning your own assets and being able to manage these assets as you wish is critical.”

He further stated that the tactics being used by Silbert don’t present a good look for the company. Also, instead of simply playing the blame game, the industry as a whole needs to learn from this, de Vries argued. “Blockchain was built to be decentralized, trusting yourself with your assets, not powerful individuals,” he concluded.

A similar opinion is shared by Jeremy Epstein, chief marketing officer for Radix — a smart contract platform for decentralized finance (DeFi) — who told Cointelegraph that the episode further reinforces the need for transparent ledgers and the visibility that comes from a decentralized financial system. In his view, when there are centralized entities that can hide their books behind walls, it makes trust very difficult to foster while further tarnishing the industry’s reputation. 

Recent: Congress may be ‘ungovernable,’ but US could see crypto legislation in 2023

Lastly, Liu Sheng, lead developer for Opside — a multichain three-layer architecture for high-throughput Web3 applications — told Cointelegraph that such instances would never see the light of day with DeFi and decentralized autonomous organizations, as users never have to give away ownership of their assets when chasing yields. Sheng added:

“This implosion of centralized service providers hopefully takes us one step closer to a decentralized economy where greed can be managed in a more transparent atmosphere. If we put the proper infrastructure in place, we can hopefully convince retail investors that it’s safer to deal with decentralized entities.”

The SEC’s latest actions seem to have changed the trajectory of the entire story, especially with Tyler Winklevoss saying on Jan. 13 that Gemini was nearing a solution to its customers’ ongoing woes and that the SEC’s action was completely unneeded. He tweeted:

As more details regarding the case continue to emerge, it will be interesting to see how things continue to play out for the two companies as well as the digital asset industry from here on out, especially with the market going through a major shortage of investor confidence.

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?

DCG chief Barry Silbert pens letter to shareholders, community reacts

Barry Silbert’s letter to shareholders came just hours after Cameron Winklevoss wrote an open letter accusing him of defrauding customers.

The crypto community woke to another drama-filled day after the Digital Currency Group (DCG) chief’s letter to shareholders went wrong. DCG CEO, Barry Silbert, penned a letter to the shareholders on Jan. 10, reflecting on the state of the crypto market and the growing fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) around the company. DCG is the parent company of crypto lending firm Genesis Global Capital and Grayscale, the world’s leading crypto asset manager.

In the letter, Silbert addressed the growing issues around DCG and its subsidiaries owing to the bear market and FTX contagion. He said that bad actors and the implosion of leading crypto companies had wreaked havoc on the industry. He noted, "DCG and many of our portfolio companies are not immune to the effects of the present turmoil.”

In the latter half of the letter, Silbert addressed some raging questions about DCG’s relationship with FTX, the loan agreement with Genesis and more. He said that Genesis had a “trading and lending relationship” with Three Arrows Capital and had invested $250,000 in FTX’s Series B funding round in July 2021. DCG also borrowed $500 million between January and May 2022 at interest rates of 10%-12% and currently owes Genesis $447.5 million and 4,550 Bitcoin (BTC), worth $78 million, which matures in May 2023.

Related: It'll be OK: DCG crisis likely won’t ‘include a lot of selling’ — Novogratz

However, what puzzled the crypto community more was that Silbert avoided addressing accusations by Cameron Winklevoss that came just hours before his letter. Winklevoss penned an open letter to the board of DCG on Jan. 10, saying CEO Barry Silbert was “unfit” to run the company. He also accused Silbert of defrauding customers and hiding behind lawyers. Genesis reportedly owes Gemini $900 million.

Cast your vote now!

One Twitter user wrote that the letter indicates that people might not get their money back. Another user questioned Silbert’s tactics of buying GBTC shares by selling borrowed BTC and wrote:

“So you borrowed Bitcoins, sold them, and bought GBTC shares? Not sure how you “hedge” GBTC long positions with Bitcoins otherwise.”

Other crypto community members accused Silbert of deflecting the allegations and called the letter a “PR tactic."

A few users went on to compare his tactics to that of Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon, while others speculated that the letter hinted that Silbert might lose his job in the coming weeks.

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?

Crypto Exchange Gemini and Winklevoss Brothers Hit With Class Action Fraud Lawsuit Over Earn Product: Report

Crypto Exchange Gemini and Winklevoss Brothers Hit With Class Action Fraud Lawsuit Over Earn Product: Report

Crypto exchange Gemini is reportedly being hit with a class action lawsuit along with its founders for allegedly selling unregistered securities. According to a new report from Bloomberg, Gemini, along with its founders, the Winklevoss brothers, are the target of a lawsuit claiming they sold interest-bearing accounts through the firm’s Earn program as unregistered securities. […]

The post Crypto Exchange Gemini and Winklevoss Brothers Hit With Class Action Fraud Lawsuit Over Earn Product: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?