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What’s ahead for 2025: Kraken’s CF Benchmarks forecasts the year to come

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Source: Kraken

Note: This is a blog summary of CF Benchmarks’ full 2025 market outlook.

Digital asset evolution

Cryptocurrencies are no longer a niche interest. Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen their ecosystems expand significantly. One of the biggest drivers has been the introduction of ETFs for each token. These financial products have accelerated institutional investment and brought in many individual investors that are more comfortable buying coin exposure using a vehicle they’re already familiar with, creating a bridge between traditional finance and the crypto world.

Ethereum, often called the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), has seen rapid improvements. Layer 2 solutions like Optimism are making transactions faster and cheaper, enabling more widespread adoption of decentralized applications (dApps), NFTs and digital identity tools. As regulatory frameworks solidify, digital assets are gaining greater legitimacy, setting the stage for even broader integration into mainstream finance.

The global economic landscape

Economic conditions in 2025 are marked by cautious optimism. In the U.S., a combination of tax reforms and regulatory adjustments under new leadership has fueled renewed confidence in business investment. However, inflation remains a pressing concern. Although it’s trending downward, sticky costs in areas like housing and services continue to challenge policymakers.

Globally, challenges abound. China is grappling with a prolonged property sector slump, while Europe faces political uncertainty and slowing economic growth. In contrast, India is emerging as a bright spot, balancing tight monetary policies with robust structural growth. Together, these dynamics suggest a mixed but resilient global economy where targeted opportunities could yield substantial returns.

Stablecoins and the rise of digital dollars

Stablecoins, digital currencies tied to real-world assets like the U.S. dollar, are experiencing a surge in adoption. They’re being used for everything from international remittances to enterprise transactions, offering speed and cost advantages over traditional banking systems.

The U.S. regulatory environment is evolving to provide clearer guidelines for stablecoin issuers, which is expected to boost institutional confidence. By the end of 2025, the stablecoin market could surpass $300 billion in value, reflecting its growing role in global commerce and digital payments. Ethereum’s Layer 2 networks and competitors like Solana are likely to play a key role in facilitating this growth, offering the infrastructure needed for high-volume transactions.

Tokenization as the future of investments

Tokenization — the process of turning real-world assets into blockchain-based digital tokens — is poised to reshape the investment landscape. In 2024, tokenized assets reached $13.6 billion, and that figure is expected to exceed $30 billion in 2025.

On-chain money market funds are leading the way, attracting investors with promises of transparency and efficiency. For instance, new stablecoins like Ethena’s USDtb, backed by major financial institutions, are fueling interest in tokenized financial products. While tokenization still faces hurdles like infrastructure development and regulatory approval, its potential to democratize finance and enhance liquidity is undeniable.

AI and blockchain: A synergistic future

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with blockchain technology is one of the most exciting trends for 2025. AI agents — autonomous programs capable of managing digital assets and executing smart contracts — are becoming more prevalent in blockchain ecosystems.

By the end of the year, AI-driven activity is projected to account for over 10% of all blockchain transactions. These agents thrive in decentralized networks, where their ability to operate without human intervention creates new efficiencies. For example, AI could optimize liquidity in decentralized finance or enhance the security of digital identity systems. With venture capital pouring into this space, several startups focused on AI-blockchain convergence are expected to reach unicorn status.

The bigger picture: Challenges and opportunities

While 2025 promises innovation and growth, challenges remain. The interplay between monetary policy, economic resilience, and technological adoption will define the year. Central banks must navigate inflationary pressures while supporting growth, and businesses will need to adapt to new regulatory landscapes.

On the other hand, the opportunities are vast. From the continued rise of digital assets to breakthroughs in AI and blockchain, the coming year offers a glimpse into the future of finance and technology. For investors and innovators alike, 2025 is shaping up to be a pivotal year.

You’ve read the summary, now get the full picture

Enjoy this summary? Dive deeper with CF Benchmarks’ full 2025 market outlook, 21 PDF pages of charts, graphs and in-depth crypto insight from the world’s first and leading digital asset index provider.

These materials are for general information purposes only and are not investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, stake, or hold any cryptoasset or to engage in any specific trading strategy. Kraken makes no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, suitability or validity of any such information and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Kraken does not and will not work to increase or decrease the price of any particular cryptoasset it makes available. Some crypto products and markets are regulated and others are unregulated; regardless, Kraken may or may not be required to be registered or otherwise authorised to provide specific products and services in each market, and you may not be protected by government compensation and/or regulatory protection schemes. The unpredictable nature of the crypto-asset markets can lead to loss of funds. Tax may be payable on any return and/or on any increase in the value of your cryptoassets and you should seek independent advice on your taxation position. Geographic restrictions may apply. See Legal Disclosures for each jurisdiction here.

Although the term “stablecoin” is commonly used, there is no guarantee that the asset will maintain a stable value in relation to the value of the reference asset when traded on secondary markets or that the reserve of assets, if there is one, will be adequate to satisfy all redemptions.

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