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Aussie crypto exchanges look to new licensing regime with cautious optimism

Australian crypto exchanges have largely praised the Treasury’s latest proposal to place crypto exchanges under the existing financial services license regime, though some worry it could put the crypto industry into a TradFi-shaped box.

Australian crypto exchanges have praised plans from the Australian Treasury to regulate cryptocurrency exchanges under pre-existing financial services licensing measures.

In an Oct. 16 consultation paper, the Treasury outlined a new suite of proposed regulations, that suggested regulating cryptocurrency exchanges under existing financial services rules as well as introducing a wealth of new guidelines for all Australian firms dealing in digital assets.

Speaking at the Australian Financial Reviews Crypto Summit event on Oct. 16, Australian Treasury Stephen Jones said the new regime was focused on three primary areas: providing a framework for industry growth and innovation, allowing regulatory certainty to crypto service providers, and ensuring that everyday consumers and their assets remain protected.

Caroline Bowler, the CEO of BTC Markets told Cointelegraph she was pleased to have reached a new “key milestone” in the regulatory process and regarded the rules as a positive progression for the wider crypto industry in Australia.

“It’s a great next step for the Australian economy. Digital assets are so clearly the future of financial services. It is imperative the country keeps pace with our international peers, with a robust regulatory framework,” said Bowler.

Similarly, Adrian Przelozny, the CEO of Independent Reserve commended the Federal government on its recommendations to introduce stronger regulation and policy change, telling Cointelegraph that these new proposals could help restore trust in the crypto sector.

“We firmly believe these changes will drive investment, provide certainty to the sector and ultimately, increase consumer protection.”

The general counsel of Swyftx, Adam Percy, also agreed with much of the Treasury’s proposals, saying the primary focus should be ensuring that crypto investors can safely access the benefits of blockchain technology, while still allowing room for innovation.

However, Jonathon Miller, the Managing Director of Kraken Australia, told Cointelegraph he was concerned that the new rules would be stuffing the crypto industry into a TradFi-shaped box.

“Australia is now in the unfortunate situation where our regulation has taken a very long time, so we’re taking the approach of shoehorning crypto into existing financial services regulation,” said Miller.

Related: Rejection of crypto bill exposes Aussies to ‘unregulated market’ — Senator Bragg

Still, Miller admitted that the consultation paper was a step in the right direction, especially for providing much-needed regulatory certainty for crypto companies operating on Australian soil.

“We’re behind our global peers when it comes to implementing a crypto framework, so I appreciate the need to have something in place locally to provide certainty to platforms like ours,” he added.

Liam Hennessy, a partner at Clyde & Co — an international law firm that has been assisting in the consultation process — said that the newest proposal from the Treasury “makes sense” for the Australian crypto industry.

Hennessy explained that the new rules will help the nation catch up to jurisdictions such as the European Union who are further along in their efforts to better regulate crypto.

Additionally, he said the Australian Financial Services (AFS) licensing regime can be quite complicated, meaning that local cryptocurrency exchanges and digital asset service providers will need to begin preparing their applications now.

Magazine: Are DAOs overhyped and unworkable? Lessons from the front lines

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Fidelity renews push for spot Wise Origin BTC Trust, making it 7th applicant this year

The huge asset manager was denied approval for the Wise Origin Trust last year; now, it is joining a long line of spot fund hopefuls.

Asset manager Fidelity Investments has filed an application for a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), according to a filing by Cboe BZX Exchange with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) dated June 19. 

Fidelity’s application follows BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF application on June 15 and those of WisdomTree, Invesco and Valkyrie in the following days. According to Bloomberg, seven applications for a spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETF have been filed this year. Like WisdomTree and Invesco, Fidelity was making a second try at a spot BTC ETF. Similar to other spot BTC ETF applications, this one stated that the CME Bitcoin Futures market “represents a regulated market of significant size as it relates […] to the spot bitcoin market.” It argued the point in detail and cited extensive research to support its view. The 193-page application said:

“The lack of a Spot Bitcoin ETP [exchange-traded product] exposes U.S. investor assets to significant risk because investors that would otherwise seek crypto asset exposure through a Spot Bitcoin ETP are forced to find alternative exposure through generally riskier means.”

It went on to mention the bankrupt FTX, Celsius, BlockFi and Voyager Digital as riskier alternatives of the past. It also argued that investors may buy shares in companies such as Tesla and MicroStrategy — that is, unrelated businesses that have significant BTC investments — to gain BTC exposure themselves.

Related: MicroStrategy’s stock price more than doubles in 2023 in lockstep with Bitcoin

Fidelity Digital Assets Services, a regulated custodian licensed by the New York Department of Financial Services, would be responsible for custody of the trust’s BTC. Cboe BZX said it would enter into a surveillance-sharing agreement with a United States-based cryptocurrency exchange.

The SEC has yet to approve a single application for a spot BTC ETF. The Fidelity 19b-4 form indicated that the firm is reviving its Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust product, which it filed an application for in March 2021. That application was rejected after two extensions of deliberations.

Fidelity has about $11 trillion in assets under administration.

Magazine: 6 Questions for Jennifer Wines of Fidelity Private Wealth Management

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Australian exchanges dispel debanking fears amid Binance saga, but risks loom

Australian crypto exchanges report no problems with their payment providers, but the lack of local laws means more debanking incidents can’t be ruled out.

Australian-based cryptocurrency exchanges have lined up to quash contagion fears after the payments provider for Binance Australia was told to offboard the exchange, though some have warned risks still loom.

On May 18, Binance Australia told users that Australian dollar services were suspended after its payments partner Zepto was told by its partner firm Cuscal to stop support for the exchange.

Independent Reserve CEO Adrian Przelozny told Cointelegraph he doesn’t think “this an industry-wide issue, as it appears to be Binance-specific,” adding the Australian dollar deposits and withdrawals for his exchange “remain uninterrupted.”

BTC Markets CEO Caroline Bowler said she had “no due for concern," adding “we work really closely with [our payments provider], specifically on scams."

“Nothing's been alerted to me that there are any concerns with BTC Markets,” she said. “We are accountable to them on a monthly basis and have been for a sizable period of time.”

Jonathon Miller, Kraken Australia’s managing director, told Cointelegraph there are “only a couple” of payment providers in the local market “that are crypto-friendly, and we’ve got a really strong relationship with them.”

“It’s very unfortunate to see a business in a position where they have to cut their client’s access overnight,” he said.

“It’s not great for the end-user, it’s not great for the industry, but it seems like it’s part of a broader story with what’s been happening with that enterprise for some time.”

Some of the executives noted a significant uptick in the users, downloads and registrations on their platforms as Binance users seemingly hunt for alternative exchanges with Australian dollar payment ramps.

Debanking risks still lurk

Despite assurances, some of the execs noted the regulatory environment in Australia for crypto gives way to more possible debanking situations taking place.

“The risk of debanking is ever-present irrespective of the latest news from Binance,” Bowler said, adding:

“That is reflective of the regulatory environment that we operate in or in this case, the absence of a regulatory environment.”

Bowler added this is the reason Australia needs “a proper regulatory framework,” which she believes will reassure financial institutions about doing business with crypto exchanges.

Such laws “can have a degree of comfort about the standards which they’re operating to,” she added.

Currently, the local industry has a “very limited pool” of payments providers, as exchanges have been “unable to get access to banking rails,” according to Bowler.

Related: Australia marks first FX transaction using a CBDC as eAUD pilot continues

Kraken’s Miller said the problem isn’t “necessarily a local issue,” pointing to the bank collapses in the United States and the perceived debanking of crypto companies that followed but added it’s “certainly been a problem in Australia for a long time.”

“There have been other people and industry bodies have been quite vocal about the relationship being relatively strained between crypto businesses and banking in Australia, and that's not new.”

He added Kraken already had or was engaged in obtaining crypto-related licenses in “multiple jurisdictions,” such as Canada, Europe and the United Kingdom, which have various legal regimes for crypto.

“Australia is kind of sitting here with no regime at all,” he said.

Jason Titman, Swyftx’s chief operating officer, told Cointelegraph that in the long term, “it’s in everyone’s interests for the cryptocurrency industry to have a healthy relationship with our national banks, and that comes with responsibilities on both sides.”

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Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Why is Bitcoin price down today?

Bitcoin price is down, trading at a new yearly low, but what are the primary reasons behind the most recent decline?

After topping the $21,500 mark on Nov. 4, Bitcoin (BTC) price is down by 14% on Nov. 8, reaching a new yearly low at $17,166 and most altcoins are following suit. 

While the Binance and FTX news initially caused an uptick in the market, the day turned south as various unconfirmed sources speculate that FTX’s losses could show a $6 billion deficit.

This price decline breaks Bitcoin’s short-term correlation to the stock market, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down only 0.32%, while the Dow Jones gained 0.48% on the back of investors’ optimism about the Nov. 8 U.S. Midterm elections.

In the backdrop of the current volatility, $614 million in BTC longs are at risk of liquidation with over $224 million liquidated on Nov. 8. The fear for many is if the FTX situation is not resolved by Binance’s bid to purchase the exchange, a sharper sell-off in the market could trigger a liquidation cascade and send BTC price to new lows.

BTC long versus short and liquidations. Coinglass

Let’s investigate the main reasons why the Bitcoin price is down today.

FTX capitulates after investors’ fears of a bank run sap its liquidity

Bitcoin price is reacting to the stress placed on the market by the FTX, reaching a yearly low after a period where many thought the bear market bottom had been found.

The May 2022, Terra Luna implosion and ultimate collapse of LUNA Classic produced the first 7-week losing streak in Bitcoin’s history. The market is drawing parallels between the current FTX bank run, the perceived large budget hole and what happened to Terra Luna earlier this year.

Rising interest rates in the US and abroad weigh on Bitcoin price

Based on the Consumer Price Index Report, inflation in the United States increased by 0.6% in September compared to the previous month.

The Consumer Price Index report - the most widely followed barometer of inflationary pressure in the United States - climbed 8.2% in September compared to the same month a year ago, slightly more than the 8.1% predicted by experts.

With the upcoming CPI reporting event on Nov. 10, Bitcoin saw a volatile 12% decline in 24 hours hitting record lows for 2022.

Bitcoin price index. Source: Cointelegraph

Suppressed retail and institutional inflow

While the number of consumers investing in crypto increased dramatically in 2021, prices are heavily affected by retail traders looking to make money on those shifts. And since June, Bitcoin has been flat, stuck largely in the $18,000 to $21,000 range after dropping from its November 2021 all-time high near $68,000. Going below the all year low may not instantly provoke investor interest.

According to independent market analyst Jaran Mellerud, Bitcoin's on-chain activity has been down for the whole year. Coinbase's second-quarter trading volumes fell by around half to $217 billion.

Between mid-June and mid-July, Binance reported a 50% drop in volume, while Kraken and Gemini saw 75% and 80% drops respectively.

Binance US was one significant exception, reporting a 2% reduction after halting Bitcoin trading fees in June.

FTX has witnessed a run on the bank, seeing a net outflow of $1.1 billion in the first week of November.

FTX outflow chart. Source: DuneAnalytics

Related: Why is the crypto market down today?

Is there a chance for Bitcoin price to reverse course?

The short-term uncertainties in cryptocurrencies do not appear to have changed institutional investors' long-term outlook. According to BNY Mellon CEO Robin Vince, a poll commissioned by the bank found that 91% of institutional investors were interested in investing in tokenized assets in the following years.

Around 40% of them already have cryptocurrency in their portfolios and approximately 75% are actively investing in digital assets or considering doing so.

Worries about FTX’s potential insolvency are clearly instrumental in Bitcoin price sweeping a new yearly low.

In the long term market participants still expect the price of Bitcoin to go up, especially as more banks and financial institutions are seemingly turning to digital cash for settlement purposes.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin Traders Patiently Wait for ‘Uptober’ — Historical Prices Show BTC Gained 10 out of 13 Octobers

Bitcoin Traders Patiently Wait for ‘Uptober’ — Historical Prices Show BTC Gained 10 out of 13 OctobersIn recent times bitcoin’s volatility has been the lowest it’s been since 2020 and after last month’s market downturn, crypto enthusiasts expected a reversal in October. In fact, bitcoin has seen gains in October ten times out of the last 13 years, which has led crypto enthusiasts to call the month “Uptober.” While bitcoin is […]

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin price corrects after hitting a wall at a multi-month descending trendline

“Up only” Bitcoin and Ethereum take a breather after encountering resistance at a stiff multi-month descending trendline.

On Aug. 15, Bitcoin (BTC) price and the wider market corrected while the S&P 500 and DOW looked to build on four-straight weeks of robust gains. Data from TradingView and CNBC show the Dow pushing through its 200-day moving average, a first since April 21 and perhaps a sign for bulls that the market has bottomed. 

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI). Source: TradingView

While equities markets have been strikingly bullish in the face of high inflation and a steady schedule of interest rate hikes, a number of traders fear that the current 32-day uptrend in the DOW and S&P 500 could be a bear market rally.

This week’s (Aug. 17) release of minutes from the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) should give more context to the Federal Reserve’s current view of the health of the United States economy and perhaps shed light on the size of the next interest rate hike.

For the past month, overly bullish crypto traders on Twitter have also been touting a narrative that emphasizes Bitcoin, Ether (ETH) and altcoins selling off prior to FOMC meetings and then rallying afterward if the set rate aligns with investors' projected figure.

Somehow, this short-term dynamic also contributes to investors’ belief that the Fed will “pivot” away from its monetary policy of interest hikes and quantitative tightening after “inflation peaks.” This may be a somewhat profitable trade for savvy day-traders, but it’s important to note that inflation is currently at 8.5% and the Fed’s target is 2%, which is quite aways to go.

Ultimately, Bitcoin price maintains a high correlation to the S&P 500 so investors would be wise to avoid tunnel vision-like narratives that align with their bias and keep an eye on the performance of equities markets.

Bitcoin sells-off at a multi-month trendline resistance

Over the weekend, Bitcoin made a strong move at a multi-month descending trendline and broke through the $24,000 level, following a path that many traders anticipated would trigger an upside move and the VPVR gap fill to the $28,000 to $29,000 level.

Trader Cheds said “BTC really looked like it was going to go last night” but the selling at resistance created an “outside bar” where “the prior trend was challenged” and according to Cheds, this is a sign that “the trend may be stalling and be on the look out for signs of further weakening.”

Pseudonymous trader “Big Smokey” appeared to concur that a “strong directional move” could be on the cards, citing tightening in the Bollinger Bands and separately in the Super Guppy indicators as Bitcoin price drew close to the multi-month descending trendline.

In a separate chart, Big Smokey suggested that if the descending trendline is broken, Bitcoin could see “a 26% pop to $28K before more sideways chop,” resulting in an eventual retest of the $24,000 level.

After hitting similar overhead resistance levels, most altcoins also followed Bitcoin’s lead by posting single-digit losses, but those that were flashing bottoming signals are still rounding out with what appear to be reversal patterns.

AVAX, FTM and SOL daily chart. Source: TradingView

Related: Shiba Inu eyes 50% rally as SHIB price enters ‘cup-and-handle’ breakout mode

Every dog has its day

Interestingly, on Sunday (Aug. 14) popular traders on Crypto Twitter prophesied that the sharp gains from meme tokens like Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Dogecoin (DOGE) were a clear sign that the bull phase was over-extended and en route to a correction.

Ultimately, after a 130% and 42.5% rally from Ether and BTC, each was poised for a bit of profit taking, especially at resistance. Open Interest on both assets remains near all-time highs, but what it will take to trigger BTC to breakout or breakdown at the multi-month descending trendline is unknown.

Perhaps a 1% rate hike, stiffer crypto regulations or a surprise turn-around in equities markets could send price tumbling back toward yearly lows. Alternatively, a successful Ethereum Merge could be a positive catalyst that triggers a high volume surge above Bitcoin's key resistance level.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Will the Bitcoin mining industry collapse? Analysts explain why crisis is really opportunity

Many BTC miners are in a tough spot and a few could collapse, but experts say the industry is here to stay.

Bitcoin mining involves a delicate balance between multiple moving parts. Miners already have to face capital and operational costs, unexpected repairs, product shipping delays and unexpected regulation that can vary from country to country — and in the case of the United States, from state to state. On top of that, they also had to contend with Bitcoin’s precipitous drop from $69,000 to $17,600. 

Despite BTC price being 65% down from its all-time high, the general consensus among miners is to keep calm and carry on by just stacking sats, but that doesn't mean the market has reached a bottom just yet.

In an exclusive Bitcoin miners panel hosted by Cointelegraph, Luxor CEO Nick Hansen said, “There’s going to definitely be a capital crunch in publicly listed companies or at least not even just publicly listed companies. There’s probably close to $4 billion worth of new ASICs that need to be paid for as they come out, and that capital is no longer available.”

Hansen elaborated with:

“Hedge funds blow up very quickly. I think miners are going to take 3 to 6 months to blow up. So we’ll see who’s got good operations and who’s able to survive this low margin environment.”

When asked about future challenges and expectations for the Bitcoin mining industry, PRTI Inc. advisor Magdalena Gronowska said, “One of the biggest challenges that we’ve had in this transition to a low-carbon economy and reducing GHG emissions has been an underinvestment in technology and infrastructure by the public and private sectors. What I think is really amazing about Bitcoin mining is that it’s really presenting a completely novel way to fund or subsidize that development of energy or waste management infrastructure. And that's a way that’s beyond those traditional taxpayer or electricity ratepayer pathways because this way is based on a purely elegant system of economic incentives.”

Will Bitcoin destroy the environment?

As the panel discussion shifted to the environmental impact of BTC mining and the widely held assumption that Bitcoin’s energy consumption is a threat to the planet, Blockware Solutions analyst Joe Burnett said:

“I think Bitcoin mining is just not bad for the environment, period, I think if anything, it incentivizes more energy production, it improves grid reliability, and resilience and I think it will likely lower retail electricity rates in the long term.”

According to Burnett, “Bitcoin mining is a bounty to produce cheap energy, and this is good for all of humanity.”

Related: Texas a Bitcoin ‘hot spot’ even as heat waves affect crypto miners

Will industrial Bitcoin mining catalyze the long-awaited “mass adoption” of crypto?

Regarding Bitcoin mining dominance, the future of the industry and whether or not the growth of industrial mining could eventually lead to crypto mass adoption, Hashworks CEO Todd Esse said, “I believe that most of the mining down the road will be held in the Middle East and North America, and to some extent Asia. Depending upon how much they are eventually able to cut off. And that really speaks to the availability of natural resources and the cost of power.”

While it is easy to assume that growing synergy between big energy companies and Bitcoin mining would add validity to BTC as an investment asset and possibly facilitate its mass adoption, Hansen disagreed.

Hansen said:

“No, certainly not, but it is going to be the thing that transforms everyone's life whether they know it or not. By being that buyer of last resort and buyer of first resort for energy. It's going to transform energy, energy markets and the way it is produced and consumed here in the US. And overall, it should significantly improve the human condition over time.

Don’t miss the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

Disclaimer. Cointelegraph does not endorse any content of product on this page. While we aim at providing you all important information that we could obtain, readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company and carry full responsibility for their decisions, nor this article can be considered as an investment advice.

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin price falls under $21K, bringing more capitulation or just consolidation?

Multiple indicators and on-chain metrics reflect confluence pointing to an improving market, but technical analysis still raises the possibility of Bitcoin dropping to new yearly lows.

On July 26, Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped below $21,000, giving back the majority of the gains accrued in the previous week and returning to the $23,300 to $18,500 range that Glassnode analysts describe as “the Week 30 high and Week 30 low.” 

A handful of analysts and traders attribute the July 26 to July 27 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and the expected Federal Reserve rate hike as the primary reasons for the current sell-off.

Barring the announcement that the United States economy has entered a recession, a few traders believe that the expected 75 to 100 basis point (BPS) hike will be followed by a relief rally that could see BTC, Ether and other large-cap altcoins snack back to the top of their current range. Of course, this sentiment reflects more speculation than sound analysis, so take it with a grain of salt.

Bitcoin week 30 price range. Source: Glassnode

Given that BTC price is simply continuing to trade in the same range that it has been in for the past 42 days, the real question is whether the market will bring more consolidation or another round of capitulation.

In its July 26 on-chain newsletter, Glassnode analysts posit that investors can find their “conviction through confluence” of multiple technical and on-chain metrics which suggest the peak of capitulation has long past.

According to the analysts, rapid deleveraging threw many metrics into “extreme statistical deviations” and with the worst of the selling possibly behind us, Bitcoin price returning to the high $20,000 zone was expected.

Glassnode notes that the:

“The June leg down in price action has produced the lowest 4-yr rolling Z-Score value on record.”

And the analysts explained that the 4-year rolling MVRV Z-score “signaled undervaluation for all bear cycle bottoms, including 2015, 2018, and the March 2020 flash crash.”

Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score 4 year Rolling chart. Source: Glassnode

When compared against various cohorts of long and short-term sellers, and metrics like Realised Price, Mayer Multiple and longer-term daily and weekly moving averages, Glassnode suggests that confluence in the indicators and historical data point to growing bullish momentum.

On-chain data spots a bottom, but what does technical analysis say?

From the perspective of technical analysis, Bitcoin’s move to $24,200 presented a brief breakout from the current range, but the inability to sustain momentum at this level presented the necessary alternative of a lower support retest at the range midline near the 20-day moving average ($21,500).

According to independent market analyst Michaël van de Poppe, $21,600 was the area for BTC to hold and below this the asset’s price action is dependent upon commentary from this week’s FOMC comments.

CryptoISO expressed a similar sentiment regarding the correlation of equities to Bitcoin and the importance of the $21,500 zone for BTC price.

Fractal lovers will note that the price action within the current range is eerily similar to the May 8 through July 12 range-bound trading and following breakdown that took place on July 12, but analysts would quickly point out that back-to-back calamities like Voyager, Celsius and 3AC blowing up played a significant role in that sell-off, whereas now there appears to be no discernible black swan events on the horizon.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Tradingview

Regardless, both reflect periods of 34 to 42 days of sideways trading and on many occasions, veteran trader Peter Brandt has identified the current market structure as a “bearish rectangle” technical analysis pattern.

Bearish rectangle breakdown. Source: MoneyControl.com

In the event that the pattern breaks to the downside from the current range, this would place the price in the $14,500 to $13,000 zone some traders have been lusting for.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Tradingview

Ultimately, last week’s range breakout to $24,200 (July 20) pierced the upper band of the Bollinger Bands momentum indicator and now that price is below the midline, there is an increased chance that BTC could trade down to the lower band which conveniently resides at the bottom of the current range ($24,200 to $18,600).

Trading within range is not much to worry about until a breakout or breakdown catalyst emerges. Perhaps tomorrow's (July 27) earnings from big tech companies, the state of the market at the opening bell and comments from the FOMC will determine the direction Bitcoin decides to take. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin price dips under $23K after earnings report reveals Tesla sold 75% of its BTC

BTC’s march toward $24,000 took a brief pause after media headlines announced that Tesla had sold 75% of its Bitcoin position.

Easy come, easy go was the story on July 20 as the day started on a positive note with Bitcoin (BTC) climbing above $24,300, only to end the official trading day in the red after less than stellar Q2 earning news showed Tesla sold 75% of its Bitcoin and Minecraft reversed course by deciding to ban NFTs on its platform.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

A potential source of the afternoon downturn can be traced to Tesla’s Q2 earnings data, which showed that the electric car company sold off 75% of its Bitcoin holdings in order to add $963 million in cash to its balance sheet.

Shortly after the Tesla news broke, Bitcoin price pulled back from its daily high at $24,280 to $22,900 before stabilizing around $23,500.

Related: Bitcoin price hits $24K, but analysts say on-chain data points to an ‘inevitable’ pullback

Traders bullish estimates may have been premature

Today's unexpected pullback may have also helped to bring a little bear market perspective to crypto traders who were ready to call for an end to the bear market.

While the pullback for Bitcoin has thus far been relatively mild, multiple altcoins experienced steeper declines as recent price runups created a nice opportunity for traders to book some gains.

The Ethereum (ETH) layer-two solution Polygon (MATIC) has saw an 11.5% following a week in which the token increased by 87%. Arweave (AR) saw its token price tumble by 10.84% and Filecoin (FIL) experienced a pullback of 10.2%.

On the flip side, the only tokens in the top 100 that have managed hold onto positive gains for the day are Steem (STEEM) and Reef (REEF), which recorded slight gains of 6.27% and 3.15% respectively.

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.035 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 42.7%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin price hits $24K, but analysts say on-chain data points to an ‘inevitable’ pullback

The crypto market rally continues, but analysts are on the fence about whether BTC and ETH will slip back into range or push closer to higher-timeframe resistance levels.

Cryptocurrency investors continue to enjoy this week's bullish price action after Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and a handful of altcoins rallied on July 20 alongside gains in the traditional markets

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that a midday rally by Bitcoin bulls managed to lift the top crypto to a daily high of $24,281, which sparked a new round of bullish proclamations on Crypto Twitter.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

While the week-long climb has helped boost investor sentiment, several analysts are warning traders to not get too far ahead of themselves because the market is still providing some red flags worth taking note of.

Prepare for an inevitable pullback

Bitcoin’s climb above $24,000 officially confirmed a breakout from the previous trading range between $18,000 and $22,500, according to market analyst Caleb Franzen, who posted the following chart noting the question the market now faces. 

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Twitter

Franzen said,

“Regardless, my belief is that the next pullback will be a major test within this bear market. Will buyers step in aggressively on a pullback or capitulate?

Whale wallets remain dormant

One reason to be wary of the current rally's ability to sustain itself is the lack of whale wallet activity, according to on-chain research firm Jarvis Labs.

Bitcoin divergence chart. Source: Jarvis Labs

The red and orange dots on the BTC divergence chart above represent buying activity by large and small whale wallets at different points in time. As shown in the red highlighted box, activity from whales has been almost non-existent over the past few months as Bitcoin trended down.

Data from Jarvis Labs also showed that larger entities have yet to return to active buying, and the chart below shows the change in BTC whale holdings.

BTC whale holding change. Source: Jarvis Labs

Jarvis Labs said,

"We want to see this pattern of colored dots begin moving up and to the right. If we get it, then that’ll be a positive sign that any rally could have significant momentum behind it."

Based on the trends identified, Jarvis Labs stated that “it is hard to get too excited about a rally extending beyond the liquidity that sits around $28,000,” and instead suggested that “For now, the lower band at $25K seems most likely.”

Related: Bitcoin may hit $120K in 2023, says trader as BTC price gains 25% in a week

The high time frame trend remains bearish

The turnaround in sentiment over the past week was acknowledged by market analyst and swing trader il Capo of Crypto, who noted that the “Low timeframe trend is bullish, no doubt about it.”

But before jumping all in on this rally, il Capo of Crypto also posted the following chart warning that the “high timeframe trend is still bearish and this is another lower high.”

BTC/USD 12-hour chart. Source: Twitter

Il Capo of Crypto said,

“Ltf [low time frame] bearish confirmation is below $22K. Main target remains $15.8K-$16.2K.”

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.062 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 42.7%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Crypto Trader Says One Blue-Chip Altcoin Primed To Skyrocket by 150%, Updates Outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum