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ECB Member Fabio Panetta Claims Rising Profit Margins Could Be Fueling Inflation

ECB Member Fabio Panetta Claims Rising Profit Margins Could Be Fueling InflationFabio Panetta, a member of the executive board of the European Central Bank (ECB), has stated that companies increasing their profit margins could be helping to fuel inflation. In an interview with the New York Times, Panetta warned about the effect that companies increasing such margins could have on inflation levels in the long term. […]

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

European Banking Federation shares its vision of digital euro, wCBDC, bank tokens

The EBF calls itself the voice of the European banking sector; it expressed its support for European digital money, with suggestions of its own.

The European Banking Federation (EBF) has released a paper detailing its vision for the digital money ecosystem of the future, and the retail digital euro in particular. The carefully worded paper expressed values and concerns about the digital euro from the perspective of commercial banks. 

The paper, released on March 28, emphasized the bank's values, such as stability and privacy. It called for closer public-private partnership in the introduction of the digital euro. “There is currently no dialogue in place to address the fundamental changes and risks to the monetary and financial system,” the paper said. At the same time, there needs to be a framework for permanent high-level engagement.

The EBF ecosystem vision emphasized the role of the private sector in all aspects, beginning with infrastructure, where Europe needs to lessen dependence on outside “actors.” That ecosystem would contain three elements: the digital euro, a wholesale central bank digital currency (CBDC) and bank-issued money tokens.

Related: ECB executive board member outlines plans for digital euro to European Parliament

In the EBF vision, the digital euro should have three levels, with a European Central Bank role and two industry levels — the first to interact with the Single Euro Payments Area and an Industry Level B that “would be subsequently developed and operated by the private sector, in compliance with the principles set out in the previous layers.” Those principles have yet to be developed fully:

“The European market needs the authorities to clarify the interaction of different and converging policy objectives, especially when it comes to the development of pan-European payment solutions at the Point of Sale / Point of Interaction.”

The paper was careful to refer to blockchain technology only in reference to certain parts of its envisioned ecosystem. A wholesale CBDC, where interoperability is key to enabling cross-border transactions with central bank money, was assumed to operate on distributed ledger technology (DLT).

In addition, bank-issued money tokens had a crucial role in the EBF vision for “business needs such as automated industrial processes that run on DLT and use smart contracts.” These tokens apparently correspond to Industry Level B of the digital euro scheme. More standardization would be needed for these solutions as well, the paper noted.

The EBF represents 33 national banking associations and 3,500 individual banks.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

Digital Euro Key for European Payment Autonomy, ECB President Lagarde Says

Digital Euro Key for European Payment Autonomy, ECB President Lagarde SaysThe digital euro has an important role in preserving the payment autonomy of Europe, the head of the eurozone’s monetary authority emphasized. The new currency, which is still under development, is meant to be sovereign and safe, cheap and widely available, Christine Lagarde assured during a discussion devoted to central bank digital currencies. Payment Cards […]

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

Undeterred by Fears of a Banking Crisis, ECB Raises Interest Rates by 50bps

Undeterred by Fears of a Banking Crisis, ECB Raises Interest Rates by 50bpsThe European Central Bank (ECB) has convened to raise three of its key interest rates by 50bps (0.5%), fueled by the persistence in the inflation numbers reported by the bloc. Christine Lagarde, president of the institution, stated that the banking sector in Europe was resilient and that the institution was ready to provide liquidity if […]

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

Central Banks Continue to Show Strong Demand for Gold in 2023, Says World Gold Council Report

Central Banks Continue to Show Strong Demand for Gold in 2023, Says World Gold Council ReportCentral banks show continued demand for gold in 2023, as per a recent report from the World Gold Council (WGC), which noted that the world’s central banks accumulated 31 tons of the precious metal in January. Turkey was the largest gold buyer, adding 23 tons to its central bank’s stash, while the People’s Bank of […]

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

Bullish crypto traders maintain the upper hand despite the total market cap rejecting at $1T

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes says catastrophe is coming for the crypto sector, but derivatives data shows bulls slowly taking control of the market.

The total crypto market capitalization soared by 29.4% in two weeks, although Bitcoin's (BTC) price stabilized near $21,000 on Jan. 19.

As a result, it became increasingly difficult to justify that the 5-month-long bearish trend still prevails after the $930 billion total crypto channel top has been breached. Still, the psychological $1 trillion resistance remains strong.

Total crypto market cap in USD, 2-day. Source: TradingView

The move possibly reflects investors becoming more optimistic about risk assets after weaker than expected inflation metrics signaled that United States Federal Reserve interest rate hikes strategy should ease throughout 2023.

However, Klaas Knot, who serves as the governor of the Dutch central bank, stated on Jan. 19 that the European Central Bank (ECB) "will not stop after a single 50 basis point hike, that's for sure."

At the Davos forum Knot added: "core inflation has not yet turned the corner in the Euro area."

In essence, investors fear that another round of interest rate increases could further pressure corporate earnings, triggering unemployment and a deep recession. In this case, a sell-off on the stock market becomes the base scenario, and the crypto markets would likely follow the bear trend.

To further prove the strong correlation between cryptocurrencies and the stock markets, the Russell 2000 index faced a 3.4% decline between Jan. 18 and Jan. 19. The movement coincides with the total crypto market capitalization correcting by 4% after flirting with the $1 trillion mark on Jan. 18.

The 10.4% gain in total market capitalization between Jan. 12 and Jan. 19 was impacted mainly by Bitcoin's 10.4% gains and Ether (ETH), which traded up by 8.7%. The bullish sentiment was more eventful for altcoins, with 8 of the top 80 coins gaining 20% or more in the period.

Weekly winners and losers among the top 80 coins. Source: Nomics

Metaverse-related tokens rallied after tech giant Apple announced the upcoming release of its VR headset. Top movers included Decentraland (MANA) with 55%, Enjin (ENJ) with 37%, and The Sandbox (SAND) up 30%.

Frax Share (FXS) rallied 40% as it reached 65,000 Ether deposited on its liquid staking protocol, which currently has over U$ 100 million in total value locked.

Privacy coins like Monero (XMR) and ZCash (ZEC) both declined after increased regulatory risks and the U.S. Department of Justice announced its arrest of the founder of Bitzlato, a peer-to-peer crypto exchange.

Demand for leveraged bullish bets rises

Perpetual contracts, also known as inverse swaps, have an embedded rate that is usually charged every eight hours. Exchanges use this fee to avoid exchange risk imbalances.

A positive funding rate indicates that longs (buyers) demand more leverage. However, the opposite situation occurs when shorts (sellers) require additional leverage, causing the funding rate to turn negative.

Perpetual futures accumulated 7-day funding rate on Jan. 19. Source: Coinglass

The 7-day funding rate was positive in every instance, meaning the data points to a higher demand for leverage longs (buyers) in the period. Still, being charged 0.25% per week to maintain their bullish trades opened should not be a significant concern for most investors.

Thus, traders should analyze the options markets to understand whether whales and arbitrage desks have placed higher bets on bullish or bearish strategies.

Investors are not afraid of dips, according to BTC options

Traders can gauge the market's overall sentiment by measuring whether more activity is going through call (buy) options or put (sell) options. Generally speaking, call options are used for bullish strategies, whereas put options are for bearish ones.

A 0.70 put-to-call ratio indicates that put options open interest lag the more bullish calls by 30% and is therefore bullish. In contrast, a 1.40 indicator favors put options by 40%, which can be deemed bearish.

BTC options volume put-to-call ratio. Source: laevitas.ch

Even though Bitcoin's price failed to break the $21,500 resistance on Jan. 18, there were no signs of increased demand for downside protection. This becomes evident as the put-to-call volume remained below 0.80 the entire time, even after the negative 5.5% move on Jan. 18.

The neutral-to-bearish strategies remain strongly in demand in the BTC option markets, favoring call (buy) options by 23%.

Related: Compass Mining sued for losing Bitcoin mining machines bought by customers

Derivatives markets suggest support at the $930 billion level is strong

After solid gains over the past 7 days, the cryptocurrency market continues to show resilience despite warnings of a "global financial meltdown" from BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes. "2023 could be just as bad as 2022 until the Fed pivots," Hayes wrote, calling that scenario his "base case."

According to crypto derivatives metrics, there is hardly any sense of fear or absence of leverage buying demand after the total market capitalization first missed the opportunity to breach the $1 trillion mark. Those are encouraging signs, especially when combined with the technical analysis of the descending channel breakout.

Consequently, the odds favor the previous channel top at $930 billion becoming a strong support level. So, for now, even a downturn in traditional markets should not be a huge concern for crypto bulls, but investors should continue monitoring derivatives metrics.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

Eurozone Finance Ministers Pledge Support for Digital Euro Project, Talk Privacy

Eurozone Finance Ministers Pledge Support for Digital Euro Project, Talk PrivacyThe ministers of finance of the countries in the eurozone reaffirmed their support for efforts to prepare for the potential launch of a digital euro. Meanwhile, the single currency area’s monetary authority sought to reassure future users that the new currency will be “preserving privacy by default and by design.” Eurogroup to Remain Involved in […]

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

EU finance ministers’ group releases statement on political aspects of digital euro

The Eurogroup confirmed its support for digital euro research and noted that some of the design and use elements under consideration would require political decision making.

The Eurogroup, consisting of all the finance ministers from the euro-zone countries, released a statement Jan. 16 on the introduction of the digital euro, after meeting in Brussels. The group meets regularly to discuss political dimensions of the potential digital currency, it said. The statement release coincides with the release of a European Central Bank (ECB) “stock taking” document detailing the progress of digital euro design.

The Eurogroup statement addressed the need for the European Central Bank and European Commission to inform the Eurogroup and EU member states of developments in the creation of the digital euro, which is in its investigative phase. The statement said:

“The Eurogroup considers that the introduction of a digital euro as well as its main features and design choices requires political decisions that should be discussed and taken at the political level.”

The group listed the issues it was watching, which included environmental impacts of a digital currency, privacy, financial stability and related issues. It also expressed an interest in the plans of non-euro-zone European Union members states in regards to central bank digital currencies.

The members of the group “stand ready to contribute to these discussions,” they assured, adding:

“We also welcome the [European] Commission’s intention to table in the first half of 2023 a legislative proposal that would establish the digital euro and regulate its main features, subject to the decision of the co-legislators.”

That proposal is intended to come before the ECB Governing Council reviews the results of the digital currency investigative phase in the third quarter of the year.

Related: Queen Máxima of the Netherlands comes out in support of digital euro

The Eurogroup statement comes a day after a former Bank of England advise published an editorial in The Financial Times saying that creating CBDCs is not worth the cost and risk.

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

ECB’s Fabio Panetta: Unbacked Cryptos Are a ‘Vehicle for Gambling’ Lacking ‘Intrinsic Value’

ECB’s Fabio Panetta: Unbacked Cryptos Are a ‘Vehicle for Gambling’ Lacking ‘Intrinsic Value’Fabio Panetta, part of the Executive Committee of the European Central Bank (ECB), believes that unbacked cryptocurrency assets are vehicles for gambling without intrinsic value, which need to be regulated. In an opinion piece, Panetta states that while cryptocurrency regulation is a good answer to the problem, it must also touch on decentralized finance structures. […]

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’

Crypto can get weird: The 5 strangest stories of the industry in 2022

Filmmakers are interested in documenting one of this year’s weirdest stories in crypto, but what else made the list?

From Terra to FTX, 2022 has given us many weird crypto stories. While investors have been enduring a bear market that saw the crypto industry sink below the $1 trillion market capitalization mark, adoption in the space has been growing, and old mysteries were finally solved.

From the incredible short squeeze of a bankrupt company’s token to old anti-crypto arguments used by a major central bank, we’re getting weird with five stories the best fiction writers couldn’t dream up.

“Comedic rapper” charged over Bitfinex hack

Back in 2016, popular cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex suffered a major security breach that saw attackers steal 119,756 Bitcoin (BTC), worth approximately $72 million at the time. It was one of the largest crypto hacks in history, and although Bitfinex continued operating, its reputation was damaged for years to come.

This year, Heather Morgan, known by her rap name “Razzlekhan,” and her husband Ilya Lichtenstein were arrested by the Federal Bureau of Investigation for allegedly conspiring to launder crypto connected to the Bitfinex hack.

During a court appearance in New York, the pair proclaimed their innocence and were released on multimillion-dollar bonds. The weird part of this story is the details surrounding Morgan’s work as a “comedic rapper” and social media influencer. One of her songs even says it is dedicated to “the entrepreneurs and hackers, all the misfits and smart slackers.”

Morgan, who calls herself the “crocodile of Wall Street,” was labeled a master of “deceit and deception” by federal authorities. While her home was being searched, Morgan allegedly asked federal agents for permission to retrieve her cat from under the bed and, while doing so, tried to lock her phone.

Morgan and Lichtenstein reportedly traveled to Ukraine in 2019 to attain false identities and create fake passports, and have “established financial accounts” in Ukraine and Russia.

She was a regular contributor to Forbes. The day before the Bitfinex hack, she posted a picture next to Lichtenstein with a caption saying she will “always love getting into trouble w/ this crazy guy.”

Commenting on Morgan and Lichtenstein’s arrest, Dymtro Volkov, head of global innovations at crypto exchange CEX.io, told Cointelegraph that with the proper technical resources, “it is possible to track the flow of most funds moving on a blockchain network” and that “hiding a huge amount of stolen funds is actually quite a complex task.”

Notably, the pair isn’t being charged with the hack but laundering the stolen funds. The sordid details of the story have even caught the interest of filmmakers. Hulu is producing a true-crime limited series about Morgan’s life, and Netflix has ordered a docuseries on the story.

Bankrupt Celsius Network’s CEL token surges 4,000%

Shortly after cryptocurrency lending platform Celsius Network filed for bankruptcy, the price of its native utility token, CEL (CEL), jumped by more than 4,100%. In only two months, the price climbed from a bottom of $0.093 to a near $4 high.

The surge came amid rumors that Ripple, a company engaged in a legal battle with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, could take over Celsius’ assets. Other rumors suggested Goldman Sachs planned to acquire Celsius for $2 billion.

Traders organized a massive short squeeze. Short squeezes occur when an asset’s price rises suddenly, forcing short sellers to buy back the asset at a higher price to close their positions.

The short squeeze was possible because a freeze on Celsius token transfers significantly reduced the circulating supply of CEL.

https://cointelegraph.com/historical/?utm_source=CT&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=navigation
Click “Collect” below the illustration at the top of the page or follow this link.

At the time of the short squeeze, Cointelegraph reported that FTX had about 5.1 million CEL tokens, amounting to 90% of the total circulating supply on exchanges.

It’s currently believed traders on FTX pulled off the short squeeze, but deleted tweets suggest that the origins of the movement may not be fully understood, and some believe Alameda Research was directly involved. We do know that at least some traders are still trying to get a CEL short squeeze going again, even after the token dropped to $0.50.

Binance’s letter of intent

Binance’s surprising letter of intent to acquire the collapsing FTX exchange is another weird story of 2022. At the time, many in crypto believed FTX was a solvent, well-run company. When Binance announced its intent to liquidate its holdings of FTX Token (FTT) following speculation regarding the solvency of FTX, what was seen as a rivalry between Binance and FTX soon turned into a potential buyout no one was expecting.

As FTX’s solvency was hardly being questioned, CEO Sam Bankman-Fried announced an “agreement on a strategic transaction” with Binance. It was a weird and unexpected revelation because, until that point, Bankman-Fried had dismissed concerns about the solvency of FTX.

Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao added to those concerns when he tweeted, “This afternoon, FTX asked for our help. There is a significant liquidity crunch. To protect users, we signed a non-binding LOI, intending to fully acquire FTX.com and help cover the liquidity crunch. We will be conducting a full DD in the coming days”.

The deal fell through the next day after Binance conducted its due diligence, with the reasons becoming clear soon after.

European Central Bank spreads FUD

In late November, the European Central Bank (ECB) published a blog post in which it argued that Bitcoin’s recovery from $17,000 to $20,000 was likely an “artificially induced last gasp before the road to irrelevance.”

The ECB said that Bitcoin is “rarely used for legal transactions” and that “real Bitcoin transactions are cumbersome, slow and expensive.” The central bank daringly wrote that Bitcoin has never been used “to any significant extent for real-world legal transactions.”

Related: The most eco-friendly blockchain networks in 2022

According to the ECB, Bitcoin has benefited from “waves of new investors” while not being suitable as an investment. It doesn’t generate cash flow or dividends, nor can it be productively used or “provide social benefits.”

The statement argues that blockchain technology has “created limited value for society” and that the “Bitcoin system is an unprecedented polluter.” It also suggested that cryptocurrency promotion bears a “reputational risk for banks.”

Every point the ECB brought up has been used to attack the cryptocurrency community, and every single point has been rebuffed.

The ECB has recycled several crypto myths that have been used to hold the industry back. The post comes as the ECB accelerates progress on developing a digital euro. One of the post’s authors, Ulrich Bindseil, has authored numerous posts on central bank digital currencies.

Besides the recycled myths, what’s weird is the ECB’s unclear angle, as many don’t consider CBDCs to be competing with cryptocurrencies, which are often seen as a way to exit the shortcomings of fiat currency systems.

Speaking to Cointelegraph, Anton Bukov, co-founder of 1inch Network, said the ECB’s post was good for the cryptocurrency community, as it means the “government came to the second or even third stage of Gandhi’s thought: First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”

Central African Republic’s crypto plan

The Central African Republic (CAR) became the second country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender earlier this year, allowing around 5 million residents to use the flagship cryptocurrency alongside the country’s fiat currency, the Central African CFA franc.

The move came after Central African Republic President Faustin-Archange Touadéra signed a bill into law establishing a regulatory framework for Bitcoin as legal tender. While the crypto community initially celebrated the move, the weird side of this soon became apparent.

Although the CAR is a mineral-rich nation, its people are among the poorest in the world. It has been devastated by a decade-long civil war, and it is estimated that nine out of 10 residents don’t even have access to the internet. CAR’s decision was accompanied by little to no explanation, with President Touadéra tweeting a simple “more to follow.”

The tweet was referring to an anouncement about the country’s “visionary” plan to create a “fantastic opportunity for anyone who believes in crypto investing.” That opportunity is the Sango project, which appears to now be an initial coin offering for the country’s CBDC.

The project claims that the country’s treasury will have a dedicated Bitcoin reserve and allow citizens to have a “voice and chance to shape the future” through a governance system. Citizenship can be acquired by locking fixed collateral in Sango. Other benefits include e-residency, land ownership and 0% income tax for digital assets.

While attracting foreign investment is an intelligent move from CAR, a Bitcoin-based initial coin offering from a war-torn country is a weird development. CEX.io’s Volkov told Cointelegraph that cryptocurrencies are “well positioned to help emerging economies fill gaps in the services their domestic financial systems are lacking” and could help connect domestic financial systems to global markets. Volkov added that the move may help the country’s economy:

“Making crypto legal tender, or at least creating a legal framework that defines its usage, allows financial companies to introduce cheap and fast financial services that customers can access even with unreliable access to the internet.”

He also said cryptocurrencies can have a “hugely positive effect on countries with developing financial systems looking to participate in the global economy.”

The stories covered in this article make it clear how unpredictable the cryptocurrency space can be during bear and bull markets. If anything, anyone following what’s going on is enjoying a rollercoaster ride they will never forget.

Bitcoin Eyes a Positive Finish to September, Setting the Stage for ‘Uptober’