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IMF execs float raising crypto mining electricity prices by 85%

A tax on the energy used by crypto miners could cut emissions by 100 million tons a year, equal to Belgium’s emissions, say two IMF executives.

Two executives from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) say increasing the average crypto mining electricity costs globally by as much as 85% through taxes could put a huge dent in carbon emissions. 

A tax of $0.047 per kilowatt hour “would drive the crypto mining industry to curb its emissions in line with global goals,” the IMF Fiscal Affairs Department’s deputy division chief Shafik Hebous and climate policy division economist Nate Vernon-Lin wrote on Aug. 15.

If accounting for miners’ local impact on health, the tax would rise to $0.089 per kilowatt hour, the pair said.

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Senator Cynthia Lummis releases report attacking Biden’s mining tax

The pro-crypto senator claimed that Bitcoin mining consumes as much energy as household appliances such as tumble dryers.

On July 23, Senator Cynthia Lummis released a report arguing against the Biden administration’s proposed 30% excise tax on the energy consumed by Bitcoin miners.

The report, titled Powering Down Progress: Why A Bitcoin Mining Tax Hurts America, put the Bitcoin (BTC) mining industry into sharper focus, highlighting the benefits of the critical mining infrastructure to the United States' energy grid.

Lummis cited the Bitcoin Energy and Emissions Sustainability Tracker as evidence that Bitcoin mining is cleaner than is commonly imagined, noting that up to 52.6% of BTC mining might be emissions-free.

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Bitcoin uses more renewable energy, but will Tesla accept it again?

Tesla removed Bitcoin payments citing environmental concerns, but Elon Musk pledged to reinstate them if renewable energy use on the network increased.

Four years have passed since Tesla stopped accepting Bitcoin, citing environmental concerns. While the Bitcoin mining industry has reportedly increased its share of renewable energy consumption, Tesla doesn’t appear ready to return to Bitcoin payments anytime soon.

On Feb. 8, 2021, Tesla disclosed a $1.5 billion investment in Bitcoin (BTC) in a filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Tesla CEO Elon Musk also decided to include the cryptocurrency in the company’s treasury and began accepting BTC as a form of payment for the company’s electric vehicles.

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Venezuela bans crypto mining to protect power grid

This move follows a recent crackdown that involved confiscating 2,000 cryptocurrency mining devices as part of an anti-corruption initiative.

The Venezuelan government has joined the list of countries that have frowned on crypto mining due to its hefty electricity demands.

According to a local news outlet, Venezuela’s Ministry of Electric Power (MPPPE) has unveiled plans to disconnect cryptocurrency mining farms from the national grid. The move aims to regulate excessive energy consumption and guarantee a stable power supply for the population.

An X post from Venezuela’s National Association of Cryptocurrencies stated that crypto mining is prohibited throughout Venezuela. The move prioritizes energy stability over the burgeoning crypto-mining industry.

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Bitcoin price and energy use for mining highly correlated: UN Report

The UN scientists evaluated the activities of 76 Bitcoin mining nations during the 2020–2021 period and found that the global Bitcoin mining network consumed 173.42 Terawatt hours of electricity.

A recent study conducted by the United Nations (UN) suggested a direct correlation between the price of Bitcoin (BTC) and the energy needed for mining operations.

The UN scientists evaluated the activities of 76 Bitcoin mining nations during the 2020–2021 period and found that the global Bitcoin mining network consumed 173.42 Terawatt hours of electricity. During this timeframe, the crypto ecosystem was undergoing a bull run, and Bitcoin rallied to mark its all-time high of $69,000. The UN report highlighted:

“A 400% increase in Bitcoin’s price from 2021 to 2022 triggered a 140% increase in the energy consumption of the worldwide Bitcoin mining network.”

At the time, fossil energy sources accounted for 67% of the electricity generated for Bitcoin mining. However, crypto entrepreneurs have taken proactive measures to increase their dependence on green energy.

Hydropower satisfied over 16% of the total electricity demand of the global Bitcoin mining network, nuclear, solar and wind energy sources provided 9%, 2% and 5% respectively.

According to the UN report, the top ten Bitcoin mining nations at the time — China, USA, Kazakhstan, Russia, Malaysia, Canada, Germany, Iran, Ireland, and Singapore — together were responsible for 92–94% of the global carbon, water, and land footprint of Bitcoin.

The global push for greener alternatives to fulfil the grid demand will also help reduce the carbon footprint of Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem.

Related: Bitcoin mining is becoming more environmentally friendly

Recently, Genesis Digital Assets Limited (GDA), a mining and data center company with over 400 megawatts (MW) of power generation worldwide, opened a new data center in Sweden running 1,900 Bitcoin mining machines, driven by the country’s burgeoning renewable energy surplus.

Christian Anders, founder of BT.CX, told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin mining is not very common due to high energy prices. However, he added:

“Sweden, Finland and Norway have a surplus of energy and negative energy prices from time to time, and primarily renewable energy in the form of hydropower in a remote location which is hard to distribute.”

In parallel, Bitcoin mining equipment manufacturers continue to deliver energy-efficient hardware. At the World Digital Mining Summit (WDMS) on Sept. 22, Bitcoin miners shared their plans to help decarbonize the crypto ecosystem.

Bitmain rolled out its efficiency-focused Antminer S21, while Nazar Khan, Terrawulf’s chief operating officer, highlighted that the roll Bitcoin rig manufacturers play “is locating our Bitcoin mining loads in places where that’s happening and how do we facilitate that decarbonization process.”

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Bitcoin energy value metric puts BTC’s ‘fair value’ at $47K — Analyst

Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments says that despite the current headwinds, Bitcoin’s fair value sits at $45,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) price is trading in a frustratingly tight range between $25,500 and $26,500, leaving traders unsure of the next direction that asset could take.

However, Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, believes that Bitcoin’s current price presents a low-risk long-term buying opportunity. Edwards’ view is based on Bitcoin's production cost and energy value.

Capriole Investments energy value theory gives a fair value price of $47,200 and Edwards reiterated his bullish stance by saying that Bitcoin's production cost gives a floor price estimation of around $23,000 with a 100% hit ratio.

The trade has a risk reward ratio of 1:5, with the potential for even higher price targets but Edwards added it is based on the assumption that the rally price would stop at fair value, which it never has.”

Bullish energy value theory

Edwards proposed Bitcoin’s energy value theory in December 2019. According to the theory, the fair value of Bitcoin can be estimated by the amount of energy it takes to produce it.

The model assumes that the more work that has been put into something, the more valuable it is.

In 2023, the amount of energy spent in Bitcoin mining has been on the rise as mining companies increased their capacity and share of hashrate with the installation of new ASICs and by preparing for the upcoming halving in April 2024.

Bitcoin price chart with energy value indicator. Source: TradingView

According to Edwards, the Bitcoin energy value reflects its fair value.

Bitcoin energy value has shown a strong correlation with Bitcoin’s spot price and this suggests that the theory is at least somewhat valid. However, there are some caveats to the theory.

One limitation is that Bitcoin's energy value is not always accurate. This is because the mining energy efficiency can vary over time.

Related: Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index updated to reflect hardware distribution and hash rate increases

Additionally, the theory does not take into account other factors that can affect the price of Bitcoin, such as the market’s current demand and supply, and the steps taken by miners ahead of the halving next year.

Bitcoin looks primed for further downside

Bitcoin’s spot liquidity data on Binance indicates that buyers are looking at the $24,600 level for support. However, the bullish momentum appears to be fading as most traders are crowding around the yearly low levels and hoping that these hold.

The liquidation levels of futures orders from Coinglass shows that buyers are expecting downside to $24,600, with smaller liquidations extending toward $23,000.

Notably, the price range between $25,000 and $25,500 has the most leveraged orders in significantly high volumes, making them hot targets for traders.

Bitcoin futures liquidation heatmap. Source: Coinglass

Should the price drop up to the $23,000 level, the buyer's conviction will be tested. A drop below $23,000 would target the $21,451 and $19,549 level from 2022.

Bitcoin support and resistance levels. Source: Jarvis Labs

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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The Agenda podcast chats with Energy Web on how to fight climate change with the help of blockchain

Energy Web CEO Jesse Morris explains why blockchain can make “going green” more efficient, how fighting climate change is easier, and why Energy Web is building on Polkadot.

This summer, parts of the United States are wilting under a multimonth stretch of sweltering heat, and data suggests that summer temperatures will continue to creep up in the coming years. The planet is on what seems to be a pretty clear path to soon reaching 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming for the first time since the preindustrial era, a milestone number that the world’s countries pledged to try to remain under in the 2015 Paris Agreement.

Humanity’s continued burning of fossil fuels combined with the return of the El Niño weather phenomenon has created a dangerous cocktail of rising temperatures that have been breaking records all around the world. In fact, July 6 was the world’s hottest day ever recorded — and possibly the hottest day in 100,000 years — with the month of July on track to be the hottest in recorded history.

Scientists say that short of drastic and monumental geoengineering projects, the only way to prevent the planet’s warming from remaining under 1.5 degrees Celsius is to rapidly phase out and ultimately stop the burning of fossil fuels. But modern society requires massive amounts of power to operate, so where will all that energy come from if fossil fuels are no longer practical?

The answer, according to organizations like Energy Web, lies in clean energy, or energy that does not release greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere.

On Episode 15 of The Agenda podcast, hosts Jonathan DeYoung and Ray Salmond speak with Energy Web CEO Jesse Morris about his views on climate change, decarbonization and how blockchain technology can help facilitate the move to clean energy.

The tech is actually already built and readily available

A particular highlight from the conversation was Morris’ comment that it’s the economics of the climate change industry that need adjustment. Morris said:

“Let’s just make it so that all these technologies that can help us decarbonize are cost-effective, and businesses will just adopt them.”

Of course, it’s slightly more complex than that, but according to Morris:

“One of the big overarching challenges is we just need our electricity to be green. And one of the ways we can make the electricity to be more green, the entire electric system, is to take this concept where, let’s say we have all of these different technologies that I was talking about earlier: electric cars, batteries, solar systems, heat pumps.”

In Morris’ view, better public policy messaging couched in digestible data and a more reasonable approach to governments’ climate change and environmental preservation objectives are needed. Morris said the first step is to “electrify everything” and:

“We have all those assets out there, which is kind of a naturally decentralized, distributed landscape with all of these assets that are out there. If we can network those things together digitally and basically use those to actually balance the grid instead of these big natural gas or coal-powered facilities, that’s a really efficient way to manage the electricity system — basically telling all of those different batteries and electric cars precisely when to and when to not use electricity. It’s kind of like a big distributed, decentralized battery that’s a really efficient and incredibly economically powerful tool for balancing the grid.”

Related: How blockchain technology and DeFi could help solve the housing crisis

What’s blockchain got to do with it?

Given the fact that environmentally friendly solutions are already in existence and ready to roll out, both DeYoung and Salmond were curious about the actual role and need for blockchain in these technologies. Morris explained that after six years of building and trialing different solutions, Energy Web honed in on “Green Proofs’ as the primary solution with a good product-to-market fit.

Green Proofs have applications ranging from green biofuels to Bitcoin (BTC) miners using only renewable and green energy and tracing how green the materials were that came in to create a battery.

According to Morris, “Blockchain plays a pretty key role. We use blockchains to actually represent those assets.”

“So basically, if I’m a fuel producer, I log in, I register, I upload data. An on-chain representation of that data is then used and can be moved around that ecosystem to sort of track who owns the digital certificate representing that unit of green fuel, for example.”

To hear more from Morris’ conversation with The Agenda, listen to the full episode on Cointelegraph’s Podcasts page, Apple Podcasts or Spotify. And don’t forget to check out Cointelegraph’s full lineup of other shows!

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This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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