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Ethereum plunges 13%, down more than Bitcoin after Fed spooks crypto market

Ethereum lost roughly 13.50% versus Bitcoin's 9% decline in the past 24 hours.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) plunged sharply hours after the U.S. Federal Reserve released the minutes of their December meeting, showing that they eye a faster timetable for hiking interest rates in 2022.

The minutes showed that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is in favor of raising short-term rates "sooner or at a faster pace than participants had earlier anticipated." According to the CME Group, trading in the interest-rate futures market showed a two-thirds possibility of the first increase in March.

Ether turned lower after the minutes were released, dropping by over 13.50% to as low as $3,300. Its plunge mirrored similar downside moves across the crypto market, with Bitcoin (BTC) shedding a little over 9% to nearly $42,100.

ETH/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Incontestably, ETH/USD returned more losses to its investors than BTC/USD after the Fed's spook.

It appears traders decided to unwind tokens sitting atop better long-term profits than Bitcoin. For instance, Ether's returns in the last 12 months — even after the Fed-led drop — came out to be around 175%. On the other hand, Bitcoin's profits were nearly 15.75% in the same period.

Performance of top fifteen cryptocurrencies. Source: Messari

Similarly, Ethereum's top rival Solana (SOL) also logged more losses than Bitcoin, dipping by more than 13.75% after the Fed news. Nonetheless, its 12-month profits came out to be more than 7,500%, signaling further extreme corrections if the crypto market's bias remains skewed toward the bears.

ETH/BTC reaches key rebound level

Ether also plunged against Bitcoin, according to the performance of a widely-traded instrument, ETH/BTC, in the past 24 hours.

The pair dropped by a little over 5% to hit 0.077 BTC. In doing so, it also reached a critical support level near 0.078 BTC that has recently been instrumental in keeping Ether bullish against Bitcoin by limiting the former's downside bias.

ETH/BTC daily price chart showing its key support level. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the 0.078 BTC-support also appeared to be the lower trendline of Ether's descending triangle. Descending triangles are continuation patterns that typically send the price in the direction of its previous trend after a consolidation period.

That increases Ether's potential to remain stronger than Bitcoin in the long run, as long as it breaks above the triangle's upper trendline with convincingly higher volumes.

Too soon to fear the Fed

For months, Fed officials were stuck to the opinion that higher inflation in the U.S. drew its inspiration from supply-chain bottlenecks, with chairman Jerome Powell asserting that it would resolve by itself. But in the latest meeting, he showed less conviction toward the so-called "inflation-is-transitory" narrative.

That is primarily because the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) reached a nearly 40-year high in November 2021, hitting 6.8% year-over-year. Meanwhile, core consumer prices, which exclude energy and food categories, rose to 4.7% from a year earlier; it came to be above the Fed's preferred inflation target of 2%.

"There's a real risk now, I believe, that inflation may be more persistent and…the risk of higher inflation becoming entrenched has increased," said Powell on Dec. 15 last year after concluding the FOMC meeting.

U.S headline inflation over the years. Source: Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Madison Faller, a global strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, told Bloomberg that investors should not fear the Fed, noting that their three planned rate cuts in 2022 would do little in curbing down consumer prices. Excerpts from her statement:

“Growth and inflation will be decelerating throughout 2022, but nonetheless remain above historic trend levels. We think this will call for a much lower risk of a Fed-induced material market correction.”

As Cointelegraph also covered, fears of persistently higher inflation, which, in turn, tends to devalue cash, have prompted mainstream investors to park their money in the crypto sector.

For instance, Thomas Peterffy, the billionaire founder of brokerage firm Interactive Brokers Group Inc., admitted that he holds 2-3% of his net assets in crypto just in case the fiat money "goes to hell." Likewise, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio revealed last year that his investment portfolio contains Bitcoin.

The outlook against inflation promised to offer some respite to Ether, which tends to tail the Bitcoin price movements.

Meanwhile, Sean Farrell and Will McEvoy, strategists at Fundstrat Global, noted that investors should increase their investments across the smart contracts sector to get the most from the next market rebound.

"Given the current macro backdrop, leverage within the Bitcoin market, and recent robustness seen in the altcoin market, we think it's appropriate to be overweight Ethereum and other smart contract platforms," they said in a note, adding:

"We probably would not bet the farm near-term on Bitcoin but think there is an opportunity in going long volatility via derivatives strategies."

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum bulls retain hopes of $10K despite ETH price chart bear flag

Ethereum risks dropping to $3,200 as its latest ETH price decline triggers a classic bearish setup.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) looks poised to extend its selloff this week as it wobbles near a key support level of $4,000.

ETH price dropped by over 5.50% on Dec. 6 to an intraday low at $3,913. In doing so, it slipped through upward sloping support that constituted an Ascending Channel that — more or less — appears like a Bear Flag, a bearish continuation setup.

ETH/USD daily price chart featuring Bear Flag setup. Source: TradingView

Conservative traders typically spot Bear Flags when an instrument consolidates higher inside a parallel channel after a considerable price drop (called Flagpole). They anticipate the price to break below the Flag's lower trendline. And when it does, traders set their profit target by measuring the Flagpole's height and subtracting it from the breakout level.

Applying the Bull Flag strategy to Ether's ongoing price trends, one can expect the cryptocurrency to drop towards $3,200 in the sessions ahead. Interestingly, the level is also near the 0.5 Fib line (~$3,264) of the Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from the $720-swing low to the $4,808-swing high.

More confirmation needed

While the Bear Flag setup hints at more pain for Ether ahead, some analysts believe the Ethereum token still has more room to run to the upside.

For instance, PostyXBT, an independent market analyst, asked his massive follower-base on Twitter to turn attention to Ether's deep price wick from Saturday, underscoring how the cryptocurrency's sudden crash from near $4,240 to as low as $3,575 (data from Coinbase) was met by traders with an aggressive buying response.

"The weekly close above $4k means that ETH is one of the strongest looking coins out there," the pseudonymous analyst noted, adding that not many held the structure "despite the wick."

ETH/USD weekly perpetual futures contract chart. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, another popular analyst Crypto FOMO also referred to the Saturday rebound as a reason to stay bullish on Ether. In an analysis published Monday, the analyst said that the cryptocurrency's ability to hold its rising channel support (the Bear Flag structure) might prompt bulls to push its value to $10,000.

"That is also because Ethereum is crashing a lot lesser than other cryptos, which is very bullish," the channel noted while highlighting Ether's growing strength against Bitcoin (BTC).

Top ten cryptocurrencies' performance against USD and BTC in the last 30 days. Source: Messari

On its weekly chart, Ether looks to have been eyeing a move toward $6,500 after breaking out of its Ascending Triangle.

In detail, the ETH price left the Triangle range in the week ending Oct. 25 after consolidating inside it for a little over four months. Nonetheless, traders returned to test the structure's upper trendline as support, as is common across bullish continuation setups.

ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring Ascending Triangle setup. Source: TradingView

As long the price holds itself above the Triangle's upper trendline, its likelihood of continuing its rally upwards remains higher — by as much as the structure's maximum height, as shown in the chart above.

On the other hand, a decisive break below the Triangle's lower trendline risked invalidating the bullish setup.

Strong fundamentals

James Wo, CEO/Founder of DFG Group — a Singapore-based venture capital firm, blamed Ether's consistently positive correlation with Bitcoin behind its latest price corrections, noting that a spot market selloff in the BTC market, led by the ongoing Omicron FUD, has had exchanges liquidate $2 billion worth of traders' margined positions, hurting ETH in tandem.

Related: BTC sentiment ‘comparable to a funeral’ — 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week

But the analyst, too, anticipated a price rebound for ETH based on its successful adoption across the emerging nonfungible token (NFT), decentralized finance (DeFi), and metaverse space.

Top five DeFi chains based on total-volume locked. Source: Defi Llama 

"The levels of open interest levels seen up to this correction for both BTC and ETH were an important indicator that a bearish scenario was highly probable," Wo explained, adding:

"We still believe that fundamentals are strong and long-term valuations are still very low based on the technological advancements and contributions we are witnessing from this industry."

ETH/USD was trading at $4,050 at the time of this writing.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum acts as a ‘hedge’ in Bitcoin price crash as ETH/BTC hits 3-year high

The second-largest cryptocurrency posts dwarfed losses compared to Bitcoin's 21% price decline Saturday.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) plunged alongside other cryptocurrencies on Dec. 4. Still, its move downside did not deter it from hitting a three-year high against Bitcoin (BTC), the world's leading crypto by market capitalization.

The ETH/BTC exchange rate jumped a little over 11.50% to hit 0.0835 BTC for the first time since May 2018. The pair's price rally appeared in contrast to Ether's 15% price drop against the U.S. dollar on Saturday, which appeared in the wake of a market-wide selloff that saw Bitcoin plunging by as much as 21% intraday.

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH vs. BTC "hedge" narrative emerges

While Ether's losses were substantial, they were relatively milder compared to Bitcoin in USD terms as the ETH/BTC pair surged to a three-year high. At the same time, some analysts believed that investors started treating the second-largest cryptocurrency as a haven against Bitcoin during the Saturday crash.

"It seems that investors are taking ETH as a hedge here," said Crypto Birb, an independent market analyst in a tweet Saturday, pointing to a four-hour ETH/BTC price chart (as shown below) that showed the pair retracing sharply after testing its 200-period moving average (the orange wave) as support.

ETH/BTC four-hour price chart featuring 200-period MA support. Source: TradingView

Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad, chief product officer at Bitpanda, noted that ETH/BTC's November close was the best one in the last 45 months, meaning bulls still had "some power left for an additional run."

"Ethereum is outperforming Bitcoin by a large margin this year [...] It increased its market dominance to 22%. The number of active addresses on the network continues to climb while the net issuance of ETH continues to fall which might be the main reason for its rapid rise."

Technical outlook

As Cointelegraph covered earlier, Ether has shown the prospects of continuing its upward trend due to a technical support pattern, dubbed Ascending Triangle.

Related: Ethereum ‘about to go parabolic’ against Bitcoin as analysts weigh BTC bear case

On Saturday, the ETH/BTC pair broke out of the Ascending Triangle range to the upside, accompanied by a slight increase in its trading volumes. In a "perfect" world, the pair's move upside should stretch until it hits levels at length equal to the maximum distance between the Triangle's upper and lower trendlines when measured from the breakout point.

In a "perfect" world, the pair's move upside should stretch until it hits levels at length equal to the maximum distance between the Triangle's upper and lower trendlines when measured from the breakout point.

ETH/BTC weekly price chart featuring Ascending Channel pattern. Source: TradingView

As shown in the chart above, the Triangle's upside target, from the breakout point near 0.077 BTC, puts the profit target near 0.1 BTC.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Increased utility in DeFi, NFTs back Ethereum’s 3-year high in its ETH/BTC pair

Ethereum price hit a new all-time high in its ETH/BTC pair and a classic technical analysis pattern suggests the altcoin has a lot more upside.

This week, Ether (ETH) price reached a new 2021 high against Bitcoin (BTC), bringing its year-to-date returns slightly above 350% and according to technical analysis, the rally could extend even further.

On Dec. 1, bids for the ETH/BTC pair hit 0.0835 BTC on Coinbase for the first time this year. The upside move came as a part of an uptrend that started mid-October after Ether bottomed out against Bitcoin at 0.0630 BTC to carve out almost 41% price retracement.

ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Growing adoption propels Ether's boom

The ETH/BTC price rally reflect deep interest in Ethereum, which is currently the world's leading smart contract platform by users and market capitalization. This is slightly different than the scenario for Bitcoin, which typically functions as a speculative hedge against inflation across global economies.

As of late, Ethereum has been become a core asset within crypto growth sectors like nonfungible tokens (NFT), decentralized finance (DeFi) and the Metaverse. The firms operating in this space require Ether to run their smart contracts, which in turn, has increased demand for the altcoin and supported a steady uptrend in its price.

Total valued locked inside ETH-based DeFi platforms (including staking). Source: Defi Llama

Demand for Eth is expected to remain robust in the coming year and this simple fact has many analysts projecting prices within the $6,000 to $10,000 range. 

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Matt Maley, the chief market strategist for Miller Tabak + Co., anticipated additional gains for Ether should it break above its mid-November high around $4,900. According to Maley, Bitcoin bulls remain under pressure near the cryptocurrency's mid-November and mid-April highs of $69,000 to $65,000.

If Ether manages to hit and hold a new all-time high while BTC trades in a downtrend, Maley said:

"It will show that Ether has become the new crypto of choice for most investors."

The technical outlook for Ether against Bitcoin has also been suggesting stronger bull runs for the former in the future.

Related: Ethereum approaches a new ATH, but derivatives data reflects mixed emotions

A prolonged bullish breakout could be in play

The latest bout of buying has had ETH/BTC break above a multi-month resistance trendline that constitutes an ascending triangle pattern and now the pair eyes an extended bull run towards 0.1 BTC, as shown in the chart below.

ETH/BTC weekly price chart featuring Ascending Triangle setup. Source: TradingView

Typically, ascending triangles are continuation patterns, meaning, they tend to send the price in the direction of its previous trend by as much as the maximum height between the upper and lower trendline when measured from the breakout point.

ETH/BTC's breakout point comes out to be near 0.077 BTC while its triangle's maximum height is 0.022 BTC. In a "perfect" world, this would place the ETH/BTC pair on path to 0.1 BTC, but given the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency sector, anything is possible. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum ‘huge Cup & Handle pattern’ reaffirms $6.5K ETH price target

The bullish outlook appears as ETH’s price decline stalls near its old cup-and-handle resistance level, now acting as support and thus raising the potential of a strong rebound ahead.

Ethereum’s native asset, Ether (ETH), may rebound by nearly 60% in the coming sessions as bulls pin their hopes on a classic bullish continuation pattern.

Prices may rise to or above $6,500 from their current levels near $4,100 after completing a cup-and-handle formation, hinted Matthew Hyland, an independent on-chain analyst, in a tweet published Monday. 

A perfect cup and handle retest

Hyland’s chart shows Ether returning to the old point of resistance of its previous cup and handle pattern (the yellow horizontal line in the chart below), in a corrective move that started after the cryptocurrency reached its record high of $4,867 on Nov. 10 (data from Coinbase).

Ether underwent a soft rebound after testing the cup and handle resistance as its interim support, raising possibilities of an extended move upside ahead.

ETH/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView, Matthew Hyland

In detail, the first breakout attempts out of bullish technical setups typically require additional confirmation.

Notably, these early gains tend to trap two groups of buyers: longs who enter deep in the pattern hoping for a breakout (which fails), and longs who chase the breakout but see their small profit evaporate following sudden bearish reversals, which prompt them to defend their positions.

But the tables turn when the decline stalls midway, which either leads to sideways action or a full-fledged rebound. As a result, short sellers lose confidence, while longs who survived the previous pullback gain conviction in the prevailing bullish technical setup.

A positive rebound sets a bullish feedback loop in motion, thus prompting the price to prepare for the final leg in the pattern — a strong uptrend. As Hyland hinted, Ether’s retesting the “huge Cup & Handle pattern” resistance as support appeared perfect — a potential cue for a sharp rebound.

Why $6,500?

The buy point in a cup and handle pattern emerges when the price breaks above its resistance level with an increase in trading volumes.

Traders typically estimate their profit target by measuring the distance from the cup’s right top to its bottom and then adding the number to the buy point.

ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring cup-and-handle profit target. Source: TradingView

The cup’s maximum depth is nearly $2,500, while its breakout point is around $4,100. As a result, the pattern’s breakout target comes to be at or above $6,500. A Harvard study shows that cup and handles have a 65% and 68% success rate for forex and stock markets, respectively.

Related: Analysts say ‘impulse move’ could send Ethereum price into the $6K to $14K range

Conversely, breaking below the pattern’s resistance level — coinciding with multi-month rising trendline support — risks invalidating the bullish setup. That may lead Ether’s price to the next support line near $3,090.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum price risks losing $4K on ‘rising wedge’ breakout fears

The potential price decline would also mark ETH’s return to its ascending channel support.

A selloff in Ether (ETH) on Nov. 16 has increased the chances of its price falling below $4,000.

ETH plunged 10% to around $4,100 amid an ongoing market correction led by Bitcoin (BTC). In doing so, Ether dropped below its fourth-quarter upward trendline support. 

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

ETH/USD also tested its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the velvet wave in the chart above) as its new price floor before bouncing higher. The next support line to keep an eye on if the 50-day EMA is broken is somewhere around $3,700.

More declines ahead?

The given ascending trendline comes as a part of a rising wedge, a technical pattern many analysts treat as a bearish reversal signal. It appears when the price fluctuates inside a range defined by two converging, rising trendlines.

ETH/USD daily price chart featuring rising wedge setup. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, analysts confirm a wedge breakout when the price breaks below the lower trendline and if accompanied by a rise in trading volumes. They typically eye a run down toward the level at a length equal to the widest distance between the wedge’s trendlines.

As a result, Ether has the potential to drop below $3,000, based on the rising wedge setup. Nonetheless, there is a catch.

Retesting ascending triangle resistance as support

Offsetting the bearish reversal setup brought forth by the rising wedge structure is an ascending triangle, which puts Ether at around $6,500 by the end of 2021.

The bullish setup emerges as the price of ETH retests the triangle’s resistance level as support days after breaking above it. Such a move typically removes weak hands from the market and creates opportunities for traders/investors with a long-term upside outlook based on the asset’s strong underlying fundamentals.

ETH/USD three-day price chart featuring ascending triangle setup. Source: TradingView

Therefore, Ether’s latest pullback may end up exhausting as ETH price reaches the triangle resistance below $4,000 — also the rising wedge’s lower trendline. Should a rebound follow suit, the price could climb toward $6,500.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum risks drop below $3.2K as ETH price faces heavy resistance

A confluence of at least three different bearish indicators appears on Ethereum's multi-timeframe charts, suggesting that its ongoing bull run risks exhaustion.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) is at risk of falling below $3,200 in the coming sessions as its rally comes face-to-face with a strong resistance zone.

In detail, the price of Ether swelled by almost 22% on a month-to-date timeframe in the wake of a market-wide price rally. That pushed the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization from under $3,000 to above $3,650 in the first eight days of October, triggering more bullish forecasts.

"Six thousand dollars will happen fast; $10,000 is programmed," noted Twitter-based technical chartist Crypto Cactus. David Gokhshtein, CEO of distributed data network PAC Protocol, predicted a $10,000 upside target for Ether, as well.

But the price of Ether has the potential to ram into a confluence of three notable bearish indicators that could limit its upside moves and pare a portion of its recent gains.

Two resistance zones and a rising wedge

The three bearish indicators that could prompt Ether to undergo a bearish reversal are a rising wedge, a descending trendline resistance, and an interim resistance bar, as shown in the chart below.

ETH/USD 4H price chart featuring bearish confluence. Source: TradingView.com

A rising wedge surfaced as ETH rallied and left behind a sequence of higher highs and lower lows. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency's uptrend happened against decreasing volume, showing a lack of bullish conviction among traders. 

Additionally, the structure's apex—the point at which its two trendlines converge—is around two historical resistance zones. The first one is an interim resistance bar, as shown in the chart above, that previously called out ETH's top above $3,650.

At the same time, the second resistance is a descending trendline, visible more clearly in the daily chart below at around $3,800.

ETH/USD daily price chart showing the descending trendline resistance. Source: TradingView.com

As a result, the rising wedge's apex and the two resistance trendlines pose bearish reversal risks to Ether. Should it happen, the Ethereum token will crash by as much as the maximum height between the wedge's upper and lower trendlines.

Related: 3 factors that can send Ethereum price to 100% gains in Q4

That puts it en route to below $3,200, which served as an accumulation zone for Ethereum traders in the first half of September 2021.

Activating inverse head and shoulder?

A drop towards or below $3,200 does not necessarily push Ether into a full-fledged bearish cycle. Conversely, it could trigger a bullish inverse head and shoulder setup.

ETH/USD 4H price chart featuring a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. Source: TradingView.com

If the setup plays out as intended, traders' accumulation of ETH tokens will increase near $3,200, causing a rebound toward the neckline area in the chart above. In doing so, the ETH price would place its inverse head and shoulder target at a length equal to the maximum distance between the pattern's neckline and bottom.

That would put Ether en route to new all-time highs of approximately $4,500.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum fractal from 2017 that resulted in 7,000% gains for ETH appears again in 2021

The eerie deja vu scenario can see Ethereum hit $13,000 within six months if history repeats.

Bids for Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) could rise to $13,000 in the next two months if history repeats.

So shows a fractal indicator from 2017, consisting of at least four technical patterns that were instrumental in pushing the ETH price up by over 7,000%. The same set of bullish indicators have flashed once again in 2021 as Ether trades above $3,350 after rallying over 360% year-to-date.

The 2017 Ethereum fractal, explained

In detail, the four technical indicators are Stochastic RSI, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bullish Hammer, and a Fibonacci retracement level. It started with the Bullish Hammer's occurrence on Ether's monthly chart in December 2017, followed by a 7,000% price rally in the next six months.

The Hammer-led massive upside move pushed Ether's monthly RSI to over 94, an extremely overbought zone. As a result, the cryptocurrency started consolidating sideways to neutralize its excessively bullish sentiments. RSI started correcting lower.

In parallel, Ether's monthly Stochastic RSI indicator, which compares its closing price with the price range over a given period, also started correcting lower after identifying the cryptocurrency as overbought (a reading above 80 is considered excessively bought and below 20 is considered excessively sold).

Ethereum 2017 fractal indicator. Source: TradingView.com, Jaydee_757

Later, in November 2017, the Stochastic RSI flipped bullish, with its %K line (the blue one), which compares an asset's lowest low and the highest high to define a price range, crossing above the %D line (the saffron line), which is a moving average of %K. Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI reading was above 20 at the time of flip, which boosted Ether's bullish continuation hopes.

Later, the Ethereum token surged by another 500%, closing above $1,200 in Jan 2018. It coincided with RSI forming a double top, as shown in the chart above. The entire bottom-to-top took place inside an ascending channel range, with its 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level serving as support/resistance level.

The 2021 fractal repeat so far

Ether is almost mirroring the moves from the 2017 fractal as it heads into the final quarter of 2021, albeit without order.

In detail, the Ethereum token rallied by 3,400% to over $4,300, sixteen months after painting a bullish Stochastic RSI cross (when its a %K line surged above the %D line). Meanwhile, the huge upside move—again—pushed Ether's monthly RSI into its overbought zone.

Ethereum 2017 fractal indicator versus 2021. Source: TradingView.com, Jaydee_757

A consolidation period followed, which saw Ether making a Bullish Hammer in July 2021, suggesting sellers had formed a price bottom. 

Jaydee_757, the pseudonymous analyst who first spotted the Ethereum fractal, highlighted the hammer's potential to send the Ether price flying, with a primary upside target sitting near the 2.618 Fib line (at around $13,000).

Related: 3 factors that can send Ethereum price to 100% gains in Q4

The bullish analogy also took cues from a potential Stochastic RSI bullish cross and a double top RSI, waiting to appear on Ether's monthly chart in the next "few months," similar to the one that coincided with the 500% price rally in 2018, as mentioned above.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum price gets back to $3K as institutional investors pile into ETH futures

Ethereum prices recovered on Sunday amid a market-wide upside correction while receiving an additional upside boost from a bullish JPMorgan & Chase report.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) staged a rebound on Sept. 26 following a massive decline earlier this week that saw its prices plunging to as low as $2,651 on Coinbase.

The ETH/USD exchange rate rose 3.63% to hit an intraday high of $3,030. The upside move amounted to a 14.3% upside retracement from the pair's week-to-date low at $2,651, showing that traders attempted to retain their bullish bias despite potential headwinds ahead.

Last week, Ether prices fell due to a flurry of issues arising from China. On Monday, traders dumped crypto assets en masse after a tumult in China's heavily indebted property market prompted a selloff across global stock markets.

A rebound move ensued later in the week but met with another selloff on Friday after People's Bank of China reiterated that crypto transactions are illegal. Nonetheless, Ethereum bulls maintained their foothold and pushed prices back above $3,000, a psychological resistance level.

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView.com

The sentiments were similar across some top crypto assets, with the benchmark cryptocurrency Bitcoin hitting an intraday high of $43,767 on Coinbase following a 2.49% upside move. Meanwhile, Uniswap exchange's native asset UNI also fared higher by more than 19%, becoming the top-performing crypto asset at least in the previous 24 hours.

At the same time, Ethereum's top rivals Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) performed poorly, with ADA/USD dropping more than 5% and SOL/USD losing over 3% on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe.

Institutional demand

Ethereum gains also followed a bullish report thifrom JPMorgan & Chase.  The study noted that institutional investors have started increasing their exposure in Ethereum markets.

Analysts at JPMorgan credited the ongoing craze in the decentralized finance (DeFi) and nonfungible token (NFT) sector as the primary driver behind investors' interest in Ethereum. They added that the 21-day average Ethereum Futures premium climbed to 1% over spot ETH prices, citing the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) data recorded since August.

Ethereum Futures daily price chart. Source: TradingView.com

The JPMorgan report coincided with a record amount of Ether tokens getting withdrawn out of all crypto exchanges, as per data provided by CryptoQuant. At press time, the net ETH reserves on trading platforms had dropped to 18.44 million ETH compared to 23.94 million ETH a year ago.

Related: Ethereum drops more than Bitcoin as China escalates crypto ban, ETH/BTC at 3-week low

Independent analyst PostyXBT also anticipates a potential further price rebound in Ethereum markets, noting that the cryptocurrency's latest declines had pushed it inside a classic accumulation range, as shown in the chart below.

ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring its latest accumulation range. Source: PostXBT, TradingView.com

"Weekly close equally as important for ETH today as price tests the previous range highs as support," the analyst noted.

"Seems like a logical area to make a higher low and I have bought more here for long-term bags/swing trade. RR looks favorable after a 33% correction from the local top."

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Ends Tenure a Year Early to Avoid Trump’s Axe

Ethereum eyes $6.5K bullish target as ETH price chart paints ‘Cup and Handle’

The success rate for cup and handle patterns in forex and stock markets, on daily timeframes, are 65% and 68%, respectively, per a Harvard study.

Ethereum blockchain's native asset Ether (ETH) faces the prospect of exploding towards $6,500 in the coming sessions.

The bullish analogy takes cues from a textbook technical pattern dubbed "Cup and Handle." In detail, a Cup and Handle structure develops after the price first rallies significantly to the upside and then corrects to carve out a rounding bottom, called the "cup."

The move follows a rebound towards the prior high and a failed breakout attempt above the said level. As a result, the price pulls back once again and grinds out a smaller rounding bottom, called the "handle."

Ultimately, the price returns to prior high for the second time and breaks out successfully, resulting in a move equal to the cup's depth.

So it seems the ETH/USD exchange rate has painted a cup and is now forming a handle, as shown in the chart below.

ETH/USD daily chart featuring cup and handle formation. Source: TradingView.com

The depth of the ETH/USD's cup is nearly $2,437. As a result, should the pair retest $4,112-resistance for a bullish breakout move, its prospect of rising by as much as $2,437 will increase. In doing so, Ether would eye a run-up towards $6,549.

A Harvard study shows that cup and handle patterns have a 65% and 68% success rate in forex and stock markets, respectively, on daily timeframe charts.

Institutional FOMO on

Ethereum's upside analogy appears against the backdrop of growing institutional interest.

In a report published on Sept. 7, Standard Chartered, a multinational banking giant headquartered in London, discussed Ether's economic use-case, adding that the cost to purchase one ETH could grow to $26,000-$35,000 in the future.

"The current transition to ETH 2.0 could transform ETH by increasing its functionality and scalability and reducing environmental concerns, although it could raise more complex security issues," the report stated.

"Timelines for ETH 2.0 rollout could slip, but in the near term, decreasing net supply — as ETH is staked for ETH 2.0 — should provide price cushion."

In an interview with CNBC, Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, that her firm would split its crypto investments into 60% Bitcoin and 40% Ethereum. The former AllianceBernstein executive envisioned a higher demand for ETH tokens in the wake of ongoing growth in Ethereum-backed decentralized finance (DeFi) and nonfungible token (NFT) craze.

"I'm fascinated with what's going on in DeFi, which is collapsing the cost of the infrastructure for financial services in a way that I know that the traditional financial industry does not appreciate right now," Wood told CNBC anchor Andrew Ross Sorkin at the Salt technology conference in New York.

"Our confidence in ethereum has gone up dramatically as we've seen the beginning of this transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake."

Rivalry risks

Meanwhile, Ethereum also faced criticism for its inability to resolve higher transaction fees and network congestion issues. That prompted emerging layer one blockchain rivals like Solana (SOL), Avalanche (AVAX), and Cardano (ADA) to eat up a portion of Ethereum's market hegemony.

It would take Ethereum another two years to become a fully functional proof-of-stake protocol, per its official roadmap. The transition consists of a three-step process. In the first, Ethereum has implemented the Beacon chain to introduce staking on a separate layer.

Related: Cointelegraph Research: Is Solana an ‘Ethereum killer?

The next step scheduled sometime later in 2021 will see Ethereum's original chain merger with the Beacon chain. Meanwhile, Ethereum will introduce “shard chains” that expect to enable Ethereum to process more transactions in the final phase.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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