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Ethereum Classic price has nearly doubled days after Digital Currency Group’s $50M bet

The gains also appear amid an overall crypto market recovery following Bitcoin's sharp rebound from $30,000-support.

Ethereum Classic (ETC) reached its highest level in almost three weeks Wednesday, buoyed by Barry Silbert-backed Digital Currency Group's $50 million investment and by an overall cryptocurrency market recovery led by Bitcoin (BTC).

The 17th-largest cryptocurrency by market value traded as high as $63.19 — a nearly 98% rise from its June 22 low of $31.91. Meanwhile, the market value of all the Ethereum Classic tokens in circulation crossed $7.53 billion.

Digital Currency Group (DCG) revealed on June 21 that it has authorized the purchase of up to a total of $50M worth of shares of Grayscale Ethereum Classic Trust (OTCQX: ETCG). Grayscale is a New York-based investment firm that provides accredited investors access to digital currency products in the form of traditional securities.

Grayscale ETC holdings . Source: Bybt.com

On the day of the announcement, Ethereum Classic fell by 22.56%, much in line with the rest of the cryptocurrency market, which, in turn, was responding to China's increasing crackdown on the regional crypto sector, including a complete ban of mining-related activities.

But despite the heavy sell-off, the Bitcoin and altcoin markets bounced back in tandem. Traders particularly recognized buying opportunities in the Bitcoin market as BTC/USD slipped below $30,000—a psychological support level that lately kept the pair's downside bias from flourishing any deeper.

Bitcoin has been trading between $30K and $40K since May 19. Source: TradingView.com

Meanwhile, altcoins merely tailed the Bitcoin rebound owing to their high correlation with the top digital asset.

According to data provided by Crypto Watch, the 30-day correlation efficiency between Bitcoin and Ethereum's Ether (ETH) was 0.83 on Wednesday. A reading of 1 represents a perfect positive correlation between two assets.

Copycat hard fork

ETC's gains also appeared in days leading up to a major Ethereum Classic blockchain upgrade in July.

In detail, Ethereum Classic emerged from a controversial blockchain split that followed an approximately $150 million hack on the Ethereum-based DAO project in April 2016. The Vitalik Buterin team proposed to wipe out the attack from the Ethereum network history — a ledger rewrite that portrayed Ethereum as a centralized blockchain.

That led to the formation of two Ethereum camps: one that supported the reverting of chain and the other that didn't. In the end, the differences led to the formation of two competing yet independent Ethereum chains, one of them being the Ethereum Classic.

ETC's structure as a blockchain project varies from its competitors. Unlike Ethereum, ETC incorporates multiple development teams, including IOHK, ETC Cooperative, ETC Labs, etc. In general, most of these teams have focused on providing scaling solutions.

At the same time, their priority also remains to improve development tools (SDKs) and promoting cross-chain transactions so other projects can also build on Ethereum Classic.

On June 10, Steven Lohja, the lead developer at Mantis IOHK, announced to upgrade the Ethereum Classic blockchain with a hard fork called Magneto. The major update, as Lohja confessed, would be inclusive of the Ethereum Berlin upgrade features introduced earlier this year.

The Ethereum Classic's improvement proposals tend to improve the blockchain's network security while cutting down on its gas fees — it does so by storing addresses and keys in one place for users to access with a single transaction.

The ETC hard fork will go live in July, much in sync with Ethereum's London upgrade around the same period.

ETC technical setup

The latest ETC/USD rebound has come closer to invalidating a classic bearish setup that prevailed earlier.

ETC price was approaching $16.62 following its strong breakdown from the previous triangle range. Source: TradingView.com

The ETC/USD exchange rate bounced mid-way upon breaking its previously prevailing descending triangle setup. The pair found support right above its 200-day simple moving average (200-day SMA; the orange wave in the chart above) and moved higher to close above the triangle support around $51.77.

What's more, the rebound flipped ETC/USD's 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA; the green wave) from resistance to support. It now appears to do the same with the 50-day SMA (the blue wave) acting as resistance.

On the other hand, adjusting the triangle's support trendline lower makes it appear like a bullish falling wedge pattern.

ETC/USD hints falling wedge breakout. Source: TradingView.com

ETC/USD has broken bullish out of the pattern, much in line with its classic definition. A strong follow-through could have the pair rise by as much as the maximum Wedge height, i.e., the total maximum distance between its upper and lower trendline. It comes to be around $86.

That shifts the ETC/USD wedge profit target near $130.

Conversely, a potential reversal from 50-day SMA could have ETC/USD test the 20-day EMA as its interim support. Such a move would also risk invalidating the falling wedge structure.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Institutions turn bearish on ETH as record $50M exits Ether investment products

Ether investment products have suffered record outflows this past week, while Bitcoin flows have begun to stabilize.

Ethereum investment products have experienced a record outflow of $50 million this past week, signaling bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

According to the CoinShares' “Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly” report, Ether products have now experienced outflows for three consecutive weeks, with $64.3 million leaving the sector since the week ending June 6.

Despite the drawdowns, $943 million has flowed into Ether investment products since the start of 2021.

The crypto investment product sector saw outflows overall for the fourth consecutive week, with $44 million exiting the sector over the past seven days. The report estimates that $313 million has been withdrawn from institutional crypto products since mid-May.

While crypto products saw outflows broadly this past week, Ether experienced the largest exodus of capital, with Bitcoin outflows slowing to $1.3 million — down from $89 million for the previous week. There have now been seven consecutive weeks of BTC outflows since early May.

Some funds saw minor inflows to their Bitcoin products, including Grayscale, suggesting mixed sentiment amongst investors regarding BTC.

CoinShares also noted that multi-assets have continued to defy the trend by again posting weekly inflows, stating:

“Multi-digital asset investment products continued to buck the negative trend with inflows of US$6m last week, suggesting that investors continue to favour digital assets but are keen to diversify.”

Exposure to institutional crypto investment products reached record levels during the height of the bull market earlier this year, however, investors have been taking profits during the downturn.

Related: Institutional selling of crypto reaches longest streak since Feb 2018

The second and third largest crypto asset managers, CoinShares and 3iQ, had the highest total outflows of assets with $56.4 million and $27.1 million for the week respectively. Industry leader, Grayscale, remained relatively stable with a minor inflow of $1.3 million for the week.

Ethereum investment products had been outperforming Bitcoin in recent months — with Ether products experiencing inflows while BTC products suffered drawdowns less than one month ago — but the institutional appetite for the world’s second-largest crypto asset appears to be waning.

At the time of writing, ETH prices were trading up 8.5% on the day at $2,135, while BTC was changing hands for $34,900 after gaining 1.8% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko.

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Morgan Stanley equity fund owns 28.2K shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, per SEC

The investment bank reported owning a significant stake in GBTC as of April 30, according to a recent filing with the SEC.

Wall Street investment bank Morgan Stanley has gained exposure to Bitcoin (BTC) through Grayscale, offering further evidence of wider institutional acceptance of digital assets.

The Morgan Stanley Europe Opportunity Fund, which invests in established and emerging companies throughout Europe, owned 28,298 shares of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, or GBTC, as of April 30, according to a June 28 filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. At a current GBTC price of $29.68, Morgan Stanley’s exposure is worth roughly $840,000.

The exposure was worth over $1.3 million at the end of April, according to the filing.

Morgan Stanley's Europe Opportunity Fund is designed to seek maximum capital appreciation by investing in assets that "the investment team believes are undervalued at the time of purchase." 

Grayscale is by far the world’s largest crypto asset manager, with $29 billion in assets under management. The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust accounts for the lion’s share of assets at over $21.7 billion.

Related: Bitcoin sell pressure may hit zero in July thanks to Grayscale’s giant 16K BTC unlocking

As Cointelegraph reported, Morgan Stanley has been seeking more direct exposure to Bitcoin this year. In April, the investment bank added Bitcoin exposure to 12 investment funds through Grayscale and cash-settled futures. At the time, the Europe Opportunity Fund was not listed as a potential target for Bitcoin investments. However, the firm did include several "Opportunity" portfolios targeting Asia and global markets. 

Earlier this month, Morgan Stanley made its first capital investment into blockchain by co-leading a $48 million Series B financing round for Securitize, a Coinbase-backed tokenization platform. 

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Cathie Wood Bought the Dip: Ark Invest Purchases One Million GBTC Shares

Cathie Wood Bought the Dip: Ark Invest Purchases One Million GBTC SharesCathie Wood, the founder of Ark Invest, bought the dip this Tuesday when Bitcoin prices tumbled below $30K. According to reports, Ark acquired more than one million shares of the Grayscale Bitcoin Fund. The company also bought more Coinbase shares. Wood has a positive stance on crypto and keeps predicting Bitcoin will reach a long-term […]

Ripple will soon debut its RLUSD stablecoin, says Brad Garlinghouse

Institutional selling of crypto reaches longest streak since Feb 2018

CoinShares’ weekly report showed another large outflow from digital asset products, with much of the selloff concentrated in Bitcoin funds.

Institutional managers continued to take profits on their cryptocurrency holdings, with funds dedicated to Bitcoin (BTC) registering their sixth consecutive weekly outflows, according to CoinShares. 

Outflows from digital asset investment products totaled $79 million last week, marking the third consecutive weekly decline and the longest stretch of drawdowns since February 2018. Outflows from Bitcon funds totaled $89 million, whereas Ethereum (ETH) products endured a $1.9 million decline.

Year-to-date, Bitcoin investment products have generated over $4.1 billion in net inflows. Ether products, meanwhile, have accumulated $992 million since the start of 2021.

Multi-asset investment products that hold a basket of cryptocurrencies bucked the downtrend last week by registering $10 million in inflows. These funds have now generated $351 million in inflows this year, data revealed.

Related: Ethereum investment products see largest weekly outflows on record — CoinShares

Institutional buying of cryptocurrencies has wavered in recent weeks as portfolio managers continue to track a massive decline in asset values. Bitcoin is currently languishing below $33,000, having declined 50% from its May peak. The combined market value of all cryptocurrencies plunged below $1.4 trillion on Monday, virtually halving last month’s high.

While on-chain metrics seem to show favorable signs of a bottom — namely, that Bitcoin is being scooped up by long-term holders at the expense of newer wallets — market sentiment remains overwhelmingly bearish due to negative headlines. China’s ban on Bitcoin mining, an ominous “death cross” for Bitcoin and Grayscale’s giant BTC unlocking in July are just some of the headlines weighing down investor sentiment.

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Grayscale Considering 31 Crypto Assets for Investment Products

Grayscale Considering 31 Crypto Assets for Investment ProductsGrayscale Investments is considering 31 crypto assets to add to its family of investment products. The company, with $32.9 billion in crypto assets under management, currently offers investments in 13 cryptocurrencies. Grayscale Investments announced Friday 13 additional crypto assets it is considering for investment products. These cryptocurrencies add to the initial list of coins the […]

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Bitcoin sell pressure may hit zero in July thanks to Grayscale’s giant 16K BTC unlocking

The biggest single unlocking day will flush sellers from the market in July, opening up both volatility and bullish potential.

Institutional Bitcoin (BTC) investors are in the spotlight as an upcoming major cashout date sparks talk of fresh price volatility.

As noted by popular Twitter commentator Loomdart and others this week, attention is focusing on buyers and sellers of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) as Bitcoin hovers near $40,000.

July means BTC price volatility

A giant in the institutional Bitcoin space, GBTC has over $24 billion in assets under management.

It is not available constantly — as Cointelegraph reported, the trust operates with periodic closures, which this year have coincided with its buy-in price trading at a discount to spot price.

This negative “GBTC premium” has formed a major talking point in its own right, as invested funds are locked up for a set period and then released, allowing investors to cash out at certain times depending on when they bought in.

GBTC premium vs. BTC/USD. Source: CryptoQuant/Twitter

A combination of negative premium relative to spot and a large unlocking of funds means that July will be particularly interesting for BTC price action. Previously, such an alignment has meant increased volatility.

July 19 will see the biggest single unlocking day, with 16,000 BTC ($627 million) released.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Unlock dates. Source: Bybt.com

Bucking a declining trend

For popular pseudonymous trader Loomdart, this nonetheless provides a chance for selling pressure to stabilize afterward, paving the way for BTC bulls to crush longstanding resistance lines.

This would form a refreshing counterpoint to the broadly bearish picture on institutional markets, with open interest in Bitcoin futures way down versus prior to the May price dip to $30,000.

On-chain analytics resource CryptoQuant noted the decline in interest last week, something which, in turn, came in tandem with a dramatic decline in overall BTC transaction numbers.

Ripple will soon debut its RLUSD stablecoin, says Brad Garlinghouse

Bitcoin sell-off likely played a key role in boosting Gold’s appeal

Investors' appetite for gold increased as they assessed higher inflation and a major price crash in the Bitcoin market.

May was a testing time for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC). The flagship digital asset was already wobbling after rallying to nearly $65,000 in mid April, owing to profit-taking sentiment among traders.

Elon Musk accelerated the sell-off by reversing his company's plans to accept Bitcoin as payment for Tesla's electric cars.

Later in the month, the People's Bank of China reiterated to the country's financial institutions against the use of virtual currencies for payments. Chinese authorities are also starting to keep a close eye on crypto mining — the process by which computers mine cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

More blows to the cryptocurrency sector came from the U.S. tax and monetary authorities, including Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who suggested that more regulations are needed.

All and all, the flurry of negative updates caused the cryptocurrency market to lose more than $500 billion in May. Being the benchmark digital asset, Bitcoin also suffered the brunt of aggressive downside pressure, falling 35.50% in the month.

Bitcoin is undergoing a sharp trend reversal on its monthly charts following May's crash. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Meanwhile, physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded its strongest months in May 2021 since September 2020. The funds across the globe attracted a combined total of $3.4 billion compared to September's $4.8 billion, according to data provided by the World Gold Council (WGC).

In detail, U.S.-based gold ETFs experienced an inflow worth $2.1 billion. The European gold ETFs reported $1.6 billion worth of deposits. Nonetheless, Asian funds tracking the precious metal's prices noted an outflow of about $300 million.

Gold ETF flow chart. Source: WGC

Strong demand for gold ETFs also contributed to the rise of its spot prices. As a result, the XAU/USD exchange rate jumped 7.6% in May to $1,912.785 an ounce.

Negative correlation 

The polar opposite moves in Bitcoin and Gold markets indicated that a short-term negative correlation has been brewing between them. In addition, Wall Street veterans Nick Colas and Jessica Rabe also wrote in their DataTrek Research report that the sell-off in virtual currencies might have boosted gold's appeal among institutional investors.

The market strategists projected Bitcoin as a riskier alternative to Gold. Meanwhile, they noted that the precious metal's value does not decline by half in five weeks because of Elon Musk tweets, nor does it respond to policymakers' ban threats.

"Gold is, relative to virtual currencies, a no-drama investment. [Therefore], we continue to recommend a 3-5 percent position in gold for diversified portfolios."

Bitcoin is largely a speculative bet for wealthy and small retail investors seeking quick profits. But the fixed supply of BTC has also seen it benefit from fears of rising inflation, similar to gold. Corporates including Tesla, Ruffer Investments, Square, and MicroStrategy added Bitcoin to their cash-ruled balance sheets.

They did so to offset inflation risks brought forth by the Federal Reserve's unprecedented expansionary policies, including near-zero interest rates and a $120 billion monthly asset purchasing program. 

The high-profile investments played a key role in doubling Bitcoin prices in the first quarter of 2021, fueled further higher to around $65,000 by mid-April by an increase in debt-fueled leveraged bets and influx of new retail traders into the market.

On the other hand, Gold ETFs reported six months of back-to-back outflows until May 2021. JPMorgan analysts in January 2021 reported that gold ETFs lost about $7 billion in the same period Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), a trust operated by New York-based Grayscale Investments, attracted $3 billion.

The lack of capital injection into precious metal funds also lowered its spot bids; XAU/USD closed the first 2021 quarter down 10.14% opposed to Bitcoin's 100% returns.

In May 2021, another JPMorgan report suggested that large institutional investors secured their profits in Bitcoin to seek opportunities in gold. They cited open interest data in Bitcoin futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange that experienced its biggest drop since October 2020. JPMorgan analysts said:

“The bitcoin flow picture continues to deteriorate and is pointing to continued retrenchment by institutional investors."
Bitcoin (orange) trended inversely to gold (pink) so far into 2021. Source: TradingView

The statements also appeared as Ruffer Investments, a U.K.-based fund that manages about $33.95 billion for wealthy individuals and charities, also announced Tuesday that it has unloaded its entire Bitcoin position and has netted $1.56 billion in profits.

Duncan MacInnes, investment director at Ruffer, told the Finance Times that they had shifted the funds into gold, commodity stocks, and inflation-protected bonds.

Macinnes added that Bitcoin is still "on the menu" of Ruffer's potential investments in the future, noting that the world is desperate for new safe-haven against ultra-low bond yields.

Ripple will soon debut its RLUSD stablecoin, says Brad Garlinghouse