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Crypto mining needs to be redefined before simply casting it away

To ensure a sustainable future for blockchain and crypto, we need to reimagine the mining process and restructure PoW systems.

Blockchain mining networks are often victims of their success. The two contemporary realities that demarcate the mining landscape and cause blockchains to fall short of what they promise are 1) the ongoing technological arms race driven by inherent competitive greed; and 2) the rising energy costs associated with proof-of-work (PoW) mining. Blockchains built on the PoW consensus have become highly unequal and increasingly centralized in terms of their hash rate. This concentration of mining power in fewer and fewer hands is an attack on the fundamental requirement for distribution and decentralization that blockchains possess.

In addition, the motivation to ramp up mining power has a knock-on effect in terms of runaway energy costs, which have the potential to cause irrevocable environmental harm, as has been the crux of the Chinese Bitcoin (BTC) mining saga. To ensure a sustainable future for blockchain and cryptocurrencies, the hash rate must be distributed more equitably, ensuring that the chief components of distribution and decentralization are kept intact. This requires a reimagining of the mining process as we know it and necessitates a restructuring of PoW systems.

Related: Green Bitcoin: The impact and importance of energy use for PoW

The detrimental impact of mining re-centralization

Before unpacking what such a solution may look like, it is worth emphasizing the extent of the issues. The PoW consensus was, and continues to be, essential to Bitcoin’s enduring popularity, success and reliability. Most notably, PoW offers a solution to the well-known Byzantine Generals’ Problem in the fields of mathematics and computer science, through an incentivization setup and ongoing resource commitment that makes it infeasible for a malicious party to interfere with honest consensus.

Distribution and decentralization remain the crucial aspects of solving the dilemma where parties must agree on a single strategy to avoid complete failure, by enabling widespread consensus on “the message” and eliminating the risk posed if some of the involved parties are corrupt or unreliable. Yet, the more centralized and dominated by a small number of entities a blockchain network becomes, the less the consensus protocol can function as a solution to this problem. The rise of massive ASIC farms enables a handful of powerful players to exert control over the blockchain infrastructure, thereby threatening its ability to remain distributed and decentralized — and, ultimately, trustless.

This “late-stage” issue of the PoW consensus arises through how miners are incentivized through competition for the block reward. Although an essential part of the game-theoretic structure for keeping the network secure, this all-or-nothing race to the top also creates serious issues. In particular, it gives rise to the allegorical “cheating athlete problem,” which describes how when the reward for a race is worth a great deal, participants will do just about anything to win, including cheating. Imagine a group of athletes at the starting line of the first of a series of races, wherein each one will try to cross the finish line first and win a prize.

There is a certain amount of luck involved in winning each race (it is not simply the fastest who triumphs), but the chance of winning increases with the speed of the athlete. Cheating, in this case, is defined as gaining a substantial advantage over the other runners through the use of technology and/or collusion, such that the winner of each race is not sufficiently random as to provide a solution to the Byzantine Generals’ Problem (namely, distributed consensus through a sufficiently randomly distributed resource commitment).

It is in a similar vein that the PoW race leads to the development of ever more energy-hungry machines and larger mining farms, reducing the decentralization and distribution of the network, and preventing the resource commitment from acting as a means of trustless verification. Additionally, it drives the overall energy usage of the network, potentially to a point where it could impact the environment negatively if left unchecked.

Related: Measuring success: Offsetting crypto carbon emissions necessary for adoption?

Balancing the protocol for blockchain mining networks

To develop a solution to the cheating athlete problem, it is necessary to begin with the realization that it is not the total hash rate of a blockchain network that gives it security; rather, it is how that hash rate is distributed. To this end, one seeks a solution where re-distribution of hash rate is a fundamental feature of the protocol (rather than being left to politics, or centralized committees — no matter how well intentioned).

It is possible to balance the chances of winning “the race” by applying a handicap to those runners who are significantly faster and giving an edge to those runners who are significantly slower. In a blockchain network, this can be implemented through a peer-to-peer, thermodynamic-like balancing process that adjusts the individual hashing difficulty for miners smoothly and verifiably. This allows the network to move toward equilibrium in the effective hash rate and circumvents the worst excesses of centralization of mining power on the network, all while continuing to operate autonomously with no trusted third-party involvement.

There are vast many implementations of blockchain technology currently in existence, the majority of them possessing some form of economic or monetary value and employing an underlying technology that aims to best ensure the security and efficiency of the network. However, an algorithmic balancing protocol, which pushes the network closer toward a homogeneous distribution (although not all the way — a completely “flat” network would bring its own economic and security problems) can achieve the optimal balance between the distribution and economic incentivization. This can substantially reduce monopolistic mining practices while keeping the carbon footprint of the network to a minimum by disincentivizing the continuous ramping up of processing power through costly technologies and the building of large ASIC farms.

A greener, fairer, more secure future

The issues posed by the widespread mining re-centralization we see commonly today pose a significant challenge for the PoW consensus, but they shouldn’t spell its end. Emerging as revolutionary technology innovation, PoW solved a longstanding mathematical and computer science problem that paved the way for the success of Bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies, while promising an entirely new means of economic exchange. There is a danger that we won’t fully explore the transformative power of PoW if we cast it aside too hastily.

Related: Staking will eat proof-of-work for breakfast — Here’s why

There are similarities here with humanity’s exploration of economic systems. Capitalism is one of the greatest, most progressive systems ever developed in human history — improving innovation, lifespan, opportunities and quality of life for billions of people. However, left unchecked, it can drive unprecedented wealth, inequality and potentially even take us to the brink of climate catastrophe. Rather than abandon it entirely, what societies typically try to do is to balance the pros and cons of this system — to create a form of tempered capitalism in which greed and monopolistic endeavors are not allowed to dominate entirely, so that a more responsible, functioning, fairer society can emerge and flourish. This is largely what societies have tried to implement (to varying levels of success) in the form of wealth redistribution through, for example, taxation, anti-monopoly laws, etc.

Similarly, the PoW consensus is a revolutionary invention but needs tempering to curb the worst excesses of greed within the system. Collectively, we have a chance — and the responsibility — to align the PoW consensus protocol more with the needs of society and with its original purpose by reducing monopolistic tendencies and preventing crypto mining re-centralization. Simply put, instead of reinventing the wheel (abandoning PoW in favor of risky alternatives), what is needed is a way to harness the wheel more effectively to build a machine that connects and changes the world.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their research when making a decision.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Alexander Hobbs is the director of science at Zenotta. Alexander is a Ph.D. graduate in theoretical astrophysics and has authored numerous scientific publications in the areas of supermassive black holes, galaxy formation and dark matter and has spoken at a number of international conferences and workshops. Prior to joining Zenotta, he held postdoctoral positions at the Institute for Astronomy at ETH Zurich in Switzerland and the Institute for Computational Science at the University of Zurich.

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Altcoins soar after Bitcoin price bounces off a key moving average

Bitcoin price reliably bounced off the 20-day moving average, which catalyzed an explosive rally from VGX, CHSB and EWT.

The cryptocurrency market got off to a slow start on Aug. 19 after stimulus tapering talks from the U.S. Federal Reserve put pressure on global financial markets, but momentum within the crypto market picked up in the afternoon session as Bitcoin (BTC) bulls finally managed to break above the $46,000 level. 

While most altcoins were slow to warm up on Thursday, several altcoins led the way with gains in excess of 20% due to major protocol upgrades and exchange listings.

Top 7 coins with the highest 24-hour price change. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the biggest gainers over the past 24-hours were Voyager Token (VGX), SwissBorg (CHSB) and Energy Web Token (EWT).

Voyager 2.0 excites investors

VGX is the native coin of the Voyager platform, a cryptocurrency broker that provides trading services to retail and institutional investors.

VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro began to detect a bullish outlook for VGX on Aug. 16, prior to the recent price rise.

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historic and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements and Twitter activity.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. VGX price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen on the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for VGX turned green on Aug.15 and proceeded to climb to a high of 85 on Aug. 16, around 46 hours before the price increased 100% over the next day.

Excitement for the project comes as VGX and the platform are undergoing a token swap and upgrade to Voyager 2.0.

SwissBorg pumps after a new exchange listing

SwissBorg is another platform focused on wealth management and it provides a community-centric environment where users can exchange and store their crypto assets.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and CoinGecko shows that after hitting a low at $0.714 on Aug. 18, the price of CHSB spiked 35% to an intraday high at $0.973 as its 24-hour trading volume surged 445% to $16.1 million.

CHSB/USDT 1-hour chart. Source: CoinGecko

The sudden boost in momentum for the project was the result of the CHSB token being listed on the Bitfinex exchange on Aug. 18 and the growing strength of the ecosystem is evidenced by the recent revelation that the SwissBorg community now has 450,000 verified users.

Related: Stablecoin adoption and the future of financial inclusion

Energy Web Token staking attracts users

The price of Energy Web Token also rallied today after the project debuted new staking features. According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, market conditions for EWT have been favorable for some time.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. EWT price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for EWT began to pick up on Aug. 13 and reached a high of 77 on Aug. 14, around 84 hours before the price increased 33% over the next day.

Interest in the project has begun to rise thanks to an ongoing series of team member-led discussions that explain the different aspects of the protocol, including staking and the ‘switchboard’ user interface.

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.954 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 43.9%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Blockchain and sustainability — There’s more to it than electricity usage

Bringing the social and governance spheres to the discussion about the sustainability and potential of blockchain technology.

In a little more than 40,000 days — or over a hundred years — we have gone from the first terrestrial flight to the first flight on another planet. Within that short time, the amount of fuel burned and, unfortunately, even lives lost have been immense. In exchange, flight has completely transformed everything from commerce to warfare and has led to the birth of completely new industries. As aviation progressed, fuel efficiency improved and mortality rates also dropped immensely. 

In the digital realm, blockchain technology could be equally as transformative, with applications in everything from trade, exchange, cooperation, identity, and resource usage management. At the moment, these advancements come at the cost of high levels of electricity usage. This is a concern that should and will be addressed.

Related: Ignore the headlines — Bitcoin mining is already greener than you think

The issue is that the current narrative uses this high electricity usage to call blockchain projects, and especially Bitcoin (BTC), unsustainable. This is not only detrimental to blockchain projects — especially from an investment and adoption perspective — but it is also untrue.

Sustainability is judged on the three broad metrics of ESG — environmental, social and governance. The current debate — characterized by lack of nuance on the one side and needless finger-pointing on the other — has only focused on the environmental aspect of sustainability. The social and governance aspects have been widely ignored, which leads to an inaccurate sustainability perception for both Bitcoin and blockchain projects in general.

Related: Bitcoin miners can prove green potential by undergoing ESG ratings check

Social

The social aspect should be seen in the broader context of the economy-wide shift to platforms. Everything from ride-hailing to buying books to ordering take-out is now taking place on platforms. In this winner-takes-all world, the market power of successful platforms allows them to eventually dictate unfair terms to their workers.

Tokenized blockchain projects have the potential to address this wrong by making possible the ownership of a platform based on a worker’s contribution. The result being workers benefiting from the growth of the platform instead of getting oppressed by it.

Related: Understanding the systemic shift from digitization to tokenization of financial services

Governance

Blockchain technology enables the transparent and automated execution of rules/procedures on a global scale. This capability is based on a combination of immutability, transparency, censorship-resistance, decentralized software execution and economic incentive exclusive to the blockchain.

This makes the blockchain a rich proving ground for governance in the digital age — a proving ground which, as we have seen in the decentralized finance space, is making interesting progress on an almost daily basis. It is only a matter of time until the lessons learned spill over into helping us better manage the global commons.

Related: Decentralized parties: The future of on-chain governance

Conclusion

A piece of fabric and wood from the original Wright Flyer was taken to the surface of the moon by the Apollo 11 astronauts. The fabric and wood had no functional purpose beyond the symbolic tying of these two historic events together.

It has been around 4,600 days since the Bitcoin whitepaper was published. With the breakneck speed of innovation in the blockchain space, the current blockchains — and their energy consumption — will also be icons of the past.

It would therefore be more productive to take a more holistic view and steer toward a sustainable end result, rather than being overly judgemental of a work in progress — and losing possible social and governance gains, opening blockchain up to grifting and profiteering in the process.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Gys Hough is managing partner at Coinstone Capital — a Dutch digital asset investment advisor that focuses on customized crypto assets portfolios for retailers, HNWIs and family offices. Gys writes and lectures on blockchain and society with a special focus on tokenization, inclusive platforms and CBDCs.

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No, Musk, don’t blame Bitcoin for dirty energy — The problem lies deeper

Bitcoin is not responsible for dirty energy — people are. But Elon Musk is now responsible for Dogecoin.

Elon Musk is definitely interested in digital currency, but it seems that he doesn’t want to understand it. At least, I worry that he doesn't have a deep enough understanding of Bitcoin (BTC) and decentralized systems in general.

A decentralized system has to be secure, and proof-of-work (PoW) is the solution for Bitcoin to secure its digital asset. The more successful Bitcoin is, the more energy is required for PoW to secure the network. In other words, the reason that Bitcoin uses up so much more electricity than Dogecoin (DOGE), for example, is because BTC is much more secure than DOGE.

Related: Experts answer: How does Elon Musk affect crypto space?

The irony of Elon Musk

From a power perspective, BTC uses up more energy in Bitcoin mining. This is due to the fact that Bitcoin is in a leadership position. The irony is that electricity is amorphous — amorphous in the sense that you don't know where it comes from. Just by looking at a kilowatt of electricity transmitted to you, unless someone told you, you don't know where it comes from. You have to track the origin source, where sometimes the source is green and renewable — such as solar, wind, hydro or geothermal — but sometimes the energy is dirty coal, nuclear and other dirty energy supplies that are out there.

The main issue is that energy itself is neutral. Energy doesn't know where it came from. Energy is just energy — electricity. So, the irony is that with Elon Musk, the electric cars that he sells at Tesla are powered by the same energy that's used in the coal-powered BTC mining machines. It is ironic that he's been criticizing the mining machines for using up a lot of energy, as the Tesla cars are powered using a lot of energy that comes from all over the world. If you get to build and sell 10 million cars, they are going to use a lot of energy as a principle.

Who’s right, who’s wrong?

The way to truly get rid of dirty energy is to shut down production at the source: the power plant. This is the only way to get rid of unsustainable sources of energy. If Bitcoin mining is necessary, you may think that Christmas lights are okay or turning on the air conditioning is okay when in reality, Christmas lights — in my opinion — are truly unnecessary. I can also argue that air conditioning is also unnecessary. On the other hand, washing machines and dryers are necessary, but if you really wanted to, you could try to do the laundry naturally, by hand and in the creek behind your house.

These subjective concerns about what's right or wrong, or how one uses their electricity, come down to society. Do we allow society and the mature adults who live in it to choose how they want to use electricity? Should there be some standards, rules or even laws that would regulate it?

If you can use washing machines or air conditioners, why can't you use Bitcoin mining machines? All of these appliances are wasting energy, but these examples are designed to make our lives easier and better.

Whether it's the Paris Agreement or some other important international decree, the goal must be to eliminate dirty energy at its source, at the power plants, as mentioned previously. To be completely fair, many of the other industries use a lot of electricity: aluminum, steel, gold and silver mining — they all take up a lot of electricity and use a lot of energy, whether it's electricity or fossil fuel energy. In the end, it's a matter of judgment on which activity is good or bad. The answer here would be entirely subjective: For some, it’s good to mine gold or process steel, while mining Bitcoin is environmentally destructive. Conversely, I would argue that mining Bitcoin is good, and processing gold and steel is wasting money, energy and resources. After all, it's subjective.

Why did Musk choose Dogecoin?

Elon Musk likes being famous, and he likes power — many people probably do. What's interesting is that with Bitcoin, he doesn't have influence on it, due to Bitcoin’s already strong following. In other words, he could not take over Bitcoin and set the direction for it, as it’s already too strong for that.

Look at some of the top cryptocurrencies apart from Bitcoin: My brother, Charlie Lee, is the public face of Litecoin (LTC). Ether (ETH) has a very public founder, Vitalik Buterin. Behind Tether (USDT) is Jean-Louis Van Der Velde. Binance Coin (BNB) has Changpeng Zhao, so on and so forth, and they cannot be taken over because there are notable people in the driver's seats, so to speak. Finally, you have Dogecoin, which was created to be similar to a hobby project, but then the founders of Dogecoin seemed to have disappeared, and DOGE was not actively maintained.

Here is an interesting theory: Elon Musk found out about the tragedy of Dogecoin and realized it could be something that he could take control over. He could become the new head of Dogecoin. (That's why I think he didn’t choose any other cryptocurrencies, as they had their own beloved founders and leaders). With such a strong, famous leader of Dogecoin, the price skyrocketed. That's my theory, but in general, I don't like centralized digital currencies. The fact that you can take over Dogecoin and set the direction single-handedly is a bad sign for Dogecoin. To me, that's not very interesting.

This article is from an interview held by Max Yakubowski with Bobby Lee. It has been condensed and edited.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Bobby Lee is the former CEO of China’s first cryptocurrency exchange, BTCC, founded in 2011. Lee received both his bachelor’s and master’s degrees in computer science from Stanford University, and started his career in tech as a software engineer at Yahoo. His current venture is Ballet, a cryptocurrency hardware wallet designed for accessibility and adoption by the masses. Lee is also vice-chair of the board of the Bitcoin Foundation and the brother of Litecoin founder and advocate Charlie Lee.

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Ignore the headlines — Bitcoin mining is already greener than you think

ESG-led Bitcoin mining is not only possible, but it’s ultimately the most responsible and prosperous way to show leadership in this growing industry.

Is it possible to mine Bitcoin (BTC) using only 100% renewable energy sources and deliver the same economic returns as those using carbon-based sources? The answer is yes, according to Square’s recent analysis on the cost of renewables and their impact on Bitcoin mining.

Unfortunately for our industry, the number of headlines and headline-making tweets about Bitcoin’s energy use and potential environmental impact has followed its rise in value in recent months. The increased media scrutiny has led to increased calls for regulatory action and even a proposed bill in the New York State Senate that would place a three-year moratorium on non-renewable Bitcoin mining in the state.

Related: Green blockchain should work smarter, not harder

This is one debate where both sides have a point. Critics are correct: Bitcoin mining does use a lot of electricity. The Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance estimates that the total electricity used worldwide by Bitcoin miners is an average of 113 terawatt-hours per year. This would place Bitcoin’s energy use somewhere between the United Arab Emirates and the Netherlands, two countries with a combined population of approximately 170 million people, which is admittedly a lot. However, the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance’s recent “3rd Global Cryptoasset Benchmarking Study” shows that 76% of miners are using at least some renewable energy in their operations and that 39% of all energy consumption used in proof-of-work mining, such as mining Bitcoin, is from renewable sources.

Related: Is Bitcoin a waste of energy? Pros and cons of Bitcoin mining

Now that we have discussed Bitcoin mining’s energy consumption and carbon footprint, let’s try to put those figures in context. By looking at three directly relevant comparisons: the United States electricity grid, the traditional finance system and gold mining.

The electricity grid, traditional finance and gold mining

Let’s start with comparing Bitcoin mining to the electrical grid as a whole. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration shows that approximately 20% of U.S. electricity generation for 2020 was from renewable sources. This means that with 40% of its energy consumption coming from renewables, Bitcoin mining is twice as green as the national grid as a whole, reflecting the conscious decision-making of the industry to minimize its carbon footprint.

Moving on to traditional finance, there are two critical lenses to evaluate the industry through: 1) the financing of fossil fuel projects and 2) the industry’s carbon footprint. The former is a critical piece of the discussion, as shifting deposits away from traditional financial institutions reduces their capacity to fund environmentally destructive activities.

According to the Rainforest Action Network’s “Banking on Climate Chaos — Fossil Fuel Finance Report 2021” released in March, the world’s 60 largest commercial and investment banks have provided $3,800,000,000,000 — yes, 3.8 trillion U.S. dollars — worth of financing to fossil fuels since the signing of Paris climate accord in 2015. Think about that for a minute — the Paris Agreement is the world’s definitive step toward combating climate change, and yet, the world’s largest banks have provided financing equivalent to the GDP of Germany, the world’s fourth-largest economy, to fossil fuels since its signing.

For all of the outdated, exaggerated criticism of Bitcoin as a means of money laundering, terrorist financing and many others, the traditional finance industry has an incredible amount to answer for as far as its capital being used for destructive activities.

Looking at traditional finance’s carbon footprint, Galaxy Digital published in May “On Bitcoin’s Energy Consumption: A Quantitative Approach to a Subjective Question,” which is a breakdown of the energy consumption of Bitcoin mining and the two industries to which Bitcoin is often compared: traditional banking and gold mining. The traditional banking system analysis looks at the energy consumption of the world’s top 100 global banks, breaking down their energy consumption across four primary categories: data centers, branches, ATMs and card network data centers. Using publicly available data from industry leaders, Galaxy estimates the energy consumption to be around 260 TWh per year. This is more than double Bitcoin mining’s energy consumption and notably excludes key pillars of the system, including central banks and clearinghouses, due to lack of reliable data sources, suggesting the multiple may be materially higher.

As with its analysis of the traditional banking system, Galaxy’s analysis of gold mining captures what is likely to be only a subset of the industry’s total energy consumption. Using the World Gold Council’s own analysis contained in the 2019 report titled “Gold and Climate Change: Current and Future Impacts,” and limiting the scope of the analysis to direct greenhouse gas emissions, greenhouse gas emissions from electricity purchased by gold miners, and greenhouse gas emissions associated with the refinement and recycling of gold, Galaxy estimates the industry’s electricity consumption associated with greenhouse gases to be 240 TWh per year. At a base level, that means gold consumes around 85% more energy per year than Bitcoin mining. However, given that the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance estimated that approximately 40% of Bitcoin mining’s energy consumption is from renewables, that means gold mining’s consumption of non-renewable energy is 3x that of Bitcoin mining.

Bitcoin’s green potential

Being better than your worst comparisons is not enough. For Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining to realize their full potential, we absolutely have to do better as an industry. We believe that the two key levers to do so are thoughtful regulation and industry action, but the inclusion of the former may surprise you. Isn’t Bitcoin supposed to be full of people who reject regulations?

The truth is, regulation on its own is neither good nor bad, but depends how it is crafted. Thoughtful, specific regulation can oxygenate an industry by supporting innovation, incentivizing good actors while disincentivizing poor actors and giving the public confidence. Look no further than the state of Wyoming, where legislators have been working with blockchain industry leaders since 2017 to pass 22 laws that provide a clear and encouraging regulatory environment that has since brought tens of billions of dollars of business to the state.

At the same time, overly broad, blunt regulation, like the anti-mining law proposed in the New York State Senate, can kill an industry. We look forward to working with regulators to help craft a regulatory regime that oxygenates the industry while addressing the very legitimate public interest concerns at the same time.

Related: Blockchain will thrive once innovators and regulators work together

Finally, we come to the stakeholders who bear the greatest burden but also have the greatest ability to enact change in decarbonizing Bitcoin mining: the industry itself. With an estimated total of 40% of the industry’s energy coming from renewable sources — which is twice the share of the overall electrical grid in the U.S. — we should be proud of the progress we have made.

However, we are unequivocal in saying that more has to be done. We believe that the Crypto Climate Accord is a brilliant first step. We encourage all in our industry to not only sign the accord and satisfy its goals of reaching net-zero emissions from electricity consumption by 2030 but to surpass those goals as soon as possible. We believe this will happen, not only because it is the right thing to do but because those in the industry who adopt 100% renewable strategies will be rewarded.

Related: Bitcoin mining's future is green, and Russia has the best chance

The market is the ultimate arbiter of success, and we believe that the era of responsible capitalism is upon us — investors and consumers vote with their wallets, supporting responsible actors while shunning those whose actions drive negative externalities.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Dan Tolhurst co-founded Gryphon Digital Mining in 2020 with the vision of creating the ESG-driven Bitcoin miner, and looks forward to the day that all Bitcoin mining is done using renewable energy sources. He has deep expertise as a strategy executive from his time at Netflix, The Walt Disney Company and Booz & Co., in a career spanning five continents. He holds both an HBA and an MBA from the Ivey Business School at Western University and a JD from Osgoode Hall Law School at York University. He spends his free time exploring London’s parks, travelling and cheering on his beloved Toronto Raptors.

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Green blockchain should work smarter, not harder

A more lightweight, smarter blockchain would certainly have a smaller-size environmental footprint, and that is the goal.

As the spotlight returns to Bitcoin (BTC), helped by some tweets by a certain mercurial celebrity, the raging debate over its energy use has once again reignited. It centers around one, seemingly clear-cut question: Does Bitcoin use too much energy?

The basic contours of the issue are clear. Bitcoin secures its network from a hostile takeover using proof-of-work (PoW), a process that expends significant quantities of electricity due to the computing power required. Every time we have this discussion, the all-too-familiar battle lines are redrawn.

Critics argue that Bitcoin’s energy use simply cannot be justified. At various stages in recent years, reports have estimated that the network uses as much electricity as entire states such as Denmark or Ireland, for instance.

Related: Is Bitcoin a waste of energy? Pros and cons of Bitcoin mining

On the other side of the fence, Bitcoin’s proponents contend that the network might spur the greater use of renewables. Furthermore, they point out that we are not accounting for the energy use of the alternative. We cannot gauge the relative efficiency of Bitcoin as a means to secure and exchange value unless we compare it with the total energy use of the traditional banking system. Just as we should move beyond the narrow metric of tailpipe emissions to measure the environmental impact of vehicles, Bitcoin advocates assert that we need a comprehensive audit of the environmental impact of traditional finance, including all the infrastructure, brick-and-mortar buildings, travel and hardware that support it. In addition, lurking in the background, are the other alternatives — what about consensus mechanisms such as proof-of-stake (PoS), the approach that Ethereum is transitioning to?

Related: Proof-of-stake vs. proof-of-work: Which one is ‘fairer’?

The standard battle lines

It is a fact, and noncontroversial, that mining technology for blockchain consumes vast amounts of energy. This is particularly stark when comparing the cost of producing and circulating currency.

Bitcoin, for instance, is estimated to consume 123.77 billion kilowatt-hours of energy annually, compared with 2.64 million kWh for cash. According to Digiconomist founder Alex de Vries, if Bitcoin became the world’s reserve currency, global energy production would need to double.

Others claim that miners will eventually gravitate to wherever energy costs are lowest, or become the green energy buyers of last resort. Whether the argument stands up over the long haul remains to be seen, given the degree of regulation in energy markets, the physical costs of relocation and the potential security implications of concentrating miners.

Framing the opportunity costs

Of all these arguments, comparing the energy use of cryptocurrencies with the traditional banking sector — or fiat, in particular — is relatively new. Comparisons with legacy payment systems, however, overlook the difference in transaction volume: While the Visa network completed over 185 billion transactions in 2019 alone, Bitcoin has facilitated 643 million since its inception. Furthermore, commercial entities like Visa are well integrated with energy markets, which are highly regulated in many countries. In the mental models where miners move en masse into new energy markets, it is highly likely that transition costs (as well as the resistance of incumbents) are being discounted. Again, these tendencies are not surprising, as cryptocurrency advocates tend to look optimistically to the future, imagining that markets work more efficiently than they actually do.

Setting aside the non-trivial, highly complicated implications of energy use for the security of blockchains, the idea that miners will follow cheaper electricity prices does not necessarily mean cleaner energy, as cheaper is often dirtier. But even more importantly, the idea that miners will eventually just switch to renewables ignores the opportunity cost of energy. According to the United States Energy Information Administration, global energy usage will grow 50% by 2050. The emergence of unforeseen computational requirements posed by smart cities or integrated supply chains, for instance, will require blockchain to be more energy efficient — all while humanity needs to keep an eye on climate goals.

Related: Blockchain tech makes sustainable development goals more achievable

So, while Bitcoin maximalists are undeterred in their belief that Bitcoin is the first best use for energy, and while proponents of Ethereum — which is moving to a different model, in part apparently due to energy use concerns — may think they have a long-term solution, the general public may not be convinced that cryptocurrency (and nonfungible tokens built on technologies like that of Ethereum) have a sustainable answer to the question: What will be best for society?

Blockchain is now receiving mainstream attention, which gives those of us in the industry a chance to restate the problem in a way that speaks to all of us. Do we think the benefits of blockchain will be worth the opportunity cost? When it comes to memecoins built on mining chains — which are fads, peaking and waning in price with popular sentiment (and new memes) — and the many scams and imitations that have popped up (to the continual embarrassment of serious projects in this space), blockchain technologists are rightfully afraid the public will decide it is not.

However, if we are discussing the benefits of new blockchain technologies that take resource use seriously and open new markets as the internet did, that is an entirely different matter. In that case, the correct comparison is not merely with the opportunity cost of staying with the status quo in finance but with the intermediated economy as a whole.

More to the issue than just mining

While the debate about the efficiency of cryptocurrency tends to be dominated by the discussion of mining, less attention is given to the alternatives. PoS protocols sidestep the need for mining by changing what bad actors stand to lose if they try to falsify transactions. While with PoW such actors could potentially lose the energy they invested, on a PoS network they would forfeit cryptocurrency staked in advance. But this solution also comes with energy considerations.

Suppose that some of these stakers are centralized exchanges: Their first incentive will be profitable trading, not monitoring the energy efficiency of the underlying blockchain. In this respect, we need to consider how information is disseminated among nodes. Mainstream blockchains typically use peer-to-peer gossip networks to communicate. Put simply, such networks pass transaction data from node to node until it is known by all participants. As a result, however, the same message may be repeatedly sent to peers who have already received it from others, wasting resources. And the protocols that assume that security and transaction volume will be able to attract a sufficiently large number of nodes to maintain accuracy in some fashion — whether they are new delegated PoS protocols, directed acyclic graphs, layer-two solutions or cross-chain bridges — are similar to PoW in their assumption that the correct transactions will be confirmed and propagated wherever the network needs that information to be.

Beyond gossip

However, if we manage to overcome the limitations of gossip networks, a whole new world opens up. For instance, nodes on Geeq blockchains use a hub-and-spoke structure to communicate, in order to transmit a minimal set of messages without defaulting to a centralized power structure. Any honest (and potentially anonymous) node may serve as a hub for one block and communicate with the nodes on that blockchain’s active node list (the nodes that happen to be on active spokes).

Unlike a gossip network, where each node sends messages (gossips) to every node around it, meaning that a particular node could receive the same message redundantly from all of its gossiping buddies, this structure results in messaging that is parsimonious, predictable and verifiable. As a result, the use of resources is lower by magnitudes compared with PoW or PoS based protocols, bringing computation, bandwidth and storage costs per transaction as low as a hundredth of a cent, making micropayments feasible.

Furthermore, future blockchain architecture will need to be multichain and flexible, providing a set of parameters that can be adjusted according to the specific requirements — such as speed, transaction throughput or security — of a given use case. A more lightweight, “smarter” blockchain would certainly have a smaller environmental footprint, but it would also be easier to adopt, and could even provide the underlying infrastructure for more sustainable societies.

Small is beautiful

One promising application in this regard is P2P energy trading. Currently, large utility companies supply entire cities with electricity through centralized networks. However, smart cities in the future could rely on a more flexible web of microgrids instead. To satisfy local consumption, these localized, autonomous electricity networks would use mainly local sources like power generators or photovoltaic panels.

Related: Talking digital future: Smart cities

Blockchain technology has always been a promising way to execute, validate and record P2P energy transactions, letting anyone on a local microgrid become either a producer or a buyer of electricity. However, up until now, the technology has not been up to the challenge. In order for the market to work well, units of energy as low as a few kilowatts would need to be traded, which would equate to a monetary value of just a few cents. Such transactions are infeasible given current blockchain transaction fees. When transaction costs are fractions of a cent, however, this hurdle would be eliminated. In turn, this would allow blockchain to serve as the technological bedrock of smart cities, allowing millions of Internet of Things devices like smart meters or solar panels to seamlessly interact and interface with digital wallets, often without human intervention.

For example, before going to work in the morning, you could charge your electric vehicle from the energy gathered from photovoltaic panels installed on your roof. Later you may decide to sell unused electricity to your neighbors before going on a vacation. It would also be possible to set up networkwide demand response rules, written in smart contracts. According to the Natural Resources Defense Council, for instance, the cost of “vampire electricity” consumed by plugged-in but unused devices is circa $165 per household, amounting to 4.6% of the total residential electricity production in the United States. Hence, an electric toothbrush left on the charger would be turned off during certain time periods automatically. To override network rules, you would need to pay a small compensatory fee, incentivizing producers to offset extra demand while discouraging users from wasting energy.

In addition, blockchain-based applications — decentralized applications, or DApps — may be built to ensure the traceability of clean energy. Thus, when purchasing electricity, you could check via an app whether it came from a sustainable source. Empowering the consumer to make these decisions is only possible with decentralized technology; otherwise, intermediaries will be able to distort markets to their own tastes. With the rise of global environmental consciousness, traceability may become a key tool to incentivize the production of renewable energy.

New horizons ahead

With such a drastic growth in global energy consumption predicted, it is easy to see why blockchain’s environmental footprint is coming under scrutiny. However, it is also important not to throw out the baby with the bathwater.

As well as taking a holistic view of the relative energy consumption of blockchain compared with traditional finance, we should begin a wider discussion about the net positives and negatives of the technology for society more broadly. In order for blockchain to fulfill its transformative potential, underpin smart cities and support low-carbon economies, we need to focus on developing smarter, more affordable blockchain architecture.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Stephanie So is an economist, policy analyst and co-founder of Geeq, a blockchain security company. Throughout her career, she has applied technology within her specialist disciplines. In 2001, she was the first to use machine learning on social science data at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications. More recently, she researched the use of distributed networking processes in healthcare and patient safety in her role as a senior lecturer at Vanderbilt University. Stephanie is a graduate of Princeton University and the University of Rochester.

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