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Price analysis 5/13: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, TON, DOGE, ADA

Bitcoin's strong rebound of the $60,000 level is encouraging but it still could be a hint that BTC's range-bound action could continue for some time.

Traders prefer a trending market rather than a range-bound one. Sometimes, when there is uncertainty about the next directional move, traders step to the sidelines, and that seems to be the case with Bitcoin (BTC). 

According to research firm Santiment, “fear and indecision” could be the factors that have led to a drop in Bitcoin’s on-chain activity toward historic lows. The firm clarified that it does not necessarily mean that Bitcoin will fall more.

Bitcoin’s consolidation is giving opportunities to investors to load up on Bitcoin. Japanese investment firm Metaplanet said it had made a “strategic shift” in its treasury management strategy to follow a Bitcoin-only approach in response to a sustained decline in the Japanese yen. Metaplanet announced a purchase of 117.7 Bitcoin at an average price of $65,000.

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Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju

Bitcoin price shows strength as investors anticipate return of money printing

Bitcoin rallies as central bank stimulus packages become more common, and the Fed’s signal of “higher for longer” interest rates aligns with investors’ market view.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 2% in the last 24-hours, recovering after two days of difficulty in surpassing the $61,500 resistance. By sustaining price levels above $62,500, the current upside movement demonstrates that Bitcoin can still experience positive price fluctuations regardless of the U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, which saw $100 million in net outflows over four days.

Several factors have improved sentiment toward cryptocurrencies, beginning with China's announcement of issuing $138 million in long-term bonds to boost the economy. Although this was expected since the announcement in March, it reaffirmed that governments are acknowledging increased risks of recession. This was in response to data indicating that China's aggregate credit decreased in April for the first time in seven years.

Zou Wang, an investment director at Shanghai Anfang Private Fund Management, told Reuters that the market now anticipates further liquidity injections from China's central bank, possibly including cuts to interest rates. Such actions would exacerbate issues stemming from recent expansive measures by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), which led to an increase in the U.S. monetary supply in March for the first time in two years.

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Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju

Bitcoin bottomed at $56K? BTC price chart hints at breakout within days

Adding to the bullish technical formation, Bitcoin's distribution 'danger zone' has officially ended, according to popular analyst Rekt Capital.

A popular Bitcoin chart formation suggests that Bitcoin's (BTC) price could break out from its current range. However, this week's macroeconomic news could also significantly impact the price. Can Bitcoin break out to the upside?

On the four-hour chart, Bitcoin price printed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a formation used by technical analysts to predict the reversal of a previous downtrend.

Based on the technical formation, Bitcoin could rally to the upside if a break above the trendline occurs, according to a May 13 X post from crypto investor Quinten Francois, who wrote:

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Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju

Bitcoin trades sideways while TON, RNDR, PEPE and AR flash bullish signs

Bitcoin price looks stuck in the near term, but TON, RNDR, PEPE and AR could surprise traders by making a strong upside move.

Bitcoin (BTC) could not hold its recovery this week, signaling that the bears have not given up and are using the rallies to sell. Bitcoin is on track to finish the week with a loss of more than 4%. The longer the price stays closer to $60,000, the greater the possibility of a downside breakdown.

However, analysts remain bullish on the price action in the post-halving cycle. According to Cane Island Alternative Advisors founder and investment manager Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin could soar to anywhere “between $175,000 - $350,000 in the next 9 months.” Peterson cautioned in a X post that “this bull market will end in January 2025.”

Despite the sideways price action, select traditional finance companies are adding Bitcoin to their portfolio. JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo reported exposure to spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in their May 10 filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Although the allocation to Bitcoin is small, it looks to be a step in the right direction.

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Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju

Coingecko Study: Low-Float Cryptocurrencies Make up 21.3% of Top 300 by Market Capitalization

Coingecko Study: Low-Float Cryptocurrencies Make up 21.3% of Top 300 by Market CapitalizationAccording to the findings of a Coingecko study, low-float cryptos currently account for 21.3% of the top 300 cryptos by market capitalization. The four cryptos with the lowest float are worldcoin (WLD), cheelee (CHEEL), starknet (STRK), and saga (SAGA) which were all launched in 2023 or 2024. However, among the top 300 cryptos, 74 have […]

Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju

$1.35B in Bitcoin options expire this week — Do BTC bulls or bears have the upper hand?

This week’s Bitcoin options expiry sits at $1.35 billion, but what is the expected impact on BTC price?

Whenever Bitcoin's (BTC) price action exhibits significant corrections, analysts and traders are quick to search for a reason, often pointing fingers at derivatives markets where bears allegedly exploit futures contract liquidation levels or anticipate increased profits from weekly BTC options expiries. 

Such talk has been on the decline recently, thanks to Bitcoin’s range-bound price action, but now that murmurs of a trend reversal have come back, let’s take a look at how whales are positioned using Bitcoin derivatives markets.

The recent failure to maintain prices above $65,000 on May 6 is an example of how some market participants blame the weekly options expiry for the recent downtrend. If this were the case, which can be inferred by BTC derivatives metrics, further downward pressure could be expected ahead of the 8:00 am UTC expiry on May 10.

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Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju

TRUMP and BODEN Coins Soar Following Trump’s Crypto Endorsement and Critique of Biden

TRUMP and BODEN Coins Soar Following Trump’s Crypto Endorsement and Critique of BidenFollowing the recent crypto endorsement by former U.S. President Donald Trump, and his criticism of current President Joe Biden, the value of the two meme coins linked to these political figures — TRUMP and BODEN — have significantly increased over the past day. TRUMP Coin Jumps 35%, BODEN Up 16% After Trump’s Crypto Advocacy At […]

Altseason delayed due to lack of fresh retail capital — Ki Young Ju