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NFTs aren’t dead — they’re just resting

The market for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) might be struggling during this "NFT Winter," but there are signs of life if you know where to look.

Headlines predicting the death of Bitcoin are nothing new. Over the past decade, we’ve seen every permutation of why “Bitcoin is dead” imaginable, yet the current crypto winter has brought very few of these dire proclamations. 

It seems a little different this time. Maybe it’s hard to pen such a eulogy with Bitcoin (BTC) hovering around $28,000, and a spot Bitcoin ETF on the horizon. Doesn’t seem like Ethereum’s dead either.

But the blockchain industry and its commentators still need a corpse to poke at, and that’s what they’ve found with the putrid cadaver that is the nonfungible token market

NFTs are dead. Deceased. Lifeless. NFTs are the “Norwegian Blue” from Monty Python’s Dead Parrot Sketch. And the grave dancing has commenced; to quote a recent Rolling Stone headline, “Your NFTs are actually — finally — totally worthless.”

Rolling Stone is right — most NFTs are indeed utterly worthless.

Yet that should not be surprising to anyone who’s been in crypto for a few cycles. Most of the ICO tokens from the 2017 bull market vintage were dead by the 2018/19 winter. Likewise, the countless DeFi protocol tokens post-DeFi-summer of 2020. 

Today, more than 1.8 million tokens have an aggregate market cap of a little more than $1 trillion. But the top 10 largest protocols and tokens account for over 93% of the total.

Do the math. That’s a long, long tail of worthless zombie coins. The vast majority of all tokens die. So why should NFTs be any different?

The barrier to entry to create an NFT project in the hope of striking it rich was (and remains) low. Anyone can, and seemingly did, create an NFT collection in a few minutes with a few keystrokes.

So what happened when a frenzy of trading activity and money flooded into this new corner of the crypto market in mid-2021? The free market responded exactly how it was supposed to: it provided supply. And supply ≠ quality, especially in this industry.

We’ve seen the same cycle again and again, this just happens to be the first real NFT winter.

A-listers have quietly taken their NFT Twitter avatars down. Jimmy Fallon isn’t shilling apes with Paris Hilton on late-night TV. Ashton Kutcher’s Stoner Cats has settled with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). A collective sense of embarrassment abounds.

NFT trading volumes have collapsed, from around $1 billion a week in mid-2021 to early-2022, to sub-$100 million today.

NFT trading volume by chain. Source: CryptoSlam

It’s bleak. But, as I said back in October 2021 about NFTs, “Peaks and troughs are nothing new, it's what emerges from them which is what's worth paying attention to.”

For those curious and open-minded enough to look beneath the surface of the “NFTs are dead” generalization prevalent today, there are signs of life amidst the rubble.

In September, news emerged that PayPal filed a patent application in March surrounding an NFT purchase-and-transfer system.

Pudgy Penguins continues to expand into physical toys, first selling on Amazon in March and recently expanding to 2,000 Walmart stores across the U.S. (Disclaimer: I own a fat penguin jpeg.)

Doodles have collaborated with casual footwear brand Crocs in a similar effort to merge the physical and digital, with a likewise similar collaboration between Gary Vee’s Veefriends and Reebok.

At a concert over the summer, Harry Styles fans could download an app featuring a self-custodial digital wallet for future NFT rewards. Meanwhile, Justin Bieber is collaborating with a blockchain music platform to turn a song into an NFT with royalty streams to the NFT holders.

The top auction houses continue to bring mainstream artists into the NFT world, Keith Haring with Christies for example, and Sotheby’s partnering with Ledger to offer a co-branded Ledger Nano X (hardware wallet) for buyers of premier digital art.

If you keep looking you’ll find more and more signs of life, because NFTs are not “dead.”

The fundamental technological primitive of what NFTs are and what they offer will not “die,” any more than blockchain will “die.” They will simply continue to evolve while the weak hands, weak teams, scams, copycats, and fast money fade into history, another footnote from another crypto cycle.

As we transition from this NFT winter into a new season, expect to see NFT projects that are more sophisticated and commercially viable, enriching the ecosystem in new and meaningful ways.

Tama Churchouse is the COO of Cumberland Labs, an early-stage Web3 incubator, and a founder of Digitali, a community-driven NFT Wiki that serves as a comprehensive database for NFT collections.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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Gotta Catch ’Em All – Official Pokemon NFT Trading Cards Take Polygon (MATIC) by Storm

Gotta Catch ’Em All – Official Pokemon NFT Trading Cards Take Polygon (MATIC) by Storm

Official Pokemon cards in the form of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are being minted over Polygon (MATIC), taking the layer-2 scaling solution by storm. In a lengthy thread on the social media platform X, digital asset consultant S4mmy.eth says that digital card boosters of the popular Nintendo franchise are being opened over the MATIC blockchain and […]

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Water & Music’s Cherie Hu says Web3 and AI will revolutionize creativity: The Agenda

Water & Music founder Cherie Hu explains how technology is evolving the music industry — but is it to the benefit of musicians?

Curiosity might have killed the cat, but for musicians, it’s often the launchpad of creativity and innovation. 2023 saw the rapid growth of OpenAI’s powerful ChatGPT artificial intelligence tool, and technologies like Midjourney and Dall-E have provided content creators the ability to literally become a one-man band — or a one-person production studio.

Keeping pace with the rapid evolution of technology and its impact on relevant industries can be a challenge for the average busy person, and one of the goals of Water & Music is to offer a more research-backed approach for music industry professionals to inspect, discuss and experiment with new technologies.

On Episode 19 of The Agenda podcast, hosts Ray Salmond and Jonathan DeYoung speak with Cherie Hu, the founder of Water & Music — “an independent newsletter and research community on a mission to make the music industry more innovative, cooperative, and transparent.”

Change is inevitable

When asked about what’s new in the music industry, Hu recognized that “the old music business very much was driven by a small group of gatekeepers,” and she suggested that the pandemic, new technology and perhaps even some of the ideology that backs the Web3 movement would eventually change this status quo.

“The pandemic, I think, woke a lot of people up,” Hu said. “I think it encouraged people to become a lot more proactive about speaking out about and advocating for changes that they wanted to see.” She added:

“A lot of the most critical, like deeply critical, conversations I’ve heard about streaming have come in the last three years just because, due to the pandemic, artists were put in a position where they had to essentially rely solely on digital sources of income to make ends meet without touring. And then they look at their streaming checks and are like, ‘This is this is nothing. I can’t live off of this.’ And so, there have been a lot more productive conversations around alternative models to monetizing music in a digital context. Web3, of course, has played a huge, huge role in this.”

Historically, breaking into the music industry meant artists either needed to know the right people to get picked up or be able to fund their endeavors in a way that created enough ripples to capture a wider audience. Hu believes that within the traditional music industry, “a lot of those mechanisms haven’t really changed for like the last 10, 20, even 30 years,” but she also acknowledges that new technologies have opened up new methods for creators to completely circumvent the conventional path to success.

Hu said:

“The way that culture is moving, especially if you look at apps like TikTok and the impact that ecosystem has on music culture and what music, what songs get big, it just moves so quickly. The unfortunate part of the music industry is that the financing element has not caught up to it.”

According to Hu, Water & Music aspires to take a more analytical approach to how the music business is evolving and being impacted by emerging technologies.

“So when we think about the new music business, we definitely focus on new technologies that enable people to participate in the music industry. You know, whether it’s creating music, marketing music, building communities around it, monetizing it in totally new ways. We’re interested in that entire stack.”

Related: 5 AI trends to look forward to in 2023 and beyond

Web3 ideas and practices could become endemic to the music industry

Blockchain-based gaming, nonfungible token collections and other Web3 gimmicks were all the rage in 2020 and 2021 when the broader crypto space was in a bull market, but host Salmond wondered how relevant these tactics are today, particularly in the music industry.

Hu explained that with gaming, there are currently “more opportunities for building experiences than for monetizing them and building a business out of them. I would say that element is still missing and still challenging for a lot of indie artists.”

The infrastructure, time and overhead required to build out entire worlds is labor-intensive and not necessarily proven to be sticky, except for major gaming platforms like Roblox. Hu explained that a more pragmatic opportunity for artists might be sync licensing. According to her:

“Sync, or synchronization, licensing is the music industry term for licensing music for any kind of audio-visual multimedia experience, so like a film or a podcast or a game. And there are actually a lot of mobile games, especially, which I think is probably one of the more underexplored areas of music and gaming partnerships. You normally think of these huge games like League of Legends or Fortnite, but there are a lot of emerging mobile games, a lot especially built around music, that are looking for partnerships with the music industry.”

To hear more from Hu’s conversation with The Agenda — including her deeper explanation of how subscribers have benefited from the research published by Water & Music — listen to the full episode on Cointelegraph’s Podcasts page, Apple Podcasts or Spotify. And don’t forget to check out Cointelegraph’s full lineup of other shows!

Related: AI music sending traditional industry into ‘panic,’ says new AI music platform CEO

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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Billionaire Mark Cuban Suffers $870,000 in Losses to a Crypto Hack: Report

Billionaire Mark Cuban Suffers 0,000 in Losses to a Crypto Hack: Report

Business magnate Mark Cuban has reportedly been hacked to the tune of hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of digital assets. According to a new report by DL News, the billionaire’s MetaMask wallet was hacked and 10 different crypto assets worth $870,000 were stolen from him. The report finds that Cuban had Ethereum (ETH), Lido […]

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SEC Says ‘Stoner Cats’ Are Unregistered Securities in New NFT Enforcement Action

SEC Says ‘Stoner Cats’ Are Unregistered Securities in New NFT Enforcement Action

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed charges against Stoner Cats, a non-fungible token (NFT) collection backed by actress Mila Kunis, which it has deemed as unregistered securities. In a new press release, the regulatory agency says it is charging Stoner Cats, which raised $8 million thus far to finance an animated web […]

The post SEC Says ‘Stoner Cats’ Are Unregistered Securities in New NFT Enforcement Action appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Vitalik Buterin’s X Account Gets Hacked, Victims Suffer $691,000 in Losses From False NFT Promotion

Vitalik Buterin’s X Account Gets Hacked, Victims Suffer 1,000 in Losses From False NFT Promotion

Hackers were able to compromise the account of Ethereum (ETH) co-founder Vitalik Buterin on social media platform X and used it to promote a non-fungible token (NFT) scam.  Vitalik’s father, Dmitry Buterin, warned that the account was compromised after it posted a false announcement that blockchain software company Consensys was giving away a free “commemorative […]

The post Vitalik Buterin’s X Account Gets Hacked, Victims Suffer $691,000 in Losses From False NFT Promotion appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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New US Accounting Rules for Digital Asset Firms and Companies Holding Bitcoin and Crypto Assets Announced: Report

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The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), the organization that sets accounting standards in the US, is reportedly green-lighting new rules for measuring the value of crypto assets on a company’s balance sheet. According to Bloomberg, the FASB on Wednesday unanimously voted in favor of new rules that will require companies that hold or invest significant […]

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SEC’s Hester Peirce Blasts Agency’s First NFT Lawsuit, Says Enforcement Action Raises Many Difficult Questions

SEC’s Hester Peirce Blasts Agency’s First NFT Lawsuit, Says Enforcement Action Raises Many Difficult Questions

Two commissioners at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are blasting their own agency for recently charging a company with securities violations in relation to the sale of non-fungible tokens (NFTs). The SEC announced formal charges earlier this week against the Los Angeles-based entertainment company Impact Theory for allegedly offering NFTs as an “unregistered […]

The post SEC’s Hester Peirce Blasts Agency’s First NFT Lawsuit, Says Enforcement Action Raises Many Difficult Questions appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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SEC Says NFTs Are Securities in Lawsuit Against Los Angeles Entertainment Company Impact Theory

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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is charging a widely followed media company with securities violations in relation to the sale of non-fungible tokens (NFTs). The SEC is announcing formal charges against the Los Angeles-based entertainer Impact Theory for allegedly offering NFTs as an “unregistered offering of crypto asset securities.” “[The SEC] today charged Impact […]

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