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Shanghai Man: Economist says El Salvador ‘on road to death’, salaries paid in e-CNY …

Former banking heads question foreign financial policies, workers paid with digital yuan in milestone pilot and a large Series A is closed by DeFi platform SynFutures.

Our Man in Shanghai has refused to let recent regulations slow down the news coming from China. Enterprise blockchain, central bank digital currencies and start up projects continue to make a positive impact in a region hoping to grow economic value through technology.

Death march for El Salvador

The debate around El Salvador continued this week as media and officials tried to digest the adoption of Bitcoin as a national currency. JPMorgan stated that there was little economic benefit, and John Hopkins University professor Steve Hanke warned that the move could “completely collapse the economy” of the small nation. The former Bank of China deputy governor Wang Yongli took a very hardline approach, by stating that volatility and a lack of regulation or controls would put the economy on a “road to death.” This quote, appearing in state run media The Paper June 9, was an unusually direct and colorful statement on the issue.

Crypto innovation can be productive

Zhou Xiaoquan, a former governor of the People’s Bank of China, had a few positive things to say about cryptocurrency as a technology on June 11. He spoke at an economic summit in Shanghai and noted the cryptocurrency innovation in China can be productive when it serves the real economy. He also took some shots at other countries, stating that people would be mistaken if they thought other countries were taking the same approach towards building financial services. Zhou, who is one of the most often-quoted economists in the country, felt there was little emphasis on the relationship between financial services and economic value elsewhere in the world. Based on the wild displays at the Miami Bitcoin conference a few weeks ago, his position might be more sound than others would care to admit.

Paid in e-CNY

China’s e-CNY tests continued with the first reported mass payment of salaries in Xiong’an, a district near the capital Beijing. According to Cointelegraph, the pilot received support from a number of national banks and saw subcontractors paying workers their salaries from a digital wallet.

Industrial blockchain worth $22.6B

On June 3, a government organization issued a report entitled the China Industrial Blockchain Development Status and Trend Report. According to the report, in 2020, 222 industrial blockchain policies were issued, 12,059 new blockchain-related patent applications were approved, and 776 new blockchain enterprises were established. The report also claimed that the current market size of the industrial blockchain sector was around $22.6 billion U.S. dollars. Industrial blockchain is an area that China is eager to grab control in, leading to this explosive growth in recent years.

Only 5X the fun

Leading exchange Huobi surprised futures traders by limiting them to only 5x leverage on perpetual swaps and blocking new users from accessing the feature altogether. Futures trading, particularly highly-leveraged futures trading, had always been popular features on exchanges like OKEx and Huobi. It will be interesting to see whether these new decisions to limit risk will be damaging to these large exchanges that still somewhat adhere to regulator rules. It’s also possible that it’s a short-term solution in order to avoid scrutiny during periods of tighter control.

Futures of Singapore

While Huobi was tightening controls on futures traders, Singapore-based platform SynFutures was completing a Series A for $14 million. The round was led by Polychain Capital and included names like Framework Capital, Pantera Capital, Bybit, Kronos Research, WOO Ventures, Wintermute, and IOSG Ventures. SynFutures is creating a trustless derivatives market where users can take positions on assets or anything that has an accurate feed, including Bitcoin, the price of gold, or even the Bitcoin hashrate. What many people don’t know is that the SynFutures team is composed of members from Matrixport, a financial service app that was an offshoot of massive Chinese mining conglomerate Bitmain. Now you know the whole story!

This weekly roundup of news from Mainland China, Taiwan, and Hong Kong attempts to curate the industry’s most important news, including influential projects, changes in the regulatory landscape, and enterprise blockchain integrations.

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China debuts blockchain-based digital yuan salary payments in Xiong’an

China reportedly implemented the country’s first blockchain-powered digital yuan transactions in the Xiong’an New Area.

China is progressing with its central bank digital currency (CBDC) tests, debuting blockchain-enabled salary payments in the digital yuan.

According to the official website of the Xiong’an New Area, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has successfully completed the nation’s first on-chain wage payouts in the digital yuan.

Announcing the news on Saturday, Xiong’an authorities said that the pilot involved guidance and support from the Shijiazhuang-based PBoC branch, the Bank of China Hebei Xiong’an branch, as well as the National Development and Reform Commission.

The new CBDC pilot used a blockchain-based payment platform to distribute salaries to workers on spring afforestation projects in Xiong’an. Engineering subcontractors made payments directly to builders’ digital wallets from a public wallet and recorded the relevant data on a blockchain.

According to the announcement, blockchain-based salary payouts significantly simplified the wage payout process. The implementation reportedly marks the first combination of blockchain technology with the digital yuan.

Related: China’s blockchain project BSN to pilot global CBDC system in 2021

Xiong’an was one of the first four regions to pilot China’s CBDC in April 2020. In February, the Xiong’an branch of the Agricultural Bank of China in Hebei produced the first digital yuan-designed hardware wallet. The product was developed by the Party Working Committee of the Xiong'an New Area and the PBoC’s branch in Shijiazhuang.

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3 good reasons why $30,000 is probably the bottom for Bitcoin

Regulatory concerns, a bit of FUD and the uncertainties surrounding Tether appear to have exaggerated the Bitcoin price sell-off but derivatives data suggest that the bottom is likely in.

After an agonizing 35% loss in the past 24-hours, Bitcoin (BTC) finally bounced at $30,000 in the May 19 morning trading session. A total of $3.5 billion in liquidations took place, which might have accelerated the movement but they can't really be blamed for the total move.

However, the weakness in derivatives markets did give some strong signals that panic was instilled, causing unsustainable levels. These can be measured by the price gap between the futures markets and regular spot exchanges, along with the negative funding rate on perpetual contracts.

Aggregate Bitcoin futures liquidations. Source: Bybt

Multiple culprits catalyzed the drop, including Elon Musk, Tether and U.S. regulation

Pinpointing the exact culprit for the price movement is a daunting task, although Elon Musk's remarks on Bitcoin mining coal usage likely played some role. However, May 19 marks the deadline for Tether Holdings Limited's breakdown of Tether's (USDT) reserves to the New York Attorney General's office.

Caitlin Long, the founder and CEO of Avanti Financial stated that traders might have felt compelled to sell other cryptocurrencies to reduce their total risk exposure given the credit risk that emerged from Tether reserves disclosure.

As reported by Cointelegraph, regulatory uncertainties entered the spotlight earlier this month when U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Securities and Exchange Commission chair Gary Gensler expressed their concerns about the cryptocurrency sector.

On May 18, a banking and trade association under the People's Bank of China issued a statement titled "Preventing the risk of virtual currency transaction speculation." It then went on calling on member institutions to abide by existing regulatory provisions regarding digital currencies.

Futures markets finally showed signs of stress

The combination of these bearish factors resulted in the 50% correction seen in the past 9 days and its impact on futures markets finally showed clear signals of exhaustion. By analyzing the futures markets' price difference versus regular spot exchanges, one can better understand how the price move has impacted professional traders.

OKEx 3-month Bitcoin futures annualized premium. Source: Skew

Typically, the 3-month futures should trade with an 8% to 15% annualized premium, comparable to the stablecoin lending rate. By postponing settlement, sellers demand a higher price, causing the price difference.

Over the past couple of weeks, the indicator sustained above the 8% level, signaling confidence. However, during the dip to $30,000 on May 19, the situation changed drastically as a backwardation emerged for the first time in one year. In this case, the futures markets trade below the regular spot exchange prices, a very concerning situation.

As the futures premium quickly re-established a healthy 7% level, one might conclude that it had been caused by stop loss and liquidation orders that pushed the price down to $30,000.

Retail traders have also been stopped out

To better assess whether this movement was something specific to the monthly and quarterly futures, we should look at the perpetual futures contracts. These derivatives, also known as inverse swaps, have an embedded rate usually charged every eight hours to ensure there are no exchange risk imbalances.

Whales, arbitrage desks, and market makers avoid exposure on these contracts due to their variable funding rate. When longs are demanding more leverage, they will be the ones paying the fee. The opposite holds when shorts are using more leverage, thus causing a negative funding rate.

Bitcoin futures 8-hour funding rate. Source: Bybt

As shown above, the indicator entered unsustainable levels, as a negative 0.20% rate equals a 4.3% weekly fee paid by short-sellers. This situation is seldom sustainable for more than a couple of days, as it incentives buyers to enter long positions.

Both the U.S. regulatory uncertainty and New York Attorney General's office action on Tether's disclosure might take months or years to develop. Meanwhile, China's actions show no difference from the Sept. 2017 move when the country announced the shutdown of all exchanges operations and ICO offers.

Thus, considering the negative futures premium and perpetual contracts funding rate impact, it is safe to say that $30,000 was the rock bottom of liquidations.

The 54% price correction from the $64,900 all-time high marks the exaggerated market reaction to speculation, rather than the reaction to news that could harm Bitcoin's functionalities and importance as a scarce and censorship-resistant asset.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Hong Kong to expand pilots for cross-border use of digital yuan

The first phase of tests for use of the digital yuan across borders has been successful, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has said.

The Digital Currency Institute of the People’s Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are quickly moving forward with their joint testing of the use of the digital yuan for cross-border payments.

According to Bloomberg, this week, the HKMA staff confirmed that the first phase of testing for the currency’s cross-border use had been successful. The initial tests involved multiple parties, including selected merchants and a bank designated by mainland Chinese authorities. HKMA said that plans for the next phase of pilots are already underway:

“We have tested the use of the related app, system connectivity and certain use cases such as cross-boundary purchases. We are discussing and collaborating with the PBOC [People’s Bank of China] on the next phase of technical testing, including the feasibility of broadening and deepening the use of e-CNY for cross-boundary payments.”

China’s ongoing development of the digital yuan — a central bank digital currency that is also sometimes referred to by the names DC/EP or e-CNY — has set an ambitious pace for global research into and potential issuance of CBDCs worldwide. 

The country is the largest economy in the world to be so far ahead with its CBDC development and testing, having completed numerous advanced pilots on the mainland and announcing further plans to promote the currency’s adoption during the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing.

HKMA has itself been engaged in multiple collaborative projects to explore the feasibility of CBDC issuance since 2017, both for domestic inter-bank payments and for cross-border payments, with partners that include the Bank of Thailand and the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates, as well as the PBoC.

Michael Ho, principal of financial services at Oliver Wyman and the co-author of a recently published report on the digital yuan, has argued that the significance of China’s new currency lies less in the mere fact of increased digitalization but rather in the prospective “introduction of a large-scale instant payment infrastructure, sponsored by the Chinese gov’t rather than private sector.”

With the potential for its adoption by some of the world’s largest enterprises, as well as by an increasingly globally connected domestic population, Ho and his co-author, Jason Ekberg, predict that “if there is an extension of eCNY into cross-border transaction, supported by liberalization policy, this will accelerate the RMB further as a true global trade current bringing both savings and efficiency to the cross-border flows.”

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Digital Yuan Launch Draws Near: JD.com Employees Paid in e-CNY, Tencent, Ant, Mastercard Engage With PBoC

Digital Yuan Launch Draws Near: JD.com Employees Paid in e-CNY, Tencent, Ant, Mastercard Engage With PBoCChina, the world’s most populous country, has jumped leaps and bounds in comparison to a great number of other countries when it comes to the creation of a central bank digital currency. As each day passes, China’s digital yuan is seemingly getting closer to large-scale adoption, as big-name corporations like the e-commerce giant JD.com, Mastercard, […]

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Rolling up the sleeves: China’s tech giants drive digital yuan adoption

CBDC tests are proceeding toward deployment, as Chinese internet, fintech and e-commerce giants are leading the digital yuan vanguard.

While key central bank figures in the West like Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde appear to be procrastinating on the subject of central bank digital currencies, China continues to make significant progress.

China’s digital currency electronic payment project, or DCEP, helmed by the country’s central bank, continues to draw significant private sector participation. From tech giants, to e-commerce conglomerates, many of the major private sector firms are playing pivotal roles in the quest to create the digital yuan.

DCEP testing also continues to expand, with trial runs via lotteries taking place across several cities. Banks like the Agricultural Bank and the Industrial Commercial Bank have taken a leading role in these DCEP pilot protocols, creating user wallets for consumers.

Tencent and Ant Group are major digital yuan players

Amid the many DCEP pilots across China, the absence of Ant Group and Tencent, operators of the country’s two largest electronic payment platforms — AliPay and WeChat Pay — caused significant speculation. Indeed, the digital yuan project has been touted as Beijing’s response to curb the duopoly held by both companies.

These rumblings also intensified in late 2020 after Jack Ma, co-founder of Alibaba, seemingly withdrew from the public eye in the aftermath of comments labeled as criticism directed at Chinese financial regulators. In an address delivered at the Bund Finance Summit held in Shanghai back in October 2020, the billionaire accused Beijing of stifling innovation while characterizing Chinese banks as pawn shops.

Ant Group as a holding firm, which has been on the cusp of a $37 billion initial public offering, saw that its IPO plans halted suddenly. Commentators at the time put Ma’s disappearance and the IPO imbroglio down to comments made during the event.

However, while Ant Group is still under intense regulatory scrutiny in China, reports have emerged that a financial holding company has been involved in the digital yuan project with the central bank since 2017. Indeed, this revelation means Ma’s firm and the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) have been collaborating on what is now known as the DCEP years before the PBoC officially debuted the DCEP in 2020.

Furthermore, the Ant Group-backed MYbank is also one of the financial institutions tipped to offer the digital yuan. The PBoC’s digital currency research division has been using Ant’s mobile app development environment to create smartphone apps for the DCEP.

Back in February, MyBank and Tencent-backed WeBank were also confirmed as participants in expanded digital yuan trials. WeBank, arguably China’s largest digital bank with over 200 million customers, has a noted history with blockchain with the financial institution, filing the third-highest number of patents related to the novel technology back in 2019.

Commenting on the likelihood of the DCEP competing with established electronic payment rails in China, Yifan He, CEO of Red Date Technology, a major infrastructure provider on the country’s Blockchain Service Network told Cointelegraph:

“I don't really think that the purpose of DCEP is to compete with Alipay/WeChat pay. If the government really wants to muzzle them, they have a lot of methods. The vision of DCEP is much bigger.”

Between fintech and the banking gatekeepers

From lotteries to shopping festivals, Chinese banks have been moving to promote the digital yuan for retail adoption across several cities in the country. These trial runs seem to focus on getting user adoption for the DCEP, and having live interaction with wallets and payment platforms.

However, an argument could be made that the digital yuan needs more adoption in the business-to-business payment arena, so it could function as a full-fledged CBDC companion to the existing fiat as envisioned by the central bank. E-commerce giant JD.com is one of the few companies to test the DCEP for B2B payments.

Earlier in April, the online retailer revealed that it was already utilizing the digital yuan for B2B payments to partner firms, as well for cross-bank settlements. These types of use cases likely push the boundaries of the DCEP in its current form to an actual CBDC.

JD.com also revealed that it was already using the digital yuan for salary payments since January. The company has sponsored a few DCEP trials, contributing about $4.6 million for the second public lottery held in Suzhou.

The company is also another example of a significant role being played by the private sector in fostering greater DCEP adoption. In December, the online retail giant began accepting the digital yuan as a payment method on its platform, receiving almost 20,000 DCEP-funded orders in the week following its announcement at the time.

Like Tencent and Ant Group, JD.com is also involved in the developmental backend of the DCEP matrix. In fact, the company’s fintech division, JD Technology and Digital Currency Research Institute, has been a development partner with the PBoC since September 2020.

According to Wang Peng, an associate research fellow at the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies of Renmin University of China, it is in the best interest of these companies to partner with the PBoC in developing the digital yuan. However, the trend also likely elevates the position of fintech firms in China’s financial services arena, possibly to the detriment of commercial banks and their gatekeeping role in the industry.

Central bankers, while commenting on CBDCs, often talk about how sovereign digital currencies could cause the disintermediation of commercial banks. For Jason Blink, CEO of a digital bank EQIBank, the situation is simply part of the relentless march of the current ongoing progress in the global financial space, as he told Cointelegraph:

“Deployment of blockchain across numerous asset classes will inevitably go viral as incumbent processes and services become increasingly obsolete. Blockchain technology in large-scale capital markets, banking, exchanges, lending and other financial services is gaining extraordinary momentum, as stakeholders seek to eliminate inefficient processes across the entire lifecycle.”

According to Blink, digital processes, like decentralized ledger technology, will ultimately become the backbone of not just banking, but the entire global capital market infrastructure. However, Yifan maintains that the DCEP will not signal the end of banks in China, telling Cointelegraph:

“In the foreseeable future, all DCEP activities must go through commercial banks, based on the current design and structure. So, it has very little impact on commercial banks. But in the long run, when PBoC allows third parties to open DCEP accounts or access DCEP accounts anywhere in the world, then it will have a huge impact on Chinese commercial banks.”

For Yifan, the digital yuan will undoubtedly force commercial banks to rethink their business models, especially amid competition from fintech firms. “But I don't think they will kill them, because the main functions of commercial banks are to provide services to end-users,” Yifan added.

The rest of the world playing catchup

The digital yuan might not be a full-fledged CBDC yet, but China’s accelerated progress in developing a sovereign digital currency arguably puts it ahead of other major economies. There are even reports that the country plans to allow foreign athletes and other visitors to use the digital yuan during the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics.

While China is in accelerated testing phases, the European Central Bank is still weighing the need to commence a formal study on CBDCs. Recently, the ECB published the results of a public consultation on a possible digital euro, with almost half of the participants in the study clamoring for privacy as the most important feature of a European CBDC.

Indeed, privacy concerns are common in the CBDC conversation, with consumers wary of the increased visibility of their monetary activities under a national digital currency paradigm. Already, there are fears across Macau’s casino scene that a fully traceable digital yuan might signal the death knell for junket operators.

ECB President Christine Lagarde has previously stated that it could take Europe four years to develop a digital euro, which by that time, China’s DCEP could have at least achieved domestic penetration. According to Monica Singer of Ethereum infrastructure developer ConsenSys, the ECB and other global central banks risk losing ground to China and fintech firms if they remain indecisive about CBDCs.

Meanwhile, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remains resolute in the position that the U.S. will not enter into a CBDC race with China. According to Powell, the Fed is more concerned with getting it right than rushing to play catch up with China.

In the United Kingdom, the central bank has recently established a CBDC task force. The Bank of England has also reportedly begun hiring CBDC experts for its internal exploratory team focused on CBDCs.

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Ant Group highlights private sector’s role in developing digital yuan

Major tech and commerce firms have been instrumental in helping China's central bank develop the digital yuan.

Major Chinese technology and commerce firms are starting to open up regarding their involvement in developing the digital yuan.

Ant Group and Tencent Holdings revealed the extent of their collaboration with the People’s Bank of China in developing the digital yuan at the Digital China Summit, an annual trade fair in the city of Fuzhou in southeastern Fujian province. 

According to the South China Morning Post, Ant Group started working with the PBoC on the digital yuan in 2017, years before China officially debuted digital currency pilots in 2020. In June 2019, China’s digital currency institute reportedly used Ant’s mobile app development platform to create its own digital yuan app.

Ant Group said that it started officially testing China’s digital yuan in July 2020, launching a digital currency trial in Shanghai late that year. The company also noted that Ant-backed digital bank MYBank became one of the financial institutions to offer the Chinese CBDC. 

Tencent said that it started CBDC tests as early as February 2018, forming a team of digital yuan experts by the end of that year. “Tencent has been taking part in the PBOC’s e-CNY project from the start, and will continue to carry out pilot trials in accordance with the guidance of the PBOC,” a spokesperson for the firm said.

Other companies like smartphone giant Huawei Technologies and e-commerce platform JD.com have also been involved in the digital yuan's development. Last year, Huawei became the first smartphone to feature a hardware wallet for China’s digital currency. JD.com started collaborating with the PBoC in September 2020, providing its technology and service support for currency pilots. In late 2020, the company reportedly became the first online platform to accept the digital yuan.

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Binance has appointed new head of ‘Greater China’

It’s not entirely clear when Terence Zeng assumed his leadership role, though the appointment appears to have been recent.

Following the high-profile appointment of Brian Brooks to CEO of Binance.US, it has come to light that the Malta-based parent company has reshuffled its executive leadership by appointing Terence Zeng as head of Greater China.

Zeng reportedly graduated from John Hopkins University and possesses a law degree from the University of Hong Kong, though his online presence is limited. He has been heading Binance’s Greater China division since at least early April, according to an interview with Chain News, a China-based technology publication.

In the interview, dated April 7, Zeng introduces himself as the head of Binance Greater China.

“I am currently the head of Binance Greater China,” he said, according to a translated version of the interview. “Before joining Binance, I was doing finance, mainly engaged in the field of institutional investment and financing, that is, helping clients such as listed companies, fund investment, and financing."

Zeng also worked for large investment banks in the United States and Hong Kong before shifting focus to “alternative financial products,” which may have led him to cryptocurrencies and Binance. In the interview, he acknowledged that his first exposure to digital assets was as far back as 2013.

Binance is the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, but its relationship with China is complicated due to a ban on digital-asset trading in the country. Beijing may be clearing some regulatory hurdles to reenable cryptocurrency trading in the country, though progress appears to be slow.

As Cointelegraph recently reported, People’s Bank of China Deputy Governor Li Bo acknowledged Bitcoin (BTC) and stablecoins as a legitimate alternative investment option. He also didn’t rule out the possibility of stablecoins becoming a “widely used payment tool.”

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China Calls Bitcoin and Stablecoins ‘Investment Alternatives’ for the First Time Since Crypto Crackdown

China Calls Bitcoin and Stablecoins ‘Investment Alternatives’ for the First Time Since Crypto CrackdownAfter the well-known crypto crackdown launched by the Chinese government four years ago, it seems there is now a change in the tone from the country’s central bank. At least that’s what has been suggested recently by the deputy governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC). Central Bank Clarifies Its Regulatory Framework on Cryptos […]

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China aims to let foreigners use digital yuan at Winter Olympics in 2022

China wants to allow foreign athletes and visitors to use the county’s digital currency during the Beijing Winter Olympics in 2022.

China’s central bank is looking to enable foreign athletes and visitors to use the country’s digital currency during the Beijing Winter Olympics in 2022, according to a top central bank official.

Li Bo, deputy governor of the People’s Bank of China, said that the upcoming Winter Olympics could potentially become the first test of China’s central bank digital currency, or CBDC, by foreign users.

“For the upcoming Beijing Winter Olympics, we were trying to make e-CNY available not only to domestic users, but also to international athletes and like visitors,” Li said Sunday at a CNBC panel at the Boao Forum for Asia. The bank previously announced its plans on testing the digital yuan at the event in August 2020.

The official said that the PBoC doesn’t intend to replace the United States dollar’s dominance as the world’s reserve currency. Li reportedly noted that the central bank is focused on the domestic use of the digital yuan.

“For the internationalization of renminbi, we have said many times that it’s a natural process and our goal is not to replace the U.S. dollar or any other international currency. I think our goal is to allow the market to choose and to facilitate international trade and investment,” he stated.

Despite the PBoC’s focus on the domestic digital yuan, China’s central bank is still exploring cross-border CBDC use. “At the same time, working with our international partners. Hopefully, in the long term, we have a cross border solution as well,” Li said. At the forum, Li also said that China’s central bank now views the major cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) as an “investment alternative.”

After launching its first domestic digital yuan tests in 2020, China started cross-border CBDC pilots in collaboration with central banks in Hong Kong, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates in February 2021. On April 1, PBoC director of research bureau Wang Xin announced that China’s central bank completed the first cross-border pilots of the digital yuan with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

Chinese authorities have stressed multiple times that the government is not seeking to replace existing fiat currencies including the U.S. dollar with the digital yuan. “We are not like Libra and we don’t have an ambition to replace existing currencies,” Zhou Xiaochuan, the president of the Chinese Finance Association and former PBoC governor, said in late 2020.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, the U.S. has taken a careful approach toward CBDCs due to the U.S. dollar’s status of the world’s reserve currency and other CBDC-related challenges like privacy. The European Central Bank is also still deciding whether Europe needs a digital euro, with ECB President Christine Lagarde expecting the digital currency to be adopted in four years, at the earliest.

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