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Kraken CEO reverses $100K BTC 2021 forecast: Crypto winter now possible

In August, the CEO predicted that Bitcoin would trade “$100,000 plus a coin” late this year or early next year.

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade sideways around $48,000, Kraken CEO Jesse Powell is not counting out a potential crash on cryptocurrency markets in the short term.

"A crypto winter is now “possible,” Powell said in a Tuesday interview with Bloomberg Technology, noting that Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem have historically evolved around cycles based “sort of around the Bitcoin halving.”

But despite a potentially looming crypto winter, Powell is confident that the market will bounce back from a bear market once investors start buying, should BTC drop below $40,000:

“I think a lot of people see anything under $40,000 as a buying opportunity. I was personally buying when we dipped back close to $30,000 a few months ago and I think a lot of people are just waiting to come back in at rock bottom prices.”

In the interview, Powell mentioned some of his previous Bitcoin predictions, including his $100,000 Bitcoin forecast for late 2021. The CEO made this prediction in August, stating, “I think we could see $100,000 plus a coin late this year early next year.” He also predicted that Bitcoin price is going to "infinity" in March.

“It’s hard to know where it goes,” Kraken CEO said in the latest interview, noting that he is still bullish on Bitcoin in the long term. “When you look at a long-term trendline of Bitcoin and it’s just up consistently. I always tell people, 'If you think about buying Bitcoin, think about it as a five-year plus investment.'"

Related: Bitcoin sheds ‘dumb money’ as retail buys most BTC since March 2020 crash

Many prominent figures in the crypto community predicted BTC would hit $100,000 by the end of 2021, including stock-to-flow model creator PlanB, Morgan Creek Digital Assets co-founder Anthony Pompliano, SkyBridge Capital CEO Anthony Scaramucci and others.

Last week, Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan claimed that $100,000 by the end of the year was a “difficult prediction to make,” suggesting that the price level could come in 2022.

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

Bitwise CIO ‘not so sure’ about Bitcoin hitting $100K in 2021

Many crypto people predicted Bitcoin to break $100,000 in 2021 but BTC has yet to climb higher than $68,000.

As 2022 draws closer, some cryptocurrency investment experts are now doubtful on whether Bitcoin (BTC) has enough time to hit $100,000 in 2021.

Following a major flash crash in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin is unlikely to break new all-time highs in the next three weeks and go all the way up to $100,000, according to Bitwise’s chief investment officer Matt Hougan.

“$100,000 by the end of the year is a difficult prediction to make [...] I think $100,000 could be in target in 2022 but this year, I’m not so sure,” Hougan said in a Dec. 6 interview.

He noted that a potential cryptocurrency rally in 2022 will be largely thanks to growing institutional support. “I think as we look into 2022, we still have these fundamental drivers, the institutions we speak to everyday at Bitwise,” Hougan said, adding that many institutions are still moving into the market for the first time.

The CIO also predicted that 2022 will see an “explosion of activity built on Ethereum” and layer-one solutions, or those aiming to improve the base protocol itself to scale the overall system rather than creating a different protocol.

“Investors are going to be looking at Ethereum, Solana, or Polygon. Investors are starting to realize there’s more to crypto than just Bitcoin. If there’s one bigger story for next year, it’s going to be everything else: crypto as DeFi, NFTs, Web3, or metaverse,” Hougan predicted.

While Hougan noted the growing potential of altcoins — or coins other than Bitcoin — some prominent figures in the crypto community are still sticking with BTC.

Bobby Lee, founder and CEO of crypto hardware wallet Ballet, argued Dec. 6 that Bitcoin is “more valuable” than altcoins because Bitcoin is not backed by “any sort of project, or a promise that can fail.”

The crypto community has been watching the Bitcoin price closely this year with notable figures in the industry predicting BTC to hit $100,000 by the end of 2021, including Standard Chartered’s cryptocurrency research unit, stock-to-flow model creator PlanB, Morgan Creek Digital Assets co-founder Anthony Pompliano, SkyBridge Capital CEO Anthony Scaramucci and others.

Related: Bitcoin to hit $250K in January 2022 but ‘invalidate’ S2FX BTC price model — New prediction

Others in the crypto community have taken a more skeptical view.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $51,290, notably recovering after dropping below $47,000 on Dec. 4, according to data from CoinGecko. After starting 2021 at around $30,000, Bitcoin hit its all-time high above $67,000 in mid-November.

Bitcoin one-year price chart. Source: CoinGecko

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

NFT music platforms to disrupt Spotify in 2022, Saxo Bank predicts

Spotify and Apple Music reportedly cut 75% from musicians’ revenues together with the cut paid to labels.

As popular music streaming services like Spotify cut much of musicians’ revenues, new technologies like nonfungible tokens (NFT) will likely help artists grab back their fair share, Saxo Bank predicted.

According to one of Saxo Bank’s “Outrageous Predictions 2022: Revolution,” music creators will benefit from NFT-based streaming platforms, as they allow distributing music directly to listeners without centralized intermediaries charging a fee.

Saxo Bank cryptocurrency analyst Mads Eberhardt argued that mainstream music streaming platforms such as Spotify and Apple Music take a substantial cut, which, together with the cut paid to labels, is some 75% or more of the total revenue.

“These models don’t guide individual subscribers’ fees to the actual music an individual subscriber listens to,” Eberhardt stated, adding:

“The use case for NFTs could prove particularly compelling in the next step for the technology for content generators in the music industry as musicians feel unfairly treated by the revenue sharing models of the current streaming platforms like Spotify and Apple Music.”

The analyst noted that NFT-based music streaming projects are likely to kick off in 2022, including initiatives such as Audius, a blockchain music platform backed by Katy Perry, The Chainsmokers and Jason Derulo. Based on blockchain technology, the Audius platform is a decentralized music-sharing and streaming protocol designed to remove intermediaries from the music industry and allow fans and creators to interact with each other directly.

In contrast, the future of traditional streaming platforms such as Spotify is “bleak,” according to Saxo Bank. The company predicted that Spotify shares would tumble 33% in 2022. SPOT has been dropping in 2021, starting the year around $300 and dropping to as low as $204 in August, according to data from TradingView. At the time of writing, SPOT is trading at $229.

In the meantime, Spotify’s revenues have been steadily growing over time, reflecting much potential for NFT-based music platforms to disrupt. According to Spotify’s official 2020 financial results, the company generated 7.85 billion euros ($9.5 billion) revenue last year, a 16% increase from 2019. Spotify’s financials continued growing in 2021, with the total amount of monthly active users surging 19% year-on-year to 381 million in Q3 2021.

Source: Business of Apps

Related: NFT music marketplace Royal raises $55M in Series A round

As previously reported, Spotify has been paying attention to the cryptocurrency industry, looking for talent with a crypto background in late 2020. The firm is also well aware of the rise of NFTs, as it mentioned NFTs in its Spotify Wrapped 2021 compiled for users on Wednesday.

Spotify did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

Crypto Economy Hovers Below $3T: Analyst Says First Bear Marker ‘Would Be a Capitalization Drop Under $2.38T’

Crypto Economy Hovers Below T: Analyst Says First Bear Marker ‘Would Be a Capitalization Drop Under .38T’The crypto asset economy has been down in value over the last week as a great number of digital currencies shed significant amounts. The entire crypto-economy is down under the $3 trillion mark, hovering around $2.7 trillion across 10,970 cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dominance is just above the 40% region while ethereum’s market commands 18.4% of the […]

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

Raoul Pal: Expect the ‘path of most pain’ around December

Pal says that the upcoming release of ETH 2.0 and and ETH ETF will extend the crypto market cycle

Former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager and founder of Real Vision, Raoul Pal, believes that the social media pundits are wrong and the crypto market cycle won’t end this year.

But things might get a bit hairy on the way.

In a Real Vision interview on Nov. 3rd Pal predicted that the current bull run won’t end in December as it did spectacularly in 2015 and 2017, and will instead extend to some time between March and June.

According to Pal, Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoin markets are likely to “take the path of most pain”, potentially crashing twice over the next six months.

“My guess is that we probably have a sell-off, and then it rips again because that is the path of most pain and markets tend to take the path of most pain.”

Cointelegraph reported on Nov. 4th that on-chain data source Econometrics data suggests that if the current cycle follows the same pattern as 2017, the next BTC price peak could be as much as $253,800.

Over the course of 2021 Pal has become increasingly bullish on Ethereum, describing it in August as “the greatest trade.” He said that the upcoming launch of Eth2 and the potential launch of an Ethereum ETF in the first half of 2022 may be catalysts for a massive rally, broadening access to the crypto market and attracting large institutions.

Institutions tend to make asset allocation decisions by quarters, and my guess is January to March quarter next year we’re going to see a huge inflow."

“Everybody is staking their ETH. It’s creating this incredible supply and demand imbalance in ETH where there’s only about 11% of the total ETH supply available. Everything else is locked up for this staking,” he said.

Read more: Bitcoin will peak at $253K, Ethereum at $22K this cycle if 2016 halving bull run repeats

“All of that means that we’re likely to see an extended cycle, and I think it extends into between March and June, and that would be a new phase.”

Bitcoin was created in 2009, and so far has moved in market cycles of approximately four years, around the halving, which is when the mining block reward is cut in half, reducing the BTC supply.

Halvings occurred in 2012 and 2016 with the last halving happened in May 2020. While Bitcoin is up 7.3 times since, an increasing number of analysts think that with mainstream adoption, the cycles will no longer dominate..

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

Crypto will generate more wealth than the internet, says Morgan Creek Capital CEO

Hedge fund manager Mark Yusko believes cryptocurrencies will generate ‘untold wealth’ by powering the internet of value.

By laying the foundations of the internet of value, cryptocurrency and blockchain will generate more wealth than Web 1 and Web 2, said CEO of Morgan Creek Capital, Mark Yusko, in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph. 

“We haven't even gotten to the parabolic growth part of Web 3, which is going to create untold wealth”,, stated Yusko.

In his career as a hedge fund manager, Yusko profited from investing in early internet technologies. He embraced cryptocurrency in 2017 after realizing their potential to power the internet of value: a new iteration of the internet that will allow users to exchange value directly bypassing financial intermediaries. 

In comparison to the previous iterations of the internet, which revolutionized the spheres of commerce and media, the"trust net", as Yusko calls it, will generate an exponentially larger amount of wealth. 

"Financial services is far bigger than information, and media, and commerce", he pointed out. 

However, Yusko is convinced that before entering a phase of parabolic growth, the crypto industry will need to overcome the opposition of traditional financial actors and possibly face another major correction. 

“The incumbents really don't want the disruptors to win, so they will fight really hard. They'll throw up regulatory barriers, they'll try to buy up the companies and shell of the technology", he said. 

Watch the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

BitMEX CEO predicts Bitcoin will be legal tender in five countries by 2022

Developing economies are more affected by issues related to remittances and inflation, BitMEX’s CEO said.

Countries in the developing world will soon follow in the steps of El Salvador and make Bitcoin (BTC) legal tender, BitMEX CEO Alexander Höptner recently predicted.

In a Wednesday blog post, Höptner expressed support for El Salvador adopting Bitcoin as legal tender in September, predicting that developing countries will be “leading the way” in Bitcoin adoption:

“My prediction is that by the end of next year, we’ll have at least five countries that accept Bitcoin as legal tender. All of them will be developing countries.”

According to Höptner, developing countries will adopt Bitcoin faster due to three major factors: the growing need for cheaper and faster international remittances, massive inflation, and political issues.

As opposed to consumers in more developed countries, people in developing economies are more affected by issues related to cross-border payments and inflation, Höptner said.

The CEO noted that remittances made up 23% of El Salvador’s gross domestic product in 2020, while the World Bank assessed that low- and middle-income countries receive about 75% of total global remittances. He added that people around the world are increasingly looking at Bitcoin as a solution to weather massive inflation, citing rapid crypto adoption in Turkey amid a 19.2% inflation rate.

Höptner went on to say that El Salvador’s Bitcoin move will make it easier for other countries to consider similar moves. “But if it’s a reality that politics will play a big role in the adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender, it’s also true that any failings by these leaders in the implementation phase may hurt wider adoption of cryptocurrencies in general,” he added.

Related: 70% of Salvadorans opposed to Bitcoin Law as Sept. 7 implementation draws near

A former CEO of German stock exchange Boerse Stuttgart, Höptner took over as CEO of BitMEX in December 2020, replacing Arthur Hayes. 

Höptner is not alone in thinking that more countries will follow El Salvador’s lead in adopting Bitcoin. Last month, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson predicted that a lot more countries will adopt cryptocurrencies. World-renowned computer programmer Edward Snowden also believes that “latecomers may regret hesitating.”

Some major figures in the cryptocurrency space have been hesitant to praise El Salvador’s crypto adoption sparked by President Nayib Bukele. On Friday, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin criticized Bukele’s approach to adopting Bitcoin, arguing that forcing businesses to accept a specific cryptocurrency is “contrary to the ideals of freedom that are supposed to be so important to the crypto space.”

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Unveils Bitcoin and Crypto Predictions, Says ‘Billionaire Bitcoin Flippening’ Is Coming

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is detailing a new list of predictions for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency industry at large. Armstrong says he believes a billionaire Bitcoin “flippening” is coming that will boost science, tech, and charitable causes in the years ahead. Writing in the Coinbase Blog, Armstrong says, “Olaf Carlson-Wee and Balaji Srinivasan estimate that […]

The post Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Unveils Bitcoin and Crypto Predictions, Says ‘Billionaire Bitcoin Flippening’ Is Coming appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

More countries to follow El Salvador’s Bitcoin move, Cardano creator says

El Salvador’s Bitcoin acceptance is a major win for the cryptocurrency industry, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson believes.

Following El Salvador’s historic adoption of Bitcoin (BTC) as legal tender on Tuesday, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson predicted that a lot more countries will eventually follow in the Latin American country's footsteps.

El Salvador’s Bitcoin acceptance further legitimizes the belief that people should be in control of their money, Hoskinson said in his “Congratulations Bitcoin” YouTube video on Sept. 7.

The Cardano founder expressed confidence that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are the future of money as the younger generation will inevitably trigger mass adoption of crypto. “The majority of people under the age of 25 have a positive view on cryptocurrencies, and a lot of them own them. That’s the future. Their children will grow up with those values and those beliefs about the nature of money” he said.

Hoskinson further predicted that more countries all over the world will move into the cryptocurrency industry by accepting crypto as part of diverse government structures, stating:

“In the coming years, many more nation-states will use crypto as part of their monetary policy, either as reserves in their central banks or using cryptocurrency rails for central bank settlements, or potentially just simply taking a cryptocurrency as El Salvador has done and make it the national currency.”

Related: Republic of Panama introduces bill for regulating crypto

Hoskinson is not alone in thinking that El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption will eventually push more countries to dive into crypto:

On Sept. 7, El Salvador officially became the first country in the world to accept Bitcoin as the official currency, requiring all local merchants to accept Bitcoin as a means of payment. Bitcoin subsequently experienced a major flash crash, with its price plummeting from around $52,000 to as low as under $43,000 on Tuesday.

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity

Bitcoin rejects $51K after Michael Saylor reveals new BTC purchase — What’s next?

Bitcoin correcting after a big announcement of Michael Saylor and facing crucial resistance at $51K.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently facing a crucial resistance to break through after a massive rally of 70% since the recent low in July at $28,000. This resistance is found in the psychological area between $50,000 and $51,000 and can be classified as the final hurdle before a new all-time highs.

This correction started when Michael Saylor revealed that MicroStrategy has purchased another $177 million worth of Bitcoin, while the company is already one of the largest holders of Bitcoins recently.

The market hasn’t seen any correction since the recent bottom at $28,000, through which a potential correction might be on the horizon.

Bitcoin facing crucial resistance to breaking through at $51,000

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

The daily chart of Bitcoin shows an apparent resistance is coming up. The $51,000 level is crucial for the markets to break through as that level was the significant S/R flip before the heavy crash occurred in May.

If the markets cannot pass this level, a correction for the entire market is likely to happen. That’s not unexpected, however, as the altcoin market is showing sign of overheating.

Alongside that, the chart shows a potential bearish divergence could be opening up. Such a bearish divergence often precedes a correction.

Given the significance of the $51,000 level, this area is the final hurdle before a big run towards the all-time high is likely to take place. If the $51,000 resistance breaks, a short squeeze to $57,000-$59,000 becomes likely. However, given the recent correction, a further corrective move is most likely going to happen.

The crucial level to watch for a potential breakdown is the entire region, around $44,000. That level marked a new higher low in the current structure and is the most likely level to support the markets if a further and broader correction occurs.

Aside from the $44,000 level, the next level of support can be found around the $40,500 area, as that’s the previous high. Overall, the market shouldn’t be dropping beneath $37,500 as that’s the final breaker before new lows are on the tables. For now, a rejection at the $51,000 resistance level may open the gates are open for more do.

Total market cap crypto faces important level

Total market capitalization cryptocurrency 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

The total market capitalization of crypto shows a huge run since the recent low at $1.2 trillion. Since then, the market has been surging with more than seventy percent to a high of $2.1 trillion.

This recent high at $2.1 trillion is the final resistance before the market can see a breakout to the upside. Next to that, a potential bearish divergence is also starting to emerge on the chart as well, calling for a possible short-term reversal to happen.

Based on the current chart, the following levels of support are found at the zone around $1.75 trillion, as that’s the recent compression area. Moreover, it’s also a recent high.

Such a high could mark a potential new range to be established. If the level around $1.75 trillion doesn’t sustain support, a further correction towards $1.55 trillion is still not out of the books.

However, this entire correction will be invalidated with an apparent breakthrough above $2.1 trillion. If such a breakthrough happens, the chances of the markets continuing to new all-time highs above $2.5 trillion are likely to occur.

Crucial support at $48K for Bitcoin on lower timeframes

BTC/USD 2-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 2-hour chart for Bitcoin shows a crucial level to sustain for the market to continue its upward trajectory. If the area at $48,000 doesn’t grant support, Bitcoin’s price will fall back into its previous range.

That previous range had ample support at the $44,000 area, and that’s most likely going to generate the next area of support for this entire correction. Nothing is for sure, but the moment Bitcoin loses $48,000, a cascade of stop/loss triggers could happen, which may result in a potential drop toward $44,000.

This could, of course, hurt the altcoin market. However, traders and investors should understand that the market goes up in waves. In uptrend cycles, especially the big ones we’ve seen recently, corrections are to be expected before a new impulse move can happen.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin Supply Shock: Cryptoquant Report Highlights Shrinking Sell-Side Liquidity