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‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC

The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable to “spectacular manipulation.”

The United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission says prediction markets can fall to “spectacular manipulation” in the latest filing against US predictions market Kalshi.

“Documented cases of market manipulation have already been realized in the very markets Kalshi points to,” the CFTC stressed, pointing to recent incidents on competitor platforms in the Sept. 14 reply in support of a motion to stay.

Polymarket experienced a “spectacular manipulation” attempt by a group of traders gambling on Vice President Kamala Harris to win the 2024 US presidential election, claimed the CFTC, while a “fake poll” showing Kid Rock leading Senator Debbie Stabenow 30% to 26% in a senate vote on PredictIt impacted the price of Stabenow’s reelection contract.

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Web3 Gaming Hype Fizzles: Developer Blames Unrealistic Expectations

Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet 

Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory, edging out Harris, who currently sits at 46%. Polymarket and Several Other Betting Platforms […]

Web3 Gaming Hype Fizzles: Developer Blames Unrealistic Expectations

Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%

Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%. Trump’s Polymarket Odds Reach 71% Days After Attempted […]

Web3 Gaming Hype Fizzles: Developer Blames Unrealistic Expectations

Biden’s reelection odds brush single digits on Polymarket

Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, while U.S. Vice President and Democrat Kamala Harris is second with 19% odds.

Odds of United States President Joe Biden being reelected fell as low as 9% on decentralized predictions platform Polymarket as punters speculated whether Vice President Kamala Harris will replace Biden as the Democrat candidate.

Biden’s odds have since briefly recovered slightly, now at 10% in Polymarket’s $226 million “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market.

Former President and Republican candidate Donald Trump is the favorite with 61% odds, and Harris is in second place with 19% odds.

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Web3 Gaming Hype Fizzles: Developer Blames Unrealistic Expectations

39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting

39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market BettingFollowing the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s Unintelligible Statements and Performance On Thursday, CNN broadcasted the 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate […]

Web3 Gaming Hype Fizzles: Developer Blames Unrealistic Expectations

How This Millionaire Economist Trades Crypto Prediction Markets

Web3 Gaming Hype Fizzles: Developer Blames Unrealistic Expectations