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Ethereum’s bearish U-turn? ETH price momentum fades after $1.6K rejection

Ether risks falling further below $1,350 in August as the ETH price rally is losing steam.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) tumbled on July 26, reducing hopes of an extended price recovery. The ETH/USD pair dropped by roughly 5%, followed by a modest rebound to over $1,550.

Ethereum gets rejected at $1,650 

These overnight moves liquidated over $80 million worth of Ether positions in the last 24 hours, data from CoinGlass reveals.

ETH/USD hourly price chart. Source: TradingView

The seesaw action also revealed an underlying bias conflict among traders who have been stuck between two extremely opposite market fundamentals.

The first is the euphoria surrounding Ethereum's potential transition to proof-of-stake in September, which has helped Ether's price to recover 45% month-to-date.

However, this bullish hype is at odds with macroeconomic headwinds, namely the Federal Reserve's and European Central Bank's hawkish stance, which put pressure on risk assets and saw Ether price shed 68% to date from its record high of $4,950.

But the short term could provide some upside for ETH price. For instance, analyst PostyXBT anticipates Ether to undergo an interim upside retracement based on the token's recent swings inside an ascending channel pattern, as shown below.

ETH/USD four-hour price chart featuring ascending channel setup. Source: TradingView

In other words, ETH's price could hit $1,700 ahead of July's close if the pattern plays out.

Bearish divergence

Nonetheless, watching the same recovery trend in conjugation with Ether's four-hour relative strength index (RSI), a momentum oscillator indicator, shows extreme disparities.

Interestingly, Ether's price has been forming higher highs since July 18, while its RSI has been making lower highs simultaneously.

That shows a bearish divergence between ETH's price and momentum, meaning bulls have been losing their grip on the market, and a downtrend may follow.

ETH/USD four-hour price chart featuring bearish divergence. Source: TradingView

Ether also risks breaking below its ascending channel's lower trendline, which coincides with two more price supports: the 50-4H exponential moving average (50-4H EMA; the red wave) at around $1,500 and the 0.5 Fib line near $1,475.  

Related: Will Ethereum Merge hopium continue, or is it a bull trap?

Losing these key supports would likely push below $1,350 (the $0.382 Fib line and the blue 200-4H EMA wave) in August, down 10%-15% from today's price, should this bearish scenario play out.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Ethereum price ‘cup and handle’ pattern hints at potential breakout versus Bitcoin

Ether has printed a classic bullish reversal pattern against Bitcoin weeks before the Merge launch date.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) has rebounded 40% against Bitcoin (BTC) after bottoming out locally at 0.049 on June 13. Now, the ETH/BTC pair is at two-month highs and can extend its rally in the coming weeks, according to a classic technical pattern.

ETH paints cup and handle pattern

Specifically, ETH/BTC has been forming a "cup and handle" on its lower-timeframe charts since July 18. 

A cup and handle setup typically appears when the price falls and then rebounds in what appears to be a U-shaped recovery, which looks like a "cup." Meanwhile, the recovery leads to a pullback move, wherein the price trends lower inside a descending channel called the "handle."

The pattern resolves after the price rallies to an approximately equal size to the prior decline. The ETH/BTC chart below illustrates a similar bullish technical setup.

ETH/BTC four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Notably, the pair now trades lower inside the handle range but could pursue a recovery toward the neckline resistance near 0.071 BTC. Afterward, a decisive cup and handle breakout above the neckline level could lead ETH/BTC to 0.072, up 12.75% from today's price.

The success rate of the cup and handle pattern in reaching its profit target is 61%, according to veteran investor Tom Bulkowski. 

The Merge factor

The bullish setup for ETH/BTC also takes cues from Ethereum's network transition from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS) potentially via "the Merge" slated for mid September.

Related: Will Ethereum Merge hopium continue, or is it a bull trap?

Meanwhile, market analyst Michaël van de Poppe says that Ether could see more upside versus Bitcoin due to the Merge hype as momentum builds in the coming weeks. 

Van de Poppe anticipates ETH/BTC to test 0.072, the cup-and-handle profit target, as interim resistance while holding either 0.0645 or 0.057 level as support.

ETH/BTC weekly price chart. Source: TradingView/Michaël van de Poppe

Conversely, the range of risks for Ethereum with the Merge update are technical issues, delays or even a contentious hard fork. For instance, a bug had split the Ethereum chain during a 2020 network upgrade.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Inflation got you down? 5 ways to accumulate crypto with little to no cost

As high inflation destroys the purchasing power of fiat, these options offer hodlers a way to add to their portfolio without breaking the bank.

Experienced crypto traders know that bull markets are for selling and bear markets are for accumulation, but the latter can be difficult amid a backdrop of surging inflation that saps the purchasing power of fiat currencies. 

As the crypto market heads deeper into crypto winter, with prices in the gutter and developers focused on creating the next popular protocol or breakout token, some crypto fans have begun to explore new ways of increasing their stack in preparation for the next bull market.

Here’s a look at the top five ways hodlers can increase the size of their crypto portfolio without breaking the bank so that the money they earn can go toward combating the rising cost of living.

Staking

Staking is perhaps the most tested and proven way to increase the number of tokens held, as the vast majority of proof-of-stake (PoS) networks offer a steady yield for locking up coins.

In addition to helping with transaction validation and network security, staking tokens in a smart contract reduces the available circulating supply, which, in turn, can help boost the price of the underlying crypto asset.

Care should be taken as to which token is staked, however, as crypto winters are known for leading to the demise of most protocols that lack solid fundamentals or significant backing.

Projects with an established track record, healthy trading volume and an active and growing community of users are some of the keys to look at when choosing a good PoS network. Some of the top options in the current market include Ethereum, Cosmos, Fantom, Solana, Avalanche, Polygon and Polkadot.

GameFi and play-to-earn

2021 saw the emergence of GameFi and play-to-earn (P2E) protocols, which offer gamers the ability to do what they have always loved — and earn a living in the process.

While token prices for the most popular games like Axie Infinity (AXS) have plummeted, which, in turn, hurt the earning ability of players, the sector remains one of the most active in the cryptocurrency ecosystem and is likely to continue to thrive in the future.

Some games do require an upfront investment, which may price out many who are looking for no-cost ways to earn crypto. But, protocols like Yield Guild Games and Merit Circle offer these users the option to rent or borrow the required assets in exchange for a small commission that is taken out of any rewards that are earned.

Crypto side gigs

The past decade saw the rise of the gig economy as ride-sharing apps and food delivery services exploded in popularity and workers shunned the traditional 9–5 workday routine.

As remote working and the nomad lifestyle have grown in prominence, the decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies has opened the door to a multitude of opportunities for people to help contribute to the ecosystem while also earning crypto in the process.

Despite the onset of crypto winter, which has led to some of the biggest companies in the industry laying off large percentages of their workforce, new jobs in the sector are posted daily as projects launch and established companies bridge over from the legacy system.

From part-time gigs and contract jobs to bounty assignments and community outreach, there are a variety of side gig opportunities for hodlers to earn crypto while their day job pays the bills.

Related: Don't wait around for recovery, keep on building, says Web3 exec

Airdrop hunting

Cryptocurrency airdrops have become a mainstay in the crypto community as they offer one of the best ways to maximize marketing efforts and bring new users into the community.

As flash-in-the-pan projects that quickly rose and fell during the bull market begin to fold and fade into the rearview mirror, new projects representing the next generation of blockchain protocols are beginning to launch and need to attract users to their ecosystems.

While tokens for these projects typically start out with little to no value, individuals with patience can sometimes be rewarded with a nice payday down the road once bullish momentum returns to the market.

Another option is for crypto degens to explore airdrops that have already taken place with the goal of finding ones that they qualified for but have yet to claim. Some more recent examples include the Optimism (OP) and Evmos (EVMOS) airdrops, which came at the tail end of the bull market and might have gotten lost in the chaos of the past few months.

Once claimed, users have the option of selling these tokens for a stablecoin or other preferred crypto, or they can hold these tokens with the hope that they will see nice gains once crypto spring rolls around.

Spreading the crypto gospel (for referral bonuses)

One of the oldest ways for crypto enthusiasts to earn a few Satoshis on the side is by earning referral bonuses when they refer users to cryptocurrency exchanges or newly launched decentralized finance protocols that are looking to attract users and liquidity.

While the crypto contagion sparked by the collapses of Terra (LUNA) — now called Terra Classic (LUNC) — and Three Arrows Captial has led to firms like Coinbase needing to tighten their belts and discontinue referral bonuses, there are still ample opportunities for evangelists to spread the word and earn a reward.

This can also aid in the process of attracting no-coiners to the crypto community as those with extra motivation search outside the available pool of traders in pursuit of higher bonuses.

It’s important to note that those interested in earning extra crypto through referrals should do the proper due diligence in vetting a platform before directing others there, as folks are likely to look unkindly on someone who refers them to a scam or rug pull.

Want more information about trading and investing in crypto markets?

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Ethereum Classic soars 100% in nine days outperforming ETH as ‘the Merge’ approaches

Ethereum's transition to proof-of-stake could be a boon for the price of Ethereum Classic.

Ethereum Classic (ETC) has been outperforming its arch-rival Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) during the current crypto market rebound with the ETC/ETH pairs at 10-month highs.

Why is ETC beating ETH?

ETC's price has risen to $27 on July 22, amounting to a 100% gain in nine days after bottoming out at $13.35. Comparatively, ETH's price has seen a 64% rally in U.S. dollar terms.

ETC/USD versus ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Ethereum's rebound has been among the sharpest among the top cryptocurrencies, primarily due to the euphoria surrounding its potential network upgrade in September.

Dubbed "the Merge," the long-awaited technical update will switch Ethereum from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS).

Moreover, it will replace miners with stakers. As a result, the PoS switch could force existing Ethereum miners to switch to PoW chains.

Unsurprisingly, Ethereum Classic is the closest to Ethereum in terms of network design and compatibility because Ethereum Classic is the legacy chain split from Ethereum following a contentious hard fork in July 2016. 

Speculators are thus anticipating Ethereum Classic to become the first choice for miners migrating from Ethereum, and this is likely one of the main reasons ETC's recent price surge. 

ETC price technicals lean short-term bearish

From a technical standpoint, Ethereum Classic has been reeling under the pressure of its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave in the chart below) near $27.35.

ETC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

ETC/USD has witnessed a strong bearish rejection near the wave resistance on July 19, confirmed by the largest spike in its daily trading volume in almost a year. In addition, the rejection came after testing the 0.382 Fib line at around $27.47 as resistance.

Related: All ‘Ethereum killers’ will fail: Blockdaemon’s Freddy Zwanzger

ETC now consolidates inside the $22–$25 price range with its interim bias skewed toward the downside due to an "overbought" relative strength index (RSI).

ETC eyes a decline toward its 50-day EMA (the red wave) near $19 if it decisively breaks below $22—over 25% lower than July 22's price.

Conversely, a successful break above $25 and the 200-day EMA could have ETC's price rally over $30.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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All ‘Ethereum killers’ will fail: Blockdaemon’s Freddy Zwanzger

“All the Ethereum killers from back in the day didn't succeed, and I don't expect them to succeed at all,” Blockdaemon’s Ethereum lead told Cointelegraph.

Blockdaemon’s ETH ecosystem lead Freddy Zwanzger believes Ethereum will retain its leadership position in the crypto ecosystem over the coming years due to its utility as a smart contract platform and upgrades to the network following the Merge. 

Speaking to Cointelegraph during the Ethereum Community Conference (EthCC) this week, Zwanzger said:

“It'll continue to be a leader. I mean, obviously, the first and most important smart contract platform, and that's not going to change.”

Blockdaemon is an institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure platform that offers node operations and infrastructure tooling for blockchain projects.

The Blockdaemon employee also took aim at so-called “Ethereum killers” — competing Layer 1 blockchains — which have tried to topple Ethereum from its leadership position but failed.

“All the Ethereum killers from back in the day didn't succeed, and I don't expect them to succeed at all.”

Crypto projects that have been touted as “Ethereum killers,” include Solana, Cardano, Tezos, and Polkadot, among others. Many of these blockchains tout lower fees and faster transactions but have fewer active developers and certain blockchains place h less emphasis on decentralization.

To date, none have managed to displace Ethereum from its number two spot in terms of market cap. Cardano and Solana currently sit in the eighth and ninth positions, Polkadot is ranked 11 while Tezos is ranked 37, according to Coinmarketcap.

Zwanzger believes that the upcoming Merge will further propel Ethereum onwards and upwards in terms of technology and price.

“There are so many good things in there, like environmentally-friendliness, [and] all sorts of things that are beneficial to a lot of people. Staking will become more attractive,” he said.

“It’s a show of strength and commitment that the roadmap is materializing.”

The Ethereum Merge involves transitioning it from the energy-intensive proof-of-work (PoW) mining consensus to a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, and has been tentatively scheduled to be rolled out around September 19.

However, Zwanzger admitted the big future challenge for Ethereum will continue to be scalability.

“The original Ethereum roadmap was focused on sharding, but that’s not so much the case anymore. Now we have a roll-up-centric roadmap, so scaling via layer 2 solutions.”

Currently, the “proof-of-work” consensus model allows the blockchain to process 15 to 20 transactions per second (TPS) according to data from Blockchair.

A quantum leap in the number of transactions per second is expected sometime in 2023 when the Ethereum network introduces sharding.

Sharding is a multi-phase upgrade to improve Ethereum’s scalability and capacity by splitting the entire network into multiple portions in order to increase the network capacity.

Sharding will work hand in hand with layer 2 solutions to further “supercharge” the scalability of the network.

Post-sharding, cofounder Vitalik Buterin has claimed the network will be capable of transaction speeds up to 100,000 TPS.

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Lido co-founder discusses the future of Ethereum at EthCC

For Vasily Shapovalov, the magnitude of the proof-of-stake transition could cause unforeseeable problems.

Crypto enthusiasts are finally getting some respite from the ongoing bear market as the price of Ethereum (ETH) has increased 48% before the looming Merge upgrade that transitions the blockchain into one powered by a proof-of-stake consensus. As a result, the future of Ethereum has become one of the highly discussed topics during the annual Ethereum Community Conference, or EthCC in Paris. On Wednesday, Cointelegraph’s events manager Maria A. spoke to Vasily Shapovalov, co-founder of Ethereum liquid-staking solution Lido Finance.

As a co-founder of Lido, Shapovalov has a heavy focus on technical developments, including maki the algorithm and designing the protocol for withdrawals after the Merge. Secondary priorities include updating governance protocols and improving algorithms for the selection of validators.

When asked about his view on Ethereum’s position in the crypto ecosystem in the next two years, Shapovalov said that the trend is that of growing consolidation and that the new upgrade, which speeds up on-chain transactions, would make certain layer-2 solutions redundant. For Shapovalov, it’s a mix between anxiety and excitement:

“The Merge upgrade is like changing the engine on a plane mid-flight. We are overhauling everything from the consensus algorithm to the execution environment. We know some implications of this change on elements like blockchain security, but it’s not guaranteed.

Nevertheless, the Lido co-founder expressed his optimism on the upgrade: “A proof-of-stake economy the size of Ethereum now, with a new level of competitiveness, financialization and new investment potential. It’s gonna be very scary indeed, but let’s see what happens.

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Here’s What Will Happen to Ethereum (ETH) After Big Merge, According to Coin Bureau

Here’s What Will Happen to Ethereum (ETH) After Big Merge, According to Coin Bureau

A widely followed crypto analyst is revealing what he thinks will come next for top smart contract platform Ethereum (ETH) after its highly-anticipated merge to proof-of-stake. In a new video update, the pseudonymous host of Coin Bureau known as Guy tells his 2.08 million subscribers that Ethereum’s upgrade should come by the end of the […]

The post Here’s What Will Happen to Ethereum (ETH) After Big Merge, According to Coin Bureau appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Solana price enters correction territory after 80% monthly gains

SOL's bear flag setup sees its price declining to $21 by September 2022.

Solana (SOL) ticked modestly lower on July 20 after testing a critical technical resistance, suggesting further pullback moves in the coming weeks.

SOL price eyes 50% wipeout

SOL's price decreased by over 4% to $44 after failing to breach a multi-week ascending trendline resistance. Interestingly, this resistance level comes as a part of what appears to be a bearish continuation pattern dubbed the "bear flag."

A previous test of the same resistance trendline in late June had preceded a 30%-plus price drop, illustrating a higher distribution sentiment among SOL traders near the level. Therefore, the latest pullback from the same range could lead to an extended downside retracement. 

SOL/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the bear flag's lower trendline has been capping SOL's sharp pullback moves. As a result, SOL's extended correction scenario could have its price hit the support level, now near $35.40 — a 20% drop from current price levels.

Additionally, a decisive close below the lower trendline would risk triggering the bear flag breakdown setup, wherein the price falls by as much as the height of the downtrend (called "flagpole") that preceded the flag's formation.

SOL/USD daily price chart featuring "bear flag" breakdown scenario. Source: TradingView

That puts SOL on the road to levels near $21 by September, down over 50% from today's price.

What experts are saying about Solana

The bear flag setup appears after SOL's 80%-plus price rally since June 14, primarily driven by a similar recovery across the crypto market.

For instance, Ether (ETH), Solana's top rival in the smart contract space, has risen over 85% more than a month after bottoming out locally at $880. Similarly, Bitcoin (BTC) is up 35% in the same period.

SOL/USD and BTC/USD daily correlation coefficient at 0.97. Source: TradingView

Independent market analyst Altcoin Sherpa sees SOL's price rising to the $60-$80 area in 2022 if Bitcoin continues to climb.

Conversely, Andrey Diyakonov, chief commercial officer at Choise, notes that demand for SOL could drop due to Ethereum's transition to proof-of-stake in September.

"The new Ethereum protocol has the same advantages as Solana, and investors may choose to stick with Ethereum should the high gas fees and scalability woes be solved," Diyakonov explained.

Related: 3 reasons why Solana can repeat Ethereum's 2018 fractal to 5,000% gains

Paweł Łaskarzewski, co-CEO at Synapse Network, fears SOL's ongoing price rally could be a bull trap, noting that SOL, alongside the rest of the crypto market, still faces macro hurdles led by higher inflation and rising lending rates.

He said:

"We might see small ups on the price of Solana but due to the current market state, I would not expect any big changes"

Solana funds add $110.8M in 2022

Meanwhile, institutional interest in Solana continues to look better compared to Ethereum, according to CoinShares' latest weekly report.

Net flows into crypto funds in 2022 (by assets). Source: CoinShares

Notably, Solana-backed funds have attracted $110.8 million into its coffers since the beginning of this year. In comparison, Ethereum-based investment vehicles have witnessed withdrawals worth $446.1 million from their reserves in the same period, including $2.5 million in the week ending July 15.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Will Ethereum Merge hopium continue, or is it a bull trap?

ETH has gained 48% over the past week, leaving most of its crypto brethren behind — though it's still risky days ahead given the macroeconomic factors still at play.

Ethereum is outperforming the broader cryptocurrency market as the highly anticipated Merge approaches, but the bigger picture is still largely bearish.

Ethereum (ETH) has gained a whopping 48% over the past seven days, outperforming its big brother Bitcoin, which has only managed to achieve 19% in the same period. It's also up 66% from its market cycle bottom of $918 on June 19, reaching its current price of $1549.

However, the current Ethereum rally could be a bull trap with the macroeconomic clouds darkening. A bull trap is a signal indicating that a declining trend in a crypto asset has reversed and is heading upwards when it will actually continue downwards.

The primary driver of recent momentum for the asset has been linked to announcements regarding its final switch to proof-of-stake, which has been slated for September 19.

The Merge will reduce the network’s energy consumption by more than 99%. However, it will not necessarily reduce transaction fees significantly as this will occur when scaling takes place via sharding which is expected sometime next year.

On July 19, a Coinbase report on the Merge explained that the next major step, and last dress rehearsal, is the Goerli testnet Merge which has been planned for August 11.

Goerli is the most battle-tested Ethereum environment with the most user activity and the closest simulation of the real thing.

While the major upgrade is the fundamental driver of current Ethereum market sentiment, the asset is still trading down 68% from its November 2021 all-time high.

There have also been concerns that a significant amount of ETH may flood the market after the Merge and its release from its staking smart contracts.

However, director of research at 21Shares, Eliézer Ndinga, told Cointelegraph that this is unlikely to happen:

“The withdrawals of Ether won't occur until 6-12 months post Merge after the Shanghai upgrade. The withdrawals will be limited to six validators every epoch or ~ 6 minutes to avoid bank runs and keep the network secure.”

Related: Ethereum devs confirm the perpetual date for The Merge

A recent survey by Finder, conducted before the most recent rally sai there is still a lot of negative sentiment regarding short-term Ethereum prices. 

The panel of 54 industry experts polled thought ETH would be worth $1,711 by the end of 2022, climbing to $5,739 by 2025, before hitting $14,412 by 2030. However, they also thought it would dump to $675 before the year was out.

Finder said there are a couple of macroeconomic factors that could cause this retreat. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to hike rates again by 75 basis points during their July 26-27 meeting, which is generally bearish for crypto markets. If Bitcoin takes a dive, Ethereum is sure to follow.

Additionally, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release its advance estimate of second-quarter GDP growth on July 28. Another negative quarter, which is expected, will mean that the country is in a technical recession which is also very bad for risk-on assets such as Ethereum.

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Ethereum price breaks out, hits 2-month high versus Bitcoin — is the rally sustainable?

The rally has pushed ETH price toward strong resistance levels, increasing its pullback risks against Bitcoin.

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) has successfully avoided a bearish technical setup to reach a two-month high against Bitcoin (BTC).

ETH price bear flag invalidated

The ETH/BTC pair invalidated its prevailing "bear flag" pattern after Ethereum developers announced this July 14 that their long-awaited switch to proof-of-stake (called the Merge) will most likely occur in September.

ETH/BTC has rallied by more than 22% since the announcement, reaching 0.067, its highest level since May 25. Furthermore, the pair's sharp upside move has pushed its net retracement gains to 37% when measured from June 13's local bottom of 0.049.

ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Ether tests key inflection zone

Strong fundamentals led by the Merge launch could have ETH/BTC pursue a run-up toward the 0.072-0.076 area. This range was instrumental as resistance in January and March-May. Therefore, it should serve as the next upside target for Ether bulls.

But there's a catch. Notably, ETH/BTC has been showing signs of a weakening upside momentum near what appears to be a strong resistance confluence. 

That includes a falling trendline resistance, a Fibonacci retracement line (near 0.066 BTC), and a support-turned-resistance area (the 0.064-0.068 BTC range), as shown below.

ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

In addition, ETH/BTC's daily relative strength index, a momentum oscillator indicator, has crossed into so-called "overbought" territory, suggesting elevated risks of a sell-off. 

Related: ETH traders gauge fakeout risks after 40% ETH price rally

Independent market analyst "Altcoin Sherpa" cited a similar technical setup this July 18, noting that the ongoing ETH/BTC rally could be "unsustainable."

In other words, ETH/BTC could see a reversal toward 0.06 by September if the inflection resistance zone holds for a 9.5% decline. The 0.06 BTC level also coincides with the 0.236 Fib line, as shown in the chart above.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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