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Bitmain’s new Ether ASIC mining rig may not fix GPU shortage after all

A new Ether ASIC mining rig is on the way, but will it help ease Nvidia's GPU problems?

Cryptocurrency mining rig manufacturer Bitmain announced the pending release of a new Ether (ETH) miner on April 16. The Antminer E9 model is an application-specific integrated circuit chip, which will run on the Ethereum blockchain’s Ethash algorithm.

No official release date has yet been announced for the E9, however, the machine’s arrival may not be as impactful as first suspected. The rig faces competition in the form of Nvidia’s CMP (Cryptocurrency Mining Processor) range of GPUs, designed specifically for crypto mining. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s scheduled move away from proof-of-work towards a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism could mean the E9’s utility is short-lived.

Nvidia recently announced that its CMP range was expected to rake in $150 million in profits in the first quarter of the year — three times more than the firm had originally anticipated.

Despite the apparent booming popularity of its crypto-specific graphics cards, Nvidia chief financial officer Colette Kress said on an investors call this week that the company expected its GPU shortage to continue for the rest of the year, despite increasing supply.

“We expect demand to continue to exceed supply for much of this year [...] We will see supply continue to increase throughout this quarter as well as throughout the year,” Kress said, as reported by The Verge.

Nvidia has struggled to meet demand for GPUs from its core gaming customer base for some time, as would-be miners gobbled up cards to mine Ether and other cryptocurrencies. The phenomenon of Nvidia’s supply shortage first emerged in late 2017 as the bull run of that year attracted more people toward crypto mining. After cooling off somewhat in the intervening years, the GPU shortage emerged once again in 2020 and shows no signs of abating.

Nvidia also announced on April 15 the launch of a new anti-crypto mining version of the RTX 3060. Earlier this year, the firm launched the RTX 3060 graphics card with a built-in limiter which made it less than half as effective when mining cryptocurrency, as part of its efforts to separate gaming and mining demand.

Within days hackers had been rumored to have bypassed the mining limiter, and just a few days later still, Nvidia shot itself in the foot by releasing an official driver update which unintentionally removed the limiter by itself.

The new version of the RTX 3060 will reportedly retain the same name and branding, but will see the faulty driver replaced completely, reports TechRadar.

While Bitmain’s release of the E9 may seem a little late given Ethereum’s eventual move to proof-of-stake in the next year or so, the limited time left to mine ETH could also result in a sharp demand spike, as miners seek to accumulate as much ETH as possible before the changeover.

We asked Nvidia if it expected the release of the E9 to help ease its GPU shortage by diverting demand, or, whether the company viewed the rig as competition for its CMP range. This article will be updated should Nvidia reply.

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Key Ethereum Researchers Vote to Ship Proof-of-Stake in 2021

Ethereum looks set to launch Proof-of-Stake this year. 

Proof-of-Stake on the Horizon

Ethereum could ship Proof-of-Stake before the year is out. 

Justin Drake, one of the researchers working on Ethereum 2.0, shared a poll earlier today, showing that 86% of those he surveyed are in favor of fast-tracking the update to launch in 2021. Respondents included Vitalik Buterin, Danny Ryan, and other Ethereum researchers (Importantly, other key ETH1 developers hadn’t answered when Drake posted the poll). 

Drake’s poll discussed the idea of launching a “safe minimum viable merge” in 2021, meaning one with no transfers, withdrawals, statelessness, or changes to the Ethereum Virtual Machine. 

“The merge” refers to Phase 1.5 of Ethereum 2.0, otherwise known as Serenity, in which Ethereum mainnet will be docked with the Beacon chain. This update will mark Ethereum’s move to Proof-of-Stake. 

In the current Ethereum 2.0 roadmap, Phase 1 is scheduled to launch next. Phase 1 will introduce sharding, bringing 64 new chains onto the network to spread its traffic. 

However, the Ethereum community has recently discussed pushing the merge forward ahead of sharding. In a Reddit thread posted to /r/ethereum last month, Buterin and Ryan said they were in favor of the change. 

Now, Drake’s poll suggests that the merge could launch as soon as 2021. 

Drake told Crypto Briefing that several factors have led to the potential Proof-of-Stake fast-track. As the update has been part of the roadmap for over six years, he said, it’s “now arguably overdue.” 

Other reasons behind the advancement are the option to make a relatively simple merge to remove Proof-of-Work and the costs—economic and ecological—of operating Proof-of-Work. With ETH trading above $2,000, the current mechanism costs ETH holders over $1 billion monthly. 

Drake also revealed that some miners have made threats of violence, which have “catalyzed efforts” towards shipping Proof-of-Stake. Some Ethereum miners have been in dispute with the rest of the community over the last few months, most recently staging a questionable protest against EIP-1559.

A Major Year for Ethereum 

Proof-of-Stake is Ethereum’s most anticipated update. It’s been widely discussed across the community for years. Currently, the blockchain uses a proof-of-work consensus algorithm, similar to that of Bitcoin. 

Proof-of-stake will make Ethereum more scalable and significantly reduce its environmental impact, something that the blockchain will likely need before it receives widespread mainstream approval

Drake confirmed to Crypto Briefing that he thinks the move to Proof-of-Stake is likely to happen this year. “I am confident we can ship the merge in 2021,” he said. 

Proof-of-Stake will also see validators earn fees for securing the chain rather than miners, effectively making miners obsolete. Many ETH holders have committed 32 ETH to the ETH2.0 contract to become a validator; there’s now over 3.75 million ETH staked

Ahead of proof-of-stake, Ethereum will also launch its Berlin and London hard forks in the coming months. London, slated for this summer, will introduce EIP-1559, an “ETH buyback” proposal that involves burning a portion of the gas fee with every transaction. That in turn will reduce the supply of ETH, benefitting all holders. Because EIP-1559 will affect miners’ revenue, some have taken issue with the update, which is why there have been protests and threats against the Ethereum Foundation. 

EIP-1559 should make ETH a deflationary asset if the network draws enough activity. The proposal inspired Drake to coin the term “ultrasound money” to refer to ETH, and it’s been embraced by other Ethereum believers in recent weeks. Drake explained that EIP-1559, along with proof-of-stake, will bring major improvements to Ethereum. He said:

“Ethereum will shortly deliver economic innovation that promises to bring orders of magnitude improvements to economic security and economic efficiency.”

Ethereum launches Berlin on Apr. 14. After that, based on the latest plans, EIP-1559 and the proof-of-stake merge will follow. The introduction of sharding would then finally mark the completion of Ethereum 2.0. 

Disclosure: At the time of writing, the author of this feature owned ETH and several other cryptocurrencies. 

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99.98% less power: Lighthouse’s first Ethereum and Eth2 merge transaction

It is one of the first steps towards Phase 1.5 that will ‘dock’ Eth1 with Eth2.

Blockchain security provider Sigma Prime has announced its first merge transaction between the two Ethereum networks.

The transaction was made by its Lighthouse client using only Proof of Stake validators, it stated in a March 25 tweet. It added that this was a step towards a 99.98% drop in Ethereum energy consumption, deriving that figure from calculations that compare the current Proof of Work Eth1 with the much more efficient Proof of Stake Eth2.

Sigma Prime stated that it is an exciting achievement but still far from production as it is still a prototype with much more work to do, adding:

“Primarily, you should take this is a signal that Eth1 and Eth2 developers are actively working together on the merge.”

This is not the first time such a feat has been managed, with Sigma Prime pointing out that in August last year the Teku Ethereum client had also demoed a prototype capable of performing any Eth1 transaction in an Eth2 environment.

The transaction is part of the initial steps towards Phase 1.5 in the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade roadmap when a “docking” process will merge Eth1 mainnet with the Eth2 Beacon Chain and sharding system.

The move to Proof of Stake will eliminate the energy-hungry mining operations that currently power Eth1, though the blockchain will still run as a shard of Eth2 once Phase 1.5 is complete.

A discussion on mining, and its power consumption, was spawned on Reddit in response to the Lighthouse development.

Citing the increasing costs of electricity, and graphics processors at the moment due to the global chip shortage, Redditor HighlightAccording98 stated that it’s simpler to profit from staking than mining.

“If I were a miner I would be sitting on a pile of staked ETH from selling my equipment collecting APY and waiting for the merge.”

Currently, staking on Beacon Chain is yielding an APY of 8.2% with 3.6 million ETH already deposited according to the Eth2 Launchpad.

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Ethereum network in a fee spin: Can the Berlin upgrade save the day?

The upcoming Berlin update contains EIPs aimed at reducing transaction costs, but it may not provide a long-term solution.

Though Ether’s (ETH) value has continued to showcase increasing signs of stability around the $1,800 range over the past fortnight or so, users of the premier altcoin’s network have been faced with rising gas fees as well as increasing network congestion issues. To put things into perspective, since summer last year, a time when the DeFi boom was starting to peak, Ethereum’s network fees have more than doubled.

While this fee increase quite directly relates to ETH’s increasing value, there is no denying that it also clearly shows growing demand for ERC-20 tokens, stablecoins, as well as various decentralized finance-based offerings in general.

As is evident from the chart below, costs of facilitating transactions on the Ethereum network have increased significantly over the last few months, with the average transaction fee touching an all-time high of $39.49 on Feb. 23.

Not only that, on March 20, the average transaction fee is at $16, a price point that is quite high, especially for developers and those looking to facilitate small value transactions.

Also, as nonfungible tokens continue to gain mainstream traction, it stands to reason that transaction costs on the Ethereum network will continue to rise in the near future. Thus, until a viable scaling solution is implemented in the near term, network congestion and high transaction costs are likely to continue, especially as the NFT sector continues to thrive.

Is the network broken beyond repair?

Providing his thoughts on Etherum’s existing state of affairs, Jay Hao, CEO of cryptocurrency exchange OKEx, told Cointelegraph that Ethereum is definitely at a point of inflection along with other layer-one solutions, adding: “They are being forced to address their issues of rising fees and network congestion fast — or risk losing out to competitors who can offer lower fees and higher throughput.” He also added:

“Ethereum still has by far the largest developer community, as well as the number of DApps, built on it, but still, complacency is a killer.”

And while Hao does believe that Ethereum will eventually be able to cope with its issues at some point in the future, the crypto community no longer wants to wait until the transition to proof-of-stake and Eth2 has been complete, especially since an increasing number of developers and other network users are starting to expand their operations and switch to alternative ecosystems.

For example, many platforms have undertaken the integration of different versions of Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) — a la Algorand, Tron — allowing stablecoin traders to transact quickly and at a fraction of the cost currently being levied by the Ethereum network.

Moreover, an increasing number of EVM-compatible blockchains — OKExChain, Binance Smart Chain, etc. — have sprung up and are challenging Ethereum’s dominance. “Competition is healthy, and it forces the incumbents to do better and focus on providing users with the experience they deserve,” Hao opined.

However, Jack O’Holleran, CEO of Skale Labs — a decentralized Ethereum compatible layer-two PoS network — believes that the network’s rising gas fee issues will be alleviated as scaling efforts continue to be worked on, adding:

“The Ethereum mainnet will evolve into a base layer of security and settlement. Scalability layers will sit on top of Ethereum, providing functionality for smart contract execution and low gas fees. We will also see the rise of application-specific blockchains, which provide more price efficiencies with greater predictability.“

What is the Berlin upgrade?

After months of planning, the Ethereum community recently laid out its implementation timeline for “Berlin,” with the upgrade slated to go live on the Ethereum mainnet at block 12,244,000, or on April 14. In this regard, it bears mentioning that a total of four Ethereum Improvement Protocols will be deployed as part of Berlin.

These include EIP-2565, which seeks to reduce the cost of the ModExp precompile, which will help with calculating the gas cost; EIP-2929, a proposal that will “increase” certain gas costs; EIP-2718, which introduces a new transaction module; and lastly, EIP-2930, which includes a transaction type with optional access lists.

To help make the upcoming transition smoother, Ethereum node operators have been advised to upgrade their operations to nodes that are Berlin-compatible before April 7. That being said, exchanges, wallet service providers and Ether token holders are not required to make any modifications on their end.

Will “Berlin” really help ease Ether’s growing pains?

To gain a better perspective of whether the Berlin upgrade will really shake the Ethereum ecosystem up and help mitigate many of its existing issues, Cointelegraph spoke with Maxim Blagov, CEO of Enjin — a blockchain-based gaming and DApp ecosystem. In his view, the Berlin update is an important step toward creating a better user experience on Ethereum, especially in terms of estimating gas costs, adding:

“We can’t assume that it will have a significant impact on cost per transaction. Deep structural changes will need to be made in order to bring Ethereum in-line with user expectations. Newcomers to the NFT market often expect free, instant transactions, and unfortunately, nothing like this will be achievable on the current state of Ethereum.”

Additionally, “Winston,” a moderator for yield farming aggregator Harvest Finance, told Cointelegraph that he does not see any major fee reduction happening as a result of the upcoming Berling upgrade, adding: “There are few EIPs included that can help users save gas, but there is also EIP-2929, which actually increases fees in some transactions.”

Hao believes that while the upcoming update may help in reducing gas fees, by and large, the community will only start to see more satisfactory solutions to Ethereum’s problems in the mid-term. Furthermore, he added that while Berlin may be able to ease out gas fee problems temporarily, it will not be able to address the network’s long-term scalability issues.

In his view, Ethereum will need to work on incorporating rollups and other layer-two scaling solutions, such as Polygon, in order to provide meaningful and sustainable midterm solutions to its problems while Ethereum 2.0 is rolled out in its entirety.

However, providing a contrarian take on the matter, O’Holleran stated that the upcoming upgrade is quite robust and holistic in its outlook, and when combined with EIP-1559, it is an effort to make fees lower and more predictable:

“Miners will gradually be paid less over time, but in doing so, it will make Ethereum more usable and increase the value of the network, which, in turn, ends up being a win for both miners and developers if managed appropriately.“

EIP-1559 and more

The most anticipated upgrade to the Ethereum network — EIP-1559 — is slated to go live sometime in July. The proposal will be packaged along with the “London” hard fork and will seek to fix numerous issues with Ethereum’s user experience. For starters, it will look to redirect Ethereum’s native gas fee to the network itself instead of miners. This fee will then be burned, allowing for a gradual reduction in the total supply pool of ETH.

Related: Ethereum at a crossroads: Ether community turmoil over miner reward fees

On paper, the upgrade seems like a welcome change, however, it’s expected to reduce reward ratios by a whopping 50%, something that has irked Ethereum’s mining community so much that many have even advocated for a demonstrative network takeover — potentially threatening the security of the network.

Thus, with all of these moves aimed at fixing the fees issue laid out on the table, it remains to be seen how the Ethereum network will handle the increasing demand and if it can deliver a solution that is welcomed by all in a speedy manner.

Bitcoin’s Slide Sparks Altcoin Avalanche: PI, Dogecoin, XRP Post Brutal Losses