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Quantum computer ‘threat’ to crypto is exaggerated — For now

Bitcoin’s private keys won’t be breached any time soon. But the industry still needs to transition to a “post-quantum cryptography.” 

A report that Chinese researchers have employed a D-Wave quantum computer to breach encryption algorithms used to secure bank accounts, top-secret military data and crypto wallets is at first glance a matter for deep concern. 

“This is the first time that a real quantum computer has posed a real and substantial threat to multiple full-scale SPN [Substitution-Permutation Network] structured algorithms in use today,” wrote Shanghai University scientists in a peer-reviewed paper, according to the South China Morning Post (SCMP) on Oct. 11.

The paper talks about breaking RSA (Rivest-Shamir-Adleman) encryption, one of the oldest and widely used public-key cryptosystems.  

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China has not cracked encryption, at least not yet — Mental Outlaw

Quantum bits currently require temperatures between approximately -200 degrees Celsius to -270 degrees Celsius to operate properly.

Researchers at Shangai University recently made headlines for purportedly breaking the RSA encryption algorithms used in banking, military, and cryptocurrency applications. However, popular YouTuber Mental Outlaw says the recent breakthrough in China lacks the power to impact current encryption standards due to severe computation and physical limitations.

According to the research paper, the quantum computer used in the experiment factorized the integer 2,269,753. Mental Outlaw noted that this surpassed records set by other quantum computers but failed to surpass the record set by classical computers.

The YouTuber clarified that the quantum computer only broke a 22-bit key. For context, the record set by classical computers was cracking an 892-bit key, which required a whopping 2,700 physical core years to break.

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Biggest fears about Bitcoin’s future: Industry weighs in

Reddit’s Bitcoin community remains optimistic about BTC, but members are still eager to discuss the most valid concerns regarding Bitcoin's future.

Bitcoin (BTC) has achieved significant success since its inception, but some within the community remain concerned about its future.

On Sept. 14, a Redditor on the Bitcoin subreddit appealed to the community with a question on the most legitimate concerns about the future of BTC.

What scares you the most about Bitcoin’s future? Source: Reddit

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Physics for fintech: How quantum AI can make humans better crypto traders

Scientists are using quantum algorithms to uncover new insights into how our brains learn and apply information.

Quantum computers are often referred to as a future technology that will give scientists and engineers a new tool with which to explore the deeper mysteries of the universe. But, based on a new study, they may end up making the whole species a little smarter.

A team of scientists in South Korea recently used a quantum computer to conduct research on how humans retain and retrieve information. This pioneering study could pave the way for new learning techniques to improve outcomes in fields such as science, mathematics, and finance. 

There are numerous forms of quantum computing, though the industry remains in its infancy. Companies such as Google and IBM are heavily involved in developing what’s called “gate-based” quantum computers. These systems work in a somewhat similar fashion to modern digital circuits. 

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The singularity: How AI could become the final boss whale of crypto

World-renowned futurist Ray Kurtzweil says the singularity is coming sooner than expected.

Everyone from Elon Musk to the CEO of Google DeepMind has predicted that artificial intelligence will surpass human intelligence within a matter of decades. This scenario is often referred to as the AI singularity. 

Big tech, academia, and governments around the world have started workshopping potential scenarios to deal with this hypothetical moment. While much has been written about the threat of a violent AI takeover, there’s little in the way of research concerning how a machine could corner the global economy.

Futurist Ray Kurzweil, a former Google researcher who’s considered a luminary in the field of technology, recently published a book entitled “The Singularity Is Nearer: When We Merge with AI.” In his text, he discusses what he views as our imminent future as the second-smartest beings on Earth.

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Quantum computers are advancing much faster than scientists expected

Breakthroughs in scalability, error-correction, and infrastructure have led to an accelerated timeline for quantum advantage.

Quantum computing is one of those “just around the corner” technologies that has the scientific community split. Tech outfits such as Google and IBM have gone full throttle with both R&D and marketing as if they’re already here while many independent researchers have claimed quantum computers will never work. 

Most people working in the field, however, believe that quantum computers will be able to solve problems that classical computers can’t within the next 10 years.

This is according to a recent survey of 927 people with associations to the field of quantum computing (researchers, executives, press, enthusiasts, etc.) conducted by QuEra. Of those surveyed, 74.9% “expect quantum to be a superior alternative to classical computing for certain workloads” within the next 10 years.

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German quantum breakthrough highlights need for particle physicists in crypto

German quantum breakthrough highlights need for particle physicists in crypto

Breakthrough quantum computing research out of Germany could lead to a revolution in particle physics with implications for finance, economics, and cryptocurrency. It might be time for firms in the crypto industry to add chief science officers and particle physicists to their portfolios. 

Much like the tech industry before it, crypto has bootstrapped itself on the virtue of its own feats of engineering and innovation. The engineering and innovation it took to invent blockchain and cryptocurrency are, arguably, analogous to the advent of personal computing and the internet.

Over the past 20 years, however, the tech industry has shifted towards hard science. Perhaps it’s time for crypto to follow suit.

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Nvidia claims breakthrough on path to GPU-based quantum computing

Quantum annealing systems could impact the finance and blockchain industries in a major way.

Nvidia researchers are claiming noteworthy progress in the quest to build a fully functional, commercially viable quantum computer based on supercomputer simulations conducted with graphical processing units (GPUs).

While progress toward the development of a useful quantum computer has been steady for decades, physicists are still split on exactly what path to take towards their ultimate creation.

Quantum computers function differently from their classical counterparts. The computers we use every day, such as the one you’re reading this article on, rely on binary switches to conduct computations. But their quantum cousins exploit the nature of physics, through the use of qubits, to conduct much more complex computations than ones and zeros alone are capable of.

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Ignoring quantum threats in CBDC design is reckless

The real threat of a CBDC lies in quantum computing vulnerabilities. Developing a quantum-resistant design should be a priority for the United States.

In a newly released and otherwise crypto-friendly portion of its 2024 platform, the Republican Party echoed a common concern about a potential United States central bank digital currency (CBDC): the possibility that this might take the form of a privacy-invading state surveillance mechanism. What we should be more concerned about is a CBDC built on technical rails that can be infiltrated and exploited by our adversaries.

Despite political opposition, a CBDC in this country is a realistic future possibility. Interest is growing steadily among central banks and financial institutions worldwide. Designing one that is resilient to a cyberattack based on what’s known as Shor’s algorithm — a powerful tool set to become much more practical as quantum computing takes hold in the coming years — is a matter of vital interest. Without post-quantum technology underpinning the future of our monetary system, the country’s economic security and financial privacy is vulnerable to foreign interference.

As a digital liability of the Federal Reserve, a CBDC would be comparable to a digital version of a dollar bill. From a credit and liability risk standpoint, such an innovation would be the safest of its kind in the kaleidoscope of digital assets available to the general public. In theory, it would exist alongside fiat currency, commercial bank money, and privately issued digital assets, thereby adding a weighty, government-backed option to a diversity of payment choices for the public.

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DARPA release highlights difficulty in developing quantum finance solutions

Quantum computing for finance is proving to be one of the harder problems for scientists in the field.

Researchers from a number of prestigious laboratories throughout the United States, including MIT’s Lincoln laboratory, NASA, and the Los Alamos National Laboratory, recently collaborated with a government program to identify and benchmark key areas for quantum computing researchers to focus on. 

The U.S. government’s military think tank, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) led the research. Its purported purpose was to provide an overview of current and future quantum computing capabilities in areas such as chemistry and material science. But, in the field most related to future finance and fintech applications, the team wasn’t able to determine if quantum computing could provide a clear advantage.

Scientists believe quantum computing will one day demonstrate a clear advantage (called “quantum advantage” or “quantum supremacy”) over classical, binary computers in a variety of different computations.

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