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Coinbase eyes long-term growth of subscription revenue, NFTs still a focus

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says the exchange has been building subscription revenue streams for three years and will continue to do so into the long term.

American cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase aims to grow revenue from subscriptions in the long term to combat potential profit margin compression.

The firm’s founder and CEO Brian Armstrong delved into the long-term prospects of the American cryptocurrency exchange in a wide-ranging interview with CNBC’s Crypto World on Aug. 23. A key talking point was the potential of lower revenues from fees in the future and how the company plans to preempt this possibility.

Armstrong highlighted his belief that profit margin compression was bound to occur in the future as more exchanges and competitors launch similar products and services which could compete for market share:

“This is why we’re investing today in so much subscription and services revenue and we’re realizing that trading fees will still be a major part of our business in 10 or 20 years from now. But I’d like to get to a place where more than 50% of our revenue is from subscriptions and services.”

Armstrong said that the company had been focused on this shift for the past three years which has resulted in subscriptions and services accounting for 18% of the company’s revenue stream. This was up from the 4% contribution to revenue in 2020, according to Armstrong.

The Coinbase CEO noted that its staking offerings and USDC custody services were primary drivers of subscription and services revenue, while the development of Coinbase Cloud and other projects in the pipeline would further add to the growth of these revenue streams.

Related: Coinbase introduces wrapped staked ETH asset ahead of the Merge

The growth of Coinbase’s staking product is also dependent on the scalability of the underlying blockchains powering the service, with Ethereum’s upcoming transition to a proof-of-stake consensus algorithm poised to address this issue as Armstrong explained.

The burgeoning nonfungible token (NFT) space and Coinbase’s proprietary NFT marketplace was also a topic of discussion. Having launched a beta release of its NFT marketplace in April 2022, the CEO said that the company is still committed to NFTs and believes it will be a big business:

“It’s still super early in the NFT space. We saw a big run-up last year with people trading Bored Apes and all sorts of different things that got traction. But I think that’s just the first step in a long journey of what NFTs are going to become.”

Armstrong highlighted his belief that NFTs will change how people use social media, how the music industry operates and how creative talent interacts with audiences. Natively integrating Coinbase NFTs into various platforms people use daily was another avenue that Armstrong explored.

“We’re in the process of aggregating all the different places that people can bid and ask on NFTs in one place. If we can aggregate that there is really no downside to using it there instead of going anywhere else.”

The exchange is currently trialing a beta version for its Coinbase One subscription product that gives members access to zero-fee trading, $1 million account protection and automated tax services. The monthly subscription to the service is $29.99.

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Crypto scams fall 65% after gullible noobs exit the market: Chainalysis

Less gullible retail investors and falling asset prices have made scamming a less enticing endeavor, but the tsunami of new DeFi applications has hackers licking their lips.

Fewer people have fallen victim to cryptocurrency scams in 2022 so far due to falling asset prices and the exit of inexperienced crypto users from the market, a new crypto crime report reveals. 

According to an Aug. 16 report from Chainalysis, total crypto scam revenue year-to-date is currently sitting at $1.6 billion, equating to a 65% decline from the prior year period, which appears linked to the declining prices of cryptocurrencies.

“Since January 2022, scam revenue has fallen more or less in line with Bitcoin pricing. [...] it’s not just scam revenue falling — the cumulative number of individual transfers to scams so far in 2022 is the lowest it’s been in the past four years.”

Chainalysis' Cybercrimes Research Lead Eric Jardine, the author of the report, explains that crypto investors are more likely to fall for scams during bull markets when the investment opportunities and outsized returns are most enticing to victims.

Source: Chainalysis

Jardine also hypothesized that bull markets also typically see a higher prevalence of new, inexperienced crypto users, who are more likely to fall victim to scams.

The researcher said the results are also skewed due to the comparatively large PlusToken and Finiko scams in 2021 which netted $3.5 billion in total scam revenue.

Conversely, Jardine notes the largest scam of 2022 so far has only netted $273 million, and is related to cannabis investing platform JuicyFields.io, which has reportedly locked investors out of their accounts on their cannabis-focused “e-growing” service.

Hacks and stolen funds

While scam revenue has fallen in the year, Jardine notes that crypto-based hacking has bucked the trend, increasing 58.3% through July 2022 to $1.9 billion, a figure that does not include the $190 million Nomad bridge hack that began on Aug. 1.

Source: Chainalysis

Jardine said that this increase is largely attributable to the rise of DeFi applications that skyrocketed in 2021:

“DeFi protocols are uniquely vulnerable to hacking, as their open source code can be studied ad nauseum by cybercriminals looking for exploits.”

But Jardine added that it’s not all bad, as smart contract programming languages like Solidity are relatively new and these exploits can “be helpful for security as it allows for auditing of the code.”

The report also noted that a large concentration of these hackers came from North Korean elite hacking units such as Lazarus Group, with approximately half of crypto stolen in hacks coming from these groups alone.

Jardine also noted that darknet market revenue is down 43% so far in 2022, due mainly to German law enforcement shutting down Russian darknet Hydra Marketplace’s servers on Apr. 5.

Darknet markets are dark web black markets that offer illicit goods and services for sale, often using cryptocurrencies as a method of payment. 

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Solana eyes 40% jump in August despite long-term bearish signals

The bear flag setup for SOL price could result in another interim relief rally amid macro headwinds.

Solana (SOL) dipped to a two-week low at around $35.50 on July 26, mirroring downside moves elsewhere in the crypto market. Nonetheless, technicals suggests that Solana's price flirts with the prospects of rising 40% in August.

SOL hits key inflection point

Ironically, the bullish setup for Solana emerges out of a classic bearish continuation pattern.

On the daily chart, SOL's price has been consolidating inside what appears to be a "bear flag," a technical pattern that develops during a downtrend and gets resolved after the instrument exits it with further price drops.

The so-called bear flag breakdown has not happened yet. Instead, SOL has been holding the lower trendline as support, raising possibilities of a sharp rebound toward the upper trendline, as illustrated in the chart below.

SOL/USD daily price chart featuring 'bear flag.' Source: TradingView

The rebound setup exposes SOL to a potential rally toward $49.50 in August, up 40% from today's price. The $49-$50 level had served as both support and resistance in May.

Solana network performance still a concern — researcher

The potential bear flag rebound will serve as interim relief to Solana bulls, given SOL's overall bias remains skewed to the downside.

Macro forces such as the Fed's hawkish monetary policies and the collapse of the $40 billion "algorithmic stablecoin" project Terra have sent the crypto market into a tailspin. As a result, Solana, like any other risky asset, has suffered declines across its financial and network usage metrics in 2022.

For instance, the average number of daily transactions atop the Solana blockchain plunged by 17.6% in Q2/2022 versus the previous quarter, according to data from Messari.

Meanwhile, Solana's revenue dropped 44.4% quarter-on-quarter (also because of recurring network outages).

Solana Financial Overview Q2/2022. Source: Messari

"As seen in 2021 and throughout Q1 and Q2, degraded network performance decreases network usage and reduces the network’s continued flow of revenue," noted James Trautman, a researcher at Messari, adding:

"If Solana were to continue to experience degraded performance that lasts for a material amount of time, a resulting drag on fundamental usage may catalyze volatility and drag on network value."

Bear flag breakdown?

The mix of macro and network-related concerns risk triggering the bear flag breakdown by September.

Related: All ‘Ethereum killers’ will fail: Blockdaemon’s Freddy Zwanzger

SOL's decisive close below the flag's lower trendline means more downside is likely to the $21-$23 region, according to the technical setup illustrated below.

SOL/USD daily price chart featuring bear flag breakdown setup. Source: TradingView

In other words, a 35%-38% drop from current price levels.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Coinbase Wins Greenlight To Operate in South America’s Second-Largest Economy With 5,000,000 Daily Crypto Users

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Coinbase Wins Greenlight To Operate in South America’s Second-Largest Economy With 5,000,000 Daily Crypto Users

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Avalanche rebounds 25% in five days as AVAX price tests key level — big rally ahead?

Crypto market correlation and Valkyrie's Avalanche fund launch also helped push AVAX to a weekly high.

Avalanche (AVAX) has rebounded strongly five days after testing a key inflection area as its support. Now, the AVAX/USD pair faces the possibility of continuing its upside retracement move further into Q2.

A 30%-plus move ahead?

AVAX's price surged to almost $69.50 on May 5 from nearly $55 on April 30, a 25% jump.

Interestingly, AVAX's rebound move surfaced inside the same support area ($54-60 range) that had preceded a 100% and a 175% price rally in the January 2022-April 2022 and the October 2021-November 2021 session, respectively.

AVAX/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Additionally, the lower trendline of the AVAX's prevailing descending channel pattern (possibly a "bull flag") served as support. That raised the Avalanche token's potential to extend its rebound move towards the channel's upper trendline near $90, up almost 35% from today's price.

Valkyrie launches AVAX fund

AVAX's price rally also coincided with similar upside moves elsewhere in the crypto market, in part due to Federal Reserve's announcement on May 4 to hike interest rates by 0.5% against the widely-anticipated 0.75%.

AVAX is up by about 20% when measured from its May 4's lows near $59. Interestingly, its gains turned out to be higher than its top rivaling assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Polkadot (DOT). That could be due to Valkyrie.

The Tennessee-based crypto investment firm announced on May 4 that it is launching an Avalanche Trust (VAVAX) for accredited investors. It set the minimum investment at $25,000 and, according to sources, has already attracted $25 million to its vaults.

The launch comes after Avalanche saw uptrends in key metrics, including usage and revenue generation.

In detail, the network's average daily transactions nearly doubled in Q1/2022 (+82.8%) compared to the previous quarter, while its total income grew by 72.7% in the same timeframe, reports Messari researcher James Trautman.

Avalanche network value and cumulative revenue during Q1. Source: Messari

The analyst further highlighted that Avalanche's revenue growth could put "upward pressures" on AVAX's market value, given its proof-of-stake network burns 100% of fees (derived in AVAX), and thus lowers the total supply in circulation. 

Related: The birth of ‘Ethereum killers’: Can they take Ethereum’s throne?

"This drives value to all token holders through increased scarcity rather than compounding the balances of validators and delegators," Trautman wrote, adding:

"The question is just how statistically significant the spread between revenue and market value is [...] As fundamental value (as opposed to speculative value) becomes a more substantial part of market value, a strong correlation between revenue and market value should theoretically exist."

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Solana’s STEPN hits record high as GMT price skyrockets 34,000% in over a month

Strong hype around move-to-earn tokens could offset the bearish technicals emerging for GMT.

STEPN (GMT), a so-called "move-to-earn" token using the Solana (SOL) blockchain, has soared incredibly since its market debut in March.

GMT's price jumped from $0.01 on March 9 to a record high of $3.45 on April 19 — a 34,000% upside move in just 41 days (data from Binance). Its massive uptrend appeared primarily due to the hype surrounding decentralized finance (DeFi) projects that reward users in tokens for staying active.

For instance, the prices of GMT and its top rivals, including Genopets (GENE) and dotmoovs (MOOV), exploded massively on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe, data on CoinGecko shows.

Nonetheless, STEPN remained the most valuable move-to-earn (M2E) project, with its market capitalization closing in on $2 billion. 

The performance of M2E tokens featuring GMT. Source: TradingView

What's pumping GMT?

One major cue behind the GMT's price rally comes from STEPN's recent earnings report. Notably, the project made a profit of over $26.81 million from "royalty fees" and the sale of its "NFT Sneakers" in the first quarter of 2022, official data shows.

In detail, buying NFT Sneakers enables users to play STEPN, which, in turn, allows them to earn its in-game token, called the Green Satoshi Token (GST). Later, traders can exchange their GST rewards for SOL or USD Coin (USDC).

STEPN uses its profits to first buyback GMT, its governance token, from secondary markets (exchanges, over-the-counter platforms, etc.) and then burn them on-chain, effectively removing them from circulation out of the 600 million GMT in total. 

Technicals signal overbought

The latest bout of buying in the GMT market has made the token overbought, according to its four-hour relative strength index (RSI) reading, which sits above 70 — a sell signal.

GMT/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Related: Move-to-earn: An active play-to-earn offshoot

Technically, GMT/USD is now testing its previous record high of $3.14 as its interim support. A move below the level raises the pair's potential of running down towards its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave) near $2.52, about 20% below April 19's price.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Coinbase Wins Greenlight To Operate in South America’s Second-Largest Economy With 5,000,000 Daily Crypto Users

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