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Bitcoin miner stocks drop on ‘unsubstantiated’ post-halving profit fears: Analyst

Blockware Solutions analyst Mitchell Askew says fears around post-halving Bitcoin mining profitability are baseless as crypto miner stock prices have tumbled.

Investor confidence in the Bitcoin (BTC) mining sector’s profitability after the cryptocurrency halves its rewards has sent Bitcoin mining shares in the United States and abroad tumbling — but those fears aren’t well founded, an industry analyst said.

“Investors will realize their fears were mostly unsubstantiated,” said Mitchell Askew, head analyst at Bitcoin mining firm Blockware Solutions. He cited post-halving profitability concerns and Bitcoin’s 7.5% price fall over the last week as the main catalysts behind miners’ falling stock prices.

Marathon Digital (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT), two of the largest BTC miners, have seen their share prices tank around 53% and 54%, respectively, since their February year-to-date (YTD) highs, according to Google Finance.

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Texas Blockchain Council and Riot Secure Legal Victory in Bitcoin Mining Data Collection Lawsuit

Texas Blockchain Council and Riot Secure Legal Victory in Bitcoin Mining Data Collection LawsuitIn a landmark ruling, the Texas Blockchain Council (TBC) and Riot Platforms Inc. have triumphed in their lawsuit against the Biden administration, successfully halting the data collection efforts on bitcoin mining operations. TBC and Riot Platforms Win Case Against Bitcoin Mining Data Survey The United States District Court for the Western District of Texas has […]

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Riot Platforms Highlights Risks Associated With Upcoming Bitcoin Halving Event in Annual Report

Riot Platforms Highlights Risks Associated With Upcoming Bitcoin Halving Event in Annual ReportIn its latest annual report, Riot Platforms, the publicly-listed bitcoin mining firm, outlines several significant risks that could impact its operations, including troubles in the broader crypto economy, potential decreases in onchain transaction fees, and the anticipated bitcoin halving event in April 2024. The company emphasizes the halving event’s potential to reduce mining rewards as […]

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Legal Action Forces US Energy Department to Suspend Crypto Mining Investigation

Legal Action Forces US Energy Department to Suspend Crypto Mining InvestigationFollowing legal action initiated by Riot Platforms and the Texas Blockchain Council against the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the department’s statistical branch, the Energy Information Administration (EIA), has put a temporary hold on its bitcoin mining survey and quarantined the data gathered to date. DOE Puts Bitcoin Mining Inquiry on Hold Amid Legal Challenges […]

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Riot and Texas Blockchain Council Challenge US Government’s Bitcoin Mining Data Request in Court

Riot and Texas Blockchain Council Challenge US Government’s Bitcoin Mining Data Request in CourtThe publicly listed mining firm Riot Platforms and the Texas Blockchain Council have initiated legal proceedings against the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and other federal entities, aiming to obstruct what they deem an unauthorized data collection effort targeting the bitcoin mining industry. The legal battle underscores the escalating tension between bitcoin mining operations and […]

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Riot Platforms buys $291M in BTC rigs as miners rake it in from Ordinals

It adds to a prior agreement in which Riot bought 33,280 miners from MicroBT. The term sheet was also updated, allowing Riot to buy another 265,000 miners in the future.

Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms is buying 66,560 Bitcoin mining rigs from manufacturer MicroBT, in one of its largest orders of hash-rate in the firm’s history — ahead of the Bitcoin halving scheduled for April 2024.

The additional purchase agreement totaled $290.5 million, Riot stated in a Dec.

The right-to-purchase option was included in Riot’s initial agreement with MicroBT when it agreed to buy 33,280 machines from MicroBT in June.

Riot’s CEO Jason Les said the purchase order is “the largest order of hash rate” in the company’s history and hopes the updated agreement will enable Riot’s mining performance to strengthen further.

Over 48,000 or 72% of the new machines will be MicroBT’s latest model, the M66S, which has a hash rate of 250 terahashes per second (TH/s), while the remaining machines will consist of the M66 (14,770) and M56S++ (3,720) models, Riot noted.

Altogether, the 66,560 miners will add 18 exahashes per second (EH/s) to Riot’s operations.

Purchase summary of Riot’s latest deal with MicroBT.

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Coinbase, Marathon stocks surge as Bitcoin lights ‘fire in the cauldron’

The anticipated Bitcoin halving and potential ETF approvals have lit “some serious fire in the cauldron" for crypto, said Zerocap investment chief Jon de Wet.

Publicly traded crypto firms have notched triple-digit percentage returns this year and closed up in green on Dec. 4, as Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new year-high of over $42,000. 

Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) closed the day at just over $141 with a 5.5% gain, up 320% from its price at the start of the year, per Google Finance data.

Bitcoin miners Marathon Digital (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) closed the day with over 8% gains, recording 337% and 345% year-to-date (YTD) gains, respectively.

A visual map of the one-day price of S&P 500 stocks shows mixed results on Dec. 4 Source: Finviz

Crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) posted a daily gain of nearly 12% and is up 155% YTD and MicroStrategy (MSTR) — with the largest Bitcoin holdings of any public company valued at over $6.6 billion — saw a daily gain of over 6.5% and a YTD rise of 288%.

It comes despite the wider North American stock market seeing a mixed bag of gainers and losers on Dec.

Large-cap tech stocks, such as Microsoft, fell 1.43% on Dec.

The crypto-related stocks are well below their all-time highs, however.

IG Australia market analyst Tony Sycamore told Cointelegraph the crypto-related stock rally is “coming off the back of Bitcoin’s spectacular gains in recent months,” which is up nearly 152% YTD and is closing in on $42,000 — it has already hit a 19-month high.

Sycamore said investors see crypto stocks as a way to gain crypto exposure until the United States approves spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

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Marathon, Riot among most overvalued Bitcoin mining stocks: Report

Bitcoin mining analyst Jaran Mellerud said there are “better-priced opportunities” that could even out the valuation discrepancies between the mining stocks.

Bitcoin (BTC) mining heavyweights Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms are among the most overvalued crypto mining companies relative to their competitors, says MinerMetrics founder and analyst Jaran Mellerud.

The key metric backing Mellerud's claim is enterprise value-to-sales ratio — measuring a company's value to its sales revenue. The higher the ratio, the more overvalued a company is.

The miners with the highest EV/S ratios are Cipher at 7.8, Marathon and Iris Energy each at 5.6 and Riot at 5.5, according to a Nov. 3 report by Mellerud.

Mining stocks valuation in terms of EV-to-Sales ratio. Source: MinerMetrics

Mellerud attributed the heavyweight’s high EV/S ratios to receiving more institutional attention from the likes of BlackRock.

“These companies have historically been favored among institutional investors like Blackrock and Vanguard, giving them superior access to capital and higher valuations like the rest of the industry.”

Mellerud told Cointelegraph in the coming months he expects investors to start allocating to other players "which could even out the valuation discrepancies between these stocks,” he said.

He suggested there are better-priced opportunities with lower EV/S ratios that could be capitalized on.

“There exist immense valuation discrepancies in the Bitcoin mining sector that value investors can take advantage of."

Riot’s high EV-to-Hashrate ratio at 156 is another indicator pointing toward its overvaluation, says Mellerud.

Mining stocks valuation in terms of EV-to-Hashrate ratio. Source: MinerMetrics

Mellerud, previously an analyst at Bitcoin miner Luxor Technology, noted Riot has “massive growth” priced in as it’s constructing its a gigawatt site and awaits the delivery of 33,000 MicroBT machines in early 2024.

“In addition, Riot has several business lines that are not reflected in its self-mining hashrate, meaning we should be careful in drawing any valuation conclusions from its high EV-to-Hashrate ratio,” Mellerud added.

The Bitcoin mining sector has rebounded strongly in 2023, led by Marathon (MARA) and Riot (RIOT), whose share prices have respectively increased 170% and 228%, according to Google Finance.

The mining stocks have outperformed Bitcoin over the same time, which has gained 113% year-to-date according to Cointelegraph Markets Pro data.

Related: Bitcoin mining can help reduce up to 8% of global emissions: Report

Not every mining analyst believes Bitcoin mining stocks will continue to rise.

Cubic Analytics founder Caleb Franzen noted Bitcoin already reached its year-to-date peak price, while the top mining stocks are still over 75% off year-to-date price highs.

Franzen considered whether Bitcoin mining firms will soon need to become twice as productive in light of the upcoming Bitcoin halving event.

“If block rewards are cut in half, the price of BTC would need to double post-halving in order for their business to be just as sustainable as it was pre-halving.”

Marathon has the largest Bitcoin holdings among mining companies with 13,726 BTC, worth $486.1 million. Hut 8, Riot and CleanSpark follow with respective holdings of 9,366 BTC, 7,309 BTC and 2,240 BTC.

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Bitcoin miners Marathon, Riot, CleanSpark increase BTC output in September

Marathon Digital, in particular, produced 1,242 Bitcoin in September, which accounted for a record 4.3% share of Bitcoin miner rewards.

Bitcoin miners Marathon Digital, Riot Platforms, and CleanSpark recorded strong Bitcoin production increases in September, leading to a small boost in share prices on Oct. 4.

The firm’s balance sheets also strengthened despite Bitcoin’s price (BTC) recording another month of sideways movement — hovering between the $25,100 and $28,500 mark.

Marathon's Bitcoin production rises 245%

Bitcoin mining firm Marathon Digital produced a total of 1,242 BTC in September — a 16% increase from August and a massive 245% increase from September 2022.

The huge spike in BTC production came from a 508% increase in the firm’s installed hashrate from 3.8 exahashes per second (EH/s) in September 2022 to 23.1 EH/s, according to Marathon’s September results.

In the Oct. 4 statement, Marathon’s CEO Fred Thiel said the firm was pleased to reach its goal of 23 exahashes on an installed basis. The United States-based firm says it’s now on the lookout for new mining locations offering low-cost renewable energy:

“We are evaluating multiple opportunities for our next 5 exahashes of hash rate capacity including international locations with low-cost renewable energy.”

Marathon says it has now produced 8,610 BTC year-to-date in 2023. The firm's balance sheet shows 13,726 unrestricted BTC and $101 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents on its balance sheet — totaling $471.2 million. 

The firm’s share price increased 3.29% to $7.54 on Oct. 4, according to Google Finance.

Riot Platforms ups BTC production too

Meanwhile, Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms increased its BTC production by 9% month-on-month, producing 362 BTC in September while "strategically curtailing mining operations."

The firm is in a long-term contract whereby it sells pre-purchased power to its utility provider at market-driven spot prices in exchange for power curtailment credits.

Riot Platforms CEO Jason Les said the contract has continued to provide a strong revenue source for the firm:

“By strategically curtailing mining operations, we also received $11.0 million in Power Credits pursuant to our long-term power contracts with our utility provider, and $2.5 million in Demand Response Credits from participating in ERCOT’s ancillary services program.”

The results show that Riot earned more from power curtailment credits than the net proceeds of its Bitcoin sales in August and September. 

Related: Buying Bitcoin is preferable to BTC mining in most circumstances — Analysis

Meanwhile, Les said Riot’s total self-mining hash rate capacity is currently at 12.5 EH/s, and the firm expects to bolster that figure to 20.1 EH/s once the firm installs another 33,000 next-generation Bitcoin miners in mid-2024.

Riot’s share price increased 3.25% to $9.06 on Oct. 4, according to data from Google Finance.

CleanSpark records its ‘best quarter’ and ‘best fiscal year ever’

Bitcoin miner CleanSpark produced 643 BTC in September and 6,903 BTC during its fiscal year from Oct. 1, 2022 to Sept. 30, 2023 — making it the company’s best performance to date, according to CleanSpark’s CEO and President Zach Bradford.

“We had our best quarter and best fiscal year ever," Bradford said in an Oct. 3 statement.

Bradford cited increased efficiency, low energy costs and its facilities running at max capacity as three of the main drivers behind the firm’s record results.

CleanSpark’s share price increased 4.61% to $3.63 on Oct. 4, according to Google Finance.

Bit Digital, which also released results on Oct. 4, was one of a few firms whose Bitcoin production fell in September — recording a 7% fall to 130.2 BTC.

In an Oct. 4 statement, the firm attributed the fall to approximately 600 petahashes (per second) of miners dropping offline due to a power utility mandated maintenance outage on Sept. 26.

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Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms trims Q2 loss to $27.7M

The firm managed to narrow net loss in the quarter as it ramped up Bitcoin production.

Colorado-based Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms narrowed its second quarter net loss to $27.7 million as it ramped up its Bitcoin production and reached record hash rate capacity.

The crypto miner posted total revenue of $76.7 million — up 5.2% from Q2 2022 — which was primarily driven by a 27% year-on-year increase in Bitcoin (BTC) production, offset by a decline in Bitcoin prices, according to the firm’s Aug. 9 results filing.

The firm’s mining revenue of $49.7 million attributed to 64.7% of the firm’s total revenue over the quarter. An additional $13.5 million was made through the firm’s power curtailment credits.

Meanwhile, its Q2 net loss was a massive reduction from the prior year period, which was $353.5 million. It was also around half the net loss posted in the first quarter of 2023.

Riot Platforms managed to cut its net loss to $27.7 million in Q2. Source: Riot Platforms

The firm produced 1,775 Bitcoin in the quarter, while its average cost to mine a Bitcoin (BTC) was $8,389 in Q2, beating beat Q1’s average price.

The mining firm also reached an all-time high hash rate capacity of 10.7 exahashes per second and anticipates this figure will reach 20.1 EH/s by the second quarter of 2024, before reaching 35.4 EH/s in 2025.

The estimates come following its purchase of 33,280 mining rigs in late June, with the 35.4 EH/s figure assuming that Riot will exercise its right to purchase an additional 66,560 miners at the same price and terms at some time in the near future.

Riot predicts the facility's hash rate capacity to increase from 10.7 EH/s at current levels to 35.4 EH/s in 2025. Source: Riot Platforms

Related: Marathon Digital Q2 results miss revenue and earnings forecasts

Despite Riot’s share price falling 4.42% earlier in the day, its share price fell another 0.86% in after hours, shortly after the firm’s results were released.

Riot’s share price fell 0.86% to $16.34 in after hours trading. Source: Google Finance

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