VORTECS Report: While Bitcoin gained just 10% since Jan 3, this crypto trading strategy netted 2,150% ROI

May 22, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Altcoin

As the crypto market plunge takes its toll on Bitcoin profits, some traders are using strategies based on sentiment and trading data to secure outsized gains.

Bitcoin may be suffering through a succession of negative news stories, but some crypto investors are still celebrating major gains in 2021’s altcoin bull market.

Since January 3 this year, Cointelegraph Markets Pro has been live-testing 42 separate automated strategies based on the proprietary VORTECS™ algorithm developed in partnership with The TIE, a data analytics firm.

Let’s not be humble about this: VORTECS™ has crushed it.

Of those 42 strategies, every single one has beaten the return on investment (ROI) delivered by Bitcoin for hodlers who refuse to part with their BTC.

And even when compared to holding an evenly-weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins, 88% of those strategies come out ahead.

What’s more, the most successful strategies — whether based on the time between an entry position and a hypothetical exit, or exiting a position based on crossing a new score threshold — have delivered in excess of 2,000% returns as of May 22 — even after multiple pullbacks in the crypto asset class. In fact, the most successful of all (Buy 80 / Sell 80) has generated returns of 2,150%.

That compares extremely favorably with the strategy of holding Bitcoin (10% ROI) or the basket of altcoins (226% ROI) since January 3.

In the chart above, which is based on exiting a position at an arbitrary time (24 hours, 48 hours, 96 hours or 168 hours) all VORTECS™ strategies beat Bitcoin... and only one failed to beat the altcoin basket.

In this second chart, based on exiting at a second score threshold, all VORTECS™ strategies beat holding Bitcoin, and only four failed to beat the altcoin basket.

So what is VORTECS™ — and why is it consistently outperforming the wider crypto market?

What is VORTECS?™

The VORTECS™ Score is an algorithmic metric derived from historical analysis of crypto markets.

For each one of the ~200 crypto assets supported by Cointelegraph Markets Pro, the algorithm is hunting for moments in time that resemble the current marketscape — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

Specifically, it’s looking for patterns that have consistently led to significant changes in price in the past.

Those patterns include a variety of factors: Volume, Outlook, RealPrice, Tweet Volume, Elevation, Confidence, and Sentiment... or VORTECS™ for short.

Volume: A measure of how much of an asset is traded across supported exchanges.

Outlook: A measure of whether the current market conditions are favorable or not, compared with historically-similar conditions.

RealPrice: A composite price derived from an average of prices across relevant exchanges, discounting outliers based on low volume.

Tweet Volume: A measure of the absolute and relative number of tweets about an asset over the past 24 hours.

Elevation: A measure of how far up or down an asset’s price moved following historically-similar market conditions to those observed currently.

Confidence: The degree to which current conditions are similar to historic conditions, with higher confidence also including the consistency of asset price moves following those conditions.

Sentiment: The positivity or negativity of the chatter on Twitter surrounding the crypto asset, derived from a complex proprietary algorithm developed by The TIE.

The algorithm combines all of this raw data into a VORTECS™ Score, which is designed to identify the general health of the market for a particular crypto asset. A high score suggests that in the past, conditions similar to those we see right now have often led to increases in the price of that asset. The higher the score, the more confident the algorithm is that these scenarios have been consistent.

Like any trading algorithm, that doesn’t mean it’s a crystal ball — in fact, it’s almost exactly the opposite. Whereas fortune tellers look into the future, VORTECS™ looks into the past.

But it turns out that examining the right elements of history provides keen insights for crypto traders who are seeking an edge.

How Markets Pro measures the VORTECS™ Score’s performance

Cointelegraph Markets Pro testing tracks the price of an asset when the score crosses a threshold (for example, a score of 85) and then measures the price again when it crosses a second threshold (which could be another score, or could be measured in hours). The difference between the first and second prices is the gain or loss that the algorithm tracks… and there’s more detail on that here.

So even though a human couldn’t trade exactly this way, by applying a consistent set of standards it’s possible to establish whether an algorithm is operationally successful or not. And the verdict is very clear: VORTECS™ has consistently and significantly outperformed the crypto market as a whole since live-testing began earlier this year.

And perhaps just as importantly is the fact that even with a major pullback in the overall value of the crypto markets, which lost close to a trillion dollars in value at the low point this week, the performance of all the VORTECS™ strategies tested continued to outperform the benchmark currency, Bitcoin, by a significant margin.

Using the VORTECS™ Score

Remember, the score is not a prediction of how an asset price WILL change over time, but an analysis of how asset prices HAVE changed over time when faced with similar market conditions.

So the VORTECS™ Score, while it is weighted to take account of the size of asset price change in the past, will not tell you HOW MUCH an asset may change.

It will also not tell you WHEN it will change — in fact, the algorithm is deliberately fuzzy on time, meaning that it is normalized and smoothed to ensure that abrupt outliers (such as a sudden viral tweet) don’t abnormally affect the overall trend.

While the algorithm is generally oriented to a 12-72 hour timeframe, testing revealed that efforts to “time the market” precisely introduced an element that was not supported by historical data.

So let’s take a look at an example score of 85.

This is a high score which means that there is some combination of these factors:

The algorithm has found market conditions in the past that look similar to current market conditions
Those historical conditions often led to an INCREASE in asset price over the next 12-72 hours, approximately
The price changes in the past have been significant
The algorithm maintains a high level of confidence that the set of conditions it’s looking at are similar enough to suggest that the overall direction of this asset’s price is currently bullish, or positive.

The 1,500+ crypto traders in the Cointelegraph Markets Pro Discord group, which is available exclusively to members, have used these scores in a wide variety of ways to enhance their understanding of the current market health for dozens of crypto assets.

And while massive ROI numbers like 2,150% are at the extremes of VORTECS™ success, it is worth noting that the mean ROI from all score-based strategies is 642%, while the mean ROI from all time-based strategies is 638%... both of which are significantly higher than the benchmarks set by BTC (10%) and altcoins (226%).

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to members on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included. It carries a 14-day money-back policy, to ensure that it fits the crypto trading and investing research needs of subscribers, and members can cancel anytime.

Important Disclaimer

Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing or as otherwise specified. Live-tested strategies are not recommendations. Consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions. Full terms and conditions.

These three cryptocurrencies weathered the storm as Bitcoin plunged

May 20, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Bitcoin

Solana, Polygon and Harmony all defied the market crash, solidifying gains when traded against Bitcoin and helping protect crypto investor funds.

As Bitcoin goes, so go we all. It’s etched into the consciousness of crypto traders because the price of altcoins so often trends closely with the price of Bitcoin. If the original cryptocurrency rallies, so does the rest of the crypto market. Whenever BTC tumbles, it invariably drags its smaller siblings down with it.

Yet, as the crypto industry matures and many blockchain projects begin to generate their unique value, the link between the price of Bitcoin and that of many alternative digital assets grows more tenuous. The fact that the BTC dominance indicator currently sits at its three-year low, with Bitcoin responsible for just 40% of the cryptocurrency market capitalization, further speaks to the alts’ increasing autonomy.

During major market price movements, most cryptocurrencies are still largely correlated with Bitcoin action — as this week’s flash crash reminded us. However, today we are seeing more and more cases of altcoin prices remaining mostly unaffected by even the most dramatic BTC’s price swings. Here are three conspicuous examples from this week’s market bloodbath.

First, here is the price chart for Bitcoin, as seen through the interface of the Cointelegraph Markets Pro platform. In the seven days prior to this Thursday, BTC lost over 15% against the U.S. dollar, descending from around $56K to the mid-$30K’s before bouncing back to around $42K early Thursday.

So how did three popular altcoins fare against the Bitcoin price during this colossal market swing?

Polygon (MATIC) Analysis

Polygon, a platform for building and scaling decentralized applications, is firmly positioned at the heart of the explosively growing DeFi ecosystem. Last week alone, it added 75,000 new users and $1 billion in transaction volume.

Against the backdrop of the general crypto market sliding down this week, Polygon’s token, MATIC, continued its staggering hike to new all-time highs, reaching $2.18 on May 18 – up from $0.36 just a month before. Over the week that has brought somber news for many other coins, MATIC gained 106% against the dollar and 142% against Bitcoin. (The chart below is denominated in dollars.)

During the token’s latest rally, the VORTECS™ score — an algorithmically generated metric that compares the observed patterns of market conditions around the coin to years’ worth of historical data — registered a mind-blowing sequence of 90+ values for MATIC, culminating in a score of 99 on May 15.

This is the highest score ever recorded for any token, and a score of this magnitude means that the model is extremely confident that in the past similar combinations of data points consistently preceded consequential price spikes.

MATIC’s rallies so far have followed quite similar scenarios in terms of market and social activity, as streaks of strong VORTECS™ scores (red boxes in the graph) frequently came two to three days before the next surge (red arrows).

It should be noted that VORTECS™ is trained on conditions that resulted in price appreciation around 48 hours beyond the score; so the repeated pattern of high score followed by price gains is a remarkable validation of the methodology behind the algorithm.

Solana (SOL) Analysis

A layer-one network with solid fundraising and a slew of market-ready applications launched on top of it in the last couple of months, Solana’s token has been another one to defy the market’s bearish mood and tear the price charts. On May 18, SOL has sprung to its all-time high above $58.

The VORTECS™ score has been looking bullish for most of the week, before growing even more confident (dark green stretch marked by red box) some 30 hours before the most recent spike. Overall, Solana ended the week some 4% up against USD, beating Bitcoin by 23%.

In the chart here, the white line represents the value of Solana vs. Bitcoin rather than the dollar.

Harmony (ONE) Analysis

Harmony was another asset that did remarkably better than many of its counterparts this week. Reaching the price of $0.17 following a sequence of strong VORTECS™ scores, it came close to its ATH of $0.20 recorded back in March.

When the market tumbled on May 19, Harmony took a hit as well, yet it was among the quickest to recover the day after. Over the last 7 days, ONE gained about 24% against the dollar and almost 50% against Bitcoin, as illustrated in the chart.

When the market turns red, parking funds safely becomes every investor’s chief concern. Traders can fall back on stablecoins — or employ various forms of analysis to try and figure out which altcoins are most likely to go against the wider downward trend and be the first to make strong recovery.

The VORTECS™ score, exclusively available to Cointelegraph Markets Pro members, could be used in such calculations to evaluate how bullish or bearish the outlook for every coin is at any given moment. The platform’s interface allows to toggle between asset prices denominated in USD or BTC, which is useful at times when either of the benchmark currencies is in motion.

And as shown here, the fact that tokens with strong VORTECS™ Scores weathered this week’s market crash better than Bitcoin should be encouraging for crypto traders everywhere, many of whom have been advocating for further decorrelation in the markets for years.

Best-performing VORTECS™ Strategies

The Markets Pro team has been tracking 42 possible strategies since the launch of the VORTECS™ algorithm on January 3rd 2021. Current top returns as of May 20 2021, as detailed in this document on the methodology used, are as follows:

Holding Bitcoin: 22% return

Holding Top 100 altcoins: 298% return

Best-performing time-based VORTECS™ strategy: 2,74% return

Best-performing score-based VORTECS™ strategy: 2,691% return

Important Disclaimer

VORTECS Report: Dammit, Musk, now you’re messing with AAVE too?

May 15, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Aave

Outliers in the raw data preceded significant price movements for both AAVE and ALPHA: Coincidence?

Who knew what, and when did they know it?

Investigating Watergate in 1973, Senator Howard Baker Jr. wanted the answer. Thanks to a couple of journalists, he eventually got it. And while the stakes may not be as high, the team at Cointelegraph Markets Pro is pretty curious about some interesting crypto data this week.

If there is a similarity in these factors, the score will be higher when historical precedents have most consistently led to higher prices.

But while the score is algorithmically-generated, the raw data can sometimes tell a story too.

AAVE Idea

First off, here’s a chart of tweet volume for AAVE this week, charted against the price of the DeFi asset.

Tweets are obviously public information, but what are the chances that most retail participants in the crypto markets are able to absorb this outlier and analyze its meaning? The VORTECS™ Score can, however — it’s untouched by human hands, and since one of the components is based on the entire Twitter universe (most algos are only fed a subsection of the full firehose) it is essentially omnipotent when it comes to tweet data.

And sure enough, the VORTECS™ Score began to rise very shortly after this large spike in tweet volume, as seen in the chart below.

So what’s going on here? An AAVE Army arising to pump the token? Some kind of amazing news that only affected the price 24 hours later?

Well here’s the kicker for all those conspiracy theorists out there: this is pure coincidence. Plain and simple.

And in fact it all comes back to Elon Musk… in a roundabout way. Because everything in crypto does these days.

On Saturday Night Live this week, which was hosted by the Doge fanboy, he participated in a sketch featuring the acronym ‘AAVE’, which appears to have resulted in a large volume of tweets concerning “African-American Vernacular English” over the next couple of days.

In fact, even the Urban Dictionary tweeted about the acronym, though the tweet is (as might be expected from such an august website) NSFW. The show’s co-head writer was accused of cultural appropriation as a result of using certain Black vernacular terms in the show, and as we all know, outrage drives social media.

So… here’s a fantastic learning moment for sentiment analysis in the crypto market: Proof that causation and correlation are not the same thing.

As it happens, AAVE (the crypto asset) did indeed soar following the uptick in Twitter volume for the term AAVE (an acronym). And although the VORTECS™ Score picks apart tweets using artificial intelligence to remove those that don’t fit the context that the algorithm is seeking… perhaps this time it was fooled. But don’t worry — Markets Pro will be filtering for this term in future.

Damn you, Elon Musk!

Alpha before Alpha?

Alpha Finance has no Musk connection (as far as we know) so we’re just going to treat this as a curious outlier.

The red arrow in the chart below shows an unusual pattern of reported trading for 24 hours which was followed by the price of ALPHA moving up by almost 50%.

It turns out Alpha Finance had some news of its own this week as the team announced on May 10 that they’d be launching an oracle aggregator.

Following this unusual pattern and the release of the news, the VORTECS™ Score began to rise too.

As is often the case when price rises, the trading volume soared in conjunction with price action. But the steep introduction to the May 9 outlier, and its equally steep decline, could lead one to believe that this was a trading bot being turned on and off again.

So why would anyone move the trading volume so significantly in advance of an important news story… and how would they time it so well?

Or in other words… who knew what, and when did they know it?

Best returns from Cointelegraph Markets Pro live-tested strategies

The Markets Pro team has been tracking 42 possible strategies since the launch of the VORTECS™ algorithm on January 3rd 2021. Current top returns, as detailed in this document on the methodology used, are as follows:

Holding Bitcoin: 47% return

Holding Top 100 altcoins: 426% return

Best-performing time-based VORTECS™ strategy: 3,199% return

Best-performing score-based VORTECS™ strategy: 3,682% return

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to member on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included. It carries a 14-day money-back policy, to ensure that it fits the crypto trading and investing research needs of subscribers, and members can cancel anytime.

Important Disclaimer

VORTECS Report: NewsQuakes boost DOGE hype, while TEL score rings a bell for traders

May 8, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Coin Telegraph

As the world waits for Elon Musk's Saturday Night Live appearance — and a possible nod to crypto's best friend — an exchange listing proves that real news can also propel DOGE to new heights.

What can you say about Dogecoin that hasn’t been said before? How about this: Elon Musk’s tweets aren’t the only thing that let the DOGE out.

This week, right in the middle of the retail trading frenzy that has turned everyone’s favorite cartoon puppy into a rabid bull-doge, Cointelegraph Markets Pro subscribers had the opportunity to chow down on a NewsQuake™ from Bitfinex, which can be seen as further exciting a rally all the way from $0.48 to $0.68.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Analysis

In the chart below you can see where the news was delivered to Markets Pro members via Discord and their mobile notifications (the red circle) and the immediate and dramatic price rise that followed.

NewsQuakes™ are sourced from a real-time aggregation engine, collated from over a thousand primary sources every minute and analyzed by an AI algorithm to determine the historical significance of the news. NewsQuakes™ are trained on staking announcements, exchange listings and key partnerships, and because they are delivered without human intervention, they can often be the fastest way for market participants to learn about major events in the cryptocurrency space.

In this case, everything seems to have worked as if it was a regular coin: A listing on a big exchange resulted in immediate price action that began to recede after roughly a day. Yet, when dealing with Dogecoin-related news, it doesn’t hurt to exercise caution and remember that this asset’s relationship with the news cycle is unlike any other.

iExec (RLC) Analysis

On the subject of NewsQuakes™ there was another perfect example this week of how the early trader gets the profits.

iExec (RLC) was hit by two consecutive NewsQuakes™, helping the asset add around 70% of value over the week. On May 4 came the announcement of a Coinbase listing – traditionally a very powerful type of news (first red circle in the chart below).

A similar announcement from Bithumb came in just 36 hours after the first, compounding the coin’s momentum (second red circle).

At this point, it becomes challenging to attribute the price dynamic to one of the two events, since the Coinbase announcement’s effects hadn’t yet expired (the system looks at 72-hour returns) when Bithumb’s kicked in.

Those Markets Pro subscribers who quickly acted on either of the NewsQuakes™ are likely fine with not knowing the exact contributions of each listing, however. In both cases, the value of being first to the news is clear from the immediate positive price action.

Telcoin (TEL) Analysis

This analysis wouldn’t be complete without a word about Telcoin (TEL), which rallied dramatically to ascend from just $0.11 to over $0.48 shortly after a Markets Pro member suggested adding the cryptocurrency to the platform.

While VORTECS™ Scores can take time to generate, they still look at the entire trading history of the newly-listed asset — thus when Telcoin’s first VORTECS™ Score was displayed, the algorithm already had clear confidence in bullish conditions for the token.

As seen in the chart below, VORTECS™ continued to identify strong bullish momentum even as the price rose, peaking at an almost-unprecedented score of 95 around 48 hours before the final push towards the $0.48 price spike.

The VORTECS™ Score is available exclusive to Cointelegraph Markets Pro members, and includes sentiment analysis, tweet and trading volume, and price action as components of the algorithm — which are then weighted according to a proprietary formula based on how similar these are to historical conditions. If there is a similarity in these factors, the score will be higher when historical precedents have most consistently led to higher prices.

VORTECS™ Score returns since January 3

The Markets Pro team has been tracking 42 sample strategies since January 3 2021, based on entering a position when the VORTECS™ Score crosses a threshold, and exiting it either when another score is reached or after a set period of time. The following data is taken from a snapshot on May 8th 2021 at 1pm ET. The full methodology is available here.

Holding Bitcoin: 79% return

Holding Top 100 altcoins: 485% return

Best-performing time-based VORTECS™ strategy (Enter 80 / Exit 24 hours): 2,467% return

Best-performing score-based VORTECS™ strategy (Enter 80, Exit re-crossing 80): 2,800% return

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to subscribers on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included. It carries a 14-day money-back policy, to ensure that it fits the crypto trading and investing research needs of subscribers, and members can cancel anytime.

Important Disclaimer

VORTECS Report: Markets Pro sounds the alert as RUNE, DOGE and XRP skyrocket

April 17, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Altcoins

Although VORTECS Scores that touched the 90 threshold failed to lift off this week, Markets Pro subscribers received bullish alerts on Dogecoin, XRP and THORChain ahead of massive price rises.

It’s been a spectacular week for the Cointelegraph Markets Pro VORTECS™ Score, which alerted subscribers to several of the top crypto asset price movers hours before the price began to climb.

DOGE analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been the standout performer of the week, confounding analysts who look for fundamental strengths in an asset — the meme coin may not have much of a team, or a genuine use-case, but it has Elon Musk, Mark Cuban… and the support of their millions of fans.

Dogecoin crossed the 80 VORTECS™ line on the morning of April 13, when the price curve was still flat at around $0.073 (first red circle). Apparently, the model has recognized a familiar confluence of celebrity tweets and rising trading volume. Closer to the early hours of April 14, the price line followed suit, pumping all the way to $0.141 (first two red boxes in the graph).

And just as expected, after a rapid climb VORTECS™ anticipated a price decline (second red circle), as has happened many times in the recent past with Dogecoin. Although it was not particularly dramatic, a correction to $0.110 followed in several hours (third red box).

While the 7-day graph above, captured on April 15, demonstrates the VORTECS™ Score operating exactly as hoped, a later capture on April 17 (below) illustrates the limitations of any dynamic modeling algorithm entering unfamiliar territory.

The VORTECS™ Score includes sentiment analysis, tweet and trading volume, and price action as components of the algorithm — which are then weighted according to a proprietary formula based on how similar these are to historical conditions. If there is a similarity in these factors, the score will be higher when historical precedents have most consistently led to higher prices.

But with DOGE this week, there are almost no parallels in history — after breaking all-time highs, the coin just kept climbing. Since VORTECS™ was unable to see historic similarities to this rapid ascent, it stayed fairly neutral after the initial wave of buying (orange box).

XRP analysis

Ripple’s XRP cryptocurrency continued its glorious comeback this week after a series of mild setbacks for the Securities and Exchange Commission in their case against the company, making it to the Top Performers section of the second consecutive VORTECS™ report. On April 12, it entered a streak of dark green VORTECS™ scores at around $1.37. Some 12 hours later, it took off to eventually reach $1.93 (first and second red boxes).

RUNE analysis

THORChain recorded a series of high VORTECS™ values during downward price movement toward a low point of $10.67. Roughly 26 hours later, the price began climbing toward the subsequent high point of $16.46, a 54% improvement compared to the moment when the first dark green score was detected.

The IOST NewsQuake™

The April 13 announcement of a Binance staking promo featuring IOStoken carried the asset to a 53% price increase over 24 hours. Note how there are actually two NewsQuake™ symbols on the token’s VORTECS™ graph sitting close to each other. This is not a glitch: Although the substance of the news is nearly identical, one represents a Medium post by IOS Foundation, while the other marks a tweet from Binance’s official account.

In a game where minutes can make a difference, Markets Pro strives to deliver actionable news as soon as it becomes available. NewsQuakes™ are sourced from a real-time aggregation engine, collated from over a thousand primary sources every minute and analyzed by an AI algorithm to determine the historical significance of the news. NewsQuakes™ are trained on staking announcements, exchange listings and key partnerships, and because they are delivered without human intervention, they can often be the fastest way for market participants to learn about major events in the cryptocurrency space.

VORTECS™ Score testing results

Cointelegraph Markets Pro continues to track 42 separate live-tested strategies, using a simple method described here.

These strategies are based on time-based or score-based exits. For example, the current top-performing strategy since testing began is the Buy 90 / Exit after 168 hour strategy, which measures the price of an asset the moment its VORTECS™ Score crosses the 90 threshold, and then again exactly 168 hours from that initial measurement. The difference is the return on investment (ROI) that is recorded.

That strategy has delivered a ROI of 1,837% since January 5, which compares favorably to holding Bitcoin (87% ROI) or holding an equally-weighted basket of altcoins (470% ROI) over the same time period.

However, all strategies have blips — this week, strategies based on entrance points of 90 underperformed those with entry points of 80, illustrating that even the most advanced algorithms can pick a few duds from time to time.

It’s been a spectacular week for the Cointelegraph Markets Pro VORTECS™ Score, which alerted subscribers to several of the top crypto asset price moves hours before the price began to climb.

Time-based strategies: All-time ROI

Score-based strategies: All-time ROI

Time-based strategies: Weekly ROI

Score-based strategies: Weekly ROI

Important Disclaimer

VORTECS Report: Coinbase NewsQuake drives Markets Pro gains as Enjin soars

April 9, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Altcoins

As the Coinbase effect sends Enjin and other crypto tokens skyward, Markets Pro subscribers benefit from headlines delivered directly to their mobile devices.

The so-called “Coinbase effect” has been analyzed multiple times by data firms like The TIE and Messari, and the verdict remains clear: Crypto traders who pounce on new Coinbase listings within seconds of their announcement often see substantial gains.

Which is why this week’s VORTECS™ Report focuses primarily on a couple of big wins for subscribers to Cointelegraph Markets Pro through the NewsQuake™ service, which delivers market-moving news directly to a dedicated Discord channel and via in-browser alerts at breakneck speed.

As illustrated in the chart, the price of Enjin Coin (ENJ), one of the tokens listed by Coinbase this week, had been gradually dipping after a major rally in March. As soon as the Coinbase news broke, however, the price of ENJ soared from a low of around $2.13 to over $3.90 — with the first few minutes of trading accounting for a substantial portion of that appreciation.

The NewsQuake™ was delivered to Markets Pro subscribers within a minute of Coinbase’s tweet (yellow circle). And while it’s possible that a Twitter user who was actually staring at Coinbase’s feed at the time of the announcement would see the information more rapidly, there are few dedicated enough to do so 24 hours per day.

On other occasions, NewsQuakes™ are actually delivered before Twitter users get wind of an announcement. For instance, OKEx's own blog post on the listing of Konomi Network's KONO token appeared at 7:06 am UTC on April 7. The announcement was posted to the Cointelegraph Markets Pro Discord channel in the same minute, but didn’t appear on Twitter until 7:36 am UTC.

Cointelegraph Markets Pro also offers the VORTECS™ Score, an algorithmically derived weighted score that compares current market conditions to historically similar marketscapes.

The score comprises a number of factors:

Volume: A measure of how much of an asset is traded across supported exchanges.

Outlook: A measure of whether the current market conditions are favorable or not, compared with historically similar conditions.

RealPrice: A composite price derived from an average of prices across relevant exchanges.

Tweet Volume: A measure of the absolute and relative number of tweets about an asset over the past 24 hours.

Elevation: A measure of how far up or down an asset’s price moved following historically similar market conditions to those observed currently.

Confidence: The degree to which current conditions are similar to historic conditions, with higher confidence also including the consistency of asset price moves following those conditions.

Sentiment: The positivity or negativity of the chatter on Twitter surrounding the crypto asset, derived from a complex proprietary algorithm developed by The TIE.

This week’s VORTECS™ results somewhat underperformed the score’s historical averages, lending credence to the theory that even when optimized for a 24-hour timeframe following the identification of such marketscapes, long-term results are more representative of the score’s analysis than one-week windows.

Of the 42 strategies currently analyzed by the Markets Pro team, the top-performing strategy since inception on Jan. 5 remains a time-based one, wherein the algorithm notes the price of any crypto asset that crosses a particular VORTECS™ Score and checks it again after a given period of time.

Markets Pro also analyzes a variety of score-based strategies (Buy at 85 / Exit at 75 and so on), which have also consistently outperformed the market. A full description of the testing methodology is available.

As of April 7, the top strategy (Buy at 90 / Exit at 168 hours) had returned 1,927% since Jan. 5, which compares favorably to holding Bitcoin (76%) or an equally weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins (365%).

Time-based strategies: All-time ROI

Score-based strategies: All-time ROI

Time-based strategies: Weekly ROI

Score-based strategies: Weekly ROI

Important Disclaimer

VORTECS Report: Storage coins rev up gains as Markets Pro rides the green wave

April 4, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Altcoin

Cointelegraph Markets Pro delivered a market-moving NewsQuake on Storj to subscribers this week, while the VORTECS Score picked up bullish conditions for Filecoin.

It’s been another great week for altcoins as the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies moves within spitting distance of the $2 trillion mark.

And it’s been equally positive for the Cointelegraph Markets Pro platform, which tracks crypto market conditions and real-time headline news in the blockchain industry to deliver market intelligence for every investor.

Markets Pro offers two unique features: The VORTECS™ Score, an algorithmically-derived weighted score that compares current market conditions to historically-similar marketscapes, and NewsQuakes™ — the industry’s most rapid aggregator of market-moving news, analyzed and collated from over a thousand primary sources every minute.

In this weekly report we analyze the most important highlights from the week’s events on Markets Pro.

Top VORTECS™ Score gains this week

Between March 26 and April 1, the three best-performing assets identified by Cointelegraph Markets Pro were Storj (+121%), Filecoin (+115%), and Holochain (+111%). All three rode green waves powered by patterns of trading and social activity that the VORTECS™ model has seen before — as described in our description of how the algorithm works.

Analyzing STORJ

As the graph above demonstrates, the cloud storage token STORJ recorded a streak of high VORTECS™ scores, marked by the first red circle, roughly 60 hours before the price spike on April 1 (first and second red boxes).

This price increase could also be explained by the effect of Storj-USDT margin swaps being listed on Huobi Futures the same day, an announcement captured in a NewsQuake™. Those using Markets Pro intelligence in their market research had the advantage of this powerful dual-validation pointing to both historically auspicious market conditions and favorable news around the asset following its recent listing on Coinbase.

Analyzing Filecoin (FIL) and Holochain (HOT)

Indeed, this has been a good week for storage coins. The second-best performer, Filecoin, pulled off a rally that saw it appreciate from around $125 to $233 in two days.

As seen in the graph above, some 24 hours before the price took off Filecoin’s VORTECS™ Score ventured into the 80+ territory for a few hours, marked by the red circle.

The rise of another big winner of the week, Holochain (seen below), also unfolded following a sequence of strong VORTECS™ scores, ranging from high 60s to high 70s, with a peak of 82 (red circle in the graph) coming around 50 hours before the asset began its ascent from $0.010 to $0.019.

Understanding VORTECS™: The relationship between the score and Newsquakes™

Some users wondered whether NewsQuakes™ are a constituent part of the VORTECS™ score. The short answer is no. These are two completely different functionalities within Markets Pro that can complement each other but can also be used separately.

In fact, some of the NewsQuakes™ feature assets for which the score is not yet generated: One example is this week’s announcement of a partnership between DAFI and DIA saw the latter asset, not yet indexed by the VORTECS™ model, appreciate by almost 22%.

That said, oftentimes the two work in conjunction. The example of Filecoin already mentioned above showcases how a high VORTECS™ score and a subsequent NewsQuake™ can be used to boost users’ confidence that the conditions for a coin are favorable.

In other cases, a positive VORTECS™ score can follow the news: Once a favorable announcement is absorbed by market participants, trading and social conditions can align into a pattern that the model identifies as bullish. And sometimes, the two can be completely unrelated.

Analyzing 0x (ZRX)

The graph above shows the price of 0x starting to climb steadily after the news of the asset’s listing on OKEx went public — all while the VORTECS™ score remained neutral.

Testing results: Week’s top strategies

This week, 17 of the 42 VORTECS™ strategies currently tested outperformed both Bitcoin and an evenly weighted portfolio of all the top 100 altcoins. Of those strategies, 8 were score-based (Buy at VORTECS™ X / Sell at VORTECS™ Y) and 9 were time-based (Buy at VORTECS™ X / Sell after Y hours).

The table below contains information on ROI that the top-5 strategies of the week have generated up to April 1st 2021. For more context, you can also see these strategies’ monthly and all-time returns (tracked since January 5th 2021).

These strategies are designed to represent benchmarks for the VORTECS™ model’s aggregate performance. To discover how these tests are performed, consult the methodology help file.

Testing results: All-time leaders

The table below presents three best all-time strategies in each category (score-based and time-based) and their performance this week. As the table demonstrates, strategies that do well in the long run can have a downward blip in any given week: Buy at 90 / Sell after 168 hours is a particularly conspicuous example this time. At the same time, two of the all-time best have also had a solid showing this week.

New alerts system

A total of 107 VORTECS™ hit Markets Pro users this week, featuring 27 different coins.

One of the most frequent requests we’ve been getting from the community is to enable notifications at different levels of the VORTECS™ score. There are now 12 dedicated Discord channels designed to alert subscribers when an asset goes above or below a specific threshold.

Powerful NewsQuakes™

A total of 86 NewsQuake™ notifications went out to the Cointelegraph Markets Pro community this week, including 44 exchange listings, 25 partnerships, and 17 staking announcements.

Markets Pro also tracks the most consequential news identified by NewsQuakes™ and the price action of various crypto assets following the headline. This week the most consequential news items were followed by significant price gains over the course of the week:

· Storj listing on Coinbase: +161% peak return

· Ankr Network listing on Coinbase: +109% peak return

· Filecoin’s partnership with Chainlink: +48% peak return

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to subscribers on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included. It carries a 14-day money-back policy to ensure that it fits the crypto trading and investing research needs of subscribers, and members can cancel anytime.

Important disclaimer

Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing. Consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions. Full terms and conditions.

Markets Pro delivers up to 1,497% ROI as quant-style crypto analysis arrives for every investor

March 25, 2021 Coin Telegraph

Analysis

41 of the 42 trading strategies tested by Markets Pro are currently beating Bitcoin's investment returns, and 36 of them are winning against an evenly weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins.

In the month since Cointelegraph Markets Pro launched, bringing professional crypto market intelligence to every investor, the platform has helped hundreds of early subscribers to better understand the opportunities and threats inherent in the world of crypto investing and trading.

In this brief round-up, we wanted to draw attention to some of the highlights since the platform went live, including a critical look at a variety of back-tested strategies that the Markets Pro team has been tracking.

Cointelegraph Markets Pro consists of two unique research features, in addition to a wide variety of market performance metrics and access to a vibrant community of crypto enthusiasts on Discord.

VORTECS™ Score

The VORTECS™ Score is derived from an algorithm that examines multiple different variables (including sentiment, tweet volume, price volatility and trading volume) and compares those with historically similar marketscapes. The algorithm is capable of parsing through millions of historical data points each day, comparing what’s going on right now with prior conditions for the 140-plus assets currently tracked.

A high VORTECS™ Score suggests that current market conditions — across all of those variables — are similar to conditions in the past where the asset has seen appreciation over the next several days. And the higher the score, the more consistent the behavior of the asset’s price in the past.

History doesn't repeat... but apparently, it often rhymes. The VORTECS™ Score was created to provide every crypto market participant with the kind of quantitative analysis that has previously only been available to major institutional investors.

NewsQuakes™

NewsQuakes™ are alerts on events that have historically had a significant impact on an asset's price over the following 24 hours. Our research has found that exchange listings, staking announcements and partnership announcements have had the most consistently positive impact.

NewsQuakes™ are built on top of The TIE’s proprietary SigDev technology — the fastest, most comprehensive feed for tracking real-time market-moving news in the cryptocurrency space. SigDev is used by major hedge funds, over-the-counter desks, market makers and other institutional market participants to gain an edge. NewsQuakes™ are delivered both in-browser and via Discord alerts direct to mobile devices.

In addition to institutions, news outlets like Cointelegraph (and our largest media competitor) use The TIE’s SigDev platform to identify critical breaking news stories from primary sources.

Among the most notable NewsQuakes™ are new exchange listings. For example, the average Coinbase listing in 2020 (from the time it was announced to the day the asset was available for trading) generated a 50.4% return.

Some notable NewsQuakes™ over the past month include this alert on Ocean Protocol after the announcement that OCEAN would be listed on Kraken. The first red circle illustrates when the alert was sent to community members in the private Markets Pro Discord channel

Another example of the NewsQuakes™ system delivering news at a critical time can be seen in this chart, showing the rapid escalation in the price of MATIC following the announcement of its integration with Binance staking.

VORTECS™ performance

Cointelegraph Markets Pro tracks the performance of 42 different trading strategies on an hourly basis, both cumulatively since the launch of the algorithm on Jan. 5 and for a rolling week.

Strategies are divided into two camps: time-based and score-based.

In each case, Markets Pro tracks the performance of the score vs. the U.S. dollar, as well as vs. holding Bitcoin and vs. holding an evenly weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins to ensure that testing accounts for wider market movements. A full testing methodology is available.

Time-based strategies

Time-based strategies involve tracking the performance of a crypto asset from the moment its VORTECS™ Score crosses a key threshold until a specific time period has elapsed. For example, Buy 80/Hold 168 hours or Buy 90/Hold 24 hours.

Of the 20 time-based strategies tracked by Markets Pro, all 20 have beaten simply holding Bitcoin, and 19 have beaten both the altcoin basket and Bitcoin since Jan. 5.

The most successful of these strategies has been the Buy 90/Sell 168 strategy, which has returned 1,497.9% in that period, compared with 72.4% for Bitcoin and 325.7% for altcoins.

The least successful has been the Buy 90/Sell 48 hours strategy, which returned 150.4%.

The average return of all tested strategies was 510%.

Score-based strategies

Scored-based strategies involve tracking the performance of a crypto asset from the moment its VORTECS™ Score crosses a key threshold until it reaches another key threshold. For example, Buy 80/Sell 75 or Buy 90/Sell 65.

Of the 22 score-based strategies tracked by Markets Pro, 21 have beaten simply holding Bitcoin, and 15 have beaten both the altcoin basket and Bitcoin since Jan. 5.

The most successful of these strategies has been the Buy 80/Sell 65 score, which has returned 759.7% in that period, compared with 72.4% for Bitcoin and 235.7% for altcoins.

The least successful has been the Buy 85/Sell 75 strategy, which returned 13.6% — and was the only strategy that failed to beat Bitcoin’s return over this period.

The average return of all tested strategies was 368.3%.

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to subscribers on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included. It carries a 14-day money-back policy to ensure that it fits the crypto trading and investing research needs of subscribers, and members can cancel anytime.

Important disclaimer

Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing. Consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions. Full terms and conditions.

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