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3 ways traders can avoid trading tokens with manipulated volumes

Manipulated trading volumes are rampant on some crypto exchanges. Here are three ways to use data to avoid being washed out.

Identifying fake liquidity in Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies is essential for traders aiming to avoid being surprised by sudden sharp declines in low volume. 

These make it virtually impossible to execute stop losses and usually lead to unexpected results. By analyzing how market makers are organized, order book mechanics, and a handful of practical indicators that can detect artificial volume, traders can spot potential red flags and avoid unwanted consequences.

Market makers play a pivotal role in the crypto markets by providing liquidity through multiple buy and sell orders. However, their activities are not always benign. Those entities might manipulate the market by placing large orders near current prices to create a misleading appearance of demand or supply, known as spoofing, or engage in wash trading—simultaneously selling and buying the same assets to inflate volume figures.

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Decentralized exchanges a magnet for crypto wash traders: Solidus Labs

Token deployers and liquidity providers wash-traded over $2 billion worth of crypto on Ethereum-based DEXs since 2020, a Solidus Labs report claims.

Over 20,000 crypto tokens have been manipulated via decentralized exchange (DEX) wash trading in the last three years, according to market surveillance firm Solidus Labs.

In the second part of its 2023 Crypto Market Manipulation Report released Sept. 12, Solidus said among a sample of 30,000 Ethereum-based DEX liquidity pools, nearly 70% were found to have executed wash trades since September 2020 — making up for around $2 billion worth of crypto.

Wash trading is a form of market manipulation where an entity buys and sells the same asset giving the false impression of market activity.

Wash trades are present in traditional finance, however, Solidus argued market manipulators often have easier means to do so when it comes to crypto.

“In crypto, liquidity is fragmented across a variety of centralized and decentralized exchanges, resulting in smaller markets that are easier to manipulate.”

There’s also an ongoing regulatory question over who is responsible for on-chain wash trading detection and prevention — likely given the borderless nature of decentralized finance.

"Market manipulation remains a significant challenge within the crypto industry, especially in an era of greater regulatory scrutiny and institutional adoption," Solidus founder and CEO Asaf Meir said in a statement.

"The wash trading activity we have unearthed here is a clear sign of market manipulation, and it must be prevented for crypto and DeFi to flourish.”

Solidus explained wash traders come in all shapes and sizes, from token deployers looking for an easy rug pull; to speculators attempting to game an upcoming token airdrop; to exchange and marketplace operators reporting higher trading volumes to attract investors and users.

Related: NFT wash trading increases by 126% in February: Data

In 2022, a National Bureau of Economic Research study suggested more than 70% of unregulated exchange volumes were wash trades.

According to the researchers, there are short-term incentives for wash trading and suggested fake transactions often impact the rankings of the exchanges on data and statistics websites such as CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko.

In addition, fake transactions also affect the crypto prices within the exchanges over the short term.

Hodler’s Digest, Sept. 3-9: Binance’s exec exodus, Nasdaq to trade AI orders and SBF loses bail appeal

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Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao denies rumors of selling Bitcoin to bolster BNB

While several theories emerged, the Binance CEO asserted that no BTC or BNB trading activity is happening behind the scenes.

Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao has refuted accusations that Binance has been secretly selling Bitcoin (BTC) to artificially stabilize the price of its native token Binance Coin (BNB).

The rumors have come from several market commentators, including analyst Dylan LeClair and Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten, who have accused Binance of intentionally manipulating the market to artificially inflate the value of BNB.

In a June 13 tweet, CZ said that Binance had not sold any of their BTC or BNB, adding that the crypto exchange still held “a bag” of FTX Token (FTT) — the native token of the now-defunct crypto exchange FTX.

“It is amazing they can know exactly who sold based on just a price chart involving millions of traders. FUD,” he added.

CZ’s post was direct response to a June 14 post from technical analysis platform Skew, which accused Binance of manipulating the market through a series of trades involving BTC, BNB and Tether (USDT):

“Binance is definitely up to something here to prevent BNB from crashing as well as BTC.”

In the same thread, Bitcoin analyst Dylan LeClair claimed that “BNB is clearly a fake market” which is trading with less realized volume than BTC.

In a June 13 tweet, Cory Klippsten, the CEO of Swan Bitcoin also alleged that Binance was engaging in “wash trading,” and claimed that Binance is “trying to pretend” there’s support for BNB:

Wash trading is a market manipulation tactic where a trader sells an asset and then buys it shortly after to inflate its demand or make it look like there's more activity in the marketplace.

Analyst Joe Consorti from The Bitcoin Layer also described BNB’s price action as “unusual” with the “$220 level” being “staunchly defended.” He suggested that it may be a liquidation level for a BNB-collateralized loan.

In response to CZ’s post, Consorti asserted that Binance should publish an audited statement proving that Binance has no BNB-collateralized liabilities in order for the “FUD” to end.

Related: 70% of unregulated exchange transactions are wash trading: NBER study

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission sued Binance.US on June 5 for allegedly breaking securities laws in addition to engaging in wash trading through its “primary undisclosed ‘market making’ trading firm Sigma Chain,” which is owned by CZ.

CZ and Binance.US have denied any wrongdoing and intend on “vigorously” defending the charges laid against them in the U.S. District Court in Washington D.C.

Magazine: US and China try to crush Binance, SBF’s $40M bribe claim: Asia Express

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Tron Founder Justin Sun, Soulja Boy, and Austin Mahone Summoned by SEC in Crypto Asset Case

Tron Founder Justin Sun, Soulja Boy, and Austin Mahone Summoned by SEC in Crypto Asset CaseCourt documents reveal that Justin Sun, Tron’s founder, has been sent a summons from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the civil complaint filed against him last month. Youtuber Austin Mahone and rapper Soulja Boy, whose real name is DeAndre Cortez Way, have also been summoned. The SEC accuses Sun of orchestrating an […]

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OpenSea collector fat fingers a 100 ETH bid for a free NFT

Some pundits have argued the trader mistakenly put up a bid for 100 ETH which was quickly snapped up, while others believe the sale was a wash trade.

A nonfungible token (NFT) trader has seemingly fat-fingered a bid for a free NFT, buying it for 100 Ether (ETH), currently valued at $191,239, instead of nothing.

The token was part of NFT marketplace OpenSea’s Gemesis NFT collection — free NFTs intended to commemorate the launch of OpenSea Pro on April 4. The trader's bid is a 250,000% increase on the floor price of 0.04 ETH.

OpenSea Pro is a marketplace aggregator tailored to professional users by providing them with what OpenSea calls “a vastly improved” suite of features such as live cross-marketplace data and advanced orders.

A record of the transaction on an Ethereum blockchain explorer. Source: Etherscan

While some have argued the sale was wash trading, Twitter user “0xSun” believed the sale — which occurred on the NFT marketplace Blur — happened because the trader wanted to bid $100 as an amount, but accidentally bid 100 ETH instead.

A Reddit user who posted about the sale also cast doubt on the wash trading theory, arguing it was an open offer that was available to anyone, making it too risky to be a wash trade as another trader or bot would quickly snap up an offer so far above the floor price.

“I know what you guys are thinking it was a wash trade but this was an open offer that could have been accepted by anybody, so it would be a pretty big risk hoping you were faster than anybody else looking at the offers at that moment.”

Wash trading is a form of market manipulation in which a trader buys and sells an asset to feed misleading information to the market. The practice is illegal in traditional stock markets but is very prevalent in NFT trading.

Related: NFTs in the event and ticketing industry: How can it sustain millions of users?

OpenSea acquired NFT aggregator Gem for an undisclosed amount on April 25, 2022, and refined the platform in order to create OpenSea Pro.

Only users who bought at least one NFT on Gem prior to March 31 are eligible to mint a Gemesis NFT, with the minting window set to close on May 4.

NFT Creator, Sarah Zucker: The Sarah Show’s analog past meets dizzying digital future

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SEC Sues Tron Founder Justin Sun for Market Manipulation and Offering Unregistered Securities

SEC Sues Tron Founder Justin Sun for Market Manipulation and Offering Unregistered SecuritiesThe U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has taken action against Justin Sun, the founder of Tron, and the Tron Foundation, issuing charges for offering unregistered securities and market manipulation. Additionally, a group of influencers have been charged by the organization for promoting tron without disclosing that they were being compensated for their endorsements. Tron […]

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Wash trading will cause crypto’s next implosion: Mark Cuban

The majority of centralized exchange volume is fake, according to the billionaire investor and Dallas Mavericks owner.

Crypto token wash trading on centralized exchanges will be the cause of the next crypto “implosion,” according to billionaire Dallas Mavericks owner and crypto investor Mark Cuban.

In an interview with The Street on Jan. 5, the billionaire investor opined that 2023 will not be short of crypto scandals following the numerous fiascos that rocked 2022.

Cuban, who has backed several crypto and Web3 startups, said he believes the next biggest thing to impact the industry will be "the discovery and removal of wash trades on central exchanges.”

“There are supposedly tens of millions of dollars in trades and liquidity for tokens that have very little utilization,” he said before adding, “I don't see how they can be that liquid.”

Mark Cuban . Source: American Broadcasting Company website

Wash trading, which is illegal under U.S. law, is a process whereby a trader or bot buys and sells the same crypto asset to feed misleading information to the market.

The goal is to artificially inflate volumes so that retail traders jump on the bandwagon and push prices up. In essence, it is a pump-and-dump scheme.

Cuban said it was just a prediction, adding “I don't have any specifics to offer to support my guess.”

As much as 70% of the volume on unregulated exchanges is wash trading according to a December report by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).

Researchers used statistical and behavioral patterns to determine which transactions were legitimate and which ones were spurious.

Furthermore, a 2022 study by Forbes on 157 centralized exchanges found that more than half the Bitcoin trade volumes were fake.

Related: Mark Cuban to Bill Maher: ‘If you have gold, you’re dumb as fuck... Just get Bitcoin.’

Wash trading isn’t just limited to centralized exchanges, however. On Jan. 5, Quantum Economics CEO and former eToro senior market analyst, Mati Greenspan, said that 42% of all NFT volume is wash traded.

He added that wash trading is also used to harvest tax losses, making it appear (to the taxman) that there has been a greater loss than in reality.

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70% of unregulated exchange transactions are wash trading: NBER study

The researchers found that in some exchanges, the wash trading volume can go as high as 80%.

With exchanges becoming a focus as the FTX fiasco continues, a new research paper suggested that almost three out of four transactions in unregulated exchanges are fake. 

A working paper titled “Crypto Wash Trading” was recently published by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Using statistical and behavioral patterns to determine which transactions were legitimate or not, the paper studied 29 unregulated exchanges and came to a conclusion that, on average, more than 70% of the volume within the platforms are wash trades.

The researchers found that some exchanges’ wash trading volume goes as high as 80% of the total trading volume. The researchers wrote that in twelve “tier-2 exchanges,” wash trades amounted to almost 80% of the total trade volume. The researchers wrote:

“These estimates translate into wash trading of over 4.5 trillion USD in spot markets and over 1.5 Trillion USD in derivatives markets in the first quarter of 2020 alone.”

According to the researchers, there are short-term incentives for wash trading. The study suggested that fake transactions often impact the rankings of the exchanges on data and statistics websites like CoinMarketCap. In addition, fake transactions also affect the crypto prices within the exchanges over the short term.

Related: 40% of 40K respondents plan to buy crypto in 2023: Blockchain.com survey

Meanwhile, the FTX debacle continues to gain attention as wallets linked to Alameda Research have shown movements, funneling around $1.7 million in assets through crypto mixers. The movements were observed days after the former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried was released on a $250 million bond.

As the FTX collapse damaged people's trust in centralized exchanges (CEXs), executives working on CEXs have voiced their sentiments on how they could win back user trust. On Nov. 25, Cointelegraph spoke with various leaders within crypto exchanges and found that many are positive that the industry can still recover post-FTX.

Zimbabwe Devalues Gold-Backed Currency by 44%

Over Half of All Daily Bitcoin Trading Volume on Crypto Exchanges Are Bogus, According to New Forbes Study

Over Half of All Daily Bitcoin Trading Volume on Crypto Exchanges Are Bogus, According to New Forbes Study

The majority of Bitcoin daily trading volume on exchanges is fake, according to a new report from Forbes. Forbes examined 157 crypto exchanges around the world and concluded that more than half of the exchanges’ reported Bitcoin (BTC) trading volume “is likely to be fake or non-economic.” Trading volume data is likely inflated due to […]

The post Over Half of All Daily Bitcoin Trading Volume on Crypto Exchanges Are Bogus, According to New Forbes Study appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Get ready for the feds to start indicting NFT wash traders

Securities and Exchange Commission regulators should move to protect investors from traders who distort the NFT market with manipulative trades — and they probably will soon.

Studies show that most people who attempt to wash trade nonfungible tokens (NFTs) are unprofitable. But that doesn’t stop them from trying, which makes it a glaring regulatory and enforcement issue for the industry. 

In wash trading, manipulators buy and sell an asset between themselves to create the appearance that the asset is in higher demand and, therefore, worth more than it would be otherwise. With NFTs, wash trading is fairly straightforward: Imagine an investor holds $1 million in Ether (ETH). The investor mints an NFT and proceeds to sell it to themself for all the ETH they own. The transaction is then on the blockchain for $1 million in ETH. The price of the NFT has been set through a wash trade to the benefit of the individual who minted the NFT.

It might be tempting to think that this is a “victimless” crime since it’s unlikely any money actually changed hands if it was a wash trade, but that’s false. By rewarding allegedly fake high-volume traders with real money, NFT investors stand to lose millions to scammers, and legitimate traders may be fooled into overpaying for their investments.

Related: GameFi developers could be facing big fines and hard time

These fraudulent transactions also drive Gresham’s Law (bad money drives out good money) in crypto, driving out legitimate investors and traders as the exchange’s reputation is destroyed.

When it comes to NFTs, however, the rules are not so clear. Such tokens may not be securities, so the same laws and regulations governing securities trading may not apply to them.

The background on wash trading laws

Wash trading has been barred in the United States since the passing of the Commodity Exchange Act in 1936 in response to its popularity as a manipulation tool. Since then, however, the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodities Futures Trading Commission have carefully scrutinized markets and brought numerous enforcement actions for “wash traders,” thereby adding a degree of safety to the securities and futures markets.

According to the SEC, “Wash trading is an abusive practice that misleads the market about the genuine supply and demand for a stock.” Meanwhile, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service prohibits taxpayers from deducting losses that result from wash sales, so it is entirely possible that wash trading NFTs could result in an enforcement action. It hinges on how NFTs are classified by regulators.

Traders should examine sales history closely before buying NFTs

Accepting the idea that cryptocurrencies tend to be volatile, along with the slow pace of enforcement actions against new assets like NFTs, it seems natural that many sellers will try to inflate their asset’s value to attract new buyers and earn a profit. NFT buyers should think twice and do their due diligence before making a significant investment into an NFT.

NFT sales to self-financed addresses in 2021. Source: Chainalysis

It may seem like they are getting a valuable asset because of the number or size of transactions in which the investment has been involved, but the truth may be that the asset was only bought and sold between two wallets owned by the same person making the asset appear more in demand that it actually is.

The SEC is probably already preparing to bag its first NFT traders

Even with laws and enforcement actions, we still see wash trading in the regular securities and commodities market, so you can be certain it exists in newer and evolving markets. Hopefully, the SEC is already working on enforcement in the NFT market. Investigations are generally nonpublic, so some traders may already be in regulators’ sights. It’s a safe bet that in the long run, federal regulators will catch up with this new asset class, and wash trading among NFTs will be reined in as well.

Related: Clever NFT traders exploit crypto’s unregulated landscape by wash trading on LooksRare

The SEC should move to protect investors, first by ruling that NFTs will be treated like securities, and then monitoring exchanges for signs of manipulation as they do for other asset classes.

Brendan Cochrane, Esq., CAMS is the blockchain and cryptocurrency partner at YK Law LLP. He is also the principal and founder of CryptoCompli, a startup focused on the compliance needs of cryptocurrency businesses.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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