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CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?

Bitcoin.com
CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?
bitcoin.com
CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC

Bitcoin.com
Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC
bitcoin.com
Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMCThe market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger Rate Cut as Expectations Shift […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

Bitcoin.com
Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability
bitcoin.com
Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% ProbabilityWith just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Bitcoin price loses traction as miner profits drop and spot BTC outflows persist

Coin Telegraph
Bitcoin price loses traction as miner profits drop and spot BTC outflows persist
Coin Telegraph

Bitcoin has lost more than 10% in the past two weeks as fear of a US recession, spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and the threat of miner capitulation grows.

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped 10% over the 10 days ending on Sept. 3, falling from $64,190 to $57,800. This decline occurred despite the S&P 500 index being just 2% below its all-time high and gold trading only $50 away from its historical peak. While some cryptocurrency investors attribute Bitcoin’s dip to the broader macroeconomic environment, other factors are also pushing its price below $59,000.

Source: DamiDefi

Trader DamiDefi explains that Bitcoin has been influenced by recession concerns in the United States, but that trend is stabilizing as the focus shifts to “monetary policy and the US dollar’s performance.” The “bullish narrative” for Bitcoin going forward will hinge on the expectation of a “looser Federal Reserve policy, [...] such as lowering interest rates.” Essentially, traders anticipate that the US will be compelled to implement expansionary measures to stimulate the economy.

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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

Bitcoin.com
Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction
25bps
Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger ReductionOn Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Bitcoin price volatility expected at Fed September FOMC meeting — Here’s how to prepare

Coin Telegraph
Bitcoin price volatility expected at Fed September FOMC meeting — Here’s how to prepare
Call

Bitcoin traders expect BTC to rally if the Fed rolls out a 0.50% rate cut, but hedging these bullish positions is also necessary. Here is how it's done.

Bitcoin (BTC) has repeatedly failed to close above the $62,000 level since Aug. 3 and is currently down 11% over the past 30 days. More notably, the cryptocurrency has decoupled from the S&P 500 index, which is up 1% in the same period and only 1% below its all-time high.

Bitcoin price in USD (right) vs. S&P 500 futures (left), 12-hour. Source: TradingView

Investors expect that risk markets, including Bitcoin, could see significant gains if the Federal Reserve (Fed) cuts interest rates, and professional traders are using BTC options to maximize gains while limiting risks.

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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Bitcoin Bulls Charge Toward $62K as Fed’s Minutes Triggers Market Frenzy

Bitcoin.com
Bitcoin Bulls Charge Toward K as Fed’s Minutes Triggers Market Frenzy
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Bulls Charge Toward K as Fed’s Minutes Triggers Market FrenzyBitcoin’s price hit $61,838 per coin by 3:45 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, after spending much of the day lingering below the $60,000 mark. The crypto market mirrored the upward movement seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which both rallied just before the closing bell. This newfound optimism is largely being credited to the Federal […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

No Rate Cuts Yet: Fed Maintains Rates at Historic Highs 

Bitcoin.com
No Rate Cuts Yet: Fed Maintains Rates at Historic Highs 
Bitcoin
No Rate Cuts Yet: Fed Maintains Rates at Historic Highs The U.S. Federal Reserve has opted to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 5.25-5.5%, according to the latest report from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The committee noted that while inflation has eased over the past year, it remains somewhat elevated, with the overarching goal being to bring inflation down to the […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

Fed’s Minutes Report Cites High Inflation and Economic Risks in Decision to Hold Rates

Bitcoin.com
Fed’s Minutes Report Cites High Inflation and Economic Risks in Decision to Hold Rates
bitcoin.com
Fed’s Minutes Report Cites High Inflation and Economic Risks in Decision to Hold RatesAccording to the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the choice to maintain the federal funds rate in its current range was driven by concerns about ongoing inflation and economic instability. Economic Instability and Inflation Keep Fed Rates Steady At the June 11-12 meeting, the FOMC highlighted that although inflation has […]
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From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

From Premiums to Discounts: Bitcoin’s Wild Ride Splits Global Markets

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