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Is El Salvador’s Bitcoin gambit finally paying off?

The rise in El Salvador’s bond prices “almost defies gravity,” and it may soon have access to Eurobond markets, said Santander Bank.

El Salvador’s controversial $117.5 million Bitcoin investment briefly swung into profitability this past week for the first time in two years. 

This was a milestone of sorts because, until then, not much had gone right crypto-wise for the impoverished Central American nation.

El Salvador still hasn’t come close to making Bitcoin (BTC) a medium of exchange as was anticipated when it made Bitcoin legal tender in September 2021, the world’s first nation to take such a step.

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US senators drill into FTC’s work to track AI attacks on older citizens

The senators asked the FTC chair four questions about AI scam data collection practices to find out if the commission can identify AI-powered scams and address them accordingly.

Four United States senators have written to Federal Trade Commission (FTC) Chair Lina Khan requesting information on efforts taken by the FTC to track the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in scamming older Americans.

In the letter addressed to Khan, U.S.

Underlining the importance of understanding the extent of the threat in order to counter it, they stated:

“We ask that FTC share how it is working to gather data on the use of AI in scams and ensure it is accurately reflected in its Consumer Sentinel Network (Sentinel) database.”

Consumer Sentinel is the FTC’s investigative cyber tool used by federal, state or local law enforcement agencies, which includes reports about various scams.

The senators wanted to know if the FTC has the capacity to identify AI-powered scams and tag them accordingly in Sentinel.

The lawmakers also requested a breakdown of Sentinel’s data to identify the popularity and success rates of each type of scam.

Casey is also the chairman of the Senate Special Committee on Aging, which studies issues related to older Americans.

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Canada flags concern on AI-generated deepfake disinformation campaigns

The Canadian agency also noted privacy violations, social manipulation and bias among the concerns that AI raises.

The Canadian Security Intelligence Service — Canada’s primary national intelligence agency — raised concerns about the disinformation campaigns conducted across the internet using artificial intelligence (AI) deepfakes. 

Canada sees the growing “realism of deepfakes” coupled with the “inability to recognize or detect them” as a potential threat to Canadians. In its report, the Canadian Security Intelligence Service cited instances where deepfakes were used to harm individuals.

“Deepfakes and other advanced AI technologies threaten democracy as certain actors seek to capitalize on uncertainty or perpetuate ‘facts’ based on synthetic and/or falsified information. This will be exacerbated further if governments are unable to ‘prove’ that their official content is real and factual.”

It also referred to Cointelegraph’s coverage of the Elon Musk deepfakes targeting crypto investors.

Since 2022, bad actors have used sophisticated deepfake videos to convince unwary crypto investors to willingly part with their funds. Musk’s warning against his deepfakes came after a fabricated video of him surfaced on X (formerly Twitter) promoting a cryptocurrency platform with unrealistic returns.

The Canadian agency noted privacy violations, social manipulation and bias as some of the other concerns that AI brings to the table. The department urges governmental policies, directives, and initiatives to evolve with the realism of deepfakes and synthetic media:

“If governments assess and address AI independently and at their typical speed, their interventions will quickly be rendered irrelevant.”

The Security Intelligence Service recommended a collaboration amongst partner governments, allies and industry experts to address the global distribution of legitimate information.

Related: Parliamentary report recommends Canada recognize, strategize about blockchain industry

Canada’s intent to involve the allied nations in addressing AI concerns was cemented on Oct. 30, when the Group of Seven (G7) industrial countries agreed upon an AI code of conduct for developers.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, the code has 11 points that aim to promote “safe, secure, and trustworthy AI worldwide” and help “seize” the benefits of AI while still addressing and troubleshooting the risks it poses.

The countries involved in the G7 include Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States and the European Union.

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Stablecoin market escaping US regulatory oversight: Chainalysis

Stablecoin activity has been increasingly occurring through entities that aren’t licensed in the United States, according to Chainalysis.

The United States government may be losing regulatory oversight of the stablecoin market, according to a new report by blockchain research firm Chainalysis.

Stablecoin activity has been increasingly occurring through entities that aren’t licensed in the United States, Chainalysis stated in its latest North America cryptocurrency report released on Oct. 23.

According to Chainalysis’ findings, the majority of stablecoin inflows to the 50 biggest cryptocurrency services have shifted from U.S.-licensed services to non-U.S.-licensed services since spring 2023.

As of June 2023, about 55% of stablecoin inflows to the top 50 services were going to non-U.S.-licensed exchanges, the report stated.

Share of stablecoin inflows to U.S.-licensed vs. non-U.S.-licensed exchanges between July 2022 and June 2023. Source: Chainalysis

The study suggested that the U.S. government has been increasingly losing its ability to oversee the stablecoin market, while U.S. consumers have been missing opportunities to engage with regulated stablecoins.

Related: CoinShares says US not lagging in crypto adoption and regulation

“Though U.S. entities originally helped legitimize and seed the stablecoin market, more crypto users are pursuing stablecoin-related activity with trading platforms and issuers headquartered abroad,” Chainalysis wrote. The firm stated that U.S. lawmakers have yet to pass stablecoin regulations as Congress is still considering related bills like the Clarity for Payment Stablecoins Act and the Responsible Financial Innovation Act.

Despite a drop in licensed stablecoin activity in the United States, North America has emerged as the largest cryptocurrency market, with an estimated $1.2 trillion received between July 2022 and June 2023. The region accounted for 24.4% of global transaction volume during the period, beating the regions of Central, Northern and Western Europe, which received an estimated $1 trillion, according to Chainalysis.

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Bitcoin tops Donald Trump, guns in America: Google Trends

Popular terms such as guns, Chuck Norris, health insurance and politics did not even make it to the top 10 in the list.

Amid the growing discussions around Donald Trump, guns and other topics tied to politics and entertainment, Bitcoin (BTC) remains the most Googled term in the United States. 

A search volume comparison based on Ahrefs data revealed that Americans are curious about Bitcoin, with Nevada taking the spot as the “most Bitcoin-crazy state” in the United States. Despite former U.S. President Donald Trump making headlines consistently, he only takes the second position on the list of the most-searched terms in America.

Search volume comparison (U.S. and global). Source: Ahrefs

As shown above, other popular terms following Bitcoin and Donald Trump include breaking news, Elvis Presley and Disney World. Previously popular terms such as guns, Chuck Norris, health insurance and politics did not even make it to the top 10 in the list.

Search comparison of Donald Trump and Bitcoin. Source: Google Trends

However, in the last 30 days, Google searches for Donald Trump exceeded Bitcoin for just two days — on April 4 and 5 — when reports of a possible arrest emerged, shows Google Trends data.

State-wide comparison of Bitcoin searches. Source: Google Trends

A state-wise comparison revealed Nevada as the states with most number of ‘Bitcoin’ searches, followed by Miami, California and Washington respectively.

The primary reason for this finding is attributed to lower taxes and local government initiatives to promote innovation, according to Trading Browser. “Nevada’s long-standing gambling respiration might be a contributing factor to the success and high interest in Bitcoin,” the study added.

Related: Binance.US unable to find bank partners in the United States: Report

A new report from US Treasury concluded that North Korea and criminals are making use of DeFi services for bagging illicit profits.

As Cointelegraph reported, Treasury believes that “most money laundering, terrorist financing, and proliferation financing” occurred using fiat currency or was otherwise outside the digital asset ecosystem.

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El Salvador removes all taxes related to tech innovation for economic growth

Technology innovations such as software programming, coding, apps and AI development, and computing and communications hardware manufacturing will be exempted from taxes in El Salvador.

El Salvador, the first country to establish Bitcoin (BTC) as a legal tender, made another historic decision to eliminate all taxes on technology innovations. The move runs parallel to the establishment of the National Bitcoin Office (ONBTC) of El Salvador, a.k.a. the Bitcoin office.

When legalizing Bitcoin on Sept. 7, 2021, El Salvador President Nayib Bukele saw the technology as a means to counter the hyperinflation and dependence on the US dollar. Over the past 18 months, El Salvador restrategized Bitcoin investments and utilized capital gains in numerous instances to rebuild the nation.

Moving ahead into this strategy, Bukele believed in winding down tax requirements as a means to expedite technological development. As promised, on April 1, Bukele officially sent a bill to Congress — effectively eliminating all income, property, and capital gains taxes on technology innovations “such as software programming, coding, apps and AI development; as well as computing and communications hardware manufacturing.”

Supporting this initiative is the establishment of the Bitcoin office, a regulatory body for conducting joint initiatives with Bitcoin entrepreneurs and companies. According to Asociación Bitcoin de El Salvador (Bitcoin Association of El Salvador), ONBTC aims to “position the country in the world as a technological and economic power.”

In addition to attempting a financial comeback, Bukele’s ongoing efforts to reinvent El Salvador include promoting tourism, countering terrorism and building business hubs in the region.

Related: El Salvador’s Bitcoin strategy evolved with the bear market in 2022

In the start of 2023, El Salvador passed a legislation providing the legal framework for a Bitcoin-backed bond — known as the Volcano Bond.

The nomenclature of the volcano bonds is derived from Bitcoin City’s location, which is set to become a renewable crypto-mining hub powered by hydrothermal energy from the nearby Conchagua volcano.

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Can Canada stay a crypto mining hub after Manitoba’s moratorium?

Local stakeholders believe that a crypto mining moratorium might actually mean the beginning of a new dialogue between the government and the industry.

Canada has remained a peculiar regulatory alternative to the neighboring United States in regard to cryptocurrency. While its licensing process has become more stringent than in some countries, Canada was the first to approve direct crypto exchange-traded funds. State pension funds have invested in digital assets, and crypto mining firms have moved to the country to take advantage of the cool temperatures and cheap energy prices.

But the gold rush for miners in Canada may be slowing down. In early December, the province of Manitoba — rich in hydroelectric resources — enacted an 18-month moratorium on new mining projects.

This move resembled a recent initiative in the U.S. state of New York that stopped the renewal of licenses for existing mining operations and required any new proof-of-work miners to use 100% renewable energy.

These developments shouldn’t be brushed off as isolated cases. Both took place in relatively cool regions with significant hydroelectric energy profiles, so tightening the screws in Manitoba doesn’t seem optimistic for less-energy-sustainable regions.

Could this change Canada’s status as a haven for miners?

The natural predisposition

In October 2021, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) towered above the $60,000 mark. By that time, Canada had become the fourth-largest destination for BTC mining in the world, with 9.55% of all Bitcoin being mined in the country (as opposed to 1.87% a year earlier). The nation effectively filled a gap left by the crackdown in China, which almost nullified the mining activity in the country by 2021 — although the United States won the most from the crackdown, rising from sixth place to first place in terms of Bitcoin hash rate.

A technician at a Bitcoin mining operation. Source: Paul Chiasson/The Canadian Press

The Canadian government didn’t have to make any particular efforts to draw the interest of global miners after the fall of China. The country has two obvious advantages to offer everyone: its cool climate and abundance of hydropower. A 2021 study by DEKIS Research Group at the University of Avila ranked Canada as 17th in the world in terms of its sustainable mining potential, which is higher than the United States (25th), China (40th), Russia (43rd) or Kazakhstan (66th).

The high score was made possible by a combination of low electricity prices ($0.113 per kilowatt hour), low average temperature (−5.35 Celsius) and a high Human Capital Index (0.8) 

Mining ban to last for 18 months

Regardless of the country’s attractiveness to crypto miners, the province of Manitoba, which enjoys the second-lowest energy prices in Canada, set an 18-month moratorium on new mining operations in November. The decision was justified on the grounds that new operations might compromise the local electricity grid. As Manitoba Finance Minister Cameron Friesen told the CBC:

“We can’t simply say, ‘Well, anyone can take whatever [energy] they want to take and we’ll simply build dams’. The last one cost $13 billion if you priced in the [transmission] line.”

Friesen revealed that recent requests from 17 potential operators would require 371 megawatts of power, which is over half the power generated by the Keeyask generating station. According to him, the demand from new miners would total more than 4,600 megawatts when including other, less formal, inquiries. There are currently 37 mining facilities in Manitoba, and their operations won’t be affected by prohibition.

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Of further concern was the relative lack of jobs that cryptocurrency miners provide. Friesen said that cryptocurrency miners “can be utilizing hundreds of megawatts and have a handful of workers."

The new normal? 

Aydin Kilic, president and chief operating officer of Canadian crypto mining firm Hive Blockchain, doesn’t see the Manitoba case as an isolated event. In early November, the firm managing electricity across the Canadian province of Quebec, Hydro-Québec, requested the government release the company from its obligation to power crypto miners. However, the situation does not imply a new normal either, Kilic told Cointelegraph:

“These moratoriums are in place to give the utilities time to evaluate the existing crypto-mining operations. The new normal in Canada would involve crypto miners working with utilities to balance the grid or recycle energy in thoughtful ways, with a focus on sustainability.”

Given that Hive Blockchain is using the heat from its 40,000-square-foot facility in Quebec to heat a 200,000-square-foot swimming pool manufacturing plant, Kilic sees the recent developments as an opportunity for local power suppliers to figure out their approach to mining operators.

A relief map of Manitoba showing the significant water resources of the province. Source: Carport

Canadian utility companies have been bombarded with inquiries from offshore entities looking to take advantage of Canada’s cool climate and ample hydro energy resources. This, in turn, has been overshadowing the demand from domestic digital asset miners, who are focusing on long-term partnerships, he emphasized:

“We hope that the utilities can determine from their onboarding process which clients are well-funded and set up to be long-term clients with a track record undertaking sustainability initiatives.”

Kilic said it takes a lot of investment to build out the data centers. In that sense, a sound vetting process requiring miners to meet certain capital conditions would vastly reduce the number of bonafide applications. In his view, that would commit to grid balancing and sustainability as well.

Andrew Webber, founder and CEO of crypto-mining-as-a-service firm Digital Power Optimization, told Cointelegraph that the moratorium in Manitoba wouldn’t affect the attractiveness of Canada as a mining destination due to more fundamental factors such as the rule of law and the vast amounts of excess power to be consumed by tech-efficient miners: 

“Energy companies using Bitcoin mining as a tool to help optimize their generation assets will be a growth area for mining, so we think more and more of this will be done in places where you’re actually curing an energy problem.”

Webber stated that Bitcoin miners don’t use the power that is in high demand due to simple price factors. They might even make the grid more flexible and resilient by providing a profitable load that can easily be shut down when grid-based energy demand increases. Kilic confirmed this notion, claiming that his company can shut down within seconds when the grid is stressed.

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Only time will tell if the lawmakers and regulators in Manitoba will agree with that reasoning; however, stakeholders remain optimistic. Webber expects to see more mining both in Manitoba and New York “over a decade,” while, in Kilic’s words, Canada has some of the best geography for digital asset infrastructure worldwide and shouldn’t miss out on the opportunity to build out that infrastructure.

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Crypto regulation world: How laws for digital assets changed in 2022

While regulations were once seen as hurdles to crypto adoption, they are now perceived as the fastest way to attain global mainstream adoption.

Effective regulations are one of the key gateways to cryptocurrency’s mainstream adoption. Due to greater compliance, crypto businesses saw broader acceptance from regulators worldwide. While the crypto ecosystem was awarded countless operational licenses and exposure to new markets, the fall of Terraform Labs, FTX and Celsius, among others, had a negative impact on the industry's reputation with investors and regulators alike.

As we look back on 2022 and all it brought for the cryptocurrency industry, we're highlighting how the regulatory landscape has changed for cryptocurrencies and the blockchain industry as a whole.

North America

China’s blanket ban on crypto mining and trading from late 2021 positioned the United States as the torchbearer for crypto disruption by default. The U.S. is not only home to the biggest crypto ATM network, but is also is the highest contributor to the Bitcoin (BTC) hash rate.

Out of all crypto sub-ecosystems, nonfungible tokens (NFTs) took center stage in U.S. politics. What can be considered as a clear win for crypto, the Federal Election Commission (FEC) permitted the use of NFTs for political campaign fundraising incentives.

For many regulators, the collapse of FTX and the arrest of former CEO Sam Bankman-Fried were perceived as a representation of the wrongdoings of the entire crypto community. As a result, it helped recement anti-crypto sentiment among many U.S. politicians, such as Representative Brad Sherman. However, Representative Tom Emmer sided with the crypto community as he pointed out the community’s contribution to tracking Bankman-Fried’s illegal activities.

Rep. Brad Sherman during the FTX hearing in front of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services. Source: YouTube

Citing the FTX collapse, the Canadian Securities Administrators — an umbrella group of securities regulators across Canada — banned crypto leverage and margin trading to protect investors. In addition, Canadian energy provider Hydro-Québec rolled out plans to reallocate energy supplied to crypto mining firms, citing the high energy demands anticipated during the harsh Canadian winter.

Similarly, U.S. regulators introduced the Crypto-Asset Environmental Transparency Act to direct the Environmental Protection Agency to report on the energy use and environmental impact of crypto miners.

Central and South America

Farther south, El Salvador still retains its position as the most significant contributor to mainstreaming Bitcoin worldwide. While many pointed out the unrealized losses owing to falling Bitcoin prices faced by the country, President Nayib Bukele announced a new BTC investment strategy in which the country would purchase 1 BTC per day starting from Nov. 17, 2022.

Furthermore, in November, Economy Minister Maria Luisa Hayem Brevé introduced a bill confirming the government’s plan to raise $1 billion and invest it into the construction of a “Bitcoin city.”

Despite a slow start, Brazil saw the introduction of a pro-crypto regulation. Late last year, before former President Jair Bolsonaro left office, a bill that sought to legalize the use of crypto as a payment method within Brazil was signed into law. Brazil most recently issued a Payment Institution License to Crypto.com, allowing the crypto exchange to continue offering regulated fiat wallet services to Brazilians.

Asia

After careful consideration, numerous Asian regulators softened their anti-crypto stance and chose to allow crypto businesses to run operations. While China loosened its grip on its crypto permaban, India has implemented a new tax regime for crypto.

In the case of China, the Shanghai High People’s Court issued a ruling stating that Bitcoin is subject to property rights laws and regulations. With the court recognizing value, scarcity and disposability in the asset, Bitcoin owners received the right to compensation in a case involving an unpaid loan.

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India imposed two new crypto tax policies at the start of the year — one imposing a 30% tax on crypto profits and the other imposing a 1% tax deduction at source on every crypto transaction. The laws had a negative impact on local trading volumes as investors continued to hold their assets in hopes of better regulations. India, during its G20 presidency, which will last until Nov. 30, 2023, has plans to pursue the development of standard operating procedures for cryptocurrencies.

Pakistan’s central bank, on the other hand, signed new laws to expedite the launch of an in-house central bank digital currency (CBDC) amid hyper inflation concerns.

Just like in the United States, the fall of Terraform Labs left a bad taste in South Korean regulators’ mouths. For the island nation, the majority of 2022 was spent tracking down the bad actors responsible for investor losses. Moreover, the country’s 2021 implementation of Know Your Customer requirements saw a drastic reduction in hacking activities throughout 2022.

Europe and the Middle East

The Russia-Ukraine war indirectly showcased cryptocurrency’s prowess in serving the unbanked. As millions lost access to their life savings, cryptocurrencies came into the forefront as a savior.

Displaced citizens got help through crypto donations, while Russians fleeing the country used it to circumvent their home country's newly introduced currency controls. Just two weeks into the war, crowd funding helped raise over $108 million for Ukrainian war relief. Another organization raised $54 million worth of crypto funds to procure vests, scopes and unmanned aerial vehicles for Ukrainian fighters.

The European Union’s Committee of Permanent Representatives approved the Markets in Crypto-Assets framework, which aims to create a consistent regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies among European Union member states.

The International Monetary Fund, a major financial agency of the United Nations, called for increased regulation of Africa’s crypto markets. The Central African Republic reportedly passed a bill to legalize the use of cryptocurrencies in financial markets.

The United Kingdom sought regulatory amendments to place the crypto industry under tighter scrutiny. Reacting to the FTX collapse, the U.K.’s HM Treasury issued guidelines for the Financial Conduct Authority to monitor the operations and advertising of crypto companies in the country. This further influenced an upcoming 2023 legislation to restrict crypto services from abroad from operating in the U.K.

South Africa's financial regulator, the Financial Sector Conduct Authority, updated the country’s 2002 Financial Advisory and Financial Intermediary Services Act to declare crypto as a financial product subject to financial services law.

Nigeria banned ATM cash withdrawals over $225 (100,000 nairas) per week to enforce the use of its CBDC, the eNaira. African crypto exchange Yellow Card received regulatory approval to expand its services across the African continent.

While the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority issued numerous operational approvals to crypto business in 2022, it had to revoke the Minimum Viable Product license from FTX MENA.

Most recently, Australia overtook El Salvador to become fourth largest crypto ATM hub after the United States, Canada and Spain. Australian financial regulators are carrying forward their efforts from 2022 to create a regulatory framework for stablecoins.

Africa and Oceania

While the above-mentioned triumphs highlight just the cream of regulatory accomplishments, the crypto ecosystem made significant strides throughout the year. With the understanding that regulations are key drivers for mass adoption, crypto firms with robust compliance initiatives are setting the stage for mainstream adoption as we step into 2023.

Check out Cointelegraph’s crypto roundup of 2022 and what it means for the community in 2023.

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Canada crypto regulation: Bitcoin ETFs, strict licensing and a digital dollar

The first and the last major attempt to encourage a comprehensive crypto framework was buried in the House of Commons on Nov. 23.

In October, Toronto-based Coinsquare became the first crypto trading business to get dealer registration from the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC). That means a lot as now Coinsquare investors’ funds enjoy the security of the Canadian Investment Protection Fund in the event of insolvency, while the exchange is required to report its financial standing regularly. 

This news reminds us about the peculiarities of Canadian regulation of crypto. While the country still holds a rather tight process of licensing the virtual asset providers, it outpaces the neighboring United States in its experiments with crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs), pension funds’ investments and central bank digital currency (CBDC) efforts.

An era of restricted dealers

Coinsquare, which happens to be Canada’s longest-operating crypto asset trading platform, benefits from its new legal status as none of its competitors can currently boast the same legal footing. By publishing time, all other local players must have the status of a “restricted dealer,” signaling that they’ve made their registration bid and now await IIROC’s decision. 

The Guidance for Crypto-Asset Trading Platforms was introduced by IIROC and the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) in 2021. It requires crypto businesses dealing with security tokens or crypto contracts to register as “investment dealers” or “regulated marketplaces.”

All local companies have been given a two-year transitory period, during which they should start the registration process and, in some cases, obtain the “restricted dealer” temporary registration.

The list of “restricted dealers” that have been granted a two-year relief period to operate amid the ongoing registration process is rather short and includes mainly local companies, such as Coinberry, BitBuy, Netcoins, Virgo CX and others. These companies still enjoy a right to facilitate buying, selling and holding of crypto assets, but what lies ahead of them is the stringent compliance procedure necessary to continue their operations after 2023. For example, Coinsquare had to obtain an insurance policy that includes an endorsement of losses of crypto assets and fund a trust account maintained at a Canadian bank.

The prosecutors have been watching closely for any non-compliance. In June 2022, the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) issued financial penalties against Bybit and KuCoin, claiming violation of securities laws and operating unregistered crypto asset trading platforms. It obtained orders banning KuCoin from participating in the province’s capital markets and fining the exchange for more than $1.6 million.

The land of experiments 

At the same time, there are adoption cases in Canada that sound radical to the United States. For example, there are dozens of crypto ETFs to invest in the country, while Grayscale still has to lead the court battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a right to launch its first ETF. 

The world’s first Bitcoin (BTC) ETF for individual investors was approved by the OSC for Purpose Investments back in 2021. Purpose Bitcoin ETF accumulates around 23,434 BTC, which is actually a prominent symptom of the bear market. In May 2022, it held around 41,620 BTC. The major outflow from the Purpose Bitcoin ETF occurred in June, when about 24,510 BTC, or around 51% of its asset under management, were withdrawn by investors in a single week.

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Another breakthrough in Canadian crypto adoption erupted when the country’s largest pension funds started to invest in digital assets. In 2021, the Caisse de Depot et Placement du Québec — one of the largest pension funds in the French-speaking province of Quebec — invested $150 million into Celsius Network.

The same month, the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan announced its $95-million investment in FTX. Unfortunately, this news didn’t age well as both companies have since collapsed and both pension funds had to write off their investments. Perhaps, in that light, the U.S. Department of Labor’s warning to employers against using pension funds that include Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies now seems like a prudent precaution.

Due to its cold climate, cheap electric supply and light regulation, Canada is among the world’s leading destinations for crypto mining. In May 2022, it accounted for 6.5% of the global BTC hash rate. However, this fall, the firm managing electricity across the Canadian province of Quebec, Hydro-Québec, requested the government to release the company from its obligation to power crypto miners in the province. As the reasoning goes, electricity demand in Québec is expected to grow to the point that powering crypto will put pressure on the energy supplier.

The development of the CBDC is another direction where Canada has been moving faster than its neighbor to the south. In March 2022, the Bank of Canada launched a 12-month research project focused on the design of the Canadian digital dollar in collaboration with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

In October, the Bank of Canada published a research report and proposed several particular archetypes of CBDC as useful for organizing “the possible CBDC designs.” While back in March, there was “no decision made on whether to introduce a CBDC in Canada,” the country’s recent budget amendment contains a small section on “Addressing the Digitalization of Money.” In the statement, the government said consultations with stakeholders on digital currencies, stablecoins and CBDCs are being launched on Nov. 3, although exactly which stakeholders will be engaged remains unclear.

The partisan divide 

The discussion of what could have become Canada’s formal legal framework for crypto — bill C-249 — showed a sharp partisan divide around the topic. A bill for the “encouragement of the growth of the cryptoasset sector” was introduced to the House of Commons in February 2022 by a member of the Conservative party and ex-Minister Michelle Garner. The lawmaker proposed having Canada’s Minister of Finance consult with industry experts to develop a regulatory framework aimed at boosting innovation around crypto three years after the bill’s passage

Despite the voiced support from the local crypto community, the bill didn’t meet much approval among fellow lawmakers. During the second reading on Nov. 21–23, members of other political parties, including the ruling Liberal party, blasted both the proposition and the Conservative party with accusations of promoting the “dark money system,” and Ponzi scheme and bankrupting retirees and as a result, C-249 is now officially buried.

While Michelle Garner introduced the bill, Conservative party leader Pierre Poilievre took most of the heat. A former Minister of Employment and Social Development, Poilievre has been advocating for more financial freedom through tokens, smart contracts and decentralized finance. Earlier this year, he urged the Canadian public to vote for him as their leader to “make Canada the blockchain capital of the world.”

The next general elections in Canada are scheduled for 2025, and given C-249’s failure and the general condition of the market, it’s not likely that Poilievre and the Conservatives will get broad support in the Parliament for their pro-crypto efforts until that time. Currently, the Conservative party holds only 16 out of 105 seats in the Senate and 119 out of 338 in the House of Commons.

What’s next

From a trading platform perspective, there are specific challenges that the industry strives to address, Julia Baranovskaya, chief compliance officer and co-founding team member at Calgary-based NDAX, told Cointelegraph. 

The majority of industry stakeholders would like to see “clear guidelines and a risk-based approach.” Currently, a majority of regulatory authorities in Canada have chosen to apply existing financial industry rules and regulations designed and implemented for the traditional financial industry.

However, Baranovskaya highlighted that in recent years, regulators have been engaging in a closer dialogue with the crypto industry. The Securities Commission has created a sandbox and encouraged crypto asset trading platforms and innovative types of businesses offering alternative financial instruments to join. The IIROC has also been leading a dialogue with the industry participants to understand business models better and identify how the current framework can be applied to them.

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But, the challenges of the fragmented regulatory framework and the lack of crypto asset-specific regulations are still here. Most of the existing regulations are based on the product, but with the constantly evolving crypto space, the product-based approach “would always stay a few steps behind.” In Baranovskaya’s words:

“Understanding the underlying technology behind crypto assets and De-Fi products that work out a flexible but robust regulatory regime that can adjust to the ever-changing crypto asset space is essential.” 

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US Election update: Where do the pro-crypto candidates stand ahead of the election?

Crypto has been highly visible in this election cycle thanks to polls and political action committees. This is a new and unaccustomed role for it with unknown results.

The 2022 midterm elections will be held in the United States on Nov. 8. Thirty-four senators and all 435 members of the House of Representatives will be running. According to media reports, cryptocurrency lobbyists and political action committees have poured millions of dollars into select campaigns, and extensive polling has shown crypto to be on voters’ minds.

Fundraising and polling are normal parts of the American political system, but the numbers associated with crypto may have raised some eyebrows. Sam Bankman-Fried called $1 billion his “soft ceiling” for 2022 election contributions, for example. Even though he backpedaled on some of his intentions, he remains the sixth-largest donor in this election cycle. There are numerous crypto-related political action committees as well. According to Bloomberg, as of Oct. 19, crypto-affiliated donors had spent more than donors to such traditional recipients as defense and big pharma.

A poll commissioned by Grayscale between Oct. 6 and Oct. 11 shows that 38% of voters surveyed will be “considering crypto policy positions.” A poll commissioned by the Crypto Council for Innovation at roughly the same time showed that 45% of voters “want legislators to treat crypto as a serious and valid part of the economy.”

Why all the excitement?

Crypto is making continual inroads into daily life, even in the current unfavorable market conditions. Nonetheless, someone with some distance from the industry may be surprised to hear that 45% of potential American voters have any opinion about crypto at all. 

But, 40 million Americans own crypto, and they take it personally, Cornell Law School faculty member and Foley & Lardner partner Patrick Daugherty told Cointelegraph:

“Does ‘crypto policy’ resonate with voters as much as inflation and other headline news? Probably not, but then again many voters are buying crypto as a hedge against inflation.”

Furthermore, “Crypto is the future of money, which is important to every American,” Daugherty said. 

Martin Dobelle, one of the three co-founders of political software company Engage, agreed. “The average person cares more about this issue than you might expect,” he said. Dobelle attributed voter interest in crypto to a generally positive attitude toward technology, especially among the young. He told Cointelegraph:

“Voters are very pro-technology, pro-innovation and they […] might not know the specifics of crypto legislation or tech legislation writ large, but they do have kind of an intuitive sense of […] what policy thinking that moves in the direction of embracing technology and innovation would look like.”

Engage is a public benefit corporation with a mission to increase public participation in the political process. Among its activities, Engage raises funds in cryptocurrency for 16 pro-crypto candidates.

What are we doing here?

The next logical question is what crypto voters will accomplish. Pro-crypto House members like Minnesota Republican Tom Emmer and Oregon Democrat Ron Wyden expect to win their races easily, while Ohio Democrat Tim Ryan is facing off against equally pro-crypto Republican JD Vance. Not only that, the crypto regulation situation is relatively under control, with bills already in the House and Senate.

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Hogan Lovells partner Aaron Cutler saw a limited connection between the election and upcoming crypto regulation. “I don’t think it’s a question of political support, but more a question of policy priorities,” he said, adding:

“This is one of the reasons we saw certain legislation introduced this Congress — not because it was going to be passed and enacted into law, but because Members want to show leadership and stake out a bit of legislative turf.”

On the other hand, seeing that existing bills come up for voting faster is probably one of the effects greater political support would have.

The other effect of voting is keeping some candidates out of office. Attacks against crypto are perceived by many American voters “as threats to economic security and personal liberty,” Daugherty said.

Willamette University law professor Rohan Grey was having none of the single-issue votings. Pollsters “aren’t saying that they [pro-crypto candidates] are good people,” he said. Grey saw voting as important as an action. “Give the impression of people coming to your cool party,” he said. 

To Dobelle, the increase in political activity surrounding crypto was significant as a sign that crypto is moving into the middle of the political spectrum, which he said is “past due.”

Whose party is it?

The bipartisan/nonpartisan nature of crypto is often commented on, but there are clear divisions in the crypto world. First, crypto skews right. This can be seen, among other places, in the Crypto Action Network politicians’ scorecards. That organization has graded 144 U.S. legislators on their crypto support. (The remaining nearly 400 lawmakers presumably have no record of crypto.) The scorecards gave Republicans an average grade of 3.4 out of 4, converted from A-F marks, while Democrats received an average of 2.1. 

Bipartisanship legislation is full of “sensible compromises,” according to Daugherty, and has a better chance of passing in the current polarized environment. Cutler concurred, although he added that his firm foresees “Republican-led committee oversight and investigations of agencies with jurisdiction over digital assets and cryptocurrency.”

Grey, an adherent of Modern Monetary Policy, had a simple explanation for crypto’s right leanings based on its origins in libertarian economics and the Cypherpunks:

“The problem being solved by crypto is an inherently right-wing one.”

Grey saw one only result from any foreseeable election outcome: Crypto’s “handover to big business.”

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Whether those claims are accepted or not, they point to an old, basic dichotomy: Crypto as the Wild West — alternative and unregulated money — and crypto regulated and integrated into the economic mainstream. In this light, the 2022 midterm elections are a rehash of a familiar trope and some slight movement toward its resolution.

Digital Chamber of Commerce vice president of policy Cody Carbone wrote in one of his many tweets, “Crypto has not yet become a mainstream part of candidate platforms. Given user adoption trends, that WILL change for the 2024 election. It’s up to voters and industry, to make sure our voices are heard.”

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