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Hyperbitcoinization coming, says Bitcoin OG as ‘wholecoiners’ hit 1 million

1 million Bitcoin wallets now have a balance of 1 BTC or more, but the real magic is yet to come, says Adam Back.

Bitcoin (BTC) has crossed a significant threshold this month — and while it does not involve price, it does involve “millions.”

Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode confirms that as of May 18, there are over one million addresses which hold at least 1 BTC.

Back: Adoption trend lays path to "hyperbitcoinization"

It was a long time coming and received much attention on social media, and the time is finally here — there are one million entities which own a whole bitcoin.

These “wholecoiners” have been steadily accruing since mid-2021, Glassnode shows, and the upward trend in 1 BTC wallets has seen almost no reversal since.

In 2022, however, the trend accelerated, having started the year with 814,000 wholesalers and finishing it with 978,000 — an increase of 20%.

Reacting, Adam Back, CEO and co-founder of Bitcoin firm Blockstream, made the case for “hyperbitcoinization” soon to come.

Should the existing trend continue, he argued, BTC price growth would soon make buying it not only a luxury, but something unattainable altogether.

This would happen, he tweeted, “because 10mil people trying to buy 1 BTC over a few years would push the price out of reach.”

“And many current hodlers are not selling,” he continued.

“Eg very few of the recent whole coiners would re-sell, probably moving up to their next target for extra bitcoin, most are trying to buy more!”
Bitcoin: Number of Addresses with Balance ≥ 1 chart. Source: Glassnode

As Cointelegraph reported, existing Bitcoin investors who are long-term market participants have broadly resisted the urge to sell through the recent bear market and subsequent price recovery.

At the same time, an uptick in short-term holders, or speculators, in 2023 has got some excited about the birth of a new Bitcoin bull market.

Whale numbers halt 2022 decline

Glassnode data meanwhile shows that at the other end of the spectrum, whale wallets have become stagnant.

Related: Sink or swim at $27K? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Entities with between 1,000 BTC and 9,999 BTC are now showing signs of recovery after falling from mid-2022 onward.

10,000+ BTC entities, on the other hand, remain in a range entered following the FTX collapse last November. There are currently 117 such entities.

Bitcoin: Number of Addresses with Balance ≥ 1k chart. Source: Glassnode

Observers such as monitoring resource Material Indicators often note that the largest classes of whales still exert the most influence over BTC price action thanks to their trading activities.

Magazine: ‘Moral responsibility’: Can blockchain really improve trust in AI?

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin Could Undergo a ‘Little Bit Bigger of a Drop’ if Indicator That’s Acted as Support Flips: Benjamin Cowen

Bitcoin ‘faces headwinds’ as US money supply drops most since 1950s

Research from Bloomberg Intelligence argues that liquidity conditions still do not favor a continuation of the Bitcoin rally.

Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto may yet see a long-term correction thanks to central banks keeping liquidity tight, Bloomberg warned.

In its latest research, Bloomberg Intelligence revealed a cool stance on the ongoing 2023 crypto market rally.

Bloomberg: Expecting BTC price to hold “may be illogical”

Despite gaining 70% in Q1, Bitcoin is not convincing everyone that it will continue to climb or even maintain current levels near $30,000.

Examining the macroeconomic climate, Bloomberg Intelligence became the latest voice to note the close relationship between crypto performance and global central bank liquidity levels.

As inflation bites, banks have been withdrawing liquidity from the economy, with risk assets declining as a result — including crypto. The United States Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening (QT), which began in late 2021, coincided with the current all-time high for Bitcoin.

Despite the recent banking crisis, Bloomberg noted that plunging M2 money supply and bank deposits mean that liquidity continues to be squeezed.

“Risk assets typically rise and fall on the back of liquidity and plunging US money supply, and bank deposits indicate headwinds for cryptos,” it stated in an analysis uploaded to Twitter by Bloomberg Intelligence senior macro strategist Mike McGlone.

“It may be illogical to expect that stock market, crude oil, copper and the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index (BGCI) to sustain recent bounces with year-over-year measures of money supply and commercial bank deposits falling around 2% — the most in our database since 1959.”

The misgivings come as Bitcoin faces a battle to flip historical resistance back to support, with bulls as yet unable to effect major change.

When it comes to liquidity, meanwhile, others have already noted that crypto now responds to the actions of central banks other than the Fed, and both China and Japan have enacted liquidity injections this year.

“A top question at the start of April is what stops the contracting liquidity?” Bloomberg, meanwhile, continued.

“Most central banks still tightening may portend a lower plateau for the BGCI. Our take is Bitcoin faces headwinds but will eventually transition to trade more like gold and Treasury bonds.”

U.S. dollars gives Bitcoin heat

BTC/USD traded around $28,100 at the time of writing on April 6, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

Related: Latest Bitcoin price data suggests double top above $200K in 2025

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

In a potential short-term tailwind for risk assets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) saw fresh losses, abandoning a modest comeback to drop back below 102.

Analyzing the situation, popular Crypto Twitter account Cold Blooded Shiller remained tentatively optimistic about the outcome of BTC’s price.

Analyst Justin Bennett nonetheless flagged a distinct range still intact for the DXY, predicting a rebound to come.

“All the ‘dollar is dead’ chants are about to be silenced by what is still the global reserve,” he warned.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) annotated chart. Source: Justin Bennett/Twitter

Related: Crypto winter can take a toll on hodlers’ mental health

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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Bitcoin price dives pre-FOMC amid warning $17.6K low was not the bottom

The bottom "is not in" for either stocks or crypto, one analyst believes, as alarming data shows copycat moves from 2008 by the S&P 500.

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to weekly lows at the Aug. 17 Wall Street open as upcoming Federal Reserve comments unsettled risk assets.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Dollar climbs as Fed minutes due

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked a more than 2% daily decline in BTC/USD, which hit $23,325 on Bitstamp.

Already showing signs of weakness, the pair slid further as United States equities began trading, hours before the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) was due to release minutes from its latest meeting.

While not involving a decision on interest rates, the meeting was cued to give an insight into the Fed’s thinking in terms of the next rate tweak due in September.

“The important event tonight with the FOMC minutes, through which information can be received whether the FED is going to be hawkish or dovish,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe summarized in his latest Twitter update.

“I don't think it will have a massive impact, however, crypto tends to give it a ton of value and, therefore, lots of volatility.”

Stocks had hit major resistance in line with crypto during the week, leading some concerned sources to continue to predict a further major retracement across the board.

Justin Bennett, the founder of crypto education platform Crypto Academy, warned that the S&P 500 was copying behavior from immediately prior to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.

“This is mind-blowing. The S&P 500 is mimicking the 2008 crash. Even the timing since the ATH is nearly identical,” he commented on a comparative chart.

“The bottom is NOT in for stocks or crypto.”

A telltale sign on the day came in the form of an advancing U.S. dollar, with the U.S. dollar index (DXY) seeking to attack resistance in place throughout August.

“$DXY could be on its way to 112-113 after the fakeout below 105.50. That's going to weigh on stocks and crypto,” Bennett added.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers eye lower bids

On shorter timeframes, the trend on Bitcoin was also rapidly losing steam as bid support inched down the Binance order book.

Related: Bitcoin price sees firm rejection at $24.5K as traders doubt strength

On-chain monitoring resource Material Indicators captured the action, concluding that “even if we get another pump, still believe the Bear Market Rally is losing momentum.”

An upside target could come in the form of the 100-day moving average, a separate post explained, lying at $24,544 at the time of writing.

“Been warning about this breakdown for Bitcoin the past few days,” commentator Matthew Hyland concluded.

“Structure has shifted overall weak recently. Market seemed to have its first signs of life just last week. That seems to be short lived.”
BTC/USD buy and sell levels (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin Could Undergo a ‘Little Bit Bigger of a Drop’ if Indicator That’s Acted as Support Flips: Benjamin Cowen