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Macro factors to spark next crypto bull market in Q2 2024, Real Vision’s Raoul Pal says

Macro factors will play a dominant role in sparking the next crypto bull market, which should start in Q2 2024, according to Raoul Pal.

The next crypto bull market is likely to kick off in Q2 2024, when the Bitcoin (BTC) halving is set to take place, says macro investor and Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal.

He is convinced that despite the hype surrounding the halving, macro factors will play the leading role in sparking the next uptrend. 

According to Pal, the Bitcoin halving cycle coincides with the macro cycle, which means every halving so far has taken place in a similar macroeconomic environment: monetary expansion and low interest rates.

“Macro is actually the dominant factor, and the halving is a false narrative, but it doesn’t matter because it still works,” Pal said in an interview with Cointelegraph.

Among the main catalysts favoring crypto next year are central banks cutting interest rates and potential fiscal stimulus that could precede the United States presidential election. 

Regarding price targets, Pal wants to avoid making predictions given that “you get beat over the head by people” for not getting them right.

Still, looking at past performance, Bitcoin could double or triple its latest all-time highs, Pal believes.

To learn more about how to prepare for the next crypto bull market, check out the full interview with Pal, and don’t forget to subscribe to Cointelegraph’s YouTube channel!

Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

How AI is changing crypto: Hype vs. reality

In the latest Cointelegraph Report, we assessed the value AI is bringing to the crypto industry, by separating the hype from real use cases.

In the latest Cointelegraph Report, we sought to find out the real value AI brings to the crypto industry beyond the hype surrounding the technology. To do so, we looked into three main areas where AI is impacting crypto: trading, data analytics, and user experience. 

For many years, trading bots have allowed users to execute trades in an automated way based on certain pre-set parameters. 

With the recent development of Large Language Models such as ChatGPT, AI-powered bots are capable of processing large amounts of historical data, which can be helpful in predicting future price movements. 

However, despite the latest advancements, AI-powered bots are still not sophisticated enough to elaborate complex trading strategies.

“It's basically like having a bunch of dumb partners who can, who can adhere to very basic commands, but they can't do any like very complicated thinking themselves,” said Eric Crown, a professional crypto trader and YouTuber, sharing his personal experience with AI-powered bots. 

Regarding data analytics, AI tools can process large amounts of public data scattered on the blockchain, providing valuable insights into the dynamics of the crypto ecosystem and assessing potential market risks. 

However, a large amount of market data is kept off-chain by centralized exchanges and therefore is not publicly available. That limits the capability of AI to make accurate assessments. 

To find out more about the real value at the intersection of AI in crypto beyond the hype, watch out full Cointelegraph Report on our YouTube channel and make sure to subscribe!

Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

Here’s why Bitcoin will hit $22K soon

This week, The Market Report discusses why $22,000 is the next logical step for Bitcoin and why BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes claims the bull market started back in March.

In the latest episode of Cointelegraph’s The Market Report, analyst Marcel Pechman explores the drivers that point to Bitcoin heading to $22,000, with investor sentiment worsening after Grayscale Investment’s much-hyped legal victory against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Aug. 29 and its postponement of multiple spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund applications.

According to Pechman, on the side of the bears are multiple lawsuits from the SEC against Binance and Coinbase, including a potential indictment from the U.S. Department of Justice regarding money laundering and facilitating trades from Russian entities. But, more importantly, U.S. inflation has come down to 3.2%, and the U.S. Federal Reserve is draining liquidity from the markets.

Pechman also analyzes BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes’s claims that the Bitcoin bull market began in March. Hayes pinpoints the Silicon Valley Bank fallout and the subsequent intervention by the U.S. Treasury Department as the turning points for the crypto market.

Pechman agrees with Hayes but raises the issue of the U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the U.S. dollar against other major foreign currencies, such as the euro or the Swiss franc, and now sits at the same level as six months prior. Pechman says investors have realized that other countries would likely collapse before the U.S. in the event of a global economic recession.

Ultimately, Pechman believes it doesn’t matter to the Federal Reserve if salvaging the banks could trigger economic turmoil, given that U.S. Treasurys and the U.S. dollar are still considered the safest options. 

Listen to the full episode of The Market Report on the new Cointelegraph Markets & Research YouTube channel, and don’t forget to click “Like” and “Subscribe” to keep up-to-date with all our latest content.

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Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

When will it be too late to invest in Bitcoin?

This week’s episode of Market Talks discusses whether it will ever be “too late” to buy Bitcoin and why BTC could take over the financial world.

On the latest episode of Cointelegraph’s Market Talks, host Ray Salmond spoke with Luke Broyles, a popular Bitcoin (BTC) advocate and content creator on YouTube and X (formerly Twitter). During the show, Broyles laid out his Bitcoin investment thesis and his unique perspectives on how the asset’s price could eventually rise into seven-figure territory.

Broyles said that in 2020, he realized the bond market was broken. While searching for alternative investments, he discovered Bitcoin as a sound option. When asked about his Bitcoin investment strategy and how he stomachs the volatility, Broyles said: 

“I do not own bonds. I have sold off 97% of my stocks over the past three years, and I’m selling off the last 3% this week actually, so it’s funny that you ask that. By the end of this week, the only three assets that I will own will be U.S. dollars, aka cash, the best political currency in the world; second, real estate; and third, Bitcoin. That’s it. And I sleep better now than I did with a diversified portfolio.” 

Everything is overpriced and should crash

Another key factor backing Broyles’ Bitcoin investment thesis is his belief that “everything is overvalued, nothing makes sense, and everything should crash; however, we don’t want to deal with it. Politicians don’t want to deal with it. Lawyers don’t want to deal with it. I, as a real estate investor, don’t want to deal with it.” Broyles believes that stocks, healthcare, real estate and the education industry are highly overvalued, so people are losing faith in the dollar and their dollar purchasing power — which highlights the allure of Bitcoin as a supply-capped asset. 

“If we have a credit unwind, of course we’re going to print ourselves out of it.” 

Related: The future of BTC mining and the Bitcoin halving

When is it too late to invest in Bitcoin? 

When asked whether there is a particular price where it becomes “too late” for investors to consider buying Bitcoin, Broyles made the analogy of a sinking ship and suggested that for those on the boat, it’s never too late to exit. 

“At no point is it ever too late to buy Bitcoin, but it will be too late to exit bonds and to exit fiat.” 

Listen to the full episode of Market Talks on the new Cointelegraph Markets & Research YouTube channel, and don’t forget to click “Like” and “Subscribe” to keep up-to-date with all our latest content.

Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

PayPal’s new PYUSD stablecoin faces legal headwinds and ‘less functionality’

Industry experts explain the benefits and disadvantages of PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin.

Although a clear regulatory framework for digital assets has yet to be established in the United States, PayPal — one of America’s largest financial technology companies — announced on Aug. 7 its U.S. dollar-pegged payment stablecoin, PayPal USD (PYUSD)

A PayPal spokesperson told Cointelegraph that PYUSD is important because mainstream adoption of future digital experiences will require a stable digital instrument that is crypto-native and easily connected to fiat. Despite the unclear regulatory environment for digital assets in the U.S., the spokesperson said:

“Our experience tells us that the time is ripe to modernize and upgrade the technological infrastructure of the financial system — and we want to help businesses and consumers adapt and engage. That is why we are launching a PayPal stablecoin, which is designed to eliminate price volatility found in other digital currencies while enabling confident payments.”

The case for PayPal’s ability to affect stablecoin adoption with its new project is strong, as recent statistics show that over 426 million PayPal accounts are currently actively used. The company also has a market share of just over 50% of the global online payment processing arena.

Understanding the potential impact of PYUSD

While it’s certainly notable that PayPal has launched PYUSD, there are several considerations to keep in mind.

Alex Tapscott, the co-founder of the Blockchain Research Institute and a business author, told Cointelegraph that PayPal clearly understands that stablecoins will be foundational to the future of financial services and payments in particular. He said stablecoins have already proven incredibly lucrative as a business:

“It’s no surprise why PayPal and others might want to enter the market. PayPal is currently facing stiffer competition in its legacy payments business and is looking for ways to diversify into higher-margin areas. Stablecoins are a logical fit, and potentially a lucrative one at a time when Tether’s recent earnings report suggests that it’s poised to post a bigger profit than Starbucks, BlackRock — and even PayPal itself.”

However, there are both advantages and disadvantages that will likely arise with PYUSD. One of the most obvious benefits is that PYUSD may help onboard mainstream users to the Web3 space.

“The biggest advantage of PYUSD is that it is more likely to get integrated into our digital economy as a payments tool that everyday people can use,” said Tapscott.

To put this in perspective, Pegah Soltani, head of payments products at Ripple, told Cointelegraph that stablecoins serve as a mechanism to tokenize fiat currencies, like the U.S. dollar.

“By tokenizing a real-world asset — in this instance, fiat — stablecoins serve to expand the crypto ecosystem because these assets allow the trades or payments in the crypto economy to tie back to fiat,” she said.

However, Soltani noted that PayPal being a closed payments ecosystem may only improve efficiencies for itself: “This may not be groundbreaking for consumers who already experience relatively low fees and fast transaction times when transacting within the PayPal ecosystem of applications.”

On the flip side, Soltani said that if PayPal incentivizes its users to use PYUSD outside of its own ecosystem, it’s possible that the stablecoin will gain more market share relatively quickly. Although PYUSD just recently launched, some global cryptocurrency exchanges, like Changelly, have stated that they will list it.

It’s also important to note that millions of users trust PayPal for financial transactions. Soltani mentioned that one of the potential pitfalls of a stablecoin is that it’s not a trustless system.

“It requires the purchaser to trust the issuer to ensure that their money is actually being backed 1:1. Because PayPal is a well-known brand name, there’s potential for more perceived trust for those who are entering this space for the first time,” she explained.

While all these aspects are noteworthy, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that one of the biggest concerns surrounding PYUSD is the lack of regulatory clarity for digital assets in the United States.

“PayPal chose a very interesting time to launch a stablecoin, given the lack of regulatory clarity around crypto and the challenges that presents for the entire crypto space,” said Soltani.

The issuance and custody of PYUSD are handled by Paxos, a qualified custodian regulated by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Margaret Rosenfeld, chief legal officer at Cube Exchange — a digital asset exchange set to launch in Australia — told Cointelegraph this means the assets are required to be held in a bankruptcy-remote trust, in fully segregated accounts. “Paxos, not PayPal, is holding the assets backing the stablecoin,” she said.

Rosenfeld further said that while Paxos received a Wells notice from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in February 2023 in relation to the Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoin, it’s notable that a veteran fintech firm like PayPal still has a partnership with Paxos.

“This demonstrates the strong headwinds of traditional finance adoption of digital assets in the United States. This becomes important as U.S. banks continue to be pressured by federal regulators about avoiding the so-called risks of digital assets,” she remarked.

Regulations aside, Tapscott believes that PayPal faces an additional disadvantage with PYUSD due to other stablecoins that launched much earlier. “Initially, PYUSD will have lower liquidity and less functionality than more established peers. Tether and Circle together control nearly 100% of the market, and Tether, in particular, is dominant at nearly 80%,” he said.

Moreover, the fact that PYUSD is based on the Ethereum network for transactions may also be concerning.

Mark Heynen, vice president of business development at the Stellar Development Foundation, told Cointelegraph that while incredibly popular, Ethereum is not fundamentally a network built for payments.

“Cost and scalability could end up being distractions in PayPal’s quest toward adoption,” he said.

Given this, Soltani remarked that it would be interesting for PayPal to issue its stablecoin on multiple chains moving forward.

PayPal bullish on blockchain technology and digital assets

While it’s too soon to fully understand the impact PYUSD will have on the Web3 ecosystem, one thing remains certain: PayPal will continue to innovate. The company’s spokesperson said:

“We will continue to deliver the products and services necessary to improve financial health and expand economic opportunity in the new digital era. This includes the new capabilities enabled by digital assets using blockchain technology, including digital currencies and stablecoins.”

Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

Bitcoin rally will lead to “speculative blow-off top” in 2024, Mark Yusko predicts

BlackRock's application for a spot Bitcoin ETF has kicked off the next Bitcoin bull run, which will culminate in 2024 with a speculative parabolic run, according to Morgan Creek Capital’s Mark Yusko.

BlackRock’s application for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has sparked the beginning of a new crypto bull market, which will go parabolic at some point closer to the halving scheduled for April 2024, according to Mark Yusko, the chief investment officer and founder of Morgan Creek Capital. 

“Based on Metcalfe’s law model, fair value for Bitcoin is around $55K. So I think we drift upwards toward that level,” said Yusko in a recent interview with Cointelegraph.

After that, Yusko predicted, speculators will come into the market en masse, pushing the Bitcoin (BTC) price beyond its fair value to new all-time highs.

“We probably will have a speculative blow-off top sometime in 2024. That leads to the next downturn and the next crypto winter," Yusko predicted. 

Yusko is highly confident that BlackRocks’s Bitcoin ETF application will be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission, thus becoming one of the catalysts for the next parabolic bull run.

“I think it’s a done deal. I think it’s been a done deal for years. They’ve just been waiting for the right time," he said, commenting on the application.

To find out more about Yusko’s Bitcoin price outlook for the next months, don’t miss the full interview and subscribe to our YouTube channel!

Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

Ethereum’s Shapella Upgrade Unlocks Staked Ether, Over 860K ETH Poised for Withdrawal, Price Surges 6%

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Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

Market Strategist Predicts Gold Will Be the Top Performer in 2023 Over Cryptocurrencies and Equities

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Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

How AI can make the metaverse a more interactive space

The metaverse will likely impact physical and social interactions, with artificial intelligence a critical factor in this shift.

The potential behind the metaverse is becoming greater as virtual and physical worlds converge. Market intelligence firm Contrive Datum Insights recently found that the global metaverse market is estimated to surpass $1.3 trillion by 2030. According to the study, this growth will be driven by newly adopted virtual economy trends, combined with the rise of both crypto and online games.

Additionally, a recent survey conducted by CoinWire highlighted that the metaverse would likely reshape social lifestyles. CoinWire found that 69% of respondents believe that the metaverse will eventually modify social lifestyles due to new approaches taken for entertainment and activities.

AI will make the metaverse more interactive

Cathy Hackl, author of Into the Metaverse: The Essential Guide to the Business Opportunities of the Web3 era, told Cointelegraph that the metaverse comprises virtual shared experiences that happen both in virtual spaces and in the physical world: 

“It’s just that the physical world side of the metaverse equation hasn’t been fully enabled. It’ll come in the next 10 years. If you take that into account, then how we socialize will be deeply impacted by the metaverse.”

Hackl elaborated that technologies such as volumetric video — a technique that offers a more immersive experience by capturing three-dimensional spaces — will likely change how individuals communicate. “For example, this may help us feel more present when our loved ones are far away,” she said.

Hackl added that artificial intelligence (AI) would help create more interactive metaverse environments moving forward. Although the concept of AI and the metaverse is relatively new, some examples today demonstrate how this may play out.

For instance, Sebastien Borget, co-founder and chief operating officer of The Sandbox — a popular decentralized virtual world — told Cointelegraph that over 1 million users played games in The Sandbox last year. Borget believes that users of The Sandbox have become familiar with using avatars to showcase their digital identities. He said:

“In The Sandbox, users can connect with their digital identity, make friendships and have real emotions through these experiences. It doesn’t matter the background, age or where users are from. The Sandbox is a global, digital nation.”

With this in mind, Borget is aware that metaverse platforms have the potential to reshape social lifestyles. “Three billion people are now digitally native — there is no way back from that. The way to interact is now with avatars in social worlds and across social media platforms,” he said.

Recent: Inside the World Economic Forum: Circle, Ripple reflect on Davos 2023

While this may be, Borget shared that The Sandbox users will eventually be able to incorporate their own physical movements into their digital avatars, resulting in more personalized and realistic characteristics. Borget explained that The Sandbox would partner with Kinetix, a technology startup specializing in AI, to bring “emotes” — animations that express emotion — to video games and virtual worlds.

Yassine Tahi, CEO of Kinetix, told Cointelegraph that emotes will allow users to animate avatars through customized dance moves and physical interactions displayed in reality. “We have developed a unique AI that allows users to record movements with a phone’s camera, which can then be applied to avatars,” he said.

According to Tahi, emotes are important for recreating social interactions. “In the future, people will want to embody the physical world to behave in certain ways in virtual worlds. For instance, if someone falls during a runway show in the physical world, this can be recreated in the metaverse with avatars using emotes.”

Example of emotes being applied to avatars. Source: Kinetix

In addition to emotes, using AI to implement voice characteristics may also help deepen interactions within digital worlds. Sabin Dima, CEO of Humans.ai — a layer-1 protocol built on top of Cosmos — told Cointelegraph that AI would play a massive role in the metaverse when creating better user interactions. “Humans.ai is the blockchain of AI and is being used to mint ‘superskills’ and voices that users can apply to avatars within different virtual worlds,” he explained.

According to Dima, creating a digital voice or allowing avatars to speak in different languages will increase social engagement and improve experiences. To put this in perspective, Dima shared that Humans.ai lets users create digital voices, speak in different languages and implement synthetic voices that may prevent discrimination.

“You can enter a zoom call with a different voice, for instance, which could prevent discrimination if you wish to remain completely anonymous. This will certainly reshape social lifestyles,” he said. Moreover, Dima noted that voices are minted as nonfungible tokens to give users true ownership of their voice clips.

Diana, Humans.ai's Synthetic Avatar, is an example of generative AI technology which can be used for multiple use cases. Source: Humans.ai

Yat Siu, co-founder and chairman of Animoca Brands, further told Cointelegraph that he believes AI will enhance metaverse experiences. 

“One primitive example of this is chatbots. In video games, we constantly engage with non-player characters with rudimentary character development. AI changes this significantly. They will deepen and enhance engagement as well as create deeper meaning and utility to their related ownership of their assets in the metaverse,” he said.

Will metaverse interactions replace physical encounters?

While the metaverse has already started demonstrating how people can engage socially in virtual worlds, incorporating AI within these environments will likely create better engagement. Yet it remains questionable if social interactions in the metaverse will eventually replace physical engagements. 

According to Siu, individuals are already influenced by online experiences. Therefore, he believes that the metaverse will likely create deeper immersion moving forward. Given this, Siu noted that the metaverse will not replace real-life engagements but rather enhance these interactions.

Recent: Genesis Capital’s fall might transform crypto lending — not bury it

Dima added that the metaverse, combined with AI capabilities, will result in a digital transformation that could make individuals “smarter.” “AI will allow avatars to speak in different languages or be present in multiple spaces at the same time,” he said.

Yet while virtual worlds powered by AI will likely result in more realistic experiences, Hackl pointed out that the physical world remains a key part of the metaverse. She said:

“The future of the metaverse is about connected experiences that transcend the physical and virtual divide. They will just be experiences. The difference is that experiences will be augmented by technology.”

Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report

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Jack Dorsey Predicts Bitcoin Will Skyrocket to ‘At Least $1,000,000’ by 2030: Report