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The path moving forward for ex-Ethereum miners remains unclear

It seems that some GPU owners have resorted to selling power to non-crypto projects following the Ethereum Merge.

It’s been nearly two weeks since Ethereum made its historic transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, and some ex-ETH miners say they remain clueless on how to move forward. 

Following the Merge, many took to crypto Twitter to discuss what they believe will happen to these former Ethereum miners. On the day of the merge, Twitter user hashoveride tweeted:

Twitter user BakaMoriDesu suggested in a tweet that ex-eth miners were just going to move on to the next profitable coin, adding, “As an RVN miner, I doubt it will be profitable after the halving anymore.”

Cointelegraph contacted a few ex-Ethereum miners to find out what their plans were moving forward. However, the general consensus revealed that many were still unclear on their next steps. Former miner Christian Ander shared with Cointelegraph:

“To be honest, I don’t know myself yet. Selling GPU power to other computing intense services is far from as profitable as eth was.”

“I am doing research myself and my partners are looking into options,” Ander added, noting “GPU owners are doing research and selling power to non-crypto projects. And when the energy prices are very high, they shut down and sell excessive power to the grid.” Ander said that he’s currently not mining any crypto, and is just evaluating the market.

Another ex-Ethereum miner, Kevin Aguirre, shared with Cointelegraph that he had sold his hardware to his partner, who was now using it to mine other coins, noting:

“I do have some regret in my outcome with my mining machine, but in the end, it supported me and my family through the pandemic.”

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Is post-Merge Ethereum PoS a threat to Bitcoin’s dominance?

Cory Klippsten, the CEO of Swan Bitcoin, shares his views on how "the competition for liquidity" between Bitcoin and Ethereum will play out after the latter's switch to a proof-of-stake system.

While Ethereum (ETH) fans are enthusiastic about the successful Merge, Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten believes the upgrade will lead Ethereum into a “slow slide to irrelevance and eventual death.” 

According to Klippsten, the Ethereum community picked the wrong moment for detaching the protocol from its reliance on energy. As many parts of the world are experiencing severe energy shortages, he believed the environmental narrative is taking the back seat.

In an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph, Klippsten said “I think the world is just waking up to reality and Ethereum just went way off into Fantasyland at the exact wrong time.”

“It is just really bad timing to roll out that narrative. It just looks stupid.”

According to some predictions, institutional capital will increasingly turn away from Bitcoin (BTC) and flow into Ethereum unless Bitcoin doesn’t move away from the energy-consuming proof-of-work system.

Klippsten dismisses this narrative as false, citing that, ultimately, all valuable technologies need to rely on real-world energy to function correctly.

"If you don't have some tethering to the real world using laws of physics, you're basically off creating some kind of like metaverse fantasyland". 

Watch the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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Ethereum post-Merge hard forks are here: Now what?

The Merge marks a turning point for the Ethereum network, but what are the consequences of switching to a new consensus mechanism?

On the first day after the Merge, the decentralized finance (DeFi) community is settling into the seemingly uneventful transition of the Ethereum network from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS). However, it has yet to be seen the benefits that hard forks will bring to PoW supporters.

So far, the most important contending networks in favor of the mining community, EthereumPoW and Ethereum Classic, have shown different outcomes post-Merge.

A stumbling start

The fledgling EthereumPoW started its debut with Twitter users reporting issues with accessing the network. The issues were confirmed to be the result of a hack to the network but was reportedly resolved.

Major cryptocurrency exchange OKX has already started providing on-chain data for the new network. Though the current transaction activity of the crypto asset seems stable, the PoW spin-off’s price value has been in constant decay since its launch, going from a price of $137 at its peak to $5.87 at publishing time, according to CoinMarketCap.

Moving forward, there is no clear infrastructure or roadmap plan for the ETHPoW network. The project’s “meme” white paper, displayed on its website, is 10 pages long, with five of them solely dedicated to the title of the project and the remaining five “intentionally left blank.” The prank document is also accompanied by a GitHub repository with merely 16 contributions since August this year, and no further information is provided on the section of EthereumPoW official documents.

ETC’s revival

The cryptocurrency Ethereum Classic (ETC) could see a turnaround in its struggle to lift off, as the community could shift to the six-year-old project.

Originally created in 2016, the existence of Ethereum Classic is the result of one of the biggest philosophical divisions in the Ethereum community. The fork originated as a solution to the hack of The DAO, a project executing on the Ethereum network.

The DAO was an early iteration of a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) on the Ethereum network. To address the hack and compensate investors, the community agreed to essentially roll back the network’s history to before the hack happened with a hard fork. While the new fork inherited the name “Ethereum,” those who disagreed with the move continued to support the old fork, which became known as Ethereum Classic.

Today, Ethereum Classic works as an open-source blockchain that runs smart contracts with its own cryptocurrency.

The preference for ETC over other fork options goes beyond its market price, already submitted to various ups and downs, but rather a matter of practicality. Sebastian Nill, ETC miner and chief operations officer of mining consulting company AETERNAM, told Cointelegraph that, since it runs using a PoW consensus protocol, it is more attractive for the mining community, adding:

“The possibility of a hardfork has always been there. People are always going to prefer to be able to mine Ether rather than having to buy it.”

As the network is a fork of Ethereum, meaning everything the main network had can be replicated on its hard fork, that doesn’t imply that the possibility of building products and services on top of the ETC’s chain would be the main interest for the community. 

The cryptoasset could also absorb most of the energy consumption left by Ethereum to apply on their own proof-of-work, allowing the network to confirm transactions and maintain its security with an important amount of energy resources.

“Ethereum Classic is going to be just as effective as Ethereum was for miners. In the end, the community is going to pick ETC, not because of its rentability but for effectiveness for data processing,” Nill says.

The user perspective

The users that decide to hold Ethereum PoW or any subsequent token post-Merge could find it difficult to trade their new assets. The support for operations with the fork-resulting asset from major exchanges like Binance is a current relief for holders who still face the asset’s decay in value.

Moreover, another concern that could be in sight is the one coming from the regulation front. In a recent commentary given to Wall Street Journal reporters on Thursday, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Gary Gensler reportedly said that cryptocurrencies and intermediaries that allowed staking could be defined as a security.

The regulatory attention toward Ethereum resulting from a PoW to PoS transition could be a game changer that effectively fits the U.S. law. This is due to the possibility of staked assets to generate dividends and be seen as securities according to the Howey test.

On the other hand, while Ethereum’s upcoming PoS model is more energy efficient and environmentally friendly, the upgrade hasn’t cured the current headaches for DeFi protocols and its users, like network congestion and high transaction fees, known as gas fees. For instance, the first nonfungible token (NFT) to be minted post-Merge cost over $60,000 in gas fees.

The building of strong foundations over providing lower gas fees and major transaction speed is a temporary tradeoff that won’t affect the market, as Matt Weller, global head of research of City Index, told Cointelegraph:

“From a user perspective, you want something that is cheap, fast and reliable. Through the Merge and more scaling in future plans for the Ethereum Foundation, this could be a foreseeable opportunity. They have worked from a very safe place, assuring security at all cost over other tradeoffs.” 

No shortcuts

Ethereum’s choice to bet on a change for its consensus protocol has been defended as a necessary, non-negotiable step. 

Skylar Weaver, devcon and devconnect lead of the Ethereum Foundation, told Cointelegraph that the Merge is a testament to the network’s “no shortcuts” approach to its development:

“No, I don’t think it is a trade-off. I see PoS as a necessary step to achieve those user-focused perks, like transaction speed and lower gas fees. Other chains achieve lower gas fees and faster transaction speeds indeed by making tradeoffs: They sacrifice decentralization to have more scalability. They take shortcuts.” 

Moreover, the usage of rollups through layer-2 networks will still allow access to Ethereum’s benefits for mainstream users.

“Ethereum is scaling right now via L2s. Specifically rollups. Folks can use Rollups today to have transactions with a fraction of the gas cost, faster, while still inheriting the security and decentralization benefits of Ethereum. That's how we are scaling without taking shortcuts.” Weaver said.

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Ethereum risks another 10% drop versus Bitcoin as $15.4M exits ETH investment funds

Macroeconomic factors and centralization concerns are putting pressure on Ethereum's price post-Merge.

Ethereum's Merge on Sep. 15 turned out to be a sell-the-news event, which looks set to continue. 

Notably, Ether (ETH) dropped considerably against the U.S. dollar and Bitcoin (BTC) after the Merge. As of Sep. 22, ETH/USD and ETH/BTC trading pairs were down by more than 20% and 17%, respectively, since Ethereum's switch to Proof-of-Stake (PoS.

ETH/USD and ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

What's eating Ether bulls?

Multiple catalysts contributed to Ether's declines in the said period. First, ETH's price fall against the dollar appeared in sync with similar declines elsewhere in the crypto market, driven by Federal Reserve's 75 basis points (bps) rate hike.

Second, Ethereum faced a lot of flak for becoming too centralized post-Merge.

Only five entities produced 60% of the blocks  so far. The biggest share belongs to Lido DAO, an Ethereum staking service, that has 4.19 million ETH deposited, or over 30% of the total amount staked into Ethereum's official PoS smart contract.

ETH 2.0 total value staked by provider. Source: Glassnode

Third, institutional investors, or "smart money," also reduced exposure to the Ethereum-focused investment vehicles in the day leading up to and after the Merge.

Ethereum funds witnessed $15.4 million worth of capital outflows from their coffers in the week ending Sep. 16, according to CoinShares' weekly report. In contrast, Bitcoin-based investment funds attracted $17.4 million in the same week, suggesting capital migration post-Merge.

Lastly, Ether also felt extreme selling pressure from its proof-of-work (PoW) miners, who sold $40 million worth of Ether in the days leading up to the PoS update.

Independent market analyst Tuur Demeester noted that Ether could continue its decline versus Bitcoin in the coming days, citing ETH/BTC's previous reaction to key events in the Ethereum market, as shown below.

ETH/BTC price performance around key Ethereum events. Source: TradingView

The chart shows Ether traders' practice of pumping ETH against Bitcoin ahead of adoption-related narratives, such as nonfungible tokens (NFT) and the Defi craze of 2021, and the ICO boom of 2017.

All of these rallies fizzled out once the hype subsided. Demeester highlights Ethereum's switch to PoS as a similar hype phase that pushed ETH/BTC higher in 2022, expecting the pair to undergo a deep correction in the coming weeks.

"I expect ETH/BTC to break down violently at some point," he said, adding:

"ETH is a ticking time bomb."

ETH/BTC technicals hint at 10% drop ahead

Placing these fundamentals against Ether's technicals versus Bitcoin presents a similarly bearish setup.

Related: Jerome Powell is prolonging our economic agony

On the three-day chart, ETH/BTC has dropped by nearly 25% after topping out at 0.085 BTC, a level that coincides with its long-serving resistance level of 0.081 BTC.

Now,the pair eyes an additional drop toward its multi-month ascending trendline support, as illustrated below. 

ETH/BTC three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

The trendline support falls in sync with 0.06 BTC, a level that has served as a pullback zone in 2022. In other words, another 10% decline is on the table.

ETH/USD's bearish setup is worse

Against the dollar, Ether could decline by as much as 45% due to what appears to be an ascending triangle pattern in a downtrend.

ETH/USD three-day price chart featuring 'ascending triangle' pattern. Source: TradingView

As a rule, the bearish continuation pattern resolves after the price breaks below its lower trendline and then falls by as much as its maximum height. Hence the bearish target sits near $700 by the end of this year, down 45% from today's price.

Conversely, a pullback from the triangle's lower trendline could have Ether rise toward the upper trendline, which means a rally toward $1,775, or a 35% gain from current price levels.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Staking providers could expand institutional presence in the crypto space: Report

The recent Ethereum upgrade highlights staking opportunities for institutional holders. In the short term, however, liquidity is still an issue, .

The Ethereum blockchain’s carbon footprint is expected to reduce by 99% following last week’s Merge event. By positioning staking as a service for retail and institutional investors, the upgrade could also have a significant impact on the crypto economy, according to a report from Bitwise on Tuesday.

The company said it projects potential gains of 4%–8% for long-term investors through Ether (ETH) staking, while J.P. Morgan analysts forecast that staking yields across PoS blockchains could double to $40 billion by 2025.

Users who stake crypto assets earn rewards — known as yields — from transaction fees paid by other network users. Seen by some as a form of passive income generation, staking requires users to lock their assets in a smart contract, during which time coins can not be spent or traded on the market. This may be one of the main challenges to the adoption of PoS blockchains, especially by institutional investors.

In a Q2 earnings call, Coinbase CEO Alesia Haas noted that institutional staking of crypto assets could be a "phenomenon" in the future as soon as the market overcomes its liquidity lock-up.

Industry players have proposed a number of solutions in an effort to address this lack of liquidity surrounding staked coins. On Sunday, Alluvial announced a liquid collective enterprise and multichain protocol with Coinbase and Kraken as integrators and Staked, Coinbase Cloud and Figment as validators. The solution aims to provide institutional holders with a viable liquid staking solution.

“Proof of Stake blockchains make up more than half of the entire crypto market cap, yet, there hasn't been a viable option for institutional token holders to participate in liquid staking," Matt Leisinger, CEO of Alluvial said in a statement.

Ahead of the Merge, the Swiss digital asset banking platform SEBA Bank launched an Ethereum staking service for institutions eager to earn yields from staking on the Ethereum network. According to the firm, the move was a response to the growing institutional demand for decentralized finance (DeFi) services.

"Not only are investors diving head first into staking, but they are leveraging liquid staking services and the composability of DeFi to amplify the APY and utility of assets they are already staking," stated the authors of a Bitwise report.

The opportunity for staking could bring further centralization issues to the community as well. Hours after completing the upgrade, analysis from Santiment indicated that 46.15% of Ethereum’s PoS nodes are controlled by only two addresses belonging to Lido and Coinbase, respectively holding 30.8% and 14.7% market share of the $13.2 billion staked ETH as of as August 31.

As more staking providers enter the market, not only will institutional holders benefit, but risks may also be diversified and network resilience may improve, according to Bitwise analysis.

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Ethereum miners dump 30K ETH, stonewalling ‘ultra sound money’ deflation narrative

Ethereum miners have sold over $40 million worth of ETH because of the Merge and plummeting revenue.

Ethereum's switch to proof-of-stake (PoS) on Sept. 15 failed to extend Ether's (ETH) upside momentum as ETH miners added sell pressure to the market. 

On the daily chart, ETH price declined from around $1,650 on Sept. 15 to around $1,350 on Sept. 20, an almost 16% drop. The ETH/USD pair dropped in sync with other top cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), amid worries about higher Federal Reserve rate hikes.

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Ethereum remains inflationary

The Ether price drop on Sept. 15 also coincided with an increase in ETH supply, albeit not immediately post-Merge. 

Roughly 24 hours later, the supply change flipped positive once more, pouring cold water on the "ultra sound money" narrative due to a deflationary environment that some proponents expected post-Merge. 

Pre-Merge, Ethereum distributed around 13,000 ETH per day to its proof-of-stake (PoW) miners and about 1,600 ETH to its PoS validators. But the rewards to miners dropped after the Merge went live by roughly 90%.

Meanwhile, validators receiving Ether rewards now only make 10.6% of the previous amount. As a result, Ether's annual emissions have dropped by around 0.5%, making ETH less inflationary, and perhaps even deflationary under certain circumstances.

Still, the Ether supply has been rising at an annual rate of 0.2% after the Merge, according to data provided by Ultrasound Money. 

Ether supply rate after the Merge. Source: Ultrasound.Money

The main reason behind the growing supply is lower transaction fees.

Notably, Ethereum made a change to its protocol in August 2021 that introduced a fee-burning mechanism. In other words, the network started removing a portion of the fee it charges for each transaction permanently. This system has burned 2.6 million ETH since going live.

Data shows that the Ethereum network's gas fees must be around 15 Gwei to counterbalance the ETH rewarded to validators. But the fee was averaging around 14.3 Gwei on Sept. 20, meaning the ETH supply, on the whole, has been increasing.

Ethereum gas fees vs. supply. Source: Ultrasound.Money

Nonetheless, ETH's issuance rate has decreased post-Merge, even though the supply rate remains positive with roughly 3,700 ETH minted post-Merge to date.

Miners add to ETH selling pressure

In addition, Ether's price drop post-Merge comes after Ethereum miners' mass exit from the ETH market.

Related: Does the Ethereum Merge offer a new destination for institutional investors?

Miners sold about 30,000 ETH (~$40.7 million) in the days leading up to the Ethereum's PoS update, according to data provided by OKLink.

ETH miner address balance. Source: OKLink

Pseudonymous analyst "BakedEnt.eth" noted that the miners' ETH selling-spree offset the impact of the slowdown in Ether's issuance reduction.

"The Merge has been live for a couple of days, but many fail to see the impact of the 95% daily issuance reduction for a total of 49.000 $ETH in 4 days," he wrote, adding:

"Miners have been selling relentlessly into this reduction and have dumped over 30.000 $ETH in the same timeframe."

ETH's price now risks dropping a further $750 in light of current macroeconomic headwinds, which are putting pressure on risk-on assets across the board.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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White House’s first crypto framework and missed opportunities — Law Decoded, Sept. 12-19

The industry didn’t take the document well, as the policymakers’ focus on security and enforcement is all too visible.

By the end of last week, the federal agencies presented the results of their six-month-long work on the principal directions for digital assets regulation in the United States. The resulting first-ever crypto framework, published on the White House website, may not contain many surprises or exact details, but, as a part of President Joe Biden’s executive order, it will undoubtedly affect the policymaking decisions to come. 

Perhaps the most important section of the framework is dedicated to central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). It revealed that the administration has already developed policy objectives for a U.S. CBDC system, but further research on the possible technological foundation of that system is needed. Still, the intent seems pretty serious as the Treasury will lead an interagency working group with the participation of the Federal Reserve, the National Economic Council, the National Security Council and the Office of Science and Technology Policy.

The industry didn’t take the document well, as the policymakers’ focus on security and enforcement is all too visible. Kristin Smith, executive director of the U.S.-based Blockchain Association, called it “a missed opportunity to cement U.S. crypto leadership,” highlighting its heavy emphasis on risks, not opportunities, and the lack of substantive recommendations on the promotion of the crypto industry. Speaking to Cointelegraph, Sheila Warren of the Crypto Council for Innovation said the policy recommendations seemed to be based on an “outdated and unbalanced understanding” of crypto, which could leave the details to be determined by other lawmakers or the next administration.

The Merge and its regulatory repercussions

Ethereum’s upgrade to proof-of-stake (PoS) may have placed the cryptocurrency back in the crosshairs of the Securities and Exchange Commission. SEC chairman Gary Gensler reportedly said that cryptocurrencies and intermediaries that allow holders to “stake” their crypto may define it as a security under the Howey test. Gensler went on to say that intermediaries offering staking services to their customers “looks very similar — with some changes of labeling — to lending.” The SEC has previously said they didn’t see Ether (ETH) as a security, with both the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the SEC agreeing that it acted more like a commodity.

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18 potential design forms for the American CBDC 

The Office of Science and Technology Policy submitted a report analyzing the design choices for 18 central bank digital currency systems for possible implementation in the U.S. The technical analysis of the 18 CBDC design choices was made across six broad categories: participants, governance, security, transactions, data and adjustments. Helping policymakers decide on the ideal US CBDC system, the OSTP report highlighted the implications of including third parties in the two design choices under the “participants” category — transport layer and interoperability. For governance, the report weighed various factors related to permissions, access tiering, identity privacy and remediation.

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Thailand prepares to ban crypto lending 

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Thailand is preparing to take radical measures in the aftermath of crypto lending platforms’ crashes experienced in Summer 2022. The Thai SEC plans to prohibit crypto platforms from providing or supporting digital asset depository services. The planned ban includes several principal points. It will prohibit operators from taking a deposit of digital assets with a promise to pay returns to depositors — even if the returns come not from the growing value of the assets but from the promotion budget. The advertising of lending and depositary services would also be banned.

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Flashbots build over 82% relay blocks, adding to Ethereum centralization

BitMEX, too, highlighted the need for a complete redevelopment of Flashbots or a similar system to mitigate unforeseen complications in an era after the Merge.

Following the completion of The Merge upgrade, Ethereum (ETH) transitioned into a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, helping the blockchain become energy efficient and secure. However, mining data reveals Ethereum’s heavy reliance on Flashbots — a single server — for building blocks, raising concerns over a single point of failure for the ecosystem.

Flashbots is a centralized entity dedicated to transparent and efficient Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) extraction, which acts as a relay for delivering Ethereum blocks. Data from mevboost.org show that there are six active relays currently delivering at least one block in Ethereum, namely Flashbots, BloXroute Max Profit, BloXroute Ethical, BloXroute Regulated, Blocknative and Eden.

Relays sorted by number of delivered blocks. Source: mevboost.org

As shown above, out of the lot, 82.77% of all relay blocks have been found to be built by Flashbots alone — contributing heavily to Ethereum centralization.

A related blog from BitMEX highlighted the need for a complete redevelopment of Flashbots or a similar system to mitigate unforeseen complications in an era after the Merge. However, Flashbots proponents argue that the system is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) and will eventually become decentralized itself.

Related: Ethereum Merge: Community reacts with memes, GIFs and tributes

Complementing the data related to Flashbots’ dominance, an analysis from Santiment indicated that 46.15% of Ethereum’s PoS nodes are controlled by only two addresses.

"Since the successful completion of the Merge, the majority of the blocks — somewhere around 40% or more — have been built by two addresses belonging to Lido and Coinbase. It isn’t ideal to see more than 40% of blocks being settled by two providers, particularly one that is a centralized service provider (Coinbase)," explained Ryan Rasmussen, crypto research analyst at Bitwise.

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Proof-of-Work Proponents Question Validator Censorship as 59% of Staked Ethereum Is Held by 4 Companies

Proof-of-Work Proponents Question Validator Censorship as 59% of Staked Ethereum Is Held by 4 CompaniesPrior to The Merge, Ethereum used to have dozens upon dozens of mining pools dedicating hashrate toward the blockchain network. That has all changed and most of the miners transitioned or plan on transitioning to other Ethash compatible coins like ethereum classic, ERGO, and the new fork ETHW. Now Ethereum blocks are verified by validators […]

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New Ethereum PoW Fork Gathers 60 Terahash From Well Known Pools, ETHW’s Price Shudders 39% in 24 Hours

New Ethereum PoW Fork Gathers 60 Terahash From Well Known Pools, ETHW’s Price Shudders 39% in 24 HoursFollowing Ethereum’s transition from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoW) roughly five different crypto assets were the main beneficiaries of Ethereum’s former hashrate. However, 24 hours after The Merge, anonymous developers launched an Ethereum PoW fork called ETHW and the fork has managed to garner 60.92 terahash per second (TH/s) of hashpower. However, ETHW has lost […]

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