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‘There is a global race underway for Bitcoin’ — Anthony Pompliano

The election of a pro-crypto President in the United States and growing macroeconomic turmoil will continue to drive investors to Bitcoin.

Asset manager and investor Anthony Pompliano recently stated that the global Bitcoin (BTC) arms race between sovereign nations and governments has already started.

In an appearance on Yahoo Finance, Pompliano argued that market participants believe President-elect Trump will keep his campaign promises and establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve, and that doing so would be in the best interest of the United States to prevent being "Front-run by other countries." Pompliano asserted:

The pro-Bitcoin asset manager explained that the race to adopt Bitcoin is primarily driven by currency devaluation and noted that US residents lost approximately 25% of their purchasing power over the last five years.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Crypto market cap hits $3.1T high, could soon surpass France’s GDP

If the crypto market were a country, it would be the eighth largest in GDP terms behind the United States, China, Germany, Japan, India, the United Kingdom and France.

Crypto market capitalization has reached a new all-time high of $3.12 trillion — and is now close to surpassing France’s gross domestic product (GDP). 

On Nov. 11, total crypto market capitalization soared 7% over 24 hours, due mainly to a sudden surge in Bitcoin, which rallied to $89,500. 

If the crypto market were a country, it would be the eighth largest in GDP terms behind the United States, China, Germany, Japan, India, the United Kingdom and France.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin can still hit $100K, no matter who wins US election

 The prospect of favorable regulations and Bitcoin’s hedge status mean that Bitcoin can weather any election result and even reach $100,000.

Opinion by Georgii Verbitskii, founder of TYMIO Yield and TYMIO Protect.

The 2024 United States presidential election has raised debates about how both candidates might shape the future of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin (BTC). 

With the growing number of Bitcoin and altcoin holders in the United States, any winner would make crypto regulation a key issue. 

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

US lagging behind in global stablecoin adoption — Chainalysis

Growing demand for US dollar-backed stablecoins and regulatory uncertainty in the US are the key reasons for stablecoins thriving in other jurisdictions.

The United States has seen record Bitcoin activity since the launch of spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, stablecoin adoption in the US has slowed in 2024 compared to global markets, according to an Oct. 17 report from Chainalysis.

US markets have recorded a significant shift in stablecoin activity this year, with the share of stablecoin transactions on US-regulated exchanges dropping from roughly 50% in 2023 to below 40% in 2024.

In contrast, the share of stablecoin transactions on non-US regulated platforms has surged since 2023, breaking 60% in 2024, according to Chainalysis’ latest report on crypto adoption trends in North America.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Pudgy Penguins CEO unfazed by SEC actions against the NFT sector

While the SEC focuses on investor protection, Pudgy Penguins CEO Luca Schnetzler believes that investors should also hold some form of accountability for their purchases. 

Pudgy Penguins CEO Luca Schnetzler, widely known in the NFT space as Luca Netz, stated that he remains unfazed by the recent actions taken by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against the NFT industry.

On Aug. 28, NFT marketplace OpenSea revealed that it had received a Wells notice from the SEC. The company claimed that the SEC is alleging that NFTs on the trading platform may qualify as securities. Then, on Sept. 17, the SEC imposed a $750,000 fine on the restaurant Flyfish Club for offering NFTs.

As the SEC takes action against the industry, some argue that it is necessary to respond to these measures. However, Schnetzler dismisses the SEC’s actions as “nonsense.”

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Hashdex tips spot Bitcoin ETFs to trade by Q2, followed by Ethereum

Hashdex's head of product for the U.S. and Europe says the exact timing for a spot Bitcoin ETF is unclear but predicts it to start by the second quarter of 2024.

Hashdex, one of the 13 asset managers vying for spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund, expects to see the first spot Bitcoin ETF in the United States land by the second quarter of 2024, followed by a spot Ether (ETH) ETF.

“The exact timing of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. remains unclear, but in 2023, the narrative around this product switched from a question of ‘if’ to a matter of ‘when,’” said Hashdex’s U.S.

“We believe U.S. investors will have access to a spot Bitcoin ETF by the second quarter of the new year and that a spot Ether ETF is likely to follow.”

Hashdex is one of the 13 asset managers with a spot Bitcoin ETF bid before the Securities and Exchange Commission. It has also pitched a hybrid Ether ETF that holds both futures and spot contracts to the same regulator.

While Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have pinned 90% odds that spot Bitcoin ETFs will be approved in the days leading up to Jan.

Seyffart noted in November that “there could be weeks or even months between approval and launch.”

Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

SEC continues to delay decisions on crypto ETFs: Law Decoded

The latest delays came two weeks before the second deadline for many applicants.

Despite United States Representatives Mike Flood, Wiley Nickel, Tom Emmer and Ritchie Torres calling on the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to immediately approve the listing of spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the agency once again delayed its decision. 

When it comes to spot Ether (ETH) ETFs from VanEck and ARK 21Shares, the SEC delayed making decisions until Dec. 25 and Jan. 10, respectively, while GlobalX will have to wait until Nov. 21 for the commission’s decision. It also delayed deciding on the spot Bitcoin ETF applications of Invesco, Bitwise and Valkyrie until mid-January.

The latest delays came two weeks earlier than the scheduled second deadline date for many applicants, who had been expecting to hear from the securities regulator by Oct. 16–19. The timing of the delays may have been related to the narrowly avoided U.S. government shutdown, which would have disrupted the country’s financial regulators and other federal agencies.

Bitwise Asset Management reacted to the delay of its spot Bitcoin ETF with an amended application, responding to the SEC’s objections to the product. In its amended application, Bitwise engaged with what the SEC called “the ‘mixed’ or ‘inconclusive’ academic record” on the lead-lag relationship between BTC futures and spot markets.

Another Chinese court recognized Bitcoin as property 

The Shanghai No.2 Intermediate People’s Court in China has recognized Bitcoin as a unique and non-replicable digital asset while acknowledging its scarcity and inherent value. According to the court’s report, digital currencies such as Bitcoin stand out as unique and non-replicable internet technology products. The report states that among a sea of digital currencies, Bitcoin is different and unique from other digital assets. It has key currency features such as scalability, ease of circulation, storage and payment. 

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Taiwan bans unregistered foreign crypto exchanges

Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) formulated the critical points for regulating Taiwan’s cryptocurrency market, releasing industry guidelines for virtual asset service providers (VASP) operating in the country. In the guidelines, the authority mentioned standard industry-wide rules like separating exchange treasury assets from customer assets and reviewing mechanisms for listing and delisting virtual assets.

The FSC also required foreign VASPs to refrain from providing their services in Taiwan without obtaining necessary approvals from the regulator: Overseas virtual asset platform operators are not allowed to provide business within the territory of the country [...] unless they have been registered in accordance with the law.”

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Hong Kong will list “suspicious” crypto platforms

The Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) of Hong Kong will publish a list of all licensed, deemed licensed, closing down, and application-pending virtual asset trading platforms (VATPs) to better help members of the public identify potentially unregulated VATPs doing business in Hong Kong. The SFC said it will also keep a dedicated list of “suspicious VATPs,” featured in an easily accessible and prominent part of the regulators’ website.

The new rules come immediately after the ongoing JPEX crypto exchange scandal, an affair that local media outlets describe as one of the worst cases of financial fraud ever to hit the region. JPEX stands accused of promoting its services to Hong Kong residents despite not having applied for a license in the country.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

FTX’s $3.4B crypto liquidation: What it means for crypto markets

Bankrupt crypto exchange FTX has been approved to liquidate nearly $3.4 billion worth of crypto assets, creating a sense of panic among crypto investors, but experts say the phased liquidation schedule will ensure market stability.

The FTX bankruptcy lawsuit reached a key juncture in the second week of September after the United States Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware approved the sale of $3.4 billion worth of crypto assets.

The court also approved $1.3 billion in brokerage and government-recovered assets as part of the liquidation process, with $2.6 billion in cash bringing the total tally to $7.1 billion in liquid assets.

Among the different cryptocurrencies set for liquidation, Solana (SOL) tops the pile with a value of $1.16 billion, and Bitcoin (BTC) is the second-largest asset held, valued at $560 million. 

Graph from a stakeholder update outlining the worth of assets based on Aug. 31 prices. Source: United States Bankruptcy Court

Other assets to be liquidated include $192 million in Ether (ETH), $137 million in Aptos (APT), $120 million in Tether (USDT), $119 million in XRP (XRP), $49 million in Biconomy Exchange Token (BIT), $46 million in Stargate Finance (STG), $41 million in Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) and $37 million in Wrapped Ethereum (WETH).

Bitcoin, Ether and insider-affiliated tokens can only be sold after giving a 10 days advance notice to U.S. trustees appointed by the Department of Justice. The court also permitted hedging options for these assets.

The allowance for hedging is significant because FTX can use various financial instruments, such as futures, options and perpetual swaps to offset the losses.

The ruling drew industry-wide attention due to the significant amount of crypto assets approved for sale, with many questioning the potential impact on the crypto market.

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Joshua Garcia, partner at Web3-focused legal firm Ketsal, told Cointelegraph that determining whether the liquidation was the right decision is challenging. He said that bankruptcy courts have to focus on what is good for creditors, and creditors may care more about the recovery of funds rather than a potential slump in the price of the assets being liquidated.

“Whether or not this decision impacts the token price is perhaps not the court’s primary concern. The potential or imagined market impact may mean nothing to a judge or creditors committee if it doesn’t make creditors whole, at least in the eyes of the court. The concern here is millions of users suffered substantial losses due to FTX’s actions. Making victims as whole as possible is the top priority.”

The discovery of billions of dollars of liquid assets also relieved many creditors in the case. 

Blake Harris, an asset protection attorney, believes unearthing liquid assets can be a game-changer in the FTX bankruptcy case. He told Cointelegraph that the newfound liquid assets “could offer more flexibility in asset management, allowing for a strategic approach that balances immediate legal requirements with broader market implications,” adding that “the discovery of such assets could provide some relief in terms of meeting immediate financial obligations, but it’s also essential to consider how these assets will be managed moving forward to prevent similar situations in the future.”

Market analysts predicted that Solana and Aptos prices have the highest chance of facing price volatility after liquidation based on each token’s daily trading volume.

FTX liquidation won’t risk a crypto market cascade

The bankruptcy court has taken measures to ensure that the liquidation of FTX assets won’t become a burden for the crypto market.

The court order permits FTX to sell digital assets through an investment adviser in weekly batches in accordance with pre-established rules. Galaxy Digital has been entrusted with liquidating the assets and maximizing returns for FTX’s creditors while ensuring market stability.

The court also permitted FTX “to utilize staking options available through their qualified custodians using their respective private validators if the Debtors determine in the reasonable exercise of their business judgment that such activities are in the best interests of their estates.”

In the first week, there will be a $50 million cap on the sale of assets, followed by a $100 million cap in the succeeding weeks. The cap can be increased up to $200 million per week with the previous written consent of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee after court approval.

Anthony Panebianco, a commercial business litigator, told Cointelegraph that legally, a court may permit a debtor to liquidate its assets “outside the normal scope of business” in order to maximize the value from the sale to repay creditors, adding:

“The interesting part is that the court took an additional step to look at the general marketplace for the assets it is granting liquidation of. That is, the court is looking at protecting both creditors and non-creditors of FTX by the manner in which it has ordered the liquidation process.” 

He also highlighted the different liquidation strategies for BTC and ETH. He said the “court-approved hedging arrangements for Bitcoin and Ether are subject to certain investment guidelines,” adding that “the court did not include Solana in these eligible assets for hedging arrangements, likely because of FTX’s large position in Solana. All three appear to be eligible for staking arrangements, again with oversight.”

Among all crypto assets held by FTX slated for liquidation, Solana became a major point of discussion owing to the $1.1 billion of the asset on the bankrupt crypto exchange’s balance sheet. According to market analysts, people considering a short position should be wary of the unlock period of the tokens held by FTX, with a complete unlock in 2028.

Looking at FTX’s SOL staking unlock schedule, a significant chunk of these tokens will slowly make their way to the market via linear vesting or scheduled unlocks until 2028, with the largest unlock scheduled for March 2025. Most of the SOL is locked in staking contracts. 

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The linear vesting program offers a simple mechanism to gradually release a token balance over certain periods.

Currently, only 24% of the total $1.16 billion SOL tokens have been unlocked. Apart from Solana, Aptos tokens are also 100% locked and will be unlocked in phases over the next few years.

Solana unlocking schedule. Source: An Ape’s Prologue/X

In its own analysis, Coinbase crypto exchange said that the scheduled and phased liquidation will keep the market stable, noting the strict controls in place for selling certain “insider-affiliated” tokens and a major part of FTX’s SOL holdings locked up until around 2025 due to the token’s vesting schedule. 

While many experts state that markets are more or less safe amid the FTX liquidation, the exchange’s saga is far from over, with former CEO Sam Bankman-Fried’s legal team sparring with prosecutors for special conditions ahead of the trial.

Moreover, the exchange’s alleged illegal behavior has dealt a significant blow to public trust in the crypto ecosystem.

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Binance exit aftershock: Can one resignation tip the crypto trust scales?

The announcement of yet another top figure departing Binance coincided with an increased outflow of funds from the crypto platform. But can one executive resignation really have such an impact?

On Sept. 13, news broke of yet another high-level executive parting ways with Binance.US

This time, it was none other than Brian Shroder, the CEO and president of the exchange, who, after two years in the hot seat, was heading for a “deserved break,” as Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao was quick to announce on X (formerly Twitter) that same day.

The news coincided with the announcement that around 100 people had also lost their jobs that day — about a third of the workforce. 

A massive outflow of funds followed, with the highest being just over $66 million in a single transaction. Zhao was keen to underline that Shroder’s departure was amicable and that he had achieved everything he had set out to do.

“Ignore the FUD,” was the call from the parapets, the common plea for calm when any kind of disruption occurs.

In an industry strained and battered by tales of fraud and wrongdoing, however, this call went unheeded once again. The days since the news broke have seen significant outflows from Binance to platforms such as Jump, AU21 Capital, QCP Capital and Wintermute.

Once again, it raises issues that have long dogged the cryptosphere, chiefly those of influence and trust. There are few other sectors where layoffs or a change at the top of a company can have such an impact.

Such things are generally accepted as the natural ebb and flow of the business world, and while there may be a momentary blip, more often than not, things are back on track fairly soon afterward.

Transactions between cryptocurrency platforms in the days following the announcement. Source: Blockanalia/X

Even in this instance, from the chart, it is apparent that there were still sizeable inflows to Binance during the period. The two incidents may be completely unrelated. With so many factors involved, no one can say for sure.

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Jim Graham, a cryptocurrency analyst at think tank PsyBold, told Cointelegraph: “While we can’t attribute the shift in funds wholly to last week’s announcement, we most certainly can’t reject it, either. There have been several key managerial changes in the past few months, and virtually all of them have been accompanied by a dip in holdings on the platform. Trust remains a massive obstacle for crypto platforms, and it’s an obstacle they are failing to overcome.”

Money is a valuable commodity, and even the hint that it may be in jeopardy is reason enough to react quickly and decisively.

As the saying goes, trust is earned, not given away, and the recent negative events involving crypto platforms have done little to raise that level of trust. Graham added:

“Crypto platforms need to be on par with banks regarding trust. Investors need to know that entrusting their money to them is a good, safe idea, not a risky one. Unfortunately, they are nowhere near that, and until we reach that level, these spikes are inevitable.”

So, how do the platforms get to that level of trust? Most people would simply say, stop doing bad things. Once crypto platforms act more like banks, people may trust them more. 

But this is much easier said than done. For one, most banks have been around for years, some even hundreds of years. Trust has an element of longevity to it, which people like. The general feeling is if something or someone has acted responsibly and transparently for a long time, there is more of a chance that they will continue to do so.

Crypto platforms don’t have that luxury, of course. Most can only look back on a few years of existence; the only pledge they can give is their word.

On top of that, there is the age-old discussion of regulation. Licensed banks are regulated. That means an authority monitors what they do and is there to step in if things go wrong.

The last thing such an authority or the bank wants is a bank run, as this represents a complete breakdown in trust for all concerned, with the consequences that go with that. Once that has happened, it is tough to win that trust back, as witnessed during the economic crisis of 2008.

In the unregulated world of crypto exchanges, there is currently a stalemate. Some investors are in the middle, clamoring for regulation, fearing for their investments. In contrast, others are vehemently opposed, stating regulation is the very thing cryptocurrency was created to avoid.

And on either side are the exchanges and the authorities, each accusing the other of this and that in what seems like an endless spiral, with neither ready to back down.Sandra McAllister, an attorney specializing in tech litigation with Clifford Chance, told Cointelegraph:

“The need to clarify the legalities around trading cryptocurrencies, particularly in the U.S., is vitally important for the future of the industry, but the protracted processes and tactics being employed are damaging, for both sides, and that, in turn, is turning investors away.”

“The power of social media is also a pressure on the market. The bounce in the Ripple price we saw in July following the court ruling on XRP underlines that perfectly. The decision was anything but conclusive and, in reality, nothing more than a step along the path, but it was blown up on social media as a huge victory that drove up prices. We only have to see where the Ripple price is today to see how much of a victory it actually was,” she said.

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Moving assets around between different exchanges or different assets is nothing new or unusual, of course. In times of economic downturn, funds tend to flow toward the “safer” havens, such as bonds and gold, before reverting to more profitable areas when things pick up.

Graham commented, “While diversifying holdings and being ready to react to ensure you are not unduly affected by negative pressures is sound financial advice, the problem facing crypto holders right now is which platform is safer than another. The FTX demise showed us that ‘too big to fail’ does not apply, so what remains?”

Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Wyoming stablecoin: Are state digital currencies even possible?

The Stable Token Commission continues researching the potential implementation of stable tokens in Wyoming.

In July, the American state of Wyoming shared an open job position for the head of its Stable Token Commission. 

The executive will work alongside Wyoming’s governor, state auditor, state treasurer and four expert appointees to bring the state’s very own stablecoin to life.

While Wyoming was the first to pass a law on a state stablecoin, it isn’t the only state considering launching its own digital currency.

In April, a similar initiative was proposed in Texas, where lawmakers introduced bills for creating a state-based digital currency backed by gold.

However, the idea of state stablecoins raises many questions: How would they affect the monetary stability of fiat money and the power of the Federal Reserve? Could they be compatible with a central bank digital currency? Do people really want to return to a system with state banks printing their own monetary notes?

The Wyoming experiment

The Wyoming Stable Token Act was originally introduced in February 2022, in the midst of the crypto market crisis. The bill defines the Wyoming stable token as a virtual currency representative of and redeemable for one U.S. dollar held in trust by the state of Wyoming. Basically, the state would tokenize the federal currency on a 1:1 ratio with deposits. 

Explaining why state lawmakers took such an interest in the digital token project, Chris Rothfuss, the minority leader in the Wyoming State Senate, told Cointelegraph:

“Wyoming needs to be able to transact in a digital currency — to accept payments, to make payments, and to do so without risk. The Wyoming stable token is the solution to that challenge.”

A notable reservation in Section 2 of the Stable Token Act makes the state’s attorney general responsible for monitoring the startup phase of the token’s issuance. Should the attorney general believe it contradicts federal or state law, the project would be frozen. 

The bill also sets a deadline for the project: The commission’s director shall provide their report on the doability of the stable token no later than Nov. 1, 2023.

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Other than that, the document doesn’t specify much; instead, it establishes the Stable Token Commission with the authority to craft further details.

The legislation’s path wasn’t easy. In March 2022, Governor Mark Gordon vetoed the bill, saying he was “unconvinced” that the state’s Treasury was ready to implement the project safely.

Gordon criticized the lack of information and the cost of accounting services, blockchain development and other necessary expenses, and he was skeptical of the project’s purported benefits.

A year later, the governor applauded the effort made by legislators to enhance the document, but voiced new reservations:

“First and foremost, there was no overall plan (a ‘business plan’ for lack of a better term) or, if a plan exists, it did not appear to have been used to guide the legislators in crafting the legislation.” 

On March 22, 2023, the Stable Token Act was passed into law without Governor Gordon’s signature. Gordon recognized the state stable token’s potential to “nurture Wyoming’s reputation as a leader in the digital asset world” and deemed the improvements made by the bill’s authors enough to allow it to become law.

The era of multiple stablecoins?

Neither the U.S. Federal Reserve nor any crypto-focused legislators have reacted publicly to the Wyoming project, but it is hard to imagine any kind of affirmative response, given that the American dollar was established precisely to provide a countrywide monetary standard and bring the currency under the purview of the federal government.

So, in principle, any state token project could contradict the logic of central bank currency to a similar degree as private cryptocurrencies.

At the same time, the potential value of Wyoming’s stable token is rigorously tied to the same old American dollar, which makes it less of a separate currency and more of a state-issued financial asset, similar to the state-issued notes for specie of the 19th century.

A $40 note issued by the State Bank of Georgia in 1855. Source: Southern Style Currency

Rothfuss clarified, “We are not issuing a new currency. The Wyoming stable token is a digital representation of a U.S. dollar held in trust by the state of Wyoming on behalf of the tokenholder. We are not competing with the Federal Reserve — we are enabling a technology.”

Some observers still see a potential conflict between the states and the Fed. “Certainly, there will be a tussle between states and the federal government over the former attempting to issue their own stablecoins,” Brent Xu, CEO of Web3 bond-market platform Umee, told Cointelegraph.

But there could be a compromise in which the Federal Reserve allows states to issue stablecoins under a particular framework, he believes, noting the discussions concerning a national framework for stablecoins.

Zachary Townsend, CEO of Bitcoin-based life insurance provider Meanwhile, doesn’t see any potential problems with state stablecoins, as he believes that the very concept of a stablecoin is open to almost any entity, political or corporate, as the recent example with PayPal’s initiative has shown.

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He told Cointelegraph, “There are going to be tons of private stablecoins. If I just looked at my life and all the companies I have ‘accounts’ or ‘wallets’ or ‘balances’ with, those are going to transform to become stablecoins within a few years.”

This is something Peter Herzog, state policy lead at the Crypto Council for Innovation, can agree with. “There are a variety of models for stablecoins that involve different decisions around underlying collateral, governance and more,” he explained to Cointelegraph. For Herzog, it comes as no surprise that individual states with an active interest in crypto are continuing their experiments with new initiatives:

“Until we see a federal regulatory framework, it is likely that states continue to step in to create rules of the road to promote innovation and protect consumers.”

Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO